Michigan
ALL votes from Monroe County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 49,192 Precincts (polling places): 63 Average voters per precinct: 781 Votes in median precinct: 800Voting Machine: ES&S+Premier/Diebold AutoMARK+AccuVote OS Ballot Marking Device or System+Optical Scan
Data from: Michigan Secretary of State
deltaM = 4.7%deltaMxV = 2,307
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for DAVID VIVIANO
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for FRANK SZYMANSKI
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for DOUG DERN
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | DAVID VIVIANO | FRANK SZYMANSKI | DOUG DERN |
1 | 30.1% | 0% | 66.7% | 19% |
2 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 27% | 0% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
4 | 9.7% | 19% | 0% | 11.1% |
5 | 7.9% | 23.8% | 1.6% | 17.5% |
6 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 0% | 7.9% |
7 | 5.8% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 19% |
8 | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0% | 9.5% |
9 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0% | 14.3% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDAVID VIVIANO (R): Percent of votes: 67.04%, Total votes: 32977 out of 49192
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 357 | 206 | 58% | 206 | 357 | 58% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 378 | 246 | 65% | 452 | 735 | 61% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 439 | 327 | 74% | 779 | 1174 | 66% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 449 | 255 | 57% | 1034 | 1623 | 64% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 462 | 271 | 59% | 1305 | 2085 | 63% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 462 | 283 | 61% | 1588 | 2547 | 62% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 529 | 309 | 58% | 1897 | 3076 | 62% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 533 | 340 | 64% | 2237 | 3609 | 62% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 544 | 345 | 63% | 2582 | 4153 | 62% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 548 | 357 | 65% | 2939 | 4701 | 63% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 557 | 358 | 64% | 3297 | 5258 | 63% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 586 | 423 | 72% | 3720 | 5844 | 64% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 590 | 378 | 64% | 4098 | 6434 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 596 | 346 | 58% | 4444 | 7030 | 63% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 601 | 391 | 65% | 4835 | 7631 | 63% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 644 | 423 | 66% | 5258 | 8275 | 64% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 650 | 387 | 60% | 5645 | 8925 | 63% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 651 | 437 | 67% | 6082 | 9576 | 64% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 656 | 470 | 72% | 6552 | 10232 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 662 | 390 | 59% | 6942 | 10894 | 64% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 675 | 445 | 66% | 7387 | 11569 | 64% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 680 | 428 | 63% | 7815 | 12249 | 64% | MILAN CITY 1 | 694 | 457 | 66% | 8272 | 12943 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 714 | 423 | 59% | 8695 | 13657 | 64% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 716 | 467 | 65% | 9162 | 14373 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 739 | 501 | 68% | 9663 | 15112 | 64% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 753 | 492 | 65% | 10155 | 15865 | 64% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 774 | 519 | 67% | 10674 | 16639 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 787 | 534 | 68% | 11208 | 17426 | 64% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 798 | 491 | 62% | 11699 | 18224 | 64% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 542 | 68% | 12241 | 19024 | 64% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 803 | 531 | 66% | 12772 | 19827 | 64% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 803 | 610 | 76% | 13382 | 20630 | 65% | MONROE CITY 2 | 812 | 501 | 62% | 13883 | 21442 | 65% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 815 | 540 | 66% | 14423 | 22257 | 65% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 816 | 563 | 69% | 14986 | 23073 | 65% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 823 | 538 | 65% | 15524 | 23896 | 65% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 827 | 585 | 71% | 16109 | 24723 | 65% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 828 | 568 | 69% | 16677 | 25551 | 65% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 831 | 586 | 71% | 17263 | 26382 | 65% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 836 | 566 | 68% | 17829 | 27218 | 66% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 842 | 543 | 64% | 18372 | 28060 | 65% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 852 | 526 | 62% | 18898 | 28912 | 65% | MONROE CITY 3 | 368 | 252 | 68% | 19150 | 29280 | 65% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 872 | 499 | 57% | 19649 | 30152 | 65% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 874 | 661 | 76% | 20310 | 31026 | 65% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 908 | 615 | 68% | 20925 | 31934 | 66% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 911 | 629 | 69% | 21554 | 32845 | 66% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 915 | 681 | 74% | 22235 | 33760 | 66% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 948 | 692 | 73% | 22927 | 34708 | 66% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 964 | 613 | 64% | 23540 | 35672 | 66% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 979 | 738 | 75% | 24278 | 36651 | 66% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 993 | 663 | 67% | 24941 | 37644 | 66% | MONROE CITY 1 | 1010 | 710 | 70% | 25651 | 38654 | 66% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 1025 | 645 | 63% | 26296 | 39679 | 66% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1041 | 765 | 73% | 27061 | 40720 | 66% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1091 | 817 | 75% | 27878 | 41811 | 67% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1119 | 737 | 66% | 28615 | 42930 | 67% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1140 | 881 | 77% | 29496 | 44070 | 67% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1170 | 768 | 66% | 30264 | 45240 | 67% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1270 | 799 | 63% | 31063 | 46510 | 67% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1297 | 968 | 75% | 32031 | 47807 | 67% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1385 | 946 | 68% | 32977 | 49192 | 67% |
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FRANK SZYMANSKI (D): Percent of votes: 22.98%, Total votes: 11302 out of 49192
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 357 | 101 | 28% | 101 | 357 | 28% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 378 | 100 | 26% | 201 | 735 | 27% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 439 | 72 | 16% | 273 | 1174 | 23% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 449 | 134 | 30% | 407 | 1623 | 25% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 462 | 112 | 24% | 519 | 2085 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 462 | 134 | 29% | 653 | 2547 | 26% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 529 | 163 | 31% | 816 | 3076 | 27% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 533 | 120 | 23% | 936 | 3609 | 26% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 544 | 158 | 29% | 1094 | 4153 | 26% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 548 | 142 | 26% | 1236 | 4701 | 26% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 557 | 129 | 23% | 1365 | 5258 | 26% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 586 | 104 | 18% | 1469 | 5844 | 25% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 590 | 154 | 26% | 1623 | 6434 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 596 | 176 | 30% | 1799 | 7030 | 26% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 601 | 151 | 25% | 1950 | 7631 | 26% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 644 | 130 | 20% | 2080 | 8275 | 25% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 650 | 174 | 27% | 2254 | 8925 | 25% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 651 | 165 | 25% | 2419 | 9576 | 25% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 656 | 116 | 18% | 2535 | 10232 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 662 | 180 | 27% | 2715 | 10894 | 25% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 675 | 143 | 21% | 2858 | 11569 | 25% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 680 | 146 | 21% | 3004 | 12249 | 25% | MILAN CITY 1 | 694 | 183 | 26% | 3187 | 12943 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 714 | 247 | 35% | 3434 | 13657 | 25% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 716 | 168 | 23% | 3602 | 14373 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 739 | 168 | 23% | 3770 | 15112 | 25% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 753 | 165 | 22% | 3935 | 15865 | 25% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 774 | 200 | 26% | 4135 | 16639 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 787 | 167 | 21% | 4302 | 17426 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 798 | 264 | 33% | 4566 | 18224 | 25% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 185 | 23% | 4751 | 19024 | 25% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 803 | 201 | 25% | 4952 | 19827 | 25% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 803 | 128 | 16% | 5080 | 20630 | 25% | MONROE CITY 2 | 812 | 211 | 26% | 5291 | 21442 | 25% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 815 | 202 | 25% | 5493 | 22257 | 25% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 816 | 199 | 24% | 5692 | 23073 | 25% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 823 | 176 | 21% | 5868 | 23896 | 25% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 827 | 190 | 23% | 6058 | 24723 | 25% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 828 | 159 | 19% | 6217 | 25551 | 24% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 831 | 183 | 22% | 6400 | 26382 | 24% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 836 | 208 | 25% | 6608 | 27218 | 24% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 842 | 204 | 24% | 6812 | 28060 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 852 | 272 | 32% | 7084 | 28912 | 25% | MONROE CITY 3 | 368 | 57 | 15% | 7141 | 29280 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 872 | 258 | 30% | 7399 | 30152 | 25% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 874 | 138 | 16% | 7537 | 31026 | 24% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 908 | 194 | 21% | 7731 | 31934 | 24% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 911 | 210 | 23% | 7941 | 32845 | 24% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 915 | 145 | 16% | 8086 | 33760 | 24% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 948 | 166 | 18% | 8252 | 34708 | 24% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 964 | 198 | 21% | 8450 | 35672 | 24% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 979 | 157 | 16% | 8607 | 36651 | 23% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 993 | 265 | 27% | 8872 | 37644 | 24% | MONROE CITY 1 | 1010 | 199 | 20% | 9071 | 38654 | 23% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 1025 | 289 | 28% | 9360 | 39679 | 24% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1041 | 176 | 17% | 9536 | 40720 | 23% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1091 | 201 | 18% | 9737 | 41811 | 23% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1119 | 255 | 23% | 9992 | 42930 | 23% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1140 | 146 | 13% | 10138 | 44070 | 23% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1170 | 276 | 24% | 10414 | 45240 | 23% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1270 | 309 | 24% | 10723 | 46510 | 23% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1297 | 234 | 18% | 10957 | 47807 | 23% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1385 | 345 | 25% | 11302 | 49192 | 23% |
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DOUG DERN (I): Percent of votes: 9.99%, Total votes: 4913 out of 49192
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PETERSBURG CITY 1 | 357 | 50 | 14% | 50 | 357 | 14% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 9 | 378 | 32 | 8% | 82 | 735 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 1 | 439 | 40 | 9% | 122 | 1174 | 10% | LUNA PIER CITY 1 | 449 | 60 | 13% | 182 | 1623 | 11% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 2 | 462 | 79 | 17% | 261 | 2085 | 13% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 462 | 45 | 10% | 306 | 2547 | 12% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 9 | 529 | 57 | 11% | 363 | 3076 | 12% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 2 | 533 | 73 | 14% | 436 | 3609 | 12% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 10 | 544 | 41 | 8% | 477 | 4153 | 11% | MILAN TOWNSHIP 1 | 548 | 49 | 9% | 526 | 4701 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 2 | 557 | 70 | 13% | 596 | 5258 | 11% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 3 | 586 | 59 | 10% | 655 | 5844 | 11% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 3 | 590 | 58 | 10% | 713 | 6434 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 12 | 596 | 74 | 12% | 787 | 7030 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 14 | 601 | 59 | 10% | 846 | 7631 | 11% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 3 | 644 | 91 | 14% | 937 | 8275 | 11% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 650 | 89 | 14% | 1026 | 8925 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 3 | 651 | 49 | 8% | 1075 | 9576 | 11% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 1 | 656 | 70 | 11% | 1145 | 10232 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 3 | 662 | 92 | 14% | 1237 | 10894 | 11% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 1 | 675 | 87 | 13% | 1324 | 11569 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 5 | 680 | 106 | 16% | 1430 | 12249 | 12% | MILAN CITY 1 | 694 | 54 | 8% | 1484 | 12943 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 13 | 714 | 44 | 6% | 1528 | 13657 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 8 | 716 | 81 | 11% | 1609 | 14373 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 2 | 739 | 70 | 9% | 1679 | 15112 | 11% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 1 | 753 | 96 | 13% | 1775 | 15865 | 11% | ERIE TOWNSHIP 1 | 774 | 55 | 7% | 1830 | 16639 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 5 | 787 | 86 | 11% | 1916 | 17426 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 7 | 798 | 43 | 5% | 1959 | 18224 | 11% | WHITEFORD TOWNSHIP 1 | 800 | 73 | 9% | 2032 | 19024 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 6 | 803 | 71 | 9% | 2103 | 19827 | 11% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 4 | 803 | 65 | 8% | 2168 | 20630 | 11% | MONROE CITY 2 | 812 | 100 | 12% | 2268 | 21442 | 11% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 8 | 815 | 73 | 9% | 2341 | 22257 | 11% | EXETER TOWNSHIP 2 | 816 | 54 | 7% | 2395 | 23073 | 10% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 4 | 823 | 109 | 13% | 2504 | 23896 | 10% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 6 | 827 | 52 | 6% | 2556 | 24723 | 10% | ASH TOWNSHIP 3 | 828 | 101 | 12% | 2657 | 25551 | 10% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 831 | 62 | 7% | 2719 | 26382 | 10% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 1 | 836 | 62 | 7% | 2781 | 27218 | 10% | IDA TOWNSHIP 2 | 842 | 95 | 11% | 2876 | 28060 | 10% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 4 | 852 | 54 | 6% | 2930 | 28912 | 10% | MONROE CITY 3 | 368 | 59 | 16% | 2989 | 29280 | 10% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 6 | 872 | 115 | 13% | 3104 | 30152 | 10% | IDA TOWNSHIP 1 | 874 | 75 | 9% | 3179 | 31026 | 10% | BEDFORD TOWNSHIP 11 | 908 | 99 | 11% | 3278 | 31934 | 10% | ASH TOWNSHIP 1 | 911 | 72 | 8% | 3350 | 32845 | 10% | DUNDEE TOWNSHIP 2 | 915 | 89 | 10% | 3439 | 33760 | 10% | ASH TOWNSHIP 2 | 948 | 90 | 9% | 3529 | 34708 | 10% | LONDON TOWNSHIP 1 | 964 | 153 | 16% | 3682 | 35672 | 10% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 4 | 979 | 84 | 9% | 3766 | 36651 | 10% | BERLIN TOWNSHIP 2 | 993 | 65 | 7% | 3831 | 37644 | 10% | MONROE CITY 1 | 1010 | 101 | 10% | 3932 | 38654 | 10% | SUMMERFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 | 1025 | 91 | 9% | 4023 | 39679 | 10% | LA SALLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1041 | 100 | 10% | 4123 | 40720 | 10% | MONROE CITY 6 | 1091 | 73 | 7% | 4196 | 41811 | 10% | MONROE TOWNSHIP 5 | 1119 | 127 | 11% | 4323 | 42930 | 10% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 1 | 1140 | 113 | 10% | 4436 | 44070 | 10% | RAISINVILLE TOWNSHIP 2 | 1170 | 126 | 11% | 4562 | 45240 | 10% | MONROE CITY 4 | 1270 | 162 | 13% | 4724 | 46510 | 10% | FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP 7 | 1297 | 95 | 7% | 4819 | 47807 | 10% | MONROE CITY 5 | 1385 | 94 | 7% | 4913 | 49192 | 10% |
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