Ohio
ALL votes from Erie County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 35,705 Precincts (polling places): 62 Average voters per precinct: 576 Votes in median precinct: 577Voting Machine:
deltaM = 3.6%deltaMxV = 1,283
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Donald J. Trump
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Hillary Clinton
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J. Trump | Hillary Clinton |
1 | 30.1% | 16.1% | 29% |
2 | 17.6% | 38.7% | 37.1% |
3 | 12.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
4 | 9.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% |
5 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 1.6% |
6 | 6.7% | 0% | 1.6% |
7 | 5.8% | 0% | 0% |
8 | 5.1% | 0% | 0% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 3.2% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDonald J. Trump (R): Percent of votes: 55.03%, Total votes: 19648 out of 35705
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT PER TWP #5 - ADN | 172 | 104 | 60% | 67% | 104 | 172 | 60% | PRECINCT KI VILL - ACN | 265 | 167 | 63% | 79% | 271 | 437 | 62% | PRECINCT BV VILL - ACO | 313 | 185 | 59% | 71% | 456 | 750 | 61% | PRECINCT SAN A - ADX | 318 | 223 | 70% | 77% | 679 | 1068 | 64% | PRECINCT BER VILL - ACC | 309 | 187 | 61% | 67% | 866 | 1377 | 63% | PRECINCT VER TWP #4 - ADV | 343 | 235 | 69% | 61% | 1101 | 1720 | 64% | PRECINCT CAST VILL - ACP | 353 | 209 | 59% | 67% | 1310 | 2073 | 63% | PRECINCT VER 2-A - ABX | 371 | 184 | 50% | 65% | 1494 | 2444 | 61% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #4 - ACT | 407 | 236 | 58% | 67% | 1730 | 2851 | 61% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #2 - ACR | 419 | 269 | 64% | 62% | 1999 | 3270 | 61% | PRECINCT VER TWP #5 - ADS | 424 | 245 | 58% | 68% | 2244 | 3694 | 61% | PRECINCT SAN L - AEI | 423 | 161 | 38% | 52% | 2405 | 4117 | 58% | PRECINCT VER 3-B - ACB | 448 | 266 | 59% | 71% | 2671 | 4565 | 59% | PRECINCT VER TWP #3 - ADW | 445 | 265 | 60% | 72% | 2936 | 5010 | 59% | PRECINCT VER 1-A - ABV | 444 | 265 | 60% | 66% | 3201 | 5454 | 59% | PRECINCT VER 3-A - ACA | 452 | 261 | 58% | 66% | 3462 | 5906 | 59% | PRECINCT MIL VILL - AEN | 477 | 300 | 63% | 70% | 3762 | 6383 | 59% | PRECINCT VER TWP #2 - ADU | 474 | 299 | 63% | 68% | 4061 | 6857 | 59% | PRECINCT SAN M - AEJ | 480 | 185 | 39% | 54% | 4246 | 7337 | 58% | PRECINCT HUR D - AAI | 494 | 304 | 62% | 71% | 4550 | 7831 | 58% | PRECINCT MIL TWP #1 - ACW | 516 | 336 | 65% | 74% | 4886 | 8347 | 59% | PRECINCT SAN N - AEK | 519 | 155 | 30% | 56% | 5041 | 8866 | 57% | PRECINCT PER TWP #4 - ADE | 529 | 262 | 50% | 68% | 5303 | 9395 | 56% | PRECINCT PER TWP #9 - ADJ | 539 | 299 | 55% | 72% | 5602 | 9934 | 56% | PRECINCT SAN J - AEG | 561 | 174 | 31% | 60% | 5776 | 10495 | 55% | PRECINCT SAN D - AEA | 558 | 241 | 43% | 68% | 6017 | 11053 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN C - ADZ | 577 | 157 | 27% | 59% | 6174 | 11630 | 53% | PRECINCT SAN O - AEL | 557 | 256 | 46% | 56% | 6430 | 12187 | 53% | PRECINCT VER 2-B - ABY | 548 | 291 | 53% | 65% | 6721 | 12735 | 53% | PRECINCT HUR B - AAB | 565 | 292 | 52% | 63% | 7013 | 13300 | 53% | PRECINCT BER TWP #1 - ACF | 577 | 374 | 65% | 73% | 7387 | 13877 | 53% | PRECINCT FLO TWP #1 - ACG | 583 | 369 | 63% | 76% | 7756 | 14460 | 54% | PRECINCT OX TWP - ADA | 592 | 420 | 71% | 71% | 8176 | 15052 | 54% | PRECINCT HUR C - AAC | 617 | 376 | 61% | 80% | 8552 | 15669 | 55% | PRECINCT PER TWP #7 - ADD | 610 | 374 | 61% | 70% | 8926 | 16279 | 55% | PRECINCT SAN H - AEE | 607 | 202 | 33% | 52% | 9128 | 16886 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN F - AEC | 632 | 229 | 36% | 62% | 9357 | 17518 | 53% | PRECINCT PER TWP #6 - ADC | 643 | 346 | 54% | 71% | 9703 | 18161 | 53% | PRECINCT PER TWP #3 - ADM | 664 | 379 | 57% | 80% | 10082 | 18825 | 54% | PRECINCT HUR F - AAE | 631 | 353 | 56% | 69% | 10435 | 19456 | 54% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #3 - ACS | 648 | 374 | 58% | 72% | 10809 | 20104 | 54% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #3 - ACM | 668 | 425 | 64% | 78% | 11234 | 20772 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN I - AEF | 649 | 269 | 41% | 57% | 11503 | 21421 | 54% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #1 - ACQ | 666 | 439 | 66% | 74% | 11942 | 22087 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN E - AEB | 664 | 242 | 36% | 57% | 12184 | 22751 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN K - AEH | 658 | 245 | 37% | 52% | 12429 | 23409 | 53% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #2 - ACL | 680 | 434 | 64% | 72% | 12863 | 24089 | 53% | PRECINCT GRO TWP - ACI | 681 | 488 | 72% | 73% | 13351 | 24770 | 54% | PRECINCT HUR E - AAJ | 694 | 443 | 64% | 76% | 13794 | 25464 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN B - ADY | 721 | 242 | 34% | 60% | 14036 | 26185 | 54% | PRECINCT PER TWP #1 - ADF | 719 | 353 | 49% | 66% | 14389 | 26904 | 53% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #1 - ACK | 739 | 521 | 71% | 76% | 14910 | 27643 | 54% | PRECINCT HUR A - AAA | 735 | 436 | 59% | 72% | 15346 | 28378 | 54% | PRECINCT PER TWP #8 - ADH | 751 | 434 | 58% | 75% | 15780 | 29129 | 54% | PRECINCT VER TWP #1 - ADT | 747 | 446 | 60% | 69% | 16226 | 29876 | 54% | PRECINCT SAN G - AED | 745 | 235 | 32% | 55% | 16461 | 30621 | 54% | PRECINCT FLO TWP #2 - ACH | 769 | 520 | 68% | 73% | 16981 | 31390 | 54% | PRECINCT BER TWP #2 - ACD | 817 | 549 | 67% | 73% | 17530 | 32207 | 54% | PRECINCT PER TWP #10 - ADO | 869 | 556 | 64% | 77% | 18086 | 33076 | 55% | PRECINCT SAN P - AEM | 851 | 438 | 51% | 68% | 18524 | 33927 | 55% | PRECINCT MIL TWP #2 - ACX | 847 | 564 | 67% | 71% | 19088 | 34774 | 55% | PRECINCT PER TWP #2 - ADB | 931 | 560 | 60% | 73% | 19648 | 35705 | 55% |
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Hillary Clinton (D): Percent of votes: 44.97%, Total votes: 16057 out of 35705
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT PER TWP #5 - ADN | 172 | 68 | 40% | 67% | 68 | 172 | 40% | PRECINCT KI VILL - ACN | 265 | 98 | 37% | 79% | 166 | 437 | 38% | PRECINCT BV VILL - ACO | 313 | 128 | 41% | 71% | 294 | 750 | 39% | PRECINCT SAN A - ADX | 318 | 95 | 30% | 77% | 389 | 1068 | 36% | PRECINCT BER VILL - ACC | 309 | 122 | 39% | 67% | 511 | 1377 | 37% | PRECINCT VER TWP #4 - ADV | 343 | 108 | 31% | 61% | 619 | 1720 | 36% | PRECINCT CAST VILL - ACP | 353 | 144 | 41% | 67% | 763 | 2073 | 37% | PRECINCT VER 2-A - ABX | 371 | 187 | 50% | 65% | 950 | 2444 | 39% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #4 - ACT | 407 | 171 | 42% | 67% | 1121 | 2851 | 39% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #2 - ACR | 419 | 150 | 36% | 62% | 1271 | 3270 | 39% | PRECINCT VER TWP #5 - ADS | 424 | 179 | 42% | 68% | 1450 | 3694 | 39% | PRECINCT SAN L - AEI | 423 | 262 | 62% | 52% | 1712 | 4117 | 42% | PRECINCT VER 3-B - ACB | 448 | 182 | 41% | 71% | 1894 | 4565 | 41% | PRECINCT VER TWP #3 - ADW | 445 | 180 | 40% | 72% | 2074 | 5010 | 41% | PRECINCT VER 1-A - ABV | 444 | 179 | 40% | 66% | 2253 | 5454 | 41% | PRECINCT VER 3-A - ACA | 452 | 191 | 42% | 66% | 2444 | 5906 | 41% | PRECINCT VER TWP #2 - ADU | 477 | 177 | 37% | 69% | 2621 | 6383 | 41% | PRECINCT MIL VILL - AEN | 474 | 175 | 37% | 70% | 2796 | 6857 | 41% | PRECINCT SAN M - AEJ | 480 | 295 | 61% | 54% | 3091 | 7337 | 42% | PRECINCT HUR D - AAI | 494 | 190 | 38% | 71% | 3281 | 7831 | 42% | PRECINCT MIL TWP #1 - ACW | 516 | 180 | 35% | 74% | 3461 | 8347 | 41% | PRECINCT SAN N - AEK | 519 | 364 | 70% | 56% | 3825 | 8866 | 43% | PRECINCT PER TWP #4 - ADE | 529 | 267 | 50% | 68% | 4092 | 9395 | 44% | PRECINCT PER TWP #9 - ADJ | 539 | 240 | 45% | 72% | 4332 | 9934 | 44% | PRECINCT SAN J - AEG | 561 | 387 | 69% | 60% | 4719 | 10495 | 45% | PRECINCT SAN D - AEA | 558 | 317 | 57% | 68% | 5036 | 11053 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN C - ADZ | 577 | 420 | 73% | 59% | 5456 | 11630 | 47% | PRECINCT SAN O - AEL | 557 | 301 | 54% | 56% | 5757 | 12187 | 47% | PRECINCT VER 2-B - ABY | 548 | 257 | 47% | 65% | 6014 | 12735 | 47% | PRECINCT HUR B - AAB | 565 | 273 | 48% | 63% | 6287 | 13300 | 47% | PRECINCT BER TWP #1 - ACF | 577 | 203 | 35% | 73% | 6490 | 13877 | 47% | PRECINCT FLO TWP #1 - ACG | 583 | 214 | 37% | 76% | 6704 | 14460 | 46% | PRECINCT OX TWP - ADA | 592 | 172 | 29% | 71% | 6876 | 15052 | 46% | PRECINCT HUR C - AAC | 617 | 241 | 39% | 80% | 7117 | 15669 | 45% | PRECINCT PER TWP #7 - ADD | 610 | 236 | 39% | 70% | 7353 | 16279 | 45% | PRECINCT SAN H - AEE | 607 | 405 | 67% | 52% | 7758 | 16886 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN F - AEC | 632 | 403 | 64% | 62% | 8161 | 17518 | 47% | PRECINCT PER TWP #6 - ADC | 643 | 297 | 46% | 71% | 8458 | 18161 | 47% | PRECINCT HUR F - AAE | 664 | 285 | 43% | 72% | 8743 | 18825 | 46% | PRECINCT PER TWP #3 - ADM | 631 | 278 | 44% | 76% | 9021 | 19456 | 46% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #3 - ACS | 648 | 274 | 42% | 72% | 9295 | 20104 | 46% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #3 - ACM | 668 | 243 | 36% | 78% | 9538 | 20772 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN I - AEF | 649 | 380 | 59% | 57% | 9918 | 21421 | 46% | PRECINCT MAR TWP #1 - ACQ | 666 | 227 | 34% | 74% | 10145 | 22087 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN E - AEB | 664 | 422 | 64% | 57% | 10567 | 22751 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN K - AEH | 658 | 413 | 63% | 52% | 10980 | 23409 | 47% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #2 - ACL | 680 | 246 | 36% | 72% | 11226 | 24089 | 47% | PRECINCT GRO TWP - ACI | 681 | 193 | 28% | 73% | 11419 | 24770 | 46% | PRECINCT HUR E - AAJ | 694 | 251 | 36% | 76% | 11670 | 25464 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN B - ADY | 721 | 479 | 66% | 60% | 12149 | 26185 | 46% | PRECINCT PER TWP #1 - ADF | 719 | 366 | 51% | 66% | 12515 | 26904 | 47% | PRECINCT HUR TWP #1 - ACK | 739 | 218 | 29% | 76% | 12733 | 27643 | 46% | PRECINCT HUR A - AAA | 735 | 299 | 41% | 72% | 13032 | 28378 | 46% | PRECINCT PER TWP #8 - ADH | 751 | 317 | 42% | 75% | 13349 | 29129 | 46% | PRECINCT VER TWP #1 - ADT | 747 | 301 | 40% | 69% | 13650 | 29876 | 46% | PRECINCT SAN G - AED | 745 | 510 | 68% | 55% | 14160 | 30621 | 46% | PRECINCT FLO TWP #2 - ACH | 769 | 249 | 32% | 73% | 14409 | 31390 | 46% | PRECINCT BER TWP #2 - ACD | 817 | 268 | 33% | 73% | 14677 | 32207 | 46% | PRECINCT PER TWP #10 - ADO | 869 | 313 | 36% | 77% | 14990 | 33076 | 45% | PRECINCT SAN P - AEM | 851 | 413 | 49% | 68% | 15403 | 33927 | 45% | PRECINCT MIL TWP #2 - ACX | 847 | 283 | 33% | 71% | 15686 | 34774 | 45% | PRECINCT PER TWP #2 - ADB | 931 | 371 | 40% | 73% | 16057 | 35705 | 45% |
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