Ohio
ALL votes from Belmont County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 29,893 Precincts (polling places): 70 Average voters per precinct: 427 Votes in median precinct: 391Voting Machine:
deltaM = 1.1%deltaMxV = 334
Click legend entry to show or hide a line.
Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Donald J. Trump
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Hillary Clinton
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J. Trump | Hillary Clinton |
1 | 30.1% | 15.7% | 52.9% |
2 | 17.6% | 32.9% | 14.3% |
3 | 12.5% | 20% | 4.3% |
4 | 9.7% | 17.1% | 1.4% |
5 | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
6 | 6.7% | 2.9% | 10% |
7 | 5.8% | 0% | 4.3% |
8 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
9 | 4.6% | 1.4% | 7.1% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDonald J. Trump (R): Percent of votes: 70.61%, Total votes: 21108 out of 29893
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT FLUSHING TWP 2 - ADL | 53 | 42 | 79% | 62% | 42 | 53 | 79% | PRECINCT MORRISTOWN VILLAGE - ACU | 113 | 86 | 76% | 62% | 128 | 166 | 77% | PRECINCT HOLLOWAY VILLAGE - ABB | 123 | 85 | 69% | 60% | 213 | 289 | 74% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP 2 - ADW | 151 | 82 | 54% | 70% | 295 | 440 | 67% | PRECINCT KIRKWOOD TWP - ABG | 160 | 128 | 80% | 69% | 423 | 600 | 71% | PRECINCT SOMERSET TWP TEMPERANCEVILLE - ACT | 163 | 130 | 80% | 69% | 553 | 763 | 72% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 3-A - AAJ | 170 | 99 | 58% | 45% | 652 | 933 | 70% | PRECINCT YORKVILLE VILLAGE - ABY | 179 | 113 | 63% | 62% | 765 | 1112 | 69% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP AVONDALE - ACD | 192 | 139 | 72% | 78% | 904 | 1304 | 69% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP SUNSET HTS - ABX | 210 | 153 | 73% | 65% | 1057 | 1514 | 70% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 1 - AAV | 213 | 165 | 77% | 71% | 1222 | 1727 | 71% | PRECINCT BELMONT VILLAGE - ABD | 209 | 148 | 71% | 60% | 1370 | 1936 | 71% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 2 - AAU | 226 | 175 | 77% | 66% | 1545 | 2162 | 71% | PRECINCT FLUSHING TWP 1 - ABC | 257 | 194 | 75% | 68% | 1739 | 2419 | 72% | PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP - ADD | 295 | 205 | 69% | 79% | 1944 | 2714 | 72% | PRECINCT BROOKSIDE VILLAGE - ABU | 233 | 169 | 73% | 53% | 2113 | 2947 | 72% | PRECINCT UNION TWP LAFFERTY - ACV | 283 | 208 | 73% | 67% | 2321 | 3230 | 72% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 6 - AAZ | 287 | 201 | 70% | 60% | 2522 | 3517 | 72% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 4-A - AAS | 301 | 199 | 66% | 60% | 2721 | 3818 | 71% | PRECINCT BRIDGEPORT VILLAGE 2 - ABS | 313 | 209 | 67% | 59% | 2930 | 4131 | 71% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 3-B - AAK | 329 | 214 | 65% | 62% | 3144 | 4460 | 70% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 3-A - AAQ | 326 | 210 | 64% | 71% | 3354 | 4786 | 70% | PRECINCT SOMERSET TWP SOMERTON - ACS | 329 | 264 | 80% | 63% | 3618 | 5115 | 71% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 4-B - AAT | 330 | 218 | 66% | 66% | 3836 | 5445 | 70% | PRECINCT WAYNE TWP - ADE | 346 | 281 | 81% | 72% | 4117 | 5791 | 71% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 2-A - AAO | 352 | 223 | 63% | 64% | 4340 | 6143 | 71% | PRECINCT BRIDGEPORT VILLAGE 1 - ABQ | 345 | 222 | 64% | 47% | 4562 | 6488 | 70% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 5 - AAY | 360 | 263 | 73% | 70% | 4825 | 6848 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 7 GLENCOE - ACP | 367 | 277 | 75% | 63% | 5102 | 7215 | 71% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 4 - AAX | 378 | 263 | 70% | 69% | 5365 | 7593 | 71% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 3 - AAE | 357 | 202 | 57% | 42% | 5567 | 7950 | 70% | PRECINCT FLUSHING VILLAGE - ABA | 374 | 262 | 70% | 63% | 5829 | 8324 | 70% | PRECINCT MEAD TWP MEAD SHADYSIDE - ABP | 388 | 274 | 71% | 70% | 6103 | 8712 | 70% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 3 - ADX | 374 | 277 | 74% | 55% | 6380 | 9086 | 70% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 3-B - AAR | 391 | 259 | 66% | 65% | 6639 | 9477 | 70% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP 1 - ABZ | 396 | 286 | 72% | 69% | 6925 | 9873 | 70% | PRECINCT WHEELING TWP UNIONTOWN - ADH | 398 | 323 | 81% | 68% | 7248 | 10271 | 71% | PRECINCT WHEELING TWP FAIRPOINT - ADF | 402 | 302 | 75% | 68% | 7550 | 10673 | 71% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 2 - AAB | 402 | 231 | 57% | 41% | 7781 | 11075 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 3 - ACL | 442 | 298 | 67% | 67% | 8079 | 11517 | 70% | PRECINCT YORK TWP - ADK | 445 | 349 | 78% | 69% | 8428 | 11962 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 1 BANNOCK - ACJ | 467 | 357 | 76% | 71% | 8785 | 12429 | 71% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 2 - ACZ | 478 | 339 | 71% | 62% | 9124 | 12907 | 71% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP BOYDSVILLE - ABW | 494 | 320 | 65% | 52% | 9444 | 13401 | 70% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 1-A - AAN | 505 | 355 | 70% | 75% | 9799 | 13906 | 70% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 4-A - AAL | 504 | 278 | 55% | 44% | 10077 | 14410 | 70% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 3 - ABL | 514 | 330 | 64% | 64% | 10407 | 14924 | 70% | PRECINCT BETHESDA VILLAGE - ABE | 508 | 386 | 76% | 59% | 10793 | 15432 | 70% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 1 - ABH | 541 | 346 | 64% | 62% | 11139 | 15973 | 70% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 2-B - AAP | 562 | 398 | 71% | 70% | 11537 | 16535 | 70% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 1 - AAA | 570 | 377 | 66% | 57% | 11914 | 17105 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 4 LLOYDSVILLE - ACM | 581 | 470 | 81% | 74% | 12384 | 17686 | 70% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 1 - ACF | 585 | 413 | 71% | 70% | 12797 | 18271 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 2 - ACK | 600 | 445 | 74% | 75% | 13242 | 18871 | 70% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 2 - ACH | 589 | 411 | 70% | 69% | 13653 | 19460 | 70% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP BLAINE WOLFHURST - ABV | 581 | 363 | 62% | 63% | 14016 | 20041 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 5 - ACN | 615 | 465 | 76% | 77% | 14481 | 20656 | 70% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 3 - AAW | 632 | 471 | 75% | 74% | 14952 | 21288 | 70% | PRECINCT POWHATAN POINT VILLAGE - ADI | 620 | 413 | 67% | 57% | 15365 | 21908 | 70% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 2-A - AAH | 663 | 398 | 60% | 51% | 15763 | 22571 | 70% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP - ABF | 676 | 564 | 83% | 68% | 16327 | 23247 | 70% | PRECINCT MEAD TWP DILLIES - ABN | 671 | 487 | 73% | 65% | 16814 | 23918 | 70% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 2 - ABI | 680 | 442 | 65% | 67% | 17256 | 24598 | 70% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 6 - ACO | 693 | 507 | 73% | 70% | 17763 | 25291 | 70% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 4 NEFFS - ACE | 708 | 465 | 66% | 59% | 18228 | 25999 | 70% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 1-A - AAF | 701 | 433 | 62% | 60% | 18661 | 26700 | 70% | PRECINCT SMITH TWP CENTERVILLE WARNOCK - ACQ | 730 | 599 | 82% | 72% | 19260 | 27430 | 70% | PRECINCT UNION TWP - ACW | 780 | 631 | 81% | 73% | 19891 | 28210 | 71% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 1 - ACX | 809 | 570 | 70% | 65% | 20461 | 29019 | 71% | PRECINCT WARREN TWP - ADB | 874 | 647 | 74% | 71% | 21108 | 29893 | 71% |
---|
Hillary Clinton (D): Percent of votes: 29.39%, Total votes: 8785 out of 29893
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT FLUSHING TWP 2 - ADL | 53 | 11 | 21% | 62% | 11 | 53 | 21% | PRECINCT MORRISTOWN VILLAGE - ACU | 113 | 27 | 24% | 62% | 38 | 166 | 23% | PRECINCT HOLLOWAY VILLAGE - ABB | 123 | 38 | 31% | 60% | 76 | 289 | 26% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP 2 - ADW | 151 | 69 | 46% | 70% | 145 | 440 | 33% | PRECINCT KIRKWOOD TWP - ABG | 160 | 32 | 20% | 69% | 177 | 600 | 30% | PRECINCT SOMERSET TWP TEMPERANCEVILLE - ACT | 163 | 33 | 20% | 69% | 210 | 763 | 28% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 3-A - AAJ | 170 | 71 | 42% | 45% | 281 | 933 | 30% | PRECINCT YORKVILLE VILLAGE - ABY | 179 | 66 | 37% | 62% | 347 | 1112 | 31% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP AVONDALE - ACD | 192 | 53 | 28% | 78% | 400 | 1304 | 31% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP SUNSET HTS - ABX | 210 | 57 | 27% | 65% | 457 | 1514 | 30% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 1 - AAV | 213 | 48 | 23% | 71% | 505 | 1727 | 29% | PRECINCT BELMONT VILLAGE - ABD | 209 | 61 | 29% | 60% | 566 | 1936 | 29% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 2 - AAU | 226 | 51 | 23% | 66% | 617 | 2162 | 29% | PRECINCT FLUSHING TWP 1 - ABC | 257 | 63 | 25% | 68% | 680 | 2419 | 28% | PRECINCT BROOKSIDE VILLAGE - ABU | 295 | 90 | 31% | 67% | 770 | 2714 | 28% | PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP - ADD | 233 | 64 | 27% | 62% | 834 | 2947 | 28% | PRECINCT UNION TWP LAFFERTY - ACV | 283 | 75 | 27% | 67% | 909 | 3230 | 28% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 6 - AAZ | 287 | 86 | 30% | 60% | 995 | 3517 | 28% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 4-A - AAS | 301 | 102 | 34% | 60% | 1097 | 3818 | 29% | PRECINCT BRIDGEPORT VILLAGE 2 - ABS | 313 | 104 | 33% | 59% | 1201 | 4131 | 29% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 3-B - AAK | 329 | 115 | 35% | 62% | 1316 | 4460 | 30% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 3-A - AAQ | 326 | 116 | 36% | 71% | 1432 | 4786 | 30% | PRECINCT SOMERSET TWP SOMERTON - ACS | 329 | 65 | 20% | 63% | 1497 | 5115 | 29% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 4-B - AAT | 330 | 112 | 34% | 66% | 1609 | 5445 | 30% | PRECINCT WAYNE TWP - ADE | 346 | 65 | 19% | 72% | 1674 | 5791 | 29% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 2-A - AAO | 352 | 129 | 37% | 64% | 1803 | 6143 | 29% | PRECINCT BRIDGEPORT VILLAGE 1 - ABQ | 345 | 123 | 36% | 47% | 1926 | 6488 | 30% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 5 - AAY | 360 | 97 | 27% | 70% | 2023 | 6848 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 7 GLENCOE - ACP | 367 | 90 | 25% | 63% | 2113 | 7215 | 29% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 4 - AAX | 378 | 115 | 30% | 69% | 2228 | 7593 | 29% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 3 - AAE | 357 | 155 | 43% | 42% | 2383 | 7950 | 30% | PRECINCT FLUSHING VILLAGE - ABA | 374 | 112 | 30% | 63% | 2495 | 8324 | 30% | PRECINCT MEAD TWP MEAD SHADYSIDE - ABP | 388 | 114 | 29% | 70% | 2609 | 8712 | 30% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 3 - ADX | 374 | 97 | 26% | 55% | 2706 | 9086 | 30% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 3-B - AAR | 391 | 132 | 34% | 65% | 2838 | 9477 | 30% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP 1 - ABZ | 396 | 110 | 28% | 69% | 2948 | 9873 | 30% | PRECINCT WHEELING TWP UNIONTOWN - ADH | 398 | 75 | 19% | 68% | 3023 | 10271 | 29% | PRECINCT WHEELING TWP FAIRPOINT - ADF | 402 | 100 | 25% | 68% | 3123 | 10673 | 29% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 2 - AAB | 402 | 171 | 43% | 41% | 3294 | 11075 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 3 - ACL | 442 | 144 | 33% | 67% | 3438 | 11517 | 30% | PRECINCT YORK TWP - ADK | 445 | 96 | 22% | 69% | 3534 | 11962 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 1 BANNOCK - ACJ | 467 | 110 | 24% | 71% | 3644 | 12429 | 29% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 2 - ACZ | 478 | 139 | 29% | 62% | 3783 | 12907 | 29% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP BOYDSVILLE - ABW | 494 | 174 | 35% | 52% | 3957 | 13401 | 30% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 1-A - AAN | 505 | 150 | 30% | 75% | 4107 | 13906 | 30% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 4-A - AAL | 504 | 226 | 45% | 44% | 4333 | 14410 | 30% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 3 - ABL | 514 | 184 | 36% | 64% | 4517 | 14924 | 30% | PRECINCT BETHESDA VILLAGE - ABE | 508 | 122 | 24% | 59% | 4639 | 15432 | 30% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 1 - ABH | 541 | 195 | 36% | 62% | 4834 | 15973 | 30% | PRECINCT ST CLAIRSVILLE 2-B - AAP | 562 | 164 | 29% | 70% | 4998 | 16535 | 30% | PRECINCT BELLAIRE VILLAGE 1 - AAA | 570 | 193 | 34% | 57% | 5191 | 17105 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 4 LLOYDSVILLE - ACM | 581 | 111 | 19% | 74% | 5302 | 17686 | 30% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 1 - ACF | 585 | 172 | 29% | 70% | 5474 | 18271 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 2 - ACK | 600 | 155 | 26% | 75% | 5629 | 18871 | 30% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 2 - ACH | 589 | 178 | 30% | 69% | 5807 | 19460 | 30% | PRECINCT PEASE TWP BLAINE WOLFHURST - ABV | 581 | 218 | 38% | 63% | 6025 | 20041 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 5 - ACN | 615 | 150 | 24% | 77% | 6175 | 20656 | 30% | PRECINCT COLERAIN TWP 3 - AAW | 632 | 161 | 25% | 74% | 6336 | 21288 | 30% | PRECINCT POWHATAN POINT VILLAGE - ADI | 620 | 207 | 33% | 57% | 6543 | 21908 | 30% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 2-A - AAH | 663 | 265 | 40% | 51% | 6808 | 22571 | 30% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP - ABF | 676 | 112 | 17% | 68% | 6920 | 23247 | 30% | PRECINCT MEAD TWP DILLIES - ABN | 671 | 184 | 27% | 65% | 7104 | 23918 | 30% | PRECINCT SHADYSIDE VILLAGE 2 - ABI | 680 | 238 | 35% | 67% | 7342 | 24598 | 30% | PRECINCT RICHLAND TWP 6 - ACO | 693 | 186 | 27% | 70% | 7528 | 25291 | 30% | PRECINCT PULTNEY TWP 4 NEFFS - ACE | 708 | 243 | 34% | 59% | 7771 | 25999 | 30% | PRECINCT MARTINS FERRY 1-A - AAF | 701 | 268 | 38% | 60% | 8039 | 26700 | 30% | PRECINCT SMITH TWP CENTERVILLE WARNOCK - ACQ | 730 | 131 | 18% | 72% | 8170 | 27430 | 30% | PRECINCT UNION TWP - ACW | 780 | 149 | 19% | 73% | 8319 | 28210 | 29% | PRECINCT BARNESVILLE VILLAGE 1 - ACX | 809 | 239 | 30% | 65% | 8558 | 29019 | 29% | PRECINCT WARREN TWP - ADB | 874 | 227 | 26% | 71% | 8785 | 29893 | 29% |
---|