North Carolina
ELECTION DAY votes from Cabarrus County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 33934 Precincts: 53 Average votes per precinct: 640 Votes in median precinct: 668Registered Republicans: 38.6% Registered Democrats: 32.1%
Voting Machine:
deltaM = 1.5%deltaMxV = 522
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Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Michael R. (Mike) Morgan
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds | Michael R. (Mike) Morgan |
| 1 | 30.1% | 15.2% | 13% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 21.7% | 28.3% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 26.1% | 23.9% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 13% | 17.4% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 6.5% | 0% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataRobert H. (Bob) Edmunds (R): Percent of votes: 52.45%, Total votes: 17800 out of 33934
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 12-01_COLTRANE-WEBB ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 645 | 186 | 90 | 48% | 29% | 31% | 34% | 70% | 22% | 01-09_HARRISBURG FIRE STATION 1 | 1028 | 273 | 163 | 60% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 92% | 4% | 04-05_KANNAPOLIS YMCA | 1724 | 331 | 151 | 46% | 19% | 30% | 41% | 69% | 23% | 04-04_TRINITY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 1566 | 349 | 150 | 43% | 22% | 27% | 48% | 60% | 34% | 12-08_HARTSELL RECREATION CENTER | 1546 | 374 | 188 | 50% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 66% | 24% | 04-08_NORTHWEST CABARRUS HIGH SCHOOL | 1634 | 397 | 194 | 49% | 24% | 39% | 29% | 80% | 13% | 12-07_FIRST MISSIONARY BAPTIST CHURCH - MP BUILDING | 1523 | 398 | 132 | 33% | 26% | 6% | 74% | 14% | 78% | 12-10_ST. JAMES CATHOLIC CHURCH | 1159 | 405 | 218 | 54% | 35% | 40% | 27% | 92% | 4% | 12-11_EPWORTH UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 1799 | 420 | 216 | 51% | 23% | 31% | 35% | 69% | 21% | 04-07_CABARRUS SHRINE CLUB | 1713 | 434 | 236 | 54% | 25% | 44% | 26% | 86% | 8% | 12-02_ANN ST. METHODIST CHURCH | 2057 | 457 | 233 | 51% | 22% | 19% | 51% | 46% | 43% | 04-06_MIDWAY METHODIST CHURCH | 2184 | 506 | 252 | 50% | 23% | 28% | 43% | 61% | 31% | 12-03_ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL CHURCH | 2094 | 508 | 274 | 54% | 24% | 37% | 33% | 75% | 17% | 12-04_CONCORD HIGH SCHOOL | 2840 | 510 | 265 | 52% | 18% | 28% | 40% | 69% | 23% | 07-00_NORTHEAST FIRE STATION | 1102 | 524 | 295 | 56% | 48% | 54% | 18% | 96% | 1% | 12-06_AMERICAN LEGION POST 51 | 1540 | 526 | 297 | 56% | 34% | 29% | 41% | 66% | 27% | 04-02_SECOND PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2689 | 591 | 271 | 46% | 22% | 24% | 48% | 55% | 37% | 01-07_HARRISBURG ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2489 | 632 | 368 | 58% | 25% | 48% | 23% | 84% | 10% | 02-07_CANNON SCHOOL GYM | 2992 | 633 | 350 | 55% | 21% | 47% | 23% | 87% | 6% | 12-12_CENTRAL CABARRUS HIGH SCHOOL | 2081 | 635 | 345 | 54% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 75% | 18% | 04-09_COVENANT PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2909 | 635 | 320 | 50% | 22% | 44% | 29% | 77% | 16% | 02-01_CONCORD FIRE STATION #7 | 2872 | 640 | 317 | 50% | 22% | 37% | 32% | 76% | 16% | 12-05_CABARRUS SENIOR CENTER | 2083 | 642 | 352 | 55% | 31% | 42% | 24% | 91% | 5% | 12-09_WOLF MEADOW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2378 | 662 | 351 | 53% | 28% | 37% | 31% | 77% | 16% | 01-06_HARRISBURG LIBRARY | 3178 | 668 | 348 | 52% | 21% | 38% | 30% | 71% | 17% | 04-01_ROYAL OAKS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2968 | 693 | 336 | 48% | 23% | 29% | 42% | 61% | 31% | 01-10_HARRISBURG TOWN HALL | 2893 | 694 | 361 | 52% | 24% | 38% | 28% | 78% | 13% | 04-10_KANNAPOLIS MIDDLE SCHOOL | 3610 | 745 | 361 | 48% | 21% | 39% | 32% | 77% | 16% | 05-00_CONCORD MIDDLE SCHOOL | 2734 | 752 | 405 | 54% | 28% | 49% | 23% | 90% | 6% | 04-03_NEW HOPE LUTHERAN CHURCH | 2780 | 761 | 351 | 46% | 27% | 32% | 42% | 64% | 31% | 01-02_FLOWES STORE VOLUNTEER FIRE STATION | 2402 | 818 | 438 | 54% | 34% | 46% | 21% | 89% | 6% | 02-06_WINECOFF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3762 | 819 | 410 | 50% | 22% | 29% | 39% | 61% | 28% | 11-02_CENTER UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 3048 | 905 | 475 | 52% | 30% | 44% | 23% | 89% | 6% | 09-00_GEORGEVILLE FIRE STATION | 2512 | 938 | 502 | 54% | 37% | 51% | 19% | 94% | 2% | 06-00_RIMER FIRE STATION | 2013 | 955 | 534 | 56% | 47% | 52% | 19% | 96% | 1% | 03-00_GILWOOD PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 4771 | 965 | 497 | 52% | 20% | 43% | 24% | 82% | 11% | 01-08_ROCKY RIVER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3766 | 979 | 494 | 50% | 26% | 34% | 32% | 71% | 19% | 02-05_WEDDINGTON HILLS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4003 | 1036 | 664 | 64% | 26% | 44% | 25% | 80% | 12% | 01-04_HICKORY RIDGE MIDDLE SCHOOL | 4629 | 1088 | 597 | 55% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 70% | 20% | 02-09_COX MILL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3681 | 1093 | 512 | 47% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 70% | 20% | 02-02_FURR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4445 | 1119 | 582 | 52% | 25% | 39% | 29% | 73% | 17% | 08-00_MT. PLEASANT HIGH SCHOOL | 3924 | 1281 | 744 | 58% | 33% | 47% | 23% | 94% | 4% | 02-03_J. M. ROBINSON HIGH SCHOOL | 5813 | 1336 | 749 | 56% | 23% | 39% | 28% | 77% | 15% | 11-01_KERR MEMORIAL BAPTIST CHURCH | 5088 | 1346 | 632 | 47% | 26% | 30% | 37% | 64% | 26% | 02-08_ODELL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 6397 | 1393 | 682 | 49% | 22% | 34% | 30% | 71% | 17% | 10-00_BETHEL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4971 | 1882 | 1098 | 58% | 38% | 47% | 22% | 88% | 7% |
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Michael R. (Mike) Morgan (D): Percent of votes: 47.55%, Total votes: 16134 out of 33934
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 12-01_COLTRANE-WEBB ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 645 | 186 | 96 | 52% | 29% | 31% | 34% | 70% | 22% | 01-09_HARRISBURG FIRE STATION 1 | 1028 | 273 | 110 | 40% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 92% | 4% | 04-05_KANNAPOLIS YMCA | 1724 | 331 | 180 | 54% | 19% | 30% | 41% | 69% | 23% | 04-04_TRINITY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 1566 | 349 | 199 | 57% | 22% | 27% | 48% | 60% | 34% | 12-08_HARTSELL RECREATION CENTER | 1546 | 374 | 186 | 50% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 66% | 24% | 04-08_NORTHWEST CABARRUS HIGH SCHOOL | 1634 | 397 | 203 | 51% | 24% | 39% | 29% | 80% | 13% | 12-07_FIRST MISSIONARY BAPTIST CHURCH - MP BUILDING | 1523 | 398 | 266 | 67% | 26% | 6% | 74% | 14% | 78% | 12-10_ST. JAMES CATHOLIC CHURCH | 1159 | 405 | 187 | 46% | 35% | 40% | 27% | 92% | 4% | 12-11_EPWORTH UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 1799 | 420 | 204 | 49% | 23% | 31% | 35% | 69% | 21% | 04-07_CABARRUS SHRINE CLUB | 1713 | 434 | 198 | 46% | 25% | 44% | 26% | 86% | 8% | 12-02_ANN ST. METHODIST CHURCH | 2057 | 457 | 224 | 49% | 22% | 19% | 51% | 46% | 43% | 04-06_MIDWAY METHODIST CHURCH | 2184 | 506 | 254 | 50% | 23% | 28% | 43% | 61% | 31% | 12-03_ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL CHURCH | 2094 | 508 | 234 | 46% | 24% | 37% | 33% | 75% | 17% | 12-04_CONCORD HIGH SCHOOL | 2840 | 510 | 245 | 48% | 18% | 28% | 40% | 69% | 23% | 07-00_NORTHEAST FIRE STATION | 1102 | 524 | 229 | 44% | 48% | 54% | 18% | 96% | 1% | 12-06_AMERICAN LEGION POST 51 | 1540 | 526 | 229 | 44% | 34% | 29% | 41% | 66% | 27% | 04-02_SECOND PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2689 | 591 | 320 | 54% | 22% | 24% | 48% | 55% | 37% | 01-07_HARRISBURG ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2489 | 632 | 264 | 42% | 25% | 48% | 23% | 84% | 10% | 02-07_CANNON SCHOOL GYM | 2992 | 633 | 283 | 45% | 21% | 47% | 23% | 87% | 6% | 12-12_CENTRAL CABARRUS HIGH SCHOOL | 2081 | 635 | 290 | 46% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 75% | 18% | 04-09_COVENANT PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2909 | 635 | 315 | 50% | 22% | 44% | 29% | 77% | 16% | 02-01_CONCORD FIRE STATION #7 | 2872 | 640 | 323 | 50% | 22% | 37% | 32% | 76% | 16% | 12-05_CABARRUS SENIOR CENTER | 2083 | 642 | 290 | 45% | 31% | 42% | 24% | 91% | 5% | 12-09_WOLF MEADOW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2378 | 662 | 311 | 47% | 28% | 37% | 31% | 77% | 16% | 01-06_HARRISBURG LIBRARY | 3178 | 668 | 320 | 48% | 21% | 38% | 30% | 71% | 17% | 04-01_ROYAL OAKS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2968 | 693 | 357 | 52% | 23% | 29% | 42% | 61% | 31% | 01-10_HARRISBURG TOWN HALL | 2893 | 694 | 333 | 48% | 24% | 38% | 28% | 78% | 13% | 04-10_KANNAPOLIS MIDDLE SCHOOL | 3610 | 745 | 384 | 52% | 21% | 39% | 32% | 77% | 16% | 05-00_CONCORD MIDDLE SCHOOL | 2734 | 752 | 347 | 46% | 28% | 49% | 23% | 90% | 6% | 04-03_NEW HOPE LUTHERAN CHURCH | 2780 | 761 | 410 | 54% | 27% | 32% | 42% | 64% | 31% | 01-02_FLOWES STORE VOLUNTEER FIRE STATION | 2402 | 818 | 380 | 46% | 34% | 46% | 21% | 89% | 6% | 02-06_WINECOFF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3762 | 819 | 409 | 50% | 22% | 29% | 39% | 61% | 28% | 11-02_CENTER UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 3048 | 905 | 430 | 48% | 30% | 44% | 23% | 89% | 6% | 09-00_GEORGEVILLE FIRE STATION | 2512 | 938 | 436 | 46% | 37% | 51% | 19% | 94% | 2% | 06-00_RIMER FIRE STATION | 2013 | 955 | 421 | 44% | 47% | 52% | 19% | 96% | 1% | 03-00_GILWOOD PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 4771 | 965 | 468 | 48% | 20% | 43% | 24% | 82% | 11% | 01-08_ROCKY RIVER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3766 | 979 | 485 | 50% | 26% | 34% | 32% | 71% | 19% | 02-05_WEDDINGTON HILLS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4003 | 1036 | 372 | 36% | 26% | 44% | 25% | 80% | 12% | 01-04_HICKORY RIDGE MIDDLE SCHOOL | 4629 | 1088 | 491 | 45% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 70% | 20% | 02-09_COX MILL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4534 | 1093 | 581 | 53% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 70% | 20% | 02-02_FURR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4445 | 1119 | 537 | 48% | 25% | 39% | 29% | 73% | 17% | 08-00_MT. PLEASANT HIGH SCHOOL | 3924 | 1281 | 537 | 42% | 33% | 47% | 23% | 94% | 4% | 02-03_J. M. ROBINSON HIGH SCHOOL | 5813 | 1336 | 587 | 44% | 23% | 39% | 28% | 77% | 15% | 11-01_KERR MEMORIAL BAPTIST CHURCH | 5088 | 1346 | 714 | 53% | 26% | 30% | 37% | 64% | 26% | 02-08_ODELL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 6397 | 1393 | 711 | 51% | 22% | 34% | 30% | 71% | 17% | 10-00_BETHEL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4971 | 1882 | 784 | 42% | 38% | 47% | 22% | 88% | 7% |
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