North Carolina
ELECTION DAY votes from Durham County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 25927 Precincts: 73 Average votes per precinct: 355 Votes in median precinct: 496Registered Republicans: 17.8% Registered Democrats: 90.8%
Voting Machine:
deltaM = 8.7%deltaMxV = 2,264
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Michael R. (Mike) Morgan
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Michael R. (Mike) Morgan | Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds |
| 1 | 30.1% | 14% | 36.8% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 42.1% | 29.8% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 26.3% | 5.3% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 14% | 1.8% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 3.5% | 7% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 0% | 3.5% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 0% | 7% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 0% | 7% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 0% | 1.8% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataMichael R. (Mike) Morgan (D): Percent of votes: 66.07%, Total votes: 17131 out of 25927
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 12_MONUMENT OF FAITH CHURCH | 938 | 172 | 146 | 85% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 5% | 85% | 01_BROGDEN MIDDLE SCHOOL | 1438 | 200 | 146 | 73% | 14% | 6% | 66% | 51% | 37% | 42_SHEPHARD MAGNET SCHOOL | 1474 | 215 | 192 | 89% | 15% | 2% | 81% | 3% | 89% | 10_C C SPAULDING SCHOOL | 1576 | 239 | 182 | 76% | 15% | 3% | 72% | 13% | 74% | 13_BURTON ELEMENTARY | 1607 | 268 | 218 | 81% | 17% | 2% | 77% | 3% | 88% | 15_GOOD SHEPHERD CHURCH | 1817 | 269 | 200 | 74% | 15% | 5% | 70% | 14% | 72% | 20_COUNTY AGRICULTURAL BUILDING | 2379 | 272 | 191 | 70% | 11% | 4% | 61% | 67% | 19% | 07_SCHOOL OF THE ARTS | 3045 | 274 | 200 | 73% | 9% | 6% | 56% | 73% | 11% | 41_WHITE ROCK BAPTIST CHURCH | 1616 | 276 | 235 | 85% | 17% | 2% | 84% | 2% | 90% | 06_LAKEWOOD SCHOOL | 2271 | 281 | 211 | 75% | 12% | 6% | 64% | 61% | 26% | 47_HOLMES RECREATION CENTER | 2047 | 293 | 256 | 87% | 14% | 3% | 83% | 4% | 89% | 40_ROGERS-HERR MIDDLE SCHOOL | 2900 | 301 | 226 | 75% | 10% | 8% | 58% | 58% | 31% | 14_Y E SMITH SCHOOL | 2676 | 302 | 238 | 79% | 11% | 5% | 71% | 15% | 71% | 32_NEAL MIDDLE SCHOOL | 3739 | 315 | 121 | 38% | 8% | 32% | 33% | 82% | 8% | 21_CLUB BOULEVARD SCHOOL | 2024 | 322 | 248 | 77% | 16% | 8% | 62% | 66% | 24% | 48_CHRIST THE KING MORAVIAN | 2022 | 337 | 213 | 63% | 17% | 12% | 56% | 59% | 32% | 55-49_NCCU STUDENT UNION | 4038 | 341 | 257 | 75% | 8% | 1% | 65% | 1% | 82% | 25_NORTHERN HIGH SCHOOL | 3534 | 344 | 177 | 51% | 10% | 30% | 40% | 78% | 15% | 03_E K POWE ELEMENTARY | 3096 | 344 | 261 | 76% | 11% | 8% | 52% | 77% | 5% | 34-1_PEARSONTOWN ELEMENTARY | 3415 | 352 | 247 | 70% | 10% | 9% | 64% | 37% | 51% | 04_SCHOOL OF SCIENCE AND MATH | 1808 | 356 | 255 | 72% | 20% | 9% | 58% | 85% | 4% | 16_HOLY INFANT CATHOLIC | 2505 | 368 | 240 | 65% | 15% | 14% | 50% | 65% | 23% | 55-11_WEAVER STREET CENTER | 2125 | 371 | 321 | 87% | 17% | 2% | 81% | 4% | 87% | 26_BAHAMA VFD - ROUGEMONT STATION | 1512 | 377 | 164 | 44% | 25% | 34% | 37% | 83% | 12% | 17_COUNTY MAIN LIBRARY | 3748 | 396 | 297 | 75% | 11% | 4% | 70% | 21% | 67% | 08_MOREHEAD MONTESSORI | 2801 | 410 | 323 | 79% | 15% | 4% | 67% | 41% | 47% | 53-1_TRIANGLE PRESBYTERIAN | 3678 | 416 | 235 | 56% | 11% | 16% | 45% | 66% | 19% | 02_GEORGE WATTS ELEMENTARY | 3373 | 428 | 324 | 76% | 11% | 16% | 45% | 66% | 19% | 27_CREEKSIDE ELEMENTARY | 3472 | 434 | 244 | 56% | 13% | 20% | 45% | 79% | 9% | 09_FOREST HILLS CLUB HOUSE | 2856 | 435 | 298 | 69% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 44_NORTH REGIONAL LIBRARY | 2458 | 447 | 231 | 52% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 05_PATTERSON REC CENTER | 3122 | 450 | 296 | 66% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 18_FIRST UNITED ANTIOCH | 2781 | 474 | 371 | 78% | 17% | 5% | 74% | 10% | 76% | 52_EVANGEL ASSEMBLY OF GOD | 3935 | 485 | 374 | 77% | 12% | 5% | 76% | 12% | 77% | 36_YATES BAPTIST CHURCH | 3540 | 496 | 357 | 72% | 14% | 10% | 58% | 51% | 35% | 46_EDISON JOHNSON CENTER | 3877 | 523 | 349 | 67% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 45_TEMPLE BAPTIST CHURCH | 3064 | 544 | 294 | 54% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 34-2_IVY COMMUNITY CENTER | 4477 | 570 | 436 | 76% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 19_AMERICAN LEGION POST 7 | 3532 | 570 | 405 | 71% | 16% | 7% | 68% | 31% | 58% | 39_ST. STEPHENS EPISCOPAL | 3548 | 582 | 294 | 51% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 30-1_OAK GROVE ELEMENTARY | 3740 | 588 | 362 | 62% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 51_SOUTHWEST ELEMENTARY | 3989 | 601 | 387 | 64% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 54_SOUTH REGIONAL LIBRARY | 4297 | 606 | 418 | 69% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 53-2_TRIANGLE CHURCH | 4868 | 610 | 325 | 53% | 13% | 17% | 43% | 77% | 10% | 30-2_SOUTHERN HIGH SCHOOL | 4710 | 624 | 454 | 73% | 13% | 17% | 43% | 77% | 10% | 24_HILLANDALE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4344 | 625 | 356 | 57% | 14% | 19% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 38_HOPE VALLEY BAPTIST | 4116 | 632 | 393 | 62% | 14% | 19% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 31_BETHESDA RURITAN CLUB | 4680 | 633 | 369 | 58% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 43_FOREST VIEW ELEMENTARY | 4088 | 644 | 388 | 60% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 37_COLE MILL CHURCH | 3708 | 645 | 351 | 54% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 29_GLENN ELEMENTARY | 4538 | 650 | 404 | 62% | 14% | 19% | 56% | 46% | 44% | 28_BAHAMA RURITAN CLUB | 3669 | 657 | 289 | 44% | 18% | 32% | 35% | 79% | 16% | 23_HOLT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 5412 | 754 | 515 | 68% | 18% | 32% | 35% | 79% | 16% | 50_MCMANNEN UNITED METHODIST | 4562 | 580 | 428 | 74% | 13% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 22_VFW POST 2740 | 5759 | 715 | 549 | 77% | 13% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 33_LOWES GROVE MIDDLE SCHOOL | 4923 | 750 | 467 | 62% | 13% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 35.3_PARKWOOD VOL FIRE DEPT | 4264 | 764 | 403 | 53% | 13% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% |
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Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds (R): Percent of votes: 33.93%, Total votes: 8796 out of 25927
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 12_MONUMENT OF FAITH CHURCH | 938 | 172 | 26 | 15% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 5% | 85% | 01_BROGDEN MIDDLE SCHOOL | 1438 | 200 | 54 | 27% | 14% | 6% | 66% | 51% | 37% | 42_SHEPHARD MAGNET SCHOOL | 1474 | 215 | 23 | 11% | 15% | 2% | 81% | 3% | 89% | 10_C C SPAULDING SCHOOL | 1576 | 239 | 57 | 24% | 15% | 3% | 72% | 13% | 74% | 13_BURTON ELEMENTARY | 1607 | 268 | 50 | 19% | 17% | 2% | 77% | 3% | 88% | 15_GOOD SHEPHERD CHURCH | 1817 | 269 | 69 | 26% | 15% | 5% | 70% | 14% | 72% | 20_COUNTY AGRICULTURAL BUILDING | 2379 | 272 | 81 | 30% | 11% | 4% | 61% | 67% | 19% | 07_SCHOOL OF THE ARTS | 3045 | 274 | 74 | 27% | 9% | 6% | 56% | 73% | 11% | 41_WHITE ROCK BAPTIST CHURCH | 1616 | 276 | 41 | 15% | 17% | 2% | 84% | 2% | 90% | 06_LAKEWOOD SCHOOL | 2271 | 281 | 70 | 25% | 12% | 6% | 64% | 61% | 26% | 47_HOLMES RECREATION CENTER | 2047 | 293 | 37 | 13% | 14% | 3% | 83% | 4% | 89% | 40_ROGERS-HERR MIDDLE SCHOOL | 2900 | 301 | 75 | 25% | 10% | 8% | 58% | 58% | 31% | 14_Y E SMITH SCHOOL | 2676 | 302 | 64 | 21% | 11% | 5% | 71% | 15% | 71% | 32_NEAL MIDDLE SCHOOL | 3739 | 315 | 194 | 62% | 8% | 32% | 33% | 82% | 8% | 21_CLUB BOULEVARD SCHOOL | 2024 | 322 | 74 | 23% | 16% | 8% | 62% | 66% | 24% | 48_CHRIST THE KING MORAVIAN | 2022 | 337 | 124 | 37% | 17% | 12% | 56% | 59% | 32% | 55-49_NCCU STUDENT UNION | 4038 | 341 | 84 | 25% | 8% | 1% | 65% | 1% | 82% | 25_NORTHERN HIGH SCHOOL | 3534 | 344 | 167 | 49% | 10% | 30% | 40% | 78% | 15% | 03_E K POWE ELEMENTARY | 3096 | 344 | 83 | 24% | 11% | 8% | 52% | 77% | 5% | 34-1_PEARSONTOWN ELEMENTARY | 3415 | 352 | 105 | 30% | 10% | 9% | 64% | 37% | 51% | 04_SCHOOL OF SCIENCE AND MATH | 1808 | 356 | 101 | 28% | 20% | 9% | 58% | 85% | 4% | 16_HOLY INFANT CATHOLIC | 2505 | 368 | 128 | 35% | 15% | 14% | 50% | 65% | 23% | 55-11_WEAVER STREET CENTER | 2125 | 371 | 50 | 13% | 17% | 2% | 81% | 4% | 87% | 26_BAHAMA VFD - ROUGEMONT STATION | 1512 | 377 | 213 | 56% | 25% | 34% | 37% | 83% | 12% | 17_COUNTY MAIN LIBRARY | 3748 | 396 | 99 | 25% | 11% | 4% | 70% | 21% | 67% | 08_MOREHEAD MONTESSORI | 2801 | 410 | 87 | 21% | 15% | 4% | 67% | 41% | 47% | 53-1_TRIANGLE PRESBYTERIAN | 3678 | 416 | 181 | 44% | 11% | 16% | 45% | 66% | 19% | 02_GEORGE WATTS ELEMENTARY | 2722 | 428 | 104 | 24% | 11% | 16% | 45% | 66% | 19% | 27_CREEKSIDE ELEMENTARY | 3472 | 434 | 190 | 44% | 13% | 20% | 45% | 79% | 9% | 09_FOREST HILLS CLUB HOUSE | 2856 | 435 | 137 | 31% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 44_NORTH REGIONAL LIBRARY | 5289 | 447 | 216 | 48% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 05_PATTERSON REC CENTER | 3844 | 450 | 154 | 34% | 15% | 9% | 63% | 60% | 31% | 18_FIRST UNITED ANTIOCH | 2781 | 474 | 103 | 22% | 17% | 5% | 74% | 10% | 76% | 52_EVANGEL ASSEMBLY OF GOD | 3935 | 485 | 111 | 23% | 12% | 5% | 76% | 12% | 77% | 36_YATES BAPTIST CHURCH | 3540 | 496 | 139 | 28% | 14% | 10% | 58% | 51% | 35% | 46_EDISON JOHNSON CENTER | 3877 | 523 | 174 | 33% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 45_TEMPLE BAPTIST CHURCH | 6151 | 544 | 250 | 46% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 34-2_IVY COMMUNITY CENTER | 3390 | 570 | 134 | 24% | 13% | 12% | 61% | 39% | 47% | 19_AMERICAN LEGION POST 7 | 3532 | 570 | 165 | 29% | 16% | 7% | 68% | 31% | 58% | 39_ST. STEPHENS EPISCOPAL | 3548 | 582 | 288 | 49% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 30-1_OAK GROVE ELEMENTARY | 5401 | 588 | 226 | 38% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 51_SOUTHWEST ELEMENTARY | 5127 | 601 | 214 | 36% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 54_SOUTH REGIONAL LIBRARY | 4526 | 606 | 188 | 31% | 16% | 20% | 48% | 75% | 16% | 53-2_TRIANGLE CHURCH | 4868 | 610 | 285 | 47% | 13% | 17% | 43% | 77% | 10% | 30-2_SOUTHERN HIGH SCHOOL | 4046 | 624 | 170 | 27% | 13% | 17% | 43% | 77% | 10% | 24_HILLANDALE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4344 | 625 | 269 | 43% | 14% | 19% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 38_HOPE VALLEY BAPTIST | 5545 | 632 | 239 | 38% | 14% | 19% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 31_BETHESDA RURITAN CLUB | 4680 | 633 | 264 | 42% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 43_FOREST VIEW ELEMENTARY | 5869 | 644 | 256 | 40% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 37_COLE MILL CHURCH | 6703 | 645 | 294 | 46% | 14% | 16% | 52% | 49% | 38% | 29_GLENN ELEMENTARY | 4538 | 650 | 246 | 38% | 14% | 19% | 56% | 46% | 44% | 28_BAHAMA RURITAN CLUB | 3669 | 657 | 368 | 56% | 18% | 32% | 35% | 79% | 16% | 50_MCMANNEN UNITED METHODIST | 4562 | 754 | 239 | 32% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 23_HOLT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3400 | 580 | 152 | 26% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 22_VFW POST 2740 | 3707 | 715 | 166 | 23% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 33_LOWES GROVE MIDDLE SCHOOL | 6232 | 750 | 283 | 38% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% | 35.3_PARKWOOD VOL FIRE DEPT | 7879 | 764 | 361 | 47% | 17% | 15% | 49% | 66% | 21% |
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