2016, November 8 – U.S. Representative, Dist. 10

North Carolina

ELECTION DAY votes from Buncombe County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 14547 Precincts: 67 Average votes per precinct: 217 Votes in median precinct: 385
Registered Republicans: 20.4% Registered Democrats: 42.6%
Voting Machine:

deltaM = -5.8%
deltaMxV = -849

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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Detailed Data

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Andy Millard (D): Percent of votes: 52.92%, Total votes: 7698 out of 14547

Data

Precinct	Registrations	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Election Day Turnout	Reg. Rep	Reg. Dem	White	Black
23.2_THE CHURCH AT ASHEVILLE	556	44	23	52%	8%	23%	43%	94%	1%
27.2_BEAVERDAM COMMUNITY CENTER	828	101	50	50%	12%	15%	45%	94%	1%
20.1_BOARD OF ELECTIONS OFFICE	1154	157	113	72%	14%	10%	50%	81%	10%
23.3_EVERGREEN CHARTER SCHOOL	987	191	86	45%	19%	24%	44%	94%	2%
19.1_SKYLAND FIRE DEPARTMENT	1467	189	104	55%	13%	23%	38%	78%	12%
60.4_ABIDING SAVIOR LUTHERAN CHURCH	1527	195	66	34%	13%	27%	38%	93%	1%
34.1_LAKE TOMAHAWK	1256	231	105	45%	18%	22%	43%	94%	2%
33.2_BLACK MOUNTAIN PRIMARY SCHOOL	1341	227	91	40%	17%	27%	38%	90%	3%
39.2_FAIRVIEW VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPT	1628	257	109	42%	16%	29%	35%	93%	1%
11.1_ASHEVILLE SENIOR OPPORTUNITY CENTER	1932	252	214	85%	13%	7%	52%	62%	25%
60.2_REYNOLDS FIRE DEPARTMENT	1474	247	120	49%	17%	22%	36%	88%	4%
06.1_TRINITY PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH	1530	275	167	61%	18%	15%	51%	87%	6%
17.1_BETH ISRAEL SYNAGOGUE	1868	249	175	70%	13%	11%	46%	89%	4%
66.1_BEE TREE FIRE DEPARTMENT	1914	268	112	42%	14%	24%	41%	86%	4%
10.1_DR WESLEY GRANT SR SOUTHSIDE CENTER	1755	272	245	90%	15%	5%	67%	40%	52%
35.1_CARVER COMMUNITY CENTER	1803	242	107	44%	13%	21%	47%	86%	8%
28.1_COVENANT REFORMED PRESBYTERIAN	3133	268	197	74%	9%	8%	46%	82%	4%
01.1_STEPHENS LEE COMMUNITY CENTER	2213	312	251	80%	14%	8%	53%	70%	20%
38.2_CANE CREEK MIDDLE SCHOOL	1747	319	59	18%	18%	38%	27%	94%	1%
56.2_ARDEN FIRST BAPTIST CHURCH	2254	326	133	41%	14%	28%	36%	90%	4%
32.1_OWEN MIDDLE SCHOOL	2060	348	116	33%	17%	30%	34%	93%	2%
33.3_BLACK MOUNTAIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL	2090	364	148	41%	17%	27%	39%	89%	5%
36.1_MONTREAT CONFERENCE CENTER - WALKUP BUILDING	1979	335	119	36%	17%	30%	34%	93%	2%
37.1_GARREN CREEK FIRE DEPARTMENT	1415	385	117	30%	27%	31%	30%	94%	0%
14.2_ASHEVILLE CITY PRE-SCHOOL	2487	361	263	73%	15%	11%	49%	74%	16%
39.3_FAIRVIEW COMMUNITY CENTER	2585	342	108	32%	13%	32%	32%	93%	1%
22.2_IRA B JONES SCHOOL AUDITORIUM	2341	321	181	56%	14%	17%	49%	93%	1%
64.1_FIRST BAPTIST OF SWANNANOA	2087	410	159	39%	20%	29%	34%	90%	4%
07.1_KENILWORTH PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH	1984	395	306	77%	20%	9%	54%	84%	9%
65.1_WD WILLIAMS ELEMENTARY	3322	280	192	69%	8%	25%	39%	90%	2%
08.2_SHILOH COMMUNITY CENTER	2805	461	263	57%	16%	16%	50%	65%	26%
12.1_HALL FLETCHER SCHOOL	2303	461	334	72%	20%	7%	51%	85%	4%
03.1_ST MARKS LUTHERAN CHURCH	2764	376	326	87%	14%	6%	51%	82%	9%
02.1_WILLIAM RANDOLPH SCHOOL	3634	391	335	86%	11%	4%	56%	69%	21%
25.1_CHARLES C BELL SCHOOL	2621	442	229	52%	17%	18%	43%	84%	8%
29.2_NEW HOPE PRESBYTERIAN	3127	313	151	48%	10%	25%	38%	87%	6%
08.3_FAITH TABERNACLE CHRISTIAN CENTER	2689	401	291	73%	15%	16%	50%	67%	25%
62.1_GRASSY BRANCH BAPTIST	2532	436	205	47%	17%	24%	40%	90%	3%
61.1_RICEVILLE COMMUNITY CENTER	2450	484	209	43%	20%	28%	37%	94%	1%
57.1_SKYLAND FIRE DEPARTMENT BISHOP SUBSTATION	2953	483	132	27%	16%	35%	29%	91%	3%
21.1_HAW CREEK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL	2741	503	285	57%	18%	18%	49%	82%	12%
38.3_TRINITY OF FAIRVIEW CHURCH	3343	517	131	25%	15%	36%	29%	91%	3%
55.1_GLEN ARDEN SCHOOL	3240	540	201	37%	17%	32%	32%	88%	6%
09.1_MURPHY-OAKLEY COMMUNITY CENTER	3659	576	370	64%	16%	15%	47%	79%	12%

Patrick McHenry (R): Percent of votes: 47.08%, Total votes: 6849 out of 14547

Data

Precinct	Registrations	Total Votes	Votes	Percent	Election Day Turnout	Reg. Rep	Reg. Dem	White	Black
23.2_THE CHURCH AT ASHEVILLE	556	44	21	48%	8%	23%	43%	94%	1%
27.2_BEAVERDAM COMMUNITY CENTER	828	101	51	50%	12%	15%	45%	94%	1%
20.1_BOARD OF ELECTIONS OFFICE	1154	157	44	28%	14%	10%	50%	81%	10%
23.3_EVERGREEN CHARTER SCHOOL	987	191	105	55%	19%	24%	44%	94%	2%
19.1_SKYLAND FIRE DEPARTMENT	1467	189	85	45%	13%	23%	38%	78%	12%
60.4_ABIDING SAVIOR LUTHERAN CHURCH	1527	195	129	66%	13%	27%	38%	93%	1%
34.1_LAKE TOMAHAWK	1256	231	126	55%	18%	22%	43%	94%	2%
33.2_BLACK MOUNTAIN PRIMARY SCHOOL	1341	227	136	60%	17%	27%	38%	90%	3%
39.2_FAIRVIEW VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPT	1628	257	148	58%	16%	29%	35%	93%	1%
11.1_ASHEVILLE SENIOR OPPORTUNITY CENTER	1932	252	38	15%	13%	7%	52%	62%	25%
60.2_REYNOLDS FIRE DEPARTMENT	1474	247	127	51%	17%	22%	36%	88%	4%
06.1_TRINITY PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH	1530	275	108	39%	18%	15%	51%	87%	6%
17.1_BETH ISRAEL SYNAGOGUE	1868	249	74	30%	13%	11%	46%	89%	4%
66.1_BEE TREE FIRE DEPARTMENT	1914	268	156	58%	14%	24%	41%	86%	4%
10.1_DR WESLEY GRANT SR SOUTHSIDE CENTER	1755	272	27	10%	15%	5%	67%	40%	52%
35.1_CARVER COMMUNITY CENTER	1803	242	135	56%	13%	21%	47%	86%	8%
28.1_COVENANT REFORMED PRESBYTERIAN	3133	268	71	26%	9%	8%	46%	82%	4%
01.1_STEPHENS LEE COMMUNITY CENTER	2213	312	61	20%	14%	8%	53%	70%	20%
38.2_CANE CREEK MIDDLE SCHOOL	1747	319	260	82%	18%	38%	27%	94%	1%
56.2_ARDEN FIRST BAPTIST CHURCH	2254	326	193	59%	14%	28%	36%	90%	4%
32.1_OWEN MIDDLE SCHOOL	2060	348	232	67%	17%	30%	34%	93%	2%
33.3_BLACK MOUNTAIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL	2090	364	216	59%	17%	27%	39%	89%	5%
36.1_MONTREAT CONFERENCE CENTER - WALKUP BUILDING	1979	335	216	64%	17%	30%	34%	93%	2%
37.1_GARREN CREEK FIRE DEPARTMENT	1415	385	268	70%	27%	31%	30%	94%	0%
14.2_ASHEVILLE CITY PRE-SCHOOL	2487	361	98	27%	15%	11%	49%	74%	16%
39.3_FAIRVIEW COMMUNITY CENTER	2585	342	234	68%	13%	32%	32%	93%	1%
22.2_IRA B JONES SCHOOL AUDITORIUM	2341	321	140	44%	14%	17%	49%	93%	1%
64.1_FIRST BAPTIST OF SWANNANOA	2087	410	251	61%	20%	29%	34%	90%	4%
07.1_KENILWORTH PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH	1984	395	89	23%	20%	9%	54%	84%	9%
12.1_HALL FLETCHER SCHOOL	2303	280	88	31%	12%	7%	51%	85%	4%
65.1_WD WILLIAMS ELEMENTARY	3322	461	198	43%	14%	25%	39%	90%	2%
08.2_SHILOH COMMUNITY CENTER	2805	461	127	28%	16%	16%	50%	65%	26%
03.1_ST MARKS LUTHERAN CHURCH	2764	376	50	13%	14%	6%	51%	82%	9%
02.1_WILLIAM RANDOLPH SCHOOL	3634	391	56	14%	11%	4%	56%	69%	21%
25.1_CHARLES C BELL SCHOOL	2621	442	213	48%	17%	18%	43%	84%	8%
29.2_NEW HOPE PRESBYTERIAN	3127	313	162	52%	10%	25%	38%	87%	6%
08.3_FAITH TABERNACLE CHRISTIAN CENTER	2689	401	110	27%	15%	16%	50%	67%	25%
62.1_GRASSY BRANCH BAPTIST	2532	436	231	53%	17%	24%	40%	90%	3%
61.1_RICEVILLE COMMUNITY CENTER	2450	484	275	57%	20%	28%	37%	94%	1%
57.1_SKYLAND FIRE DEPARTMENT BISHOP SUBSTATION	2953	483	351	73%	16%	35%	29%	91%	3%
21.1_HAW CREEK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL	2741	503	218	43%	18%	18%	49%	82%	12%
38.3_TRINITY OF FAIRVIEW CHURCH	3343	517	386	75%	15%	36%	29%	91%	3%
55.1_GLEN ARDEN SCHOOL	3240	540	339	63%	17%	32%	32%	88%	6%
09.1_MURPHY-OAKLEY COMMUNITY CENTER	3659	576	206	36%	16%	15%	47%	79%	12%

County:	Vote type:
Count votes:	Graph type:

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	Andy Millard	Patrick McHenry
1	30.1%	50%	34.1%
2	17.6%	27.3%	31.8%
3	12.5%	11.4%	9.1%
4	9.7%	0%	2.3%
5	7.9%	4.5%	6.8%
6	6.7%	2.3%	2.3%
7	5.8%	0%	4.5%
8	5.1%	2.3%	6.8%
9	4.6%	2.3%	2.3%

North Carolina

ELECTION DAY votes from Buncombe County.Precincts added in order of number of votes.

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Benford's Law Analysis

Show Data

Detailed Data

Data

Data

ELECTION DAY votes from Buncombe County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.