2016, November 8 – Supreme Court Justice 1

Michigan

ALL votes from Calhoun County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 41,791 Precincts (polling places): 62 Average voters per precinct: 674 Votes in median precinct: 597
Voting Machine: ES&S+Sequoia AutoMARK+Optech Insight Ballot Marking Device or System+Optical Scan

Data from: Michigan Secretary of State

deltaM = 5.7%
deltaMxV = 2,394

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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Detailed Data

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DAVID VIVIANO (R): Percent of votes: 71.07%, Total votes: 29701 out of 41791

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	230	150	65%	150	230	65%
ALBION CITY 2	257	170	66%	320	487	66%
ALBION CITY 4	282	176	62%	496	769	64%
ALBION CITY 1	334	195	58%	691	1103	63%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	355	237	67%	928	1458	64%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	358	212	59%	1140	1816	63%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	361	217	60%	1357	2177	62%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	370	289	78%	1646	2547	65%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	399	321	80%	1967	2946	67%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	409	277	68%	2244	3355	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	414	310	75%	2554	3769	68%
ALBION CITY 3	430	282	66%	2836	4199	68%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	438	275	63%	3111	4637	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	446	282	63%	3393	5083	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	452	289	64%	3682	5535	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	466	309	66%	3991	6001	67%
ALBION CITY 5	468	314	67%	4305	6469	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	312	63%	4617	6967	66%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	513	371	72%	4988	7480	67%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	516	380	74%	5368	7996	67%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	520	342	66%	5710	8516	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	352	68%	6062	9036	67%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	523	369	71%	6431	9559	67%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	527	320	61%	6751	10086	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	555	389	70%	7140	10641	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	559	406	73%	7546	11200	67%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	560	390	70%	7936	11760	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	575	372	65%	8308	12335	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	375	65%	8683	12915	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	592	375	63%	9058	13507	67%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	597	410	69%	9468	14104	67%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	601	434	72%	9902	14705	67%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	605	407	67%	10309	15310	67%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	618	431	70%	10740	15928	67%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	642	430	67%	11170	16570	67%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	675	496	73%	11666	17245	68%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	702	467	67%	12133	17947	68%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	713	514	72%	12647	18660	68%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	737	479	65%	13126	19397	68%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	740	524	71%	13650	20137	68%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	753	535	71%	14185	20890	68%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	762	517	68%	14702	21652	68%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	767	544	71%	15246	22419	68%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	773	627	81%	15873	23192	68%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	797	562	71%	16435	23989	69%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	806	576	71%	17011	24795	69%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	817	590	72%	17601	25612	69%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	857	548	64%	18149	26469	69%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	861	629	73%	18778	27330	69%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	866	639	74%	19417	28196	69%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	881	618	70%	20035	29077	69%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	906	716	79%	20751	29983	69%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1067	865	81%	21616	31050	70%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1076	862	80%	22478	32126	70%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1101	804	73%	23282	33227	70%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1107	871	79%	24153	34334	70%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1178	878	75%	25031	35512	70%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1182	934	79%	25965	36694	71%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1191	830	70%	26795	37885	71%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1257	950	76%	27745	39142	71%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1280	1035	81%	28780	40422	71%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1369	921	67%	29701	41791	71%

FRANK SZYMANSKI (D): Percent of votes: 16.8%, Total votes: 7019 out of 41791

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	230	59	26%	59	230	26%
ALBION CITY 2	257	58	23%	117	487	24%
ALBION CITY 4	282	61	22%	178	769	23%
ALBION CITY 1	334	80	24%	258	1103	23%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	355	84	24%	342	1458	23%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	358	84	23%	426	1816	23%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	361	69	19%	495	2177	23%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	370	34	9%	529	2547	21%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	399	36	9%	565	2946	19%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	409	61	15%	626	3355	19%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	414	48	12%	674	3769	18%
ALBION CITY 3	430	83	19%	757	4199	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	438	73	17%	830	4637	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	446	63	14%	893	5083	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	452	80	18%	973	5535	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	466	80	17%	1053	6001	18%
ALBION CITY 5	468	117	25%	1170	6469	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	95	19%	1265	6967	18%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	513	101	20%	1366	7480	18%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	516	112	22%	1478	7996	18%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	520	78	15%	1556	8516	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	114	22%	1670	9036	18%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	523	72	14%	1742	9559	18%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	527	83	16%	1825	10086	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	555	109	20%	1934	10641	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	559	120	21%	2054	11200	18%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	560	126	23%	2180	11760	19%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	575	72	13%	2252	12335	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	114	20%	2366	12915	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	592	134	23%	2500	13507	19%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	597	121	20%	2621	14104	19%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	601	85	14%	2706	14705	18%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	605	135	22%	2841	15310	19%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	618	82	13%	2923	15928	18%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	642	83	13%	3006	16570	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	675	114	17%	3120	17245	18%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	702	97	14%	3217	17947	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	713	140	20%	3357	18660	18%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	737	190	26%	3547	19397	18%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	740	166	22%	3713	20137	18%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	753	144	19%	3857	20890	18%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	762	181	24%	4038	21652	19%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	767	119	16%	4157	22419	19%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	773	67	9%	4224	23192	18%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	797	99	12%	4323	23989	18%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	806	104	13%	4427	24795	18%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	817	160	20%	4587	25612	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	857	142	17%	4729	26469	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	861	194	23%	4923	27330	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	866	167	19%	5090	28196	18%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	881	181	21%	5271	29077	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	906	106	12%	5377	29983	18%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1067	95	9%	5472	31050	18%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1076	127	12%	5599	32126	17%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1101	169	15%	5768	33227	17%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1107	128	12%	5896	34334	17%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1178	231	20%	6127	35512	17%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1182	116	10%	6243	36694	17%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1191	166	14%	6409	37885	17%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1257	175	14%	6584	39142	17%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1280	138	11%	6722	40422	17%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1369	297	22%	7019	41791	17%

DOUG DERN (I): Percent of votes: 12.13%, Total votes: 5071 out of 41791

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
ALBION CITY 6	230	21	9%	21	230	9%
ALBION CITY 2	257	29	11%	50	487	10%
ALBION CITY 4	282	45	16%	95	769	12%
ALBION CITY 1	334	59	18%	154	1103	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 11	355	34	10%	188	1458	13%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 19	358	62	17%	250	1816	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 7	361	75	21%	325	2177	15%
CLARENDON TOWNSHIP 1	370	47	13%	372	2547	15%
LEE TOWNSHIP 1	399	42	11%	414	2946	14%
ALBION TOWNSHIP 1	409	71	17%	485	3355	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 9	414	56	14%	541	3769	14%
ALBION CITY 3	430	65	15%	606	4199	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 18	438	90	21%	696	4637	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 12	446	101	23%	797	5083	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 1	452	83	18%	880	5535	16%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 4	466	77	17%	957	6001	16%
ALBION CITY 5	468	37	8%	994	6469	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 13	498	91	18%	1085	6967	16%
TEKONSHA TOWNSHIP 1	513	41	8%	1126	7480	15%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 2	516	24	5%	1150	7996	14%
CONVIS TOWNSHIP 1	520	100	19%	1250	8516	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 17	520	54	10%	1304	9036	14%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 2	523	82	16%	1386	9559	14%
SHERIDAN TOWNSHIP 1	527	124	24%	1510	10086	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 2	555	57	10%	1567	10641	15%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 14	559	33	6%	1600	11200	14%
ECKFORD TOWNSHIP 1	560	44	8%	1644	11760	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 21	575	131	23%	1775	12335	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 22	580	91	16%	1866	12915	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 16	592	83	14%	1949	13507	14%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3	597	66	11%	2015	14104	14%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 1	601	82	14%	2097	14705	14%
SPRINGFIELD CITY 1	605	63	10%	2160	15310	14%
FREDONIA TOWNSHIP 1	618	105	17%	2265	15928	14%
BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP 1	642	129	20%	2394	16570	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 15	675	65	10%	2459	17245	14%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2	702	138	20%	2597	17947	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 23	713	59	8%	2656	18660	14%
HOMER TOWNSHIP 1	737	68	9%	2724	19397	14%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 2	740	50	7%	2774	20137	14%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 3	753	74	10%	2848	20890	14%
CLARENCE TOWNSHIP 1	762	64	8%	2912	21652	13%
MARSHALL TOWNSHIP 1	767	104	14%	3016	22419	13%
MARENGO TOWNSHIP 1	773	79	10%	3095	23192	13%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4	797	136	17%	3231	23989	13%
LEROY TOWNSHIP 1	806	126	16%	3357	24795	14%
ATHENS TOWNSHIP 1	817	67	8%	3424	25612	13%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 10	857	167	19%	3591	26469	14%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 5	861	38	4%	3629	27330	13%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 20	866	60	7%	3689	28196	13%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 2	881	82	9%	3771	29077	13%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 3	906	84	9%	3855	29983	13%
NEWTON TOWNSHIP 1	1067	107	10%	3962	31050	13%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 6	1076	87	8%	4049	32126	13%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 2	1101	128	12%	4177	33227	13%
BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1	1107	108	10%	4285	34334	12%
BATTLE CREEK CITY 8	1178	69	6%	4354	35512	12%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 3	1182	132	11%	4486	36694	12%
PENNFIELD TOWNSHIP 1	1191	195	16%	4681	37885	12%
MARSHALL CITY 1	1257	132	11%	4813	39142	12%
EMMETT TOWNSHIP 4	1280	107	8%	4920	40422	12%
MARSHALL CITY 2	1369	151	11%	5071	41791	12%

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	DAVID VIVIANO	FRANK SZYMANSKI	DOUG DERN
1	30.1%	8.1%	51.6%	30.6%
2	17.6%	14.5%	3.2%	4.8%
3	12.5%	25.8%	3.2%	6.5%
4	9.7%	14.5%	1.6%	8.1%
5	7.9%	14.5%	3.2%	9.7%
6	6.7%	6.5%	8.1%	16.1%
7	5.8%	1.6%	6.5%	8.1%
8	5.1%	9.7%	16.1%	11.3%
9	4.6%	4.8%	6.5%	4.8%

Michigan

ALL votes from Calhoun County.Precincts added in order of number of votes.

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Benford's Law Analysis

Show Data

Detailed Data

Data

Data

Data

ALL votes from Calhoun County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.