2016, November 8 – Supreme Court Justice 2

Michigan

ALL votes from Calhoun County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 41,231 Precincts (polling places): 62 Average voters per precinct: 665 Votes in median precinct: 589
Voting Machine: ES&S+Sequoia AutoMARK+Optech Insight Ballot Marking Device or System+Optical Scan

Data from: Michigan Secretary of State

deltaM = 7.8%
deltaMxV = 3,220

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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Detailed Data

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JOAN LARSEN (R): Percent of votes: 60.55%, Total votes: 24966 out of 41231

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	229	126	55%	126	229	55%
ALBION CITY 2	254	94	37%	220	483	46%
ALBION CITY 4	273	162	59%	382	756	51%
ALBION CITY 1	339	147	43%	529	1095	48%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	349	205	59%	734	1444	51%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	352	185	53%	919	1796	51%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	353	152	43%	1071	2149	50%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	360	183	51%	1254	2509	50%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	391	252	64%	1506	2900	52%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	398	277	70%	1783	3298	54%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	400	239	60%	2022	3698	55%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	433	200	46%	2222	4131	54%
ALBION CITY 3	436	234	54%	2456	4567	54%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	457	253	55%	2709	5024	54%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	458	276	60%	2985	5482	54%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	464	167	36%	3152	5946	53%
ALBION CITY 5	474	210	44%	3362	6420	52%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	293	59%	3655	6918	53%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	500	333	67%	3988	7418	54%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	504	335	66%	4323	7922	55%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	515	290	56%	4613	8437	55%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	250	48%	4863	8957	54%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	521	383	74%	5246	9478	55%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	542	304	56%	5550	10020	55%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	543	316	58%	5866	10563	56%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	548	323	59%	6189	11111	56%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	555	310	56%	6499	11666	56%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	373	64%	6872	12246	56%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	580	321	55%	7193	12826	56%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	587	348	59%	7541	13413	56%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	589	303	51%	7844	14002	56%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	593	321	54%	8165	14595	56%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	598	251	42%	8416	15193	55%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	616	455	74%	8871	15809	56%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	622	419	67%	9290	16431	57%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	666	410	62%	9700	17097	57%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	680	465	68%	10165	17777	57%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	693	382	55%	10547	18470	57%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	722	358	50%	10905	19192	57%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	729	429	59%	11334	19921	57%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	754	462	61%	11796	20675	57%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	754	589	78%	12385	21429	58%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	769	458	60%	12843	22198	58%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	775	439	57%	13282	22973	58%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	799	600	75%	13882	23772	58%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	802	457	57%	14339	24574	58%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	809	414	51%	14753	25383	58%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	846	500	59%	15253	26229	58%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	847	441	52%	15694	27076	58%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	847	539	64%	16233	27923	58%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	849	528	62%	16761	28772	58%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	887	591	67%	17352	29659	59%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1050	647	62%	17999	30709	59%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1052	691	66%	18690	31761	59%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1075	666	62%	19356	32836	59%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1093	806	74%	20162	33929	59%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1150	730	63%	20892	35079	60%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1150	706	61%	21598	36229	60%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1172	774	66%	22372	37401	60%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1235	798	65%	23170	38636	60%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1243	819	66%	23989	39879	60%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1352	977	72%	24966	41231	61%

DEBORAH THOMAS (D): Percent of votes: 24.81%, Total votes: 10229 out of 41231

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	229	87	38%	87	229	38%
ALBION CITY 2	254	127	50%	214	483	44%
ALBION CITY 4	273	68	25%	282	756	37%
ALBION CITY 1	339	117	35%	399	1095	36%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	349	102	29%	501	1444	35%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	352	102	29%	603	1796	34%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	353	127	36%	730	2149	34%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	360	93	26%	823	2509	33%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	391	101	26%	924	2900	32%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	398	65	16%	989	3298	30%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	400	114	29%	1103	3698	30%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	433	169	39%	1272	4131	31%
ALBION CITY 3	436	158	36%	1430	4567	31%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	457	111	24%	1541	5024	31%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	458	108	24%	1649	5482	30%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	464	236	51%	1885	5946	32%
ALBION CITY 5	474	192	41%	2077	6420	32%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	106	21%	2183	6918	32%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	500	83	17%	2266	7418	31%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	504	110	22%	2376	7922	30%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	515	168	33%	2544	8437	30%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	182	35%	2726	8957	30%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	521	65	12%	2791	9478	29%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	542	147	27%	2938	10020	29%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	543	131	24%	3069	10563	29%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	548	118	22%	3187	11111	29%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	555	156	28%	3343	11666	29%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	115	20%	3458	12246	28%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	580	163	28%	3621	12826	28%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	587	148	25%	3769	13413	28%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	589	164	28%	3933	14002	28%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	593	152	26%	4085	14595	28%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	598	279	47%	4364	15193	29%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	616	80	13%	4444	15809	28%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	622	100	16%	4544	16431	28%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	666	201	30%	4745	17097	28%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	680	114	17%	4859	17777	27%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	693	180	26%	5039	18470	27%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	722	152	21%	5191	19192	27%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	729	150	21%	5341	19921	27%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	754	223	30%	5564	20675	27%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	754	75	10%	5639	21429	26%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	769	153	20%	5792	22198	26%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	775	187	24%	5979	22973	26%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	799	91	11%	6070	23772	26%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	802	172	21%	6242	24574	25%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	809	307	38%	6549	25383	26%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	846	211	25%	6760	26229	26%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	847	222	26%	6982	27076	26%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	847	156	18%	7138	27923	26%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	849	209	25%	7347	28772	26%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	887	237	27%	7584	29659	26%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1050	328	31%	7912	30709	26%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1052	282	27%	8194	31761	26%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1075	280	26%	8474	32836	26%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1093	172	16%	8646	33929	25%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1150	257	22%	8903	35079	25%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1150	302	26%	9205	36229	25%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1172	181	15%	9386	37401	25%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1235	341	28%	9727	38636	25%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1243	289	23%	10016	39879	25%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1352	213	16%	10229	41231	25%

KERRY L. MORGAN (L): Percent of votes: 14.64%, Total votes: 6036 out of 41231

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	229	16	7%	16	229	7%
ALBION CITY 2	254	33	13%	49	483	10%
ALBION CITY 4	273	43	16%	92	756	12%
ALBION CITY 1	339	75	22%	167	1095	15%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	349	42	12%	209	1444	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	352	65	18%	274	1796	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	353	74	21%	348	2149	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	360	84	23%	432	2509	17%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	391	38	10%	470	2900	16%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	398	56	14%	526	3298	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	400	47	12%	573	3698	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	433	64	15%	637	4131	15%
ALBION CITY 3	436	44	10%	681	4567	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	457	93	20%	774	5024	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	458	74	16%	848	5482	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	464	61	13%	909	5946	15%
ALBION CITY 5	474	72	15%	981	6420	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	99	20%	1080	6918	16%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	500	84	17%	1164	7418	16%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	504	59	12%	1223	7922	15%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	515	57	11%	1280	8437	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	88	17%	1368	8957	15%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	521	73	14%	1441	9478	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	542	91	17%	1532	10020	15%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	543	96	18%	1628	10563	15%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	548	107	20%	1735	11111	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	555	89	16%	1824	11666	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	92	16%	1916	12246	16%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	580	96	17%	2012	12826	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	587	91	16%	2103	13413	16%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	589	122	21%	2225	14002	16%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	593	120	20%	2345	14595	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	598	68	11%	2413	15193	16%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	616	81	13%	2494	15809	16%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	622	103	17%	2597	16431	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	666	55	8%	2652	17097	16%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	680	101	15%	2753	17777	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	693	131	19%	2884	18470	16%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	722	212	29%	3096	19192	16%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	729	150	21%	3246	19921	16%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	754	69	9%	3315	20675	16%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	754	90	12%	3405	21429	16%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	769	158	21%	3563	22198	16%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	775	149	19%	3712	22973	16%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	799	108	14%	3820	23772	16%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	802	173	22%	3993	24574	16%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	809	88	11%	4081	25383	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	846	135	16%	4216	26229	16%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	847	184	22%	4400	27076	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	847	152	18%	4552	27923	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	849	112	13%	4664	28772	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	887	59	7%	4723	29659	16%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1050	75	7%	4798	30709	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1052	79	8%	4877	31761	15%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1075	129	12%	5006	32836	15%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1093	115	11%	5121	33929	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1150	163	14%	5284	35079	15%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1150	142	12%	5426	36229	15%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1172	217	19%	5643	37401	15%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1235	96	8%	5739	38636	15%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1243	135	11%	5874	39879	15%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1352	162	12%	6036	41231	15%

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	JOAN LARSEN	DEBORAH THOMAS	KERRY L. MORGAN
1	30.1%	11.3%	58.1%	35.5%
2	17.6%	21%	21%	3.2%
3	12.5%	22.6%	6.5%	3.2%
4	9.7%	17.7%	0%	6.5%
5	7.9%	8.1%	0%	8.1%
6	6.7%	6.5%	4.8%	8.1%
7	5.8%	6.5%	1.6%	11.3%
8	5.1%	3.2%	4.8%	9.7%
9	4.6%	3.2%	3.2%	14.5%

Michigan

ALL votes from Calhoun County.Precincts added in order of number of votes.

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Benford's Law Analysis

Show Data

Detailed Data

Data

Data

Data

ALL votes from Calhoun County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.