North Carolina
ELECTION DAY votes from Union County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 25189 Precincts: 56 Average votes per precinct: 450 Votes in median precinct: 480Registered Republicans: 43.1% Registered Democrats: 27.3%
Voting Machine:
deltaM = 8.1%deltaMxV = 2,047
Click legend entry to show or hide a line.
Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Michael R. (Mike) Morgan
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Robert H. (Bob) Edmunds | Michael R. (Mike) Morgan |
| 1 | 30.1% | 13.5% | 46.2% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 28.8% | 38.5% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 30.8% | 9.6% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 13.5% | 0% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataRobert H. (Bob) Edmunds (R): Percent of votes: 57.32%, Total votes: 14439 out of 25189
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 043_THE BAZEMORE CENTER | 1166 | 137 | 51 | 37% | 12% | 9% | 69% | 20% | 69% | 001 | 1386 | 196 | 83 | 42% | 14% | 16% | 58% | 41% | 45% | 003 | 1328 | 156 | 78 | 50% | 12% | 23% | 51% | 54% | 33% | 010_THE OLD ARMORY | 1353 | 183 | 73 | 40% | 14% | 18% | 57% | 46% | 44% | 004 | 1557 | 238 | 69 | 29% | 15% | 10% | 69% | 20% | 65% | 014_INDIAN TRAIL LIBRARY | 1580 | 244 | 119 | 49% | 15% | 40% | 26% | 87% | 7% | 009 | 1594 | 370 | 176 | 48% | 23% | 18% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 002 | 1841 | 230 | 96 | 42% | 12% | 18% | 57% | 46% | 44% | 037B_LIFELINE COMMUNITY CHURCH | 1588 | 324 | 218 | 67% | 20% | 56% | 17% | 90% | 5% | 029B_BRANDON OAKS CLUBHOUSE | 1835 | 372 | 200 | 54% | 20% | 42% | 24% | 85% | 8% | 027_ALLENS CROSSROADS VFD | 1867 | 337 | 168 | 50% | 18% | 41% | 31% | 85% | 13% | 042_NEW SALEM BAPTIST CHURCH | 1977 | 417 | 233 | 56% | 21% | 38% | 30% | 79% | 13% | 006 | 1922 | 305 | 164 | 54% | 16% | 46% | 26% | 87% | 7% | 026_UNION BAPTIST CHURCH | 2004 | 523 | 313 | 60% | 26% | 41% | 31% | 84% | 12% | 036_CROSSROADS AME ZION CHURCH | 2078 | 428 | 228 | 53% | 21% | 39% | 36% | 79% | 18% | 025_ROCK REST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2035 | 378 | 217 | 57% | 19% | 41% | 31% | 84% | 11% | 035_ROCK HILL AME ZION CHURCH | 2072 | 322 | 195 | 61% | 16% | 48% | 19% | 92% | 3% | 023_GRIFFITH ROAD VFD | 2209 | 373 | 175 | 47% | 17% | 39% | 28% | 84% | 10% | 029C_STALLINGS VFD | 2258 | 230 | 136 | 59% | 10% | 44% | 25% | 86% | 7% | 039_PORTER RIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2262 | 401 | 219 | 55% | 18% | 50% | 21% | 88% | 8% | 008 | 2846 | 397 | 208 | 52% | 14% | 22% | 48% | 49% | 39% | 033_WAXHAW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2532 | 428 | 231 | 54% | 17% | 42% | 25% | 85% | 11% | 021_JACKSON VFD | 2393 | 522 | 335 | 64% | 22% | 47% | 22% | 91% | 5% | 024_PROSPECT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2511 | 480 | 271 | 56% | 19% | 43% | 27% | 90% | 7% | 038B_LAKE PARK COMMUNITY CENTER | 2708 | 524 | 282 | 54% | 19% | 45% | 21% | 86% | 7% | 012_BETHLEHEM PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2355 | 525 | 266 | 51% | 22% | 60% | 16% | 97% | 1% | 011_EUTO BAPTIST CHURCH | 2441 | 667 | 405 | 61% | 27% | 56% | 19% | 96% | 2% | 018_PROVIDENCE VFD | 2713 | 493 | 315 | 64% | 18% | 54% | 16% | 90% | 4% | 022_TIRZAH PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2684 | 701 | 505 | 72% | 26% | 57% | 13% | 93% | 3% | 005 | 3225 | 488 | 236 | 48% | 15% | 37% | 30% | 79% | 12% | 013_UNIONVILLE VFD | 2664 | 610 | 368 | 60% | 23% | 58% | 15% | 97% | 1% | 017A_WESLEY CHAPEL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3367 | 453 | 278 | 61% | 13% | 43% | 23% | 84% | 9% | 032_FAIRVIEW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3243 | 450 | 290 | 64% | 14% | 50% | 21% | 88% | 7% | 038A_SARDIS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3811 | 638 | 365 | 57% | 17% | 37% | 30% | 76% | 14% | 034_MIDWAY BAPTIST CHURCH | 3261 | 556 | 363 | 65% | 17% | 44% | 28% | 82% | 14% | 031_GRACE BAPTIST CHURCH | 3828 | 682 | 389 | 57% | 18% | 37% | 28% | 76% | 14% | 007 | 3555 | 595 | 345 | 58% | 17% | 36% | 32% | 75% | 16% | 028C_MARVIN AME ZION CHURCH | 3507 | 467 | 275 | 59% | 13% | 48% | 15% | 85% | 6% | 028B_MARVIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3677 | 627 | 419 | 67% | 17% | 49% | 15% | 82% | 5% | 020A_WAXHAW VFD | 4021 | 728 | 410 | 56% | 18% | 40% | 26% | 80% | 13% | 020B_WAXHAW BIBLE CHURCH | 3957 | 547 | 313 | 57% | 14% | 48% | 17% | 90% | 4% | 041_WEDDINGTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3775 | 606 | 397 | 66% | 16% | 50% | 17% | 86% | 5% | 040_SPIRIT OF JOY LUTHERAN CHURCH | 3859 | 617 | 393 | 64% | 16% | 49% | 19% | 88% | 5% | 028D_KENSINGTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4119 | 734 | 380 | 52% | 18% | 43% | 21% | 82% | 8% | 030_GRACE UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 4629 | 661 | 366 | 55% | 14% | 39% | 31% | 75% | 16% | 017B_SILER PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 4220 | 662 | 436 | 66% | 16% | 48% | 17% | 86% | 7% | 015_STALLINGS UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 4432 | 666 | 375 | 56% | 15% | 40% | 25% | 83% | 8% | 029A_SHILOH ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4874 | 714 | 379 | 53% | 15% | 34% | 31% | 72% | 15% | 037A_STALLINGS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4998 | 661 | 361 | 55% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 78% | 12% | 016_HEMBY BRIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4810 | 755 | 421 | 56% | 16% | 44% | 24% | 84% | 9% | 028A_SANDY RIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4837 | 672 | 426 | 63% | 14% | 47% | 19% | 81% | 8% | 019_MINERAL SPRINGS VFD | 4290 | 699 | 425 | 61% | 14% | 47% | 19% | 81% | 8% |
|---|
Michael R. (Mike) Morgan (D): Percent of votes: 42.68%, Total votes: 10750 out of 25189
Data
| Precinct | Registrations | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Election Day Turnout |
Reg. Rep | Reg. Dem | White | Black | 043_THE BAZEMORE CENTER | 1166 | 137 | 86 | 63% | 12% | 9% | 69% | 20% | 69% | 001 | 1386 | 196 | 113 | 58% | 14% | 16% | 58% | 41% | 45% | 003 | 1328 | 156 | 78 | 50% | 12% | 23% | 51% | 54% | 33% | 010_THE OLD ARMORY | 1353 | 183 | 110 | 60% | 14% | 18% | 57% | 46% | 44% | 004 | 1557 | 238 | 169 | 71% | 15% | 10% | 69% | 20% | 65% | 014_INDIAN TRAIL LIBRARY | 1580 | 244 | 125 | 51% | 15% | 40% | 26% | 87% | 7% | 009 | 1594 | 370 | 194 | 52% | 23% | 18% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 002 | 1841 | 230 | 134 | 58% | 12% | 18% | 57% | 46% | 44% | 037B_LIFELINE COMMUNITY CHURCH | 1588 | 324 | 106 | 33% | 20% | 56% | 17% | 90% | 5% | 029B_BRANDON OAKS CLUBHOUSE | 1835 | 372 | 172 | 46% | 20% | 42% | 24% | 85% | 8% | 027_ALLENS CROSSROADS VFD | 1867 | 337 | 169 | 50% | 18% | 41% | 31% | 85% | 13% | 042_NEW SALEM BAPTIST CHURCH | 1977 | 417 | 184 | 44% | 21% | 38% | 30% | 79% | 13% | 006 | 1922 | 305 | 141 | 46% | 16% | 46% | 26% | 87% | 7% | 026_UNION BAPTIST CHURCH | 2004 | 523 | 210 | 40% | 26% | 41% | 31% | 84% | 12% | 036_CROSSROADS AME ZION CHURCH | 2078 | 428 | 200 | 47% | 21% | 39% | 36% | 79% | 18% | 025_ROCK REST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2035 | 378 | 161 | 43% | 19% | 41% | 31% | 84% | 11% | 035_ROCK HILL AME ZION CHURCH | 2072 | 322 | 127 | 39% | 16% | 48% | 19% | 92% | 3% | 023_GRIFFITH ROAD VFD | 2209 | 373 | 198 | 53% | 17% | 39% | 28% | 84% | 10% | 029C_STALLINGS VFD | 2258 | 230 | 94 | 41% | 10% | 44% | 25% | 86% | 7% | 039_PORTER RIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2262 | 401 | 182 | 45% | 18% | 50% | 21% | 88% | 8% | 008 | 2846 | 397 | 189 | 48% | 14% | 22% | 48% | 49% | 39% | 033_WAXHAW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2532 | 428 | 197 | 46% | 17% | 42% | 25% | 85% | 11% | 021_JACKSON VFD | 2393 | 522 | 187 | 36% | 22% | 47% | 22% | 91% | 5% | 024_PROSPECT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 2511 | 480 | 209 | 44% | 19% | 43% | 27% | 90% | 7% | 038B_LAKE PARK COMMUNITY CENTER | 2708 | 524 | 242 | 46% | 19% | 45% | 21% | 86% | 7% | 012_BETHLEHEM PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2355 | 525 | 259 | 49% | 22% | 60% | 16% | 97% | 1% | 011_EUTO BAPTIST CHURCH | 2441 | 667 | 262 | 39% | 27% | 56% | 19% | 96% | 2% | 018_PROVIDENCE VFD | 2713 | 493 | 178 | 36% | 18% | 54% | 16% | 90% | 4% | 022_TIRZAH PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 2684 | 701 | 196 | 28% | 26% | 57% | 13% | 93% | 3% | 005 | 3225 | 488 | 252 | 52% | 15% | 37% | 30% | 79% | 12% | 013_UNIONVILLE VFD | 2664 | 610 | 242 | 40% | 23% | 58% | 15% | 97% | 1% | 017A_WESLEY CHAPEL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3367 | 453 | 175 | 39% | 13% | 43% | 23% | 84% | 9% | 032_FAIRVIEW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3243 | 450 | 160 | 36% | 14% | 50% | 21% | 88% | 7% | 038A_SARDIS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3811 | 638 | 273 | 43% | 17% | 37% | 30% | 76% | 14% | 034_MIDWAY BAPTIST CHURCH | 3261 | 556 | 193 | 35% | 17% | 44% | 28% | 82% | 14% | 031_GRACE BAPTIST CHURCH | 3828 | 682 | 293 | 43% | 18% | 37% | 28% | 76% | 14% | 007 | 3555 | 595 | 250 | 42% | 17% | 36% | 32% | 75% | 16% | 028C_MARVIN AME ZION CHURCH | 3507 | 467 | 192 | 41% | 13% | 48% | 15% | 85% | 6% | 028B_MARVIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3677 | 627 | 208 | 33% | 17% | 49% | 15% | 82% | 5% | 020A_WAXHAW VFD | 4021 | 728 | 318 | 44% | 18% | 40% | 26% | 80% | 13% | 020B_WAXHAW BIBLE CHURCH | 3957 | 547 | 234 | 43% | 14% | 48% | 17% | 90% | 4% | 041_WEDDINGTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 3775 | 606 | 209 | 34% | 16% | 50% | 17% | 86% | 5% | 040_SPIRIT OF JOY LUTHERAN CHURCH | 3859 | 617 | 224 | 36% | 16% | 49% | 19% | 88% | 5% | 028D_KENSINGTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4119 | 734 | 354 | 48% | 18% | 43% | 21% | 82% | 8% | 030_GRACE UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 4629 | 661 | 295 | 45% | 14% | 39% | 31% | 75% | 16% | 017B_SILER PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 4220 | 662 | 226 | 34% | 16% | 48% | 17% | 86% | 7% | 015_STALLINGS UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 4432 | 666 | 291 | 44% | 15% | 40% | 25% | 83% | 8% | 029A_SHILOH ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4874 | 714 | 335 | 47% | 15% | 34% | 31% | 72% | 15% | 037A_STALLINGS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4998 | 661 | 300 | 45% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 78% | 12% | 016_HEMBY BRIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4810 | 755 | 334 | 44% | 16% | 44% | 24% | 84% | 9% | 028A_SANDY RIDGE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 4837 | 672 | 246 | 37% | 14% | 47% | 19% | 81% | 8% | 019_MINERAL SPRINGS VFD | 3715 | 699 | 274 | 39% | 14% | 47% | 19% | 81% | 8% |
|---|