North Carolina
ELECTION DAY votes from Cumberland County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 35793 Precincts: 103 Average votes per precinct: 348 Votes in median precinct: 554Registered Republicans: 23.1% Registered Democrats: 46.8%  
Voting Machine:
deltaM = -8.1%deltaMxV = -2,892
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Michael R. (Mike) Morgan
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Michael R. (Mike) Morgan | Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds |
1 | 30.1% | 28.2% | 39.2% |
2 | 17.6% | 44.9% | 50.6% |
3 | 12.5% | 24.4% | 7.6% |
4 | 9.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
5 | 7.9% | 0% | 0% |
6 | 6.7% | 0% | 0% |
7 | 5.8% | 0% | 0% |
8 | 5.1% | 0% | 1.3% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 0% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataMichael R. (Mike) Morgan (D): Percent of votes: 53.09%, Total votes: 19004 out of 35793
Data
Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | TRANSFER 31-57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | TRANSFER 1-30 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 67% | CC19_CROSS CREEK 19 | 1200 | 211 | 123 | 58% | 18% | 3% | 69% | 4% | 80% | G3B_CROSS CREEK 11-G3 | 1314 | 314 | 162 | 52% | 24% | 18% | 49% | 48% | 36% | CC03_CROSS CREEK 03 | 1497 | 258 | 133 | 52% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 32% | 48% | CC07_CROSS CREEK 07 | 1063 | 287 | 136 | 47% | 27% | 35% | 33% | 83% | 8% | CC04_CROSS CREEK 04 | 1162 | 257 | 111 | 43% | 22% | 28% | 39% | 73% | 17% | CC10_CROSS CREEK 10 | 1235 | 248 | 128 | 52% | 20% | 21% | 51% | 44% | 44% | CC06_CROSS CREEK 06 | 1304 | 280 | 131 | 47% | 21% | 28% | 37% | 66% | 21% | CC32_CROSS CREEK 32 | 1504 | 262 | 145 | 55% | 17% | 12% | 60% | 21% | 63% | G6B_BEAVER DAM-G6 | 1142 | 417 | 214 | 51% | 37% | 35% | 43% | 81% | 15% | G7B_WADE-G7 | 1175 | 406 | 196 | 48% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 80% | 15% | G3C_PEARCES MILL 3-G3 | 1508 | 316 | 154 | 49% | 21% | 27% | 43% | 62% | 27% | CC24_CROSS CREEK 24 | 1687 | 302 | 143 | 47% | 18% | 22% | 42% | 46% | 37% | G7A_BLACK RIVER-G7 | 1273 | 548 | 271 | 49% | 43% | 43% | 34% | 75% | 18% | G4A_CROSS CREEK 30-G4 | 1608 | 398 | 183 | 46% | 25% | 24% | 46% | 54% | 34% | CC08_CROSS CREEK 08 | 1291 | 330 | 109 | 33% | 26% | 37% | 38% | 78% | 15% | CC18_CROSS CREEK 18 | 1670 | 340 | 124 | 36% | 20% | 35% | 40% | 72% | 18% | G4C_PEARCES MILL 4-G4 | 2174 | 410 | 228 | 56% | 19% | 18% | 49% | 37% | 47% | CC25_CROSS CREEK 25 | 2186 | 412 | 213 | 52% | 19% | 26% | 41% | 47% | 36% | G4B_CROSS CREEK 20-G4 | 2009 | 585 | 282 | 48% | 29% | 26% | 45% | 61% | 26% | CC05_CROSS CREEK 05 | 2378 | 394 | 208 | 53% | 17% | 7% | 67% | 14% | 74% | CC31_CROSS CREEK 31 | 2231 | 554 | 294 | 53% | 25% | 20% | 48% | 49% | 37% | CC12_CROSS CREEK 12 | 1594 | 467 | 144 | 31% | 29% | 43% | 30% | 89% | 4% | CU02_CUMBERLAND 2 | 2200 | 585 | 296 | 51% | 27% | 23% | 44% | 53% | 32% | G2E-1_WESTAREA-1-G2 | 2485 | 317 | 194 | 61% | 13% | 11% | 60% | 23% | 64% | CC16_CROSS CREEK 16 | 2230 | 275 | 169 | 61% | 12% | 3% | 80% | 2% | 90% | G6C_CEDAR CREEK-G6 | 1969 | 554 | 280 | 51% | 28% | 29% | 44% | 61% | 30% | CC29_CROSS CREEK 29 | 2593 | 484 | 261 | 54% | 19% | 18% | 51% | 37% | 48% | CC01_CROSS CREEK 01 | 2841 | 405 | 211 | 52% | 14% | 7% | 68% | 16% | 72% | EO61-2_EASTOVER 2 | 1970 | 442 | 213 | 48% | 22% | 33% | 43% | 61% | 32% | G1A_CROSS CREEK 02-G1 | 2665 | 508 | 276 | 54% | 19% | 15% | 58% | 30% | 55% | G8B_CUMBERLAND 1A-G8 | 2400 | 419 | 231 | 55% | 17% | 31% | 34% | 51% | 30% | G11A-2_SPRING LAKE-2-G11 | 2758 | 342 | 212 | 62% | 12% | 15% | 54% | 30% | 53% | CC34_CROSS CREEK 34 | 2126 | 459 | 189 | 41% | 22% | 34% | 34% | 61% | 19% | G8C_CUMBERLAND 3-G8 | 2542 | 453 | 265 | 58% | 18% | 21% | 47% | 44% | 40% | G11B_MANCHESTER-G11 | 4766 | 527 | 301 | 57% | 11% | 27% | 30% | 51% | 24% | G5C_BRENTWOOD-G5 | 2620 | 571 | 317 | 56% | 22% | 18% | 51% | 35% | 52% | CC13_CROSS CREEK 13 | 2728 | 300 | 186 | 62% | 11% | 4% | 68% | 6% | 81% | G3A-2_PEARCES MILL 2B-G3 | 2886 | 477 | 248 | 52% | 17% | 21% | 47% | 47% | 38% | G11A-1_SPRING LAKE-1-G11 | 2930 | 394 | 230 | 58% | 13% | 15% | 54% | 27% | 55% | G5A-2_AUMAN-2-G5 | 2307 | 323 | 166 | 51% | 14% | 25% | 45% | 42% | 42% | CC33_CROSS CREEK 33 | 2440 | 509 | 250 | 49% | 21% | 22% | 48% | 39% | 47% | G5B-2_CROSS CREEK 28-2-G5 | 2755 | 370 | 238 | 64% | 13% | 14% | 58% | 23% | 59% | G2C-1_CROSS CREEK 23-1-G2 | 2652 | 322 | 177 | 55% | 12% | 23% | 46% | 49% | 39% | CC17_CROSS CREEK 17 | 2988 | 448 | 278 | 62% | 15% | 8% | 67% | 14% | 75% | MB62_MONTIBELLO | 2950 | 328 | 204 | 62% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 25% | 58% | G10B_HOPE MILLS 4-G10 | 2884 | 465 | 242 | 52% | 16% | 28% | 41% | 58% | 28% | G5A-1_AUMAN-1-G5 | 2728 | 387 | 237 | 61% | 14% | 15% | 56% | 28% | 57% | SH77_SHERWOOD | 2700 | 566 | 286 | 51% | 21% | 32% | 39% | 65% | 25% | G2E-2_WESTAREA-2-G2 | 3199 | 416 | 254 | 61% | 13% | 10% | 64% | 18% | 68% | MR02_MORGANTON RD 2 | 3141 | 612 | 342 | 56% | 19% | 19% | 47% | 36% | 44% | CC14_CROSS CREEK 14 | 2934 | 427 | 164 | 38% | 15% | 33% | 37% | 64% | 20% | G9A_HOPE MILLS 3-G9 | 3085 | 563 | 308 | 55% | 18% | 29% | 41% | 57% | 31% | CC15_CROSS CREEK 15 | 2746 | 622 | 293 | 47% | 23% | 33% | 40% | 71% | 19% | G8D_HOPE MILLS 1A-G8 | 3075 | 444 | 242 | 55% | 14% | 31% | 36% | 62% | 24% | G2C-2_CROSS CREEK 23-2-G2 | 3067 | 420 | 239 | 57% | 14% | 30% | 40% | 52% | 33% | G5B-1_CROSS CREEK 28-1-G5 | 3645 | 492 | 289 | 59% | 13% | 9% | 66% | 16% | 72% | CL57-2_CLIFFDALE WEST-2-CL57 | 3196 | 367 | 227 | 62% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 23% | 61% | CL57-1_CLIFFDALE WEST-1-CL57 | 3520 | 443 | 245 | 55% | 13% | 19% | 50% | 31% | 51% | EO61-1_EASTOVER 1 | 2798 | 712 | 296 | 42% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 72% | 21% | CC26_CROSS CREEK 26 | 3762 | 540 | 306 | 57% | 14% | 17% | 53% | 30% | 53% | AH49_ARRAN HILLS | 3554 | 651 | 352 | 54% | 18% | 17% | 52% | 33% | 51% | CC21_CROSS CREEK 21 | 3727 | 636 | 378 | 59% | 17% | 14% | 55% | 32% | 54% | LI65_LINDEN | 3485 | 737 | 394 | 53% | 21% | 37% | 33% | 71% | 20% | G8A_CUMBERLAND 4-G8 | 3556 | 612 | 365 | 60% | 17% | 22% | 46% | 43% | 43% | G3A-1_PEARCES MILL 2A-G3 | 3990 | 648 | 372 | 57% | 16% | 18% | 52% | 35% | 50% | CC27_CROSS CREEK 27 | 4323 | 528 | 303 | 57% | 12% | 14% | 52% | 30% | 51% | G10C_STONEY POINT 1-G10 | 3465 | 593 | 316 | 53% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 66% | 20% | G9B-1_HOPE MILLS 2A-G9 | 4438 | 610 | 354 | 58% | 14% | 27% | 38% | 55% | 31% | LR63_LAKE RIM | 4699 | 584 | 353 | 60% | 12% | 15% | 53% | 26% | 57% | G2D_LONGHILL-G2 | 4124 | 559 | 290 | 52% | 14% | 31% | 40% | 53% | 35% | G9B-2_HOPE MILLS 2B-G9 | 4166 | 588 | 321 | 55% | 14% | 30% | 37% | 53% | 32% | G1B_JUDSON-VANDER-G1 | 4122 | 561 | 276 | 49% | 14% | 35% | 38% | 65% | 26% | G2B_CROSS CREEK 22-G2 | 4794 | 703 | 402 | 57% | 15% | 22% | 48% | 43% | 44% | G2A_CROSS CREEK 09-G2 | 4632 | 590 | 317 | 54% | 13% | 21% | 52% | 39% | 50% | G6A_STEDMAN-G6 | 4412 | 697 | 374 | 54% | 16% | 39% | 33% | 77% | 16% | AL51_ALDERMAN | 4656 | 579 | 312 | 54% | 12% | 36% | 34% | 71% | 20% | G10A_STONEY POINT 2-G10 | 4878 | 626 | 327 | 52% | 13% | 35% | 33% | 56% | 27% |
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Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds (R): Percent of votes: 46.91%, Total votes: 16789 out of 35793
Data
Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | TRANSFER 31-57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 13% | 35% | 33% | 56% | 27% | TRANSFER 1-30 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 13% | 35% | 33% | 56% | 27% | CC19_CROSS CREEK 19 | 1200 | 211 | 88 | 42% | 18% | 3% | 69% | 4% | 80% | G3B_CROSS CREEK 11-G3 | 1314 | 314 | 152 | 48% | 24% | 18% | 49% | 48% | 36% | CC03_CROSS CREEK 03 | 1497 | 258 | 125 | 48% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 32% | 48% | CC07_CROSS CREEK 07 | 1063 | 287 | 151 | 53% | 27% | 35% | 33% | 83% | 8% | CC04_CROSS CREEK 04 | 1162 | 257 | 146 | 57% | 22% | 28% | 39% | 73% | 17% | CC10_CROSS CREEK 10 | 1235 | 248 | 120 | 48% | 20% | 21% | 51% | 44% | 44% | CC06_CROSS CREEK 06 | 1304 | 280 | 149 | 53% | 21% | 28% | 37% | 66% | 21% | CC32_CROSS CREEK 32 | 1504 | 262 | 117 | 45% | 17% | 12% | 60% | 21% | 63% | G6B_BEAVER DAM-G6 | 1142 | 417 | 203 | 49% | 37% | 35% | 43% | 81% | 15% | G7B_WADE-G7 | 1175 | 406 | 210 | 52% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 80% | 15% | G3C_PEARCES MILL 3-G3 | 1508 | 316 | 162 | 51% | 21% | 27% | 43% | 62% | 27% | CC24_CROSS CREEK 24 | 1687 | 302 | 159 | 53% | 18% | 22% | 42% | 46% | 37% | G7A_BLACK RIVER-G7 | 1273 | 548 | 277 | 51% | 43% | 43% | 34% | 75% | 18% | G4A_CROSS CREEK 30-G4 | 1608 | 398 | 215 | 54% | 25% | 24% | 46% | 54% | 34% | CC08_CROSS CREEK 08 | 1291 | 330 | 221 | 67% | 26% | 37% | 38% | 78% | 15% | CC18_CROSS CREEK 18 | 1670 | 340 | 216 | 64% | 20% | 35% | 40% | 72% | 18% | G4C_PEARCES MILL 4-G4 | 2174 | 410 | 182 | 44% | 19% | 18% | 49% | 37% | 47% | CC25_CROSS CREEK 25 | 2186 | 412 | 199 | 48% | 19% | 26% | 41% | 47% | 36% | G4B_CROSS CREEK 20-G4 | 2009 | 585 | 303 | 52% | 29% | 26% | 45% | 61% | 26% | CC05_CROSS CREEK 05 | 2378 | 394 | 186 | 47% | 17% | 7% | 67% | 14% | 74% | CC31_CROSS CREEK 31 | 2231 | 554 | 260 | 47% | 25% | 20% | 48% | 49% | 37% | CC12_CROSS CREEK 12 | 1594 | 467 | 323 | 69% | 29% | 43% | 30% | 89% | 4% | CU02_CUMBERLAND 2 | 2200 | 585 | 289 | 49% | 27% | 23% | 44% | 53% | 32% | G2E-1_WESTAREA-1-G2 | 2485 | 317 | 123 | 39% | 13% | 11% | 60% | 23% | 64% | CC16_CROSS CREEK 16 | 2230 | 275 | 106 | 39% | 12% | 3% | 80% | 2% | 90% | G6C_CEDAR CREEK-G6 | 1969 | 554 | 274 | 49% | 28% | 29% | 44% | 61% | 30% | CC29_CROSS CREEK 29 | 2593 | 484 | 223 | 46% | 19% | 18% | 51% | 37% | 48% | CC01_CROSS CREEK 01 | 2841 | 405 | 194 | 48% | 14% | 7% | 68% | 16% | 72% | EO61-2_EASTOVER 2 | 1970 | 442 | 229 | 52% | 22% | 33% | 43% | 61% | 32% | G1A_CROSS CREEK 02-G1 | 2665 | 508 | 232 | 46% | 19% | 15% | 58% | 30% | 55% | G8B_CUMBERLAND 1A-G8 | 2400 | 419 | 188 | 45% | 17% | 31% | 34% | 51% | 30% | G11A-2_SPRING LAKE-2-G11 | 2758 | 342 | 130 | 38% | 12% | 15% | 54% | 30% | 53% | CC34_CROSS CREEK 34 | 2126 | 459 | 270 | 59% | 22% | 34% | 34% | 61% | 19% | G8C_CUMBERLAND 3-G8 | 2542 | 453 | 188 | 42% | 18% | 21% | 47% | 44% | 40% | G11B_MANCHESTER-G11 | 4766 | 527 | 226 | 43% | 11% | 27% | 30% | 51% | 24% | G5C_BRENTWOOD-G5 | 2620 | 571 | 254 | 44% | 22% | 18% | 51% | 35% | 52% | CC13_CROSS CREEK 13 | 2728 | 300 | 114 | 38% | 11% | 4% | 68% | 6% | 81% | G3A-2_PEARCES MILL 2B-G3 | 2886 | 477 | 229 | 48% | 17% | 21% | 47% | 47% | 38% | G11A-1_SPRING LAKE-1-G11 | 2930 | 394 | 164 | 42% | 13% | 15% | 54% | 27% | 55% | G5A-2_AUMAN-2-G5 | 2307 | 323 | 157 | 49% | 14% | 25% | 45% | 42% | 42% | CC33_CROSS CREEK 33 | 2440 | 509 | 259 | 51% | 21% | 22% | 48% | 39% | 47% | G5B-2_CROSS CREEK 28-2-G5 | 2755 | 370 | 132 | 36% | 13% | 14% | 58% | 23% | 59% | G2C-1_CROSS CREEK 23-1-G2 | 2652 | 322 | 145 | 45% | 12% | 23% | 46% | 49% | 39% | CC17_CROSS CREEK 17 | 2988 | 448 | 170 | 38% | 15% | 8% | 67% | 14% | 75% | MB62_MONTIBELLO | 2950 | 328 | 124 | 38% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 25% | 58% | G10B_HOPE MILLS 4-G10 | 2884 | 465 | 223 | 48% | 16% | 28% | 41% | 58% | 28% | G5A-1_AUMAN-1-G5 | 2728 | 387 | 150 | 39% | 14% | 15% | 56% | 28% | 57% | SH77_SHERWOOD | 2700 | 566 | 280 | 49% | 21% | 32% | 39% | 65% | 25% | G2E-2_WESTAREA-2-G2 | 3199 | 416 | 162 | 39% | 13% | 10% | 64% | 18% | 68% | MR02_MORGANTON RD 2 | 3141 | 612 | 270 | 44% | 19% | 19% | 47% | 36% | 44% | CC14_CROSS CREEK 14 | 2934 | 427 | 263 | 62% | 15% | 33% | 37% | 64% | 20% | G9A_HOPE MILLS 3-G9 | 3085 | 563 | 255 | 45% | 18% | 29% | 41% | 57% | 31% | CC15_CROSS CREEK 15 | 2746 | 622 | 329 | 53% | 23% | 33% | 40% | 71% | 19% | G8D_HOPE MILLS 1A-G8 | 3075 | 444 | 202 | 45% | 14% | 31% | 36% | 62% | 24% | G2C-2_CROSS CREEK 23-2-G2 | 3067 | 420 | 181 | 43% | 14% | 30% | 40% | 52% | 33% | G5B-1_CROSS CREEK 28-1-G5 | 3645 | 492 | 203 | 41% | 13% | 9% | 66% | 16% | 72% | CL57-2_CLIFFDALE WEST-2-CL57 | 3196 | 367 | 140 | 38% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 23% | 61% | CL57-1_CLIFFDALE WEST-1-CL57 | 3520 | 443 | 198 | 45% | 13% | 19% | 50% | 31% | 51% | EO61-1_EASTOVER 1 | 2798 | 712 | 416 | 58% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 72% | 21% | CC26_CROSS CREEK 26 | 3762 | 540 | 234 | 43% | 14% | 17% | 53% | 30% | 53% | AH49_ARRAN HILLS | 3554 | 651 | 299 | 46% | 18% | 17% | 52% | 33% | 51% | CC21_CROSS CREEK 21 | 3727 | 636 | 258 | 41% | 17% | 14% | 55% | 32% | 54% | LI65_LINDEN | 3485 | 737 | 343 | 47% | 21% | 37% | 33% | 71% | 20% | G8A_CUMBERLAND 4-G8 | 3556 | 612 | 247 | 40% | 17% | 22% | 46% | 43% | 43% | G3A-1_PEARCES MILL 2A-G3 | 3990 | 648 | 276 | 43% | 16% | 18% | 52% | 35% | 50% | CC27_CROSS CREEK 27 | 4323 | 528 | 225 | 43% | 12% | 14% | 52% | 30% | 51% | G10C_STONEY POINT 1-G10 | 3465 | 593 | 277 | 47% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 66% | 20% | G9B-1_HOPE MILLS 2A-G9 | 4438 | 610 | 256 | 42% | 14% | 27% | 38% | 55% | 31% | LR63_LAKE RIM | 4699 | 584 | 231 | 40% | 12% | 15% | 53% | 26% | 57% | G2D_LONGHILL-G2 | 4124 | 559 | 269 | 48% | 14% | 31% | 40% | 53% | 35% | G9B-2_HOPE MILLS 2B-G9 | 4166 | 588 | 267 | 45% | 14% | 30% | 37% | 53% | 32% | G1B_JUDSON-VANDER-G1 | 4122 | 561 | 285 | 51% | 14% | 35% | 38% | 65% | 26% | G2B_CROSS CREEK 22-G2 | 4794 | 703 | 301 | 43% | 15% | 22% | 48% | 43% | 44% | G2A_CROSS CREEK 09-G2 | 4632 | 590 | 273 | 46% | 13% | 21% | 52% | 39% | 50% | G6A_STEDMAN-G6 | 4412 | 697 | 323 | 46% | 16% | 39% | 33% | 77% | 16% | AL51_ALDERMAN | 4656 | 579 | 267 | 46% | 12% | 36% | 34% | 71% | 20% | G10A_STONEY POINT 2-G10 | 4878 | 626 | 299 | 48% | 13% | 35% | 33% | 56% | 27% |
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