Michigan
ALL votes from Monroe County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 47,566 Precincts (polling places): 63 Average voters per precinct: 755 Votes in median precinct: 763Voting Machine: ES&S+Premier/Diebold AutoMARK+AccuVote OS Ballot Marking Device or System+Optical Scan
Data from: Michigan Secretary of State
deltaM = -0.6%deltaMxV = -284
Click legend entry to show or hide a line.
Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for JOAN LARSEN
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for DEBORAH THOMAS
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for KERRY L. MORGAN
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | JOAN LARSEN | DEBORAH THOMAS | KERRY L. MORGAN |
1 | 30.1% | 3.2% | 57.1% | 52.4% |
2 | 17.6% | 12.7% | 30.2% | 3.2% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.5% | 6.3% | 0% |
4 | 9.7% | 31.7% | 0% | 1.6% |
5 | 7.9% | 20.6% | 1.6% | 0% |
6 | 6.7% | 6.3% | 0% | 4.8% |
7 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 0% | 12.7% |
8 | 5.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 14.3% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 1.6% | 11.1% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataJOAN LARSEN (R): Percent of votes: 60.95%, Total votes: 28992 out of 47566
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 345 | 224 | 65% | 224 | 345 | 65% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 376 | 198 | 53% | 422 | 721 | 59% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 425 | 255 | 60% | 677 | 1146 | 59% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 438 | 273 | 62% | 950 | 1584 | 60% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 458 | 271 | 59% | 1221 | 2042 | 60% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 459 | 241 | 53% | 1462 | 2501 | 58% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 505 | 278 | 55% | 1740 | 3006 | 58% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 511 | 334 | 65% | 2074 | 3517 | 59% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 514 | 288 | 56% | 2362 | 4031 | 59% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 535 | 288 | 54% | 2650 | 4566 | 58% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 538 | 347 | 64% | 2997 | 5104 | 59% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 568 | 318 | 56% | 3315 | 5672 | 58% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 570 | 355 | 62% | 3670 | 6242 | 59% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 576 | 337 | 59% | 4007 | 6818 | 59% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 581 | 387 | 67% | 4394 | 7399 | 59% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 618 | 339 | 55% | 4733 | 8017 | 59% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 622 | 453 | 73% | 5186 | 8639 | 60% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 627 | 438 | 70% | 5624 | 9266 | 61% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 648 | 386 | 60% | 6010 | 9914 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 653 | 409 | 63% | 6419 | 10567 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 658 | 393 | 60% | 6812 | 11225 | 61% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 674 | 455 | 68% | 7267 | 11899 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 679 | 398 | 59% | 7665 | 12578 | 61% | MILAN CITY 1 | 688 | 379 | 55% | 8044 | 13266 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 699 | 434 | 62% | 8478 | 13965 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 712 | 442 | 62% | 8920 | 14677 | 61% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 724 | 465 | 64% | 9385 | 15401 | 61% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 745 | 439 | 59% | 9824 | 16146 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 752 | 461 | 61% | 10285 | 16898 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 763 | 473 | 62% | 10758 | 17661 | 61% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 763 | 458 | 60% | 11216 | 18424 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 764 | 450 | 59% | 11666 | 19188 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 765 | 408 | 53% | 12074 | 19953 | 61% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 782 | 402 | 51% | 12476 | 20735 | 60% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 785 | 477 | 61% | 12953 | 21520 | 60% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 791 | 453 | 57% | 13406 | 22311 | 60% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 797 | 517 | 65% | 13923 | 23108 | 60% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 464 | 58% | 14387 | 23908 | 60% | MONROE CITY 2 | 800 | 511 | 64% | 14898 | 24708 | 60% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 803 | 548 | 68% | 15446 | 25511 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 813 | 452 | 56% | 15898 | 26324 | 60% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 822 | 555 | 68% | 16453 | 27146 | 61% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 472 | 57% | 16925 | 27969 | 61% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 545 | 66% | 17470 | 28792 | 61% | MONROE CITY 3 | 363 | 185 | 51% | 17655 | 29155 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 856 | 550 | 64% | 18205 | 30011 | 61% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 861 | 488 | 57% | 18693 | 30872 | 61% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 871 | 541 | 62% | 19234 | 31743 | 61% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 885 | 600 | 68% | 19834 | 32628 | 61% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 941 | 583 | 62% | 20417 | 33569 | 61% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 942 | 588 | 62% | 21005 | 34511 | 61% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 949 | 593 | 62% | 21598 | 35460 | 61% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 960 | 519 | 54% | 22117 | 36420 | 61% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 984 | 525 | 53% | 22642 | 37404 | 61% | MONROE CITY 1 | 986 | 570 | 58% | 23212 | 38390 | 60% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 995 | 614 | 62% | 23826 | 39385 | 60% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1038 | 631 | 61% | 24457 | 40423 | 61% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1082 | 720 | 67% | 25177 | 41505 | 61% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1087 | 691 | 64% | 25868 | 42592 | 61% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1143 | 738 | 65% | 26606 | 43735 | 61% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1233 | 818 | 66% | 27424 | 44968 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1249 | 780 | 62% | 28204 | 46217 | 61% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1349 | 788 | 58% | 28992 | 47566 | 61% |
---|
DEBORAH THOMAS (D): Percent of votes: 24.11%, Total votes: 11467 out of 47566
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 345 | 56 | 16% | 56 | 345 | 16% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 376 | 108 | 29% | 164 | 721 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 425 | 108 | 25% | 272 | 1146 | 24% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 438 | 86 | 20% | 358 | 1584 | 23% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 458 | 91 | 20% | 449 | 2042 | 22% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 459 | 121 | 26% | 570 | 2501 | 23% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 505 | 154 | 30% | 724 | 3006 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 511 | 106 | 21% | 830 | 3517 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 514 | 132 | 26% | 962 | 4031 | 24% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 535 | 138 | 26% | 1100 | 4566 | 24% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 538 | 112 | 21% | 1212 | 5104 | 24% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 568 | 153 | 27% | 1365 | 5672 | 24% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 570 | 128 | 22% | 1493 | 6242 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 576 | 177 | 31% | 1670 | 6818 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 581 | 113 | 19% | 1783 | 7399 | 24% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 618 | 165 | 27% | 1948 | 8017 | 24% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 622 | 83 | 13% | 2031 | 8639 | 24% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 627 | 108 | 17% | 2139 | 9266 | 23% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 648 | 191 | 29% | 2330 | 9914 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 653 | 140 | 21% | 2470 | 10567 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 658 | 146 | 22% | 2616 | 11225 | 23% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 674 | 122 | 18% | 2738 | 11899 | 23% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 679 | 173 | 25% | 2911 | 12578 | 23% | MILAN CITY 1 | 688 | 176 | 26% | 3087 | 13266 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 699 | 139 | 20% | 3226 | 13965 | 23% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 712 | 190 | 27% | 3416 | 14677 | 23% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 724 | 106 | 15% | 3522 | 15401 | 23% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 745 | 169 | 23% | 3691 | 16146 | 23% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 752 | 208 | 28% | 3899 | 16898 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 763 | 213 | 28% | 4112 | 17661 | 23% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 763 | 206 | 27% | 4318 | 18424 | 23% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 764 | 183 | 24% | 4501 | 19188 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 765 | 218 | 28% | 4719 | 19953 | 24% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 782 | 232 | 30% | 4951 | 20735 | 24% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 785 | 192 | 24% | 5143 | 21520 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 791 | 258 | 33% | 5401 | 22311 | 24% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 797 | 151 | 19% | 5552 | 23108 | 24% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 181 | 23% | 5733 | 23908 | 24% | MONROE CITY 2 | 800 | 164 | 21% | 5897 | 24708 | 24% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 803 | 151 | 19% | 6048 | 25511 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 813 | 202 | 25% | 6250 | 26324 | 24% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 822 | 147 | 18% | 6397 | 27146 | 24% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 193 | 23% | 6590 | 27969 | 24% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 204 | 25% | 6794 | 28792 | 24% | MONROE CITY 3 | 363 | 133 | 37% | 6927 | 29155 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 856 | 168 | 20% | 7095 | 30011 | 24% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 861 | 216 | 25% | 7311 | 30872 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 871 | 241 | 28% | 7552 | 31743 | 24% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 885 | 198 | 22% | 7750 | 32628 | 24% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 941 | 239 | 25% | 7989 | 33569 | 24% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 942 | 215 | 23% | 8204 | 34511 | 24% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 949 | 250 | 26% | 8454 | 35460 | 24% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 960 | 268 | 28% | 8722 | 36420 | 24% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 984 | 247 | 25% | 8969 | 37404 | 24% | MONROE CITY 1 | 986 | 309 | 31% | 9278 | 38390 | 24% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 995 | 268 | 27% | 9546 | 39385 | 24% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1038 | 315 | 30% | 9861 | 40423 | 24% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1082 | 196 | 18% | 10057 | 41505 | 24% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1087 | 267 | 25% | 10324 | 42592 | 24% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1143 | 231 | 20% | 10555 | 43735 | 24% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1233 | 234 | 19% | 10789 | 44968 | 24% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1249 | 342 | 27% | 11131 | 46217 | 24% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1349 | 336 | 25% | 11467 | 47566 | 24% |
---|
KERRY L. MORGAN (L): Percent of votes: 14.94%, Total votes: 7107 out of 47566
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 345 | 65 | 19% | 65 | 345 | 19% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 376 | 70 | 19% | 135 | 721 | 19% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 425 | 62 | 15% | 197 | 1146 | 17% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 438 | 79 | 18% | 276 | 1584 | 17% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 458 | 96 | 21% | 372 | 2042 | 18% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 459 | 97 | 21% | 469 | 2501 | 19% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 505 | 73 | 14% | 542 | 3006 | 18% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 511 | 71 | 14% | 613 | 3517 | 17% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 514 | 94 | 18% | 707 | 4031 | 18% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 535 | 109 | 20% | 816 | 4566 | 18% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 538 | 79 | 15% | 895 | 5104 | 18% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 568 | 97 | 17% | 992 | 5672 | 17% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 570 | 87 | 15% | 1079 | 6242 | 17% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 576 | 62 | 11% | 1141 | 6818 | 17% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 581 | 81 | 14% | 1222 | 7399 | 17% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 618 | 114 | 18% | 1336 | 8017 | 17% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 622 | 86 | 14% | 1422 | 8639 | 16% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 627 | 81 | 13% | 1503 | 9266 | 16% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 648 | 71 | 11% | 1574 | 9914 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 653 | 104 | 16% | 1678 | 10567 | 16% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 658 | 119 | 18% | 1797 | 11225 | 16% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 674 | 97 | 14% | 1894 | 11899 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 679 | 108 | 16% | 2002 | 12578 | 16% | MILAN CITY 1 | 688 | 133 | 19% | 2135 | 13266 | 16% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 699 | 126 | 18% | 2261 | 13965 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 712 | 80 | 11% | 2341 | 14677 | 16% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 724 | 153 | 21% | 2494 | 15401 | 16% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 745 | 137 | 18% | 2631 | 16146 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 752 | 83 | 11% | 2714 | 16898 | 16% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 763 | 77 | 10% | 2791 | 17661 | 16% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 763 | 99 | 13% | 2890 | 18424 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 764 | 131 | 17% | 3021 | 19188 | 16% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 765 | 139 | 18% | 3160 | 19953 | 16% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 782 | 148 | 19% | 3308 | 20735 | 16% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 785 | 116 | 15% | 3424 | 21520 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 791 | 80 | 10% | 3504 | 22311 | 16% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 797 | 129 | 16% | 3633 | 23108 | 16% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 155 | 19% | 3788 | 23908 | 16% | MONROE CITY 2 | 800 | 125 | 16% | 3913 | 24708 | 16% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 803 | 104 | 13% | 4017 | 25511 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 813 | 159 | 20% | 4176 | 26324 | 16% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 822 | 120 | 15% | 4296 | 27146 | 16% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 158 | 19% | 4454 | 27969 | 16% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 823 | 74 | 9% | 4528 | 28792 | 16% | MONROE CITY 3 | 363 | 45 | 12% | 4573 | 29155 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 856 | 138 | 16% | 4711 | 30011 | 16% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 861 | 157 | 18% | 4868 | 30872 | 16% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 871 | 89 | 10% | 4957 | 31743 | 16% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 885 | 87 | 10% | 5044 | 32628 | 15% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 941 | 119 | 13% | 5163 | 33569 | 15% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 942 | 139 | 15% | 5302 | 34511 | 15% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 949 | 106 | 11% | 5408 | 35460 | 15% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 960 | 173 | 18% | 5581 | 36420 | 15% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 984 | 212 | 22% | 5793 | 37404 | 15% | MONROE CITY 1 | 986 | 107 | 11% | 5900 | 38390 | 15% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 995 | 113 | 11% | 6013 | 39385 | 15% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1038 | 92 | 9% | 6105 | 40423 | 15% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1082 | 166 | 15% | 6271 | 41505 | 15% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1087 | 129 | 12% | 6400 | 42592 | 15% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1143 | 174 | 15% | 6574 | 43735 | 15% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1233 | 181 | 15% | 6755 | 44968 | 15% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1249 | 127 | 10% | 6882 | 46217 | 15% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1349 | 225 | 17% | 7107 | 47566 | 15% |
---|