2016, November 8 – Supreme Court Justice 2

Michigan

ALL votes from Muskegon County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 55,376 Precincts (polling places): 67 Average voters per precinct: 827 Votes in median precinct: 776
Voting Machine: ES&S AutoMARK+Model 100 Ballot Marking Device or System+Optical Scan

Data from: Michigan Secretary of State

deltaM = 12.4%
deltaMxV = 6,875

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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Detailed Data

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JOAN LARSEN (R): Percent of votes: 60.38%, Total votes: 33435 out of 55376

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
DALTON TOWNSHIP 3	432	242	56%	242	432	56%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 7	456	272	60%	514	888	58%
MOORLAND TOWNSHIP 1	470	318	68%	832	1358	61%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 8	492	246	50%	1078	1850	58%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 5	503	214	43%	1292	2353	55%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 1	506	305	60%	1597	2859	56%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 1	548	238	43%	1835	3407	54%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 6	550	235	43%	2070	3957	52%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 3	566	233	41%	2303	4523	51%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 2	575	308	54%	2611	5098	51%
MONTAGUE TOWNSHIP 1	584	375	64%	2986	5682	53%
WHITE RIVER TOWNSHIP 1	602	368	61%	3354	6284	53%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 2	606	351	58%	3705	6890	54%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 2	609	208	34%	3913	7499	52%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 3	628	291	46%	4204	8127	52%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 2	642	306	48%	4510	8769	51%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 6	658	414	63%	4924	9427	52%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 1	660	352	53%	5276	10087	52%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 4	663	315	48%	5591	10750	52%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 1	680	373	55%	5964	11430	52%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 7	685	268	39%	6232	12115	51%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 1	696	438	63%	6670	12811	52%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 2	699	442	63%	7112	13510	53%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 9	703	276	39%	7388	14213	52%
HOLTON TOWNSHIP 1	705	391	55%	7779	14918	52%
WHITEHALL TOWNSHIP 1	715	479	67%	8258	15633	53%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 1	723	225	31%	8483	16356	52%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 5	735	457	62%	8940	17091	52%
BLUE LAKE TOWNSHIP 1	753	510	68%	9450	17844	53%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 4	756	272	36%	9722	18600	52%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 14	760	497	65%	10219	19360	53%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 1	775	469	61%	10688	20135	53%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 3	776	514	66%	11202	20911	54%
CASNOVIA TOWNSHIP 1	776	492	63%	11694	21687	54%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 11	783	470	60%	12164	22470	54%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 13	800	479	60%	12643	23270	54%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 6	838	578	69%	13221	24108	55%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 1	874	572	65%	13793	24982	55%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 4	876	589	67%	14382	25858	56%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 4	886	592	67%	14974	26744	56%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 10	891	467	52%	15441	27635	56%
SULLIVAN TOWNSHIP 1	891	606	68%	16047	28526	56%
MONTAGUE CITY 1	933	610	65%	16657	29459	57%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 12	937	596	64%	17253	30396	57%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 2	939	547	58%	17800	31335	57%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 2	940	679	72%	18479	32275	57%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 3	954	617	65%	19096	33229	57%
CEDAR CREEK TOWNSHIP 1	960	575	60%	19671	34189	58%
RAVENNA TOWNSHIP 1	965	606	63%	20277	35154	58%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 1	980	629	64%	20906	36134	58%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 3	1005	579	58%	21485	37139	58%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 3	1009	652	65%	22137	38148	58%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 8	1030	678	66%	22815	39178	58%
WHITEHALL CITY 1	1032	667	65%	23482	40210	58%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 2	1035	627	61%	24109	41245	58%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 9	1035	682	66%	24791	42280	59%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 4	1054	607	58%	25398	43334	59%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 5	1071	680	63%	26078	44405	59%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 1	1084	646	60%	26724	45489	59%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 2	1130	716	63%	27440	46619	59%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 2	1175	721	61%	28161	47794	59%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 7	1181	837	71%	28998	48975	59%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 10	1216	870	72%	29868	50191	60%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 2	1244	824	66%	30692	51435	60%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 1	1279	920	72%	31612	52714	60%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 3	1292	849	66%	32461	54006	60%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 4	1370	974	71%	33435	55376	60%

DEBORAH THOMAS (D): Percent of votes: 26.09%, Total votes: 14445 out of 55376

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
DALTON TOWNSHIP 3	432	92	21%	92	432	21%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 7	456	108	24%	200	888	23%
MOORLAND TOWNSHIP 1	470	90	19%	290	1358	21%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 8	492	146	30%	436	1850	24%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 5	503	212	42%	648	2353	28%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 1	506	124	25%	772	2859	27%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 1	548	214	39%	986	3407	29%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 6	550	250	45%	1236	3957	31%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 3	566	244	43%	1480	4523	33%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 2	575	154	27%	1634	5098	32%
MONTAGUE TOWNSHIP 1	584	115	20%	1749	5682	31%
WHITE RIVER TOWNSHIP 1	602	176	29%	1925	6284	31%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 2	606	148	24%	2073	6890	30%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 2	609	284	47%	2357	7499	31%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 3	628	270	43%	2627	8127	32%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 2	642	250	39%	2877	8769	33%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 6	658	177	27%	3054	9427	32%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 1	660	204	31%	3258	10087	32%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 4	663	243	37%	3501	10750	33%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 1	680	192	28%	3693	11430	32%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 7	685	291	42%	3984	12115	33%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 1	696	179	26%	4163	12811	32%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 2	699	154	22%	4317	13510	32%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 9	703	322	46%	4639	14213	33%
HOLTON TOWNSHIP 1	705	186	26%	4825	14918	32%
WHITEHALL TOWNSHIP 1	715	133	19%	4958	15633	32%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 1	723	418	58%	5376	16356	33%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 5	735	137	19%	5513	17091	32%
BLUE LAKE TOWNSHIP 1	753	173	23%	5686	17844	32%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 4	756	404	53%	6090	18600	33%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 14	760	184	24%	6274	19360	32%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 1	775	208	27%	6482	20135	32%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 3	776	145	19%	6627	20911	32%
CASNOVIA TOWNSHIP 1	776	149	19%	6776	21687	31%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 11	783	195	25%	6971	22470	31%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 13	800	218	27%	7189	23270	31%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 6	838	150	18%	7339	24108	30%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 1	874	160	18%	7499	24982	30%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 4	876	196	22%	7695	25858	30%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 4	886	200	23%	7895	26744	30%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 10	891	281	32%	8176	27635	30%
SULLIVAN TOWNSHIP 1	891	190	21%	8366	28526	29%
MONTAGUE CITY 1	933	229	25%	8595	29459	29%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 12	937	254	27%	8849	30396	29%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 2	939	267	28%	9116	31335	29%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 2	940	160	17%	9276	32275	29%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 3	954	248	26%	9524	33229	29%
CEDAR CREEK TOWNSHIP 1	960	186	19%	9710	34189	28%
RAVENNA TOWNSHIP 1	965	143	15%	9853	35154	28%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 1	980	234	24%	10087	36134	28%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 3	1005	297	30%	10384	37139	28%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 3	1009	239	24%	10623	38148	28%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 8	1030	251	24%	10874	39178	28%
WHITEHALL CITY 1	1032	263	25%	11137	40210	28%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 2	1035	233	23%	11370	41245	28%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 9	1035	199	19%	11569	42280	27%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 4	1054	293	28%	11862	43334	27%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 5	1071	287	27%	12149	44405	27%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 1	1084	301	28%	12450	45489	27%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 2	1130	174	15%	12624	46619	27%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 2	1175	276	23%	12900	47794	27%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 7	1181	248	21%	13148	48975	27%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 10	1216	270	22%	13418	50191	27%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 2	1244	309	25%	13727	51435	27%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 1	1279	225	18%	13952	52714	26%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 3	1292	230	18%	14182	54006	26%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 4	1370	263	19%	14445	55376	26%

KERRY L. MORGAN (L): Percent of votes: 13.54%, Total votes: 7496 out of 55376

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
DALTON TOWNSHIP 3	432	98	23%	98	432	23%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 7	456	76	17%	174	888	20%
MOORLAND TOWNSHIP 1	470	62	13%	236	1358	17%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 8	492	100	20%	336	1850	18%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 5	503	77	15%	413	2353	18%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 1	506	77	15%	490	2859	17%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 1	548	96	18%	586	3407	17%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 6	550	65	12%	651	3957	16%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 3	566	89	16%	740	4523	16%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 2	575	113	20%	853	5098	17%
MONTAGUE TOWNSHIP 1	584	94	16%	947	5682	17%
WHITE RIVER TOWNSHIP 1	602	58	10%	1005	6284	16%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 2	606	107	18%	1112	6890	16%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 2	609	117	19%	1229	7499	16%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 3	628	67	11%	1296	8127	16%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 2	642	86	13%	1382	8769	16%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 6	658	67	10%	1449	9427	15%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 1	660	104	16%	1553	10087	15%
MUSKEGON CITY 1 4	663	105	16%	1658	10750	15%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 1	680	115	17%	1773	11430	16%
MUSKEGON CITY 2 7	685	126	18%	1899	12115	16%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 1	696	79	11%	1978	12811	15%
ROOSEVELT PARK CITY 2	699	103	15%	2081	13510	15%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 9	703	105	15%	2186	14213	15%
HOLTON TOWNSHIP 1	705	128	18%	2314	14918	16%
WHITEHALL TOWNSHIP 1	715	103	14%	2417	15633	15%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 1	723	80	11%	2497	16356	15%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 5	735	141	19%	2638	17091	15%
BLUE LAKE TOWNSHIP 1	753	70	9%	2708	17844	15%
MUSKEGON HEIGHTS CITY 4	756	80	11%	2788	18600	15%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 14	760	79	10%	2867	19360	15%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 1	775	98	13%	2965	20135	15%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 3	776	117	15%	3082	20911	15%
CASNOVIA TOWNSHIP 1	776	135	17%	3217	21687	15%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 11	783	118	15%	3335	22470	15%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 13	800	103	13%	3438	23270	15%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 6	838	110	13%	3548	24108	15%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 1	874	142	16%	3690	24982	15%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 4	876	91	10%	3781	25858	15%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 4	886	94	11%	3875	26744	14%
MUSKEGON CITY 3 10	891	143	16%	4018	27635	15%
SULLIVAN TOWNSHIP 1	891	95	11%	4113	28526	14%
MONTAGUE CITY 1	933	94	10%	4207	29459	14%
MUSKEGON CITY 4 12	937	87	9%	4294	30396	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 2	939	125	13%	4419	31335	14%
NORTH MUSKEGON CITY 2	940	101	11%	4520	32275	14%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 3	954	89	9%	4609	33229	14%
CEDAR CREEK TOWNSHIP 1	960	199	21%	4808	34189	14%
RAVENNA TOWNSHIP 1	965	216	22%	5024	35154	14%
DALTON TOWNSHIP 1	980	117	12%	5141	36134	14%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 3	1005	129	13%	5270	37139	14%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 3	1009	118	12%	5388	38148	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 8	1030	101	10%	5489	39178	14%
WHITEHALL CITY 1	1032	102	10%	5591	40210	14%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 2	1035	175	17%	5766	41245	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 9	1035	154	15%	5920	42280	14%
MUSKEGON TOWNSHIP 4	1054	154	15%	6074	43334	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 1 5	1071	104	10%	6178	44405	14%
FRUITLAND TOWNSHIP 1	1084	137	13%	6315	45489	14%
EGELSTON TOWNSHIP 2	1130	240	21%	6555	46619	14%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 2	1175	178	15%	6733	47794	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 7	1181	96	8%	6829	48975	14%
NORTON SHORES CITY 2 10	1216	76	6%	6905	50191	14%
LAKETON TOWNSHIP 2	1244	111	9%	7016	51435	14%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 1	1279	134	10%	7150	52714	14%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 3	1292	213	16%	7363	54006	14%
FRUITPORT TOWNSHIP 4	1370	133	10%	7496	55376	14%

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	JOAN LARSEN	DEBORAH THOMAS	KERRY L. MORGAN
1	30.1%	0%	41.8%	55.2%
2	17.6%	19.4%	47.8%	4.5%
3	12.5%	16.4%	4.5%	0%
4	9.7%	16.4%	3%	0%
5	7.9%	14.9%	0%	1.5%
6	6.7%	20.9%	0%	6%
7	5.8%	3%	0%	10.4%
8	5.1%	6%	0%	9%
9	4.6%	3%	3%	13.4%

Michigan

ALL votes from Muskegon County.Precincts added in order of number of votes.

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Benford's Law Analysis

Show Data

Detailed Data

Data

Data

Data

ALL votes from Muskegon County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.