2010, November 2 – Court of Appeals Judge

North Carolina

ELECTION DAY votes from Cumberland County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 28,734 Precincts (polling places): 73 Average voters per precinct: 394 Votes in median precinct: 377
Voting Machine:

deltaM = 0.6%
deltaMxV = 171

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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Detailed Data

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Rick Elmore (D): Percent of votes: 54.31%, Total votes: 15604 out of 28734

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
TRANSFER	62	31	50%	31	62	50%
CC19_CROSS CREEK #19	146	83	57%	114	208	55%
CC03_CROSS CREEK #03	144	73	51%	187	352	53%
G11B_MANCHESTER-G11	179	80	45%	267	531	50%
G3B_CROSS CREEK #11-G3	197	117	59%	384	728	53%
G4C_PEARCES MILL #4-G4	171	99	58%	483	899	54%
CC32_CROSS CREEK #32	210	109	52%	592	1109	53%
CC24_CROSS CREEK #24	210	91	43%	683	1319	52%
CC07_CROSS CREEK #07	216	127	59%	810	1535	53%
G6B_BEAVER DAM-G6	248	115	46%	925	1783	52%
CC04_CROSS CREEK #04	226	139	62%	1064	2009	53%
CC10_CROSS CREEK #10	229	127	55%	1191	2238	53%
CC06_CROSS CREEK #06	255	138	54%	1329	2493	53%
CC01_CROSS CREEK #01	223	148	66%	1477	2716	54%
G7B_WADE-G7	280	138	49%	1615	2996	54%
G3C_PEARCES MILL #3-G3	239	141	59%	1756	3235	54%
G7A_BLACK RIVER-G7	315	168	53%	1924	3550	54%
CC13_CROSS CREEK #13	275	161	59%	2085	3825	55%
MB62_MONTIBELLO	279	147	53%	2232	4104	54%
G4A_CROSS CREEK #30-G4	316	166	53%	2398	4420	54%
CC05_CROSS CREEK #05	277	158	57%	2556	4697	54%
G1A_CROSS CREEK #02-G1	316	191	60%	2747	5013	55%
G8B_CUMBERLAND #1A-G8	278	126	45%	2873	5291	54%
G4B_CROSS CREEK #20-G4	390	208	53%	3081	5681	54%
G8C_CUMBERLAND #3-G8	300	174	58%	3255	5981	54%
CC31_CROSS CREEK #31	358	187	52%	3442	6339	54%
CC08_CROSS CREEK #08	358	216	60%	3658	6697	55%
CC29_CROSS CREEK #29	380	202	53%	3860	7077	55%
CC25_CROSS CREEK #25	340	166	49%	4026	7417	54%
CU02_CUMBERLAND #2	405	217	54%	4243	7822	54%
G6C_CEDAR CREEK-G6	442	245	55%	4488	8264	54%
CC18_CROSS CREEK #18	358	198	55%	4686	8622	54%
CC16_CROSS CREEK #16	299	201	67%	4887	8921	55%
G5C_BRENTWOOD-G5	377	190	50%	5077	9298	55%
SH77_SHERWOOD	409	236	58%	5313	9707	55%
EO61-2_EASTOVER #2	458	254	55%	5567	10165	55%
CC17_CROSS CREEK #17	386	191	49%	5758	10551	55%
G10B_HOPE MILLS #4-G10	379	228	60%	5986	10930	55%
MR02_MORGANTON RD #2	393	178	45%	6164	11323	54%
CC27_CROSS CREEK #27	399	187	47%	6351	11722	54%
CC12_CROSS CREEK #12	463	286	62%	6637	12185	54%
CC34_CROSS CREEK #34	454	230	51%	6867	12639	54%
CC33_CROSS CREEK #33	414	234	57%	7101	13053	54%
G8D_HOPE MILLS #1A-G8	341	193	57%	7294	13394	54%
G10C_STONEY POINT #1-G10	355	184	52%	7478	13749	54%
G9A_HOPE MILLS #3-G9	447	239	53%	7717	14196	54%
CC26_CROSS CREEK #26	455	255	56%	7972	14651	54%
G8A_CUMBERLAND #4-G8	465	224	48%	8196	15116	54%
AH49_ARRAN HILLS	484	254	52%	8450	15600	54%
CC15_CROSS CREEK #15	528	281	53%	8731	16128	54%
CC21_CROSS CREEK #21	530	280	53%	9011	16658	54%
LR63_LAKE RIM	516	248	48%	9259	17174	54%
CC14_CROSS CREEK #14	581	330	57%	9589	17755	54%
EO61-1_EASTOVER #1	633	353	56%	9942	18388	54%
G11A_SPRING LAKE-G11	685	381	56%	10323	19073	54%
LI65_LINDEN	545	340	62%	10663	19618	54%
G6A_STEDMAN-G6	759	366	48%	11029	20377	54%
G2E_WESTAREA-G2	547	339	62%	11368	20924	54%
G2B_CROSS CREEK #22-G2	520	321	62%	11689	21444	55%
G10A_STONEY POINT #2-G10	553	289	52%	11978	21997	54%
G1B_JUDSON-VANDER-G1	692	373	54%	12351	22689	54%
G2D_LONGHILL-G2	540	293	54%	12644	23229	54%
G2A_CROSS CREEK #09-G2	548	344	63%	12988	23777	55%
G3A_PEARCES MILL #2-G3	756	437	58%	13425	24533	55%
G5B_CROSS CREEK #28-G5	600	291	49%	13716	25133	55%
G5A_AUMAN-G5	626	313	50%	14029	25759	54%
AL51_ALDERMAN	802	416	52%	14445	26561	54%
CL57_CLIFFDALE WEST	749	386	52%	14831	27310	54%
G9B_HOPE MILLS #2-G9	741	418	56%	15249	28051	54%
G2C_CROSS CREEK #23-G2	683	355	52%	15604	28734	54%

Steven Walker (R): Percent of votes: 45.69%, Total votes: 13130 out of 28734

Data

Precinct	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Cumulative	Cumulative Total	Cumulative Pct
TRANSFER	62	31	50%	31	62	50%
CC19_CROSS CREEK #19	146	63	43%	94	208	45%
CC03_CROSS CREEK #03	144	71	49%	165	352	47%
G11B_MANCHESTER-G11	179	99	55%	264	531	50%
G3B_CROSS CREEK #11-G3	197	80	41%	344	728	47%
G4C_PEARCES MILL #4-G4	171	72	42%	416	899	46%
CC32_CROSS CREEK #32	210	101	48%	517	1109	47%
CC24_CROSS CREEK #24	210	119	57%	636	1319	48%
CC07_CROSS CREEK #07	216	89	41%	725	1535	47%
G6B_BEAVER DAM-G6	248	133	54%	858	1783	48%
CC04_CROSS CREEK #04	226	87	38%	945	2009	47%
CC10_CROSS CREEK #10	229	102	45%	1047	2238	47%
CC06_CROSS CREEK #06	255	117	46%	1164	2493	47%
CC01_CROSS CREEK #01	223	75	34%	1239	2716	46%
G7B_WADE-G7	280	142	51%	1381	2996	46%
G3C_PEARCES MILL #3-G3	239	98	41%	1479	3235	46%
G7A_BLACK RIVER-G7	315	147	47%	1626	3550	46%
CC13_CROSS CREEK #13	275	114	41%	1740	3825	45%
MB62_MONTIBELLO	279	132	47%	1872	4104	46%
G4A_CROSS CREEK #30-G4	316	150	47%	2022	4420	46%
CC05_CROSS CREEK #05	277	119	43%	2141	4697	46%
G1A_CROSS CREEK #02-G1	316	125	40%	2266	5013	45%
G8B_CUMBERLAND #1A-G8	278	152	55%	2418	5291	46%
G4B_CROSS CREEK #20-G4	390	182	47%	2600	5681	46%
G8C_CUMBERLAND #3-G8	300	126	42%	2726	5981	46%
CC31_CROSS CREEK #31	358	171	48%	2897	6339	46%
CC08_CROSS CREEK #08	358	142	40%	3039	6697	45%
CC29_CROSS CREEK #29	380	178	47%	3217	7077	45%
CC25_CROSS CREEK #25	340	174	51%	3391	7417	46%
CU02_CUMBERLAND #2	405	188	46%	3579	7822	46%
G6C_CEDAR CREEK-G6	442	197	45%	3776	8264	46%
CC18_CROSS CREEK #18	358	160	45%	3936	8622	46%
CC16_CROSS CREEK #16	299	98	33%	4034	8921	45%
G5C_BRENTWOOD-G5	377	187	50%	4221	9298	45%
SH77_SHERWOOD	409	173	42%	4394	9707	45%
EO61-2_EASTOVER #2	458	204	45%	4598	10165	45%
CC17_CROSS CREEK #17	386	195	51%	4793	10551	45%
G10B_HOPE MILLS #4-G10	379	151	40%	4944	10930	45%
MR02_MORGANTON RD #2	393	215	55%	5159	11323	46%
CC27_CROSS CREEK #27	399	212	53%	5371	11722	46%
CC12_CROSS CREEK #12	463	177	38%	5548	12185	46%
CC34_CROSS CREEK #34	454	224	49%	5772	12639	46%
CC33_CROSS CREEK #33	414	180	43%	5952	13053	46%
G8D_HOPE MILLS #1A-G8	341	148	43%	6100	13394	46%
G10C_STONEY POINT #1-G10	355	171	48%	6271	13749	46%
G9A_HOPE MILLS #3-G9	447	208	47%	6479	14196	46%
CC26_CROSS CREEK #26	455	200	44%	6679	14651	46%
G8A_CUMBERLAND #4-G8	465	241	52%	6920	15116	46%
AH49_ARRAN HILLS	484	230	48%	7150	15600	46%
CC15_CROSS CREEK #15	528	247	47%	7397	16128	46%
CC21_CROSS CREEK #21	530	250	47%	7647	16658	46%
LR63_LAKE RIM	516	268	52%	7915	17174	46%
CC14_CROSS CREEK #14	581	251	43%	8166	17755	46%
EO61-1_EASTOVER #1	633	280	44%	8446	18388	46%
G11A_SPRING LAKE-G11	685	304	44%	8750	19073	46%
LI65_LINDEN	545	205	38%	8955	19618	46%
G6A_STEDMAN-G6	759	393	52%	9348	20377	46%
G2E_WESTAREA-G2	547	208	38%	9556	20924	46%
G2B_CROSS CREEK #22-G2	520	199	38%	9755	21444	45%
G10A_STONEY POINT #2-G10	553	264	48%	10019	21997	46%
G1B_JUDSON-VANDER-G1	692	319	46%	10338	22689	46%
G2D_LONGHILL-G2	540	247	46%	10585	23229	46%
G2A_CROSS CREEK #09-G2	548	204	37%	10789	23777	45%
G3A_PEARCES MILL #2-G3	756	319	42%	11108	24533	45%
G5B_CROSS CREEK #28-G5	600	309	52%	11417	25133	45%
G5A_AUMAN-G5	626	313	50%	11730	25759	46%
AL51_ALDERMAN	802	386	48%	12116	26561	46%
CL57_CLIFFDALE WEST	749	363	48%	12479	27310	46%
G9B_HOPE MILLS #2-G9	741	323	44%	12802	28051	46%
G2C_CROSS CREEK #23-G2	683	328	48%	13130	28734	46%

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	Rick Elmore	Steven Walker
1	30.1%	38.6%	44.3%
2	17.6%	31.4%	25.7%
3	12.5%	18.6%	15.7%
4	9.7%	4.3%	0%
5	7.9%	0%	0%
6	6.7%	0%	1.4%
7	5.8%	1.4%	4.3%
8	5.1%	2.9%	4.3%
9	4.6%	2.9%	4.3%

North Carolina

ELECTION DAY votes from Cumberland County.Precincts added in order of number of votes.

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Benford's Law Analysis

Show Data

Detailed Data

Data

Data

ELECTION DAY votes from Cumberland County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.