California
ALL votes from Siskiyou County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 18575 Precincts: 58 Average votes per precinct: 320 Votes in median precinct: 297Registered Republicans: 54.5% Registered Democrats: 43.9%  
Voting Machine: Dominion Voting Systems ImageCast Precinct+ImageCast Central+ImageCast Evolution Optical Scan+Ballot Marking Device or System
deltaM = -12.5%deltaMxV = -2,314
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Donald J. Trump
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Hillary Clinton
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J. Trump | Hillary Clinton |
1 | 30.1% | 48.3% | 41.4% |
2 | 17.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% |
3 | 12.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% |
4 | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
5 | 7.9% | 1.7% | 8.6% |
6 | 6.7% | 0% | 1.7% |
7 | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% |
8 | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
9 | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDonald J. Trump (R): Percent of votes: 61.06%, Total votes: 11341 out of 18575
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | 093-M3055 JUNIPER | 23 | 11 | 48% | 11 | 23 | 48% | 093-M5019 SOMES BAR | 46 | 12 | 26% | 23 | 69 | 33% | 093-M5055 OAK | 57 | 43 | 75% | 66 | 126 | 52% | 093-M1065 COPCO CONS | 86 | 59 | 69% | 125 | 212 | 59% | 093-M1020 TULELAKE 2 | 118 | 102 | 86% | 227 | 330 | 69% | 093-M5075 OAK KNOLL CONS | 128 | 90 | 70% | 317 | 458 | 69% | 093-M5018 SEIAD | 127 | 71 | 56% | 388 | 585 | 66% | 093-M5080 WALKER CONS | 132 | 82 | 62% | 470 | 717 | 66% | 093-M5038 GREENHORN 5 | 148 | 110 | 74% | 580 | 865 | 67% | 093-M3065 GAZELLE CONS | 157 | 122 | 78% | 702 | 1022 | 69% | 093-M1009 MACDOEL | 156 | 128 | 82% | 830 | 1178 | 70% | 093-M5070 HILT CONS | 157 | 106 | 68% | 936 | 1335 | 70% | 093-M1060 PONDOSA CONS | 154 | 74 | 48% | 1010 | 1489 | 68% | 093-M4065 GREENHORN 4 CONS | 152 | 111 | 73% | 1121 | 1641 | 68% | 093-M1023 LITTLE SHASTA A | 165 | 123 | 75% | 1244 | 1806 | 69% | 093-M4060 DELPHIC CONS | 174 | 143 | 82% | 1387 | 1980 | 70% | 093-M1117 TULELAKE 1 | 173 | 122 | 71% | 1509 | 2153 | 70% | 093-M5090 CALLAHAN CONS | 168 | 99 | 59% | 1608 | 2321 | 69% | 093-M1001 BOGUS | 192 | 148 | 77% | 1756 | 2513 | 70% | 093-M1070 DORRIS CONS | 185 | 139 | 75% | 1895 | 2698 | 70% | 093-M3013 WARREN | 189 | 130 | 69% | 2025 | 2887 | 70% | 093-M2009 DUNSMUIR 3 | 195 | 81 | 42% | 2106 | 3082 | 68% | 093-P1026 BIG SPRINGS | 227 | 119 | 52% | 2225 | 3309 | 67% | 093-P1002 MONTAGUE 2 | 236 | 197 | 83% | 2422 | 3545 | 68% | 093-P5012 HORNBROOK | 231 | 158 | 68% | 2580 | 3776 | 68% | 093-P3001 EDGEWOOD | 230 | 117 | 51% | 2697 | 4006 | 67% | 093-P1105 DORRIS 1 | 240 | 165 | 69% | 2862 | 4246 | 67% | 093-P5107 FT JONES 1 | 256 | 172 | 67% | 3034 | 4502 | 67% | 093-P5103 ETNA 1 | 297 | 195 | 66% | 3229 | 4799 | 67% | 093-P3004 GRENADA | 352 | 276 | 78% | 3505 | 5151 | 68% | 093-P3009 MAYTEN | 362 | 195 | 54% | 3700 | 5513 | 67% | 093-P3111 WEED 1 | 344 | 159 | 46% | 3859 | 5857 | 66% | 093-P4116 YREKA 4 | 360 | 231 | 64% | 4090 | 6217 | 66% | 093-P1003 WILLOW CREEK | 379 | 261 | 69% | 4351 | 6596 | 66% | 093-P2015 MT SHASTA 5 | 360 | 137 | 38% | 4488 | 6956 | 65% | 093-P3021 WEED 3 | 386 | 166 | 43% | 4654 | 7342 | 63% | 093-P5008 FT JONES 2 | 396 | 303 | 77% | 4957 | 7738 | 64% | 093-P3112 WEED 2 | 386 | 195 | 51% | 5152 | 8124 | 63% | 093-P5011 HAPPY CAMP | 392 | 266 | 68% | 5418 | 8516 | 64% | 093-P3006 LAKE SHASTINA M | 419 | 229 | 55% | 5647 | 8935 | 63% | 093-P3014 SISSON | 423 | 209 | 49% | 5856 | 9358 | 63% | 093-P2115 MT SHASTA 4 | 433 | 153 | 35% | 6009 | 9791 | 61% | 093-P4121 YREKA 6 | 450 | 320 | 71% | 6329 | 10241 | 62% | 093-P1000 MCCLOUD CONS | 445 | 292 | 66% | 6621 | 10686 | 62% | 093-P2110 MT SHASTA 1 | 404 | 154 | 38% | 6775 | 11090 | 61% | 093-P4118 YREKA 5 | 489 | 314 | 64% | 7089 | 11579 | 61% | 093-P4112 YREKA 2 | 501 | 312 | 62% | 7401 | 12080 | 61% | 093-P4115 YREKA 3 | 505 | 330 | 65% | 7731 | 12585 | 61% | 093-P1110 MONTAGUE 1 | 512 | 385 | 75% | 8116 | 13097 | 62% | 093-P4110 YREKA 1 | 504 | 322 | 64% | 8438 | 13601 | 62% | 093-P4030 FOREST MTN | 588 | 472 | 80% | 8910 | 14189 | 63% | 093-P2111 MT SHASTA 2 | 552 | 201 | 36% | 9111 | 14741 | 62% | 093-P5095 GREENVIEW CONS | 588 | 435 | 74% | 9546 | 15329 | 62% | 093-P2014 MT SHASTA 3 | 600 | 297 | 50% | 9843 | 15929 | 62% | 093-P2100 DUNSMUIR CITY | 620 | 267 | 43% | 10110 | 16549 | 61% | 093-P5005 ETNA 2 | 669 | 475 | 71% | 10585 | 17218 | 61% | 093-P2019 KINSTREY | 653 | 342 | 52% | 10927 | 17871 | 61% | 093-P3007 LAKE SHASTINA E | 704 | 414 | 59% | 11341 | 18575 | 61% |
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Hillary Clinton (D): Percent of votes: 38.94%, Total votes: 7234 out of 18575
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | 093-M3055 JUNIPER | 23 | 12 | 52% | 12 | 23 | 52% | 093-M5019 SOMES BAR | 46 | 34 | 74% | 46 | 69 | 67% | 093-M5055 OAK | 57 | 14 | 25% | 60 | 126 | 48% | 093-M1065 COPCO CONS | 86 | 27 | 31% | 87 | 212 | 41% | 093-M1020 TULELAKE 2 | 118 | 16 | 14% | 103 | 330 | 31% | 093-M5075 OAK KNOLL CONS | 128 | 38 | 30% | 141 | 458 | 31% | 093-M5018 SEIAD | 127 | 56 | 44% | 197 | 585 | 34% | 093-M5080 WALKER CONS | 132 | 50 | 38% | 247 | 717 | 34% | 093-M5038 GREENHORN 5 | 148 | 38 | 26% | 285 | 865 | 33% | 093-M3065 GAZELLE CONS | 157 | 35 | 22% | 320 | 1022 | 31% | 093-M1009 MACDOEL | 156 | 28 | 18% | 348 | 1178 | 30% | 093-M5070 HILT CONS | 157 | 51 | 32% | 399 | 1335 | 30% | 093-M1060 PONDOSA CONS | 154 | 80 | 52% | 479 | 1489 | 32% | 093-M4065 GREENHORN 4 CONS | 152 | 41 | 27% | 520 | 1641 | 32% | 093-M1023 LITTLE SHASTA A | 165 | 42 | 25% | 562 | 1806 | 31% | 093-M4060 DELPHIC CONS | 174 | 31 | 18% | 593 | 1980 | 30% | 093-M1117 TULELAKE 1 | 173 | 51 | 29% | 644 | 2153 | 30% | 093-M5090 CALLAHAN CONS | 168 | 69 | 41% | 713 | 2321 | 31% | 093-M1001 BOGUS | 192 | 44 | 23% | 757 | 2513 | 30% | 093-M1070 DORRIS CONS | 185 | 46 | 25% | 803 | 2698 | 30% | 093-M3013 WARREN | 189 | 59 | 31% | 862 | 2887 | 30% | 093-M2009 DUNSMUIR 3 | 195 | 114 | 58% | 976 | 3082 | 32% | 093-P1026 BIG SPRINGS | 227 | 108 | 48% | 1084 | 3309 | 33% | 093-P1002 MONTAGUE 2 | 236 | 39 | 17% | 1123 | 3545 | 32% | 093-P5012 HORNBROOK | 231 | 73 | 32% | 1196 | 3776 | 32% | 093-P3001 EDGEWOOD | 230 | 113 | 49% | 1309 | 4006 | 33% | 093-P1105 DORRIS 1 | 240 | 75 | 31% | 1384 | 4246 | 33% | 093-P5107 FT JONES 1 | 256 | 84 | 33% | 1468 | 4502 | 33% | 093-P5103 ETNA 1 | 297 | 102 | 34% | 1570 | 4799 | 33% | 093-P3004 GRENADA | 352 | 76 | 22% | 1646 | 5151 | 32% | 093-P3009 MAYTEN | 362 | 167 | 46% | 1813 | 5513 | 33% | 093-P3111 WEED 1 | 344 | 185 | 54% | 1998 | 5857 | 34% | 093-P4116 YREKA 4 | 360 | 129 | 36% | 2127 | 6217 | 34% | 093-P1003 WILLOW CREEK | 379 | 118 | 31% | 2245 | 6596 | 34% | 093-P2015 MT SHASTA 5 | 360 | 223 | 62% | 2468 | 6956 | 35% | 093-P3021 WEED 3 | 386 | 220 | 57% | 2688 | 7342 | 37% | 093-P5008 FT JONES 2 | 396 | 93 | 23% | 2781 | 7738 | 36% | 093-P3112 WEED 2 | 386 | 191 | 49% | 2972 | 8124 | 37% | 093-P5011 HAPPY CAMP | 392 | 126 | 32% | 3098 | 8516 | 36% | 093-P3006 LAKE SHASTINA M | 419 | 190 | 45% | 3288 | 8935 | 37% | 093-P3014 SISSON | 423 | 214 | 51% | 3502 | 9358 | 37% | 093-P2115 MT SHASTA 4 | 433 | 280 | 65% | 3782 | 9791 | 39% | 093-P4121 YREKA 6 | 450 | 130 | 29% | 3912 | 10241 | 38% | 093-P1000 MCCLOUD CONS | 445 | 153 | 34% | 4065 | 10686 | 38% | 093-P2110 MT SHASTA 1 | 404 | 250 | 62% | 4315 | 11090 | 39% | 093-P4118 YREKA 5 | 489 | 175 | 36% | 4490 | 11579 | 39% | 093-P4112 YREKA 2 | 501 | 189 | 38% | 4679 | 12080 | 39% | 093-P4115 YREKA 3 | 505 | 175 | 35% | 4854 | 12585 | 39% | 093-P1110 MONTAGUE 1 | 512 | 127 | 25% | 4981 | 13097 | 38% | 093-P4110 YREKA 1 | 504 | 182 | 36% | 5163 | 13601 | 38% | 093-P4030 FOREST MTN | 588 | 116 | 20% | 5279 | 14189 | 37% | 093-P2111 MT SHASTA 2 | 552 | 351 | 64% | 5630 | 14741 | 38% | 093-P5095 GREENVIEW CONS | 588 | 153 | 26% | 5783 | 15329 | 38% | 093-P2014 MT SHASTA 3 | 600 | 303 | 51% | 6086 | 15929 | 38% | 093-P2100 DUNSMUIR CITY | 620 | 353 | 57% | 6439 | 16549 | 39% | 093-P5005 ETNA 2 | 669 | 194 | 29% | 6633 | 17218 | 39% | 093-P2019 KINSTREY | 653 | 311 | 48% | 6944 | 17871 | 39% | 093-P3007 LAKE SHASTINA E | 704 | 290 | 41% | 7234 | 18575 | 39% |
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