Ohio
ALL votes from Tuscarawas County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 39,106 Precincts (polling places): 81 Average voters per precinct: 483 Votes in median precinct: 467Voting Machine:
deltaM = 5.2%deltaMxV = 2,023
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Donald J. Trump
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Hillary Clinton
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J. Trump | Hillary Clinton |
1 | 30.1% | 12.3% | 64.2% |
2 | 17.6% | 35.8% | 18.5% |
3 | 12.5% | 23.5% | 1.2% |
4 | 9.7% | 17.3% | 1.2% |
5 | 7.9% | 8.6% | 0% |
6 | 6.7% | 0% | 6.2% |
7 | 5.8% | 2.5% | 6.2% |
8 | 5.1% | 0% | 0% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 2.5% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDonald J. Trump (R): Percent of votes: 68.83%, Total votes: 26918 out of 39106
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT PERRY TOWNSHIP - ADS | 189 | 123 | 65% | 71% | 123 | 189 | 65% | PRECINCT PORT WASHINGTON VLG - ADW | 195 | 158 | 81% | 63% | 281 | 384 | 73% | PRECINCT MINERAL CITY - ADY | 218 | 151 | 69% | 52% | 432 | 602 | 72% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-C - ABG | 219 | 121 | 55% | 48% | 553 | 821 | 67% | PRECINCT MIDVALE VILLAGE - ACP | 241 | 171 | 71% | 60% | 724 | 1062 | 68% | PRECINCT BALTIC VILLAGE - ABX | 264 | 215 | 81% | 69% | 939 | 1326 | 71% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-A - AAM | 280 | 166 | 59% | 53% | 1105 | 1606 | 69% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #2 - ABQ | 298 | 182 | 61% | 44% | 1287 | 1904 | 68% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-B - ABF | 312 | 183 | 59% | 53% | 1470 | 2216 | 66% | PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP - AEN | 321 | 257 | 80% | 71% | 1727 | 2537 | 68% | PRECINCT CLAY TWP - ABZ | 327 | 225 | 69% | 70% | 1952 | 2864 | 68% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-D - AAT | 342 | 197 | 58% | 64% | 2149 | 3206 | 67% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-A - ABE | 327 | 170 | 52% | 45% | 2319 | 3533 | 66% | PRECINCT RUSH TOWNSHIP - ADT | 343 | 268 | 78% | 69% | 2587 | 3876 | 67% | PRECINCT WARWICK TWP EAST - AEJ | 347 | 239 | 69% | 67% | 2826 | 4223 | 67% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-B - AAN | 344 | 205 | 60% | 62% | 3031 | 4567 | 66% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #3 - ADP | 352 | 235 | 67% | 58% | 3266 | 4919 | 66% | PRECINCT AUBURN TWP - ABW | 366 | 293 | 80% | 69% | 3559 | 5285 | 67% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #3 - ABS | 355 | 203 | 57% | 47% | 3762 | 5640 | 67% | PRECINCT BUCKS TWP - ABY | 377 | 310 | 82% | 73% | 4072 | 6017 | 68% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK VLG 2 - AEE | 381 | 316 | 83% | 68% | 4388 | 6398 | 69% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-A - AAQ | 378 | 224 | 59% | 51% | 4612 | 6776 | 68% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-D - ABA | 393 | 252 | 64% | 62% | 4864 | 7169 | 68% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #1 - ABO | 402 | 249 | 62% | 64% | 5113 | 7571 | 68% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #2 - ADO | 399 | 285 | 71% | 56% | 5398 | 7970 | 68% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-B - AAR | 385 | 231 | 60% | 64% | 5629 | 8355 | 67% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #3 - ADB | 402 | 271 | 67% | 73% | 5900 | 8757 | 67% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-D - ABH | 399 | 237 | 59% | 58% | 6137 | 9156 | 67% | PRECINCT WARWICK TWP WEST - AEK | 409 | 284 | 69% | 72% | 6421 | 9565 | 67% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-A - AAI | 416 | 273 | 66% | 68% | 6694 | 9981 | 67% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-B - AAJ | 414 | 243 | 59% | 60% | 6937 | 10395 | 67% | PRECINCT DENNISON VILLAGE 2 - ADJ | 416 | 245 | 59% | 52% | 7182 | 10811 | 66% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-D - AEU | 439 | 286 | 65% | 75% | 7468 | 11250 | 66% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #4 - ABU | 431 | 247 | 57% | 55% | 7715 | 11681 | 66% | PRECINCT DENNISON VILLAGE 1 - ADI | 446 | 290 | 65% | 60% | 8005 | 12127 | 66% | PRECINCT TUSCARAWAS VILLAGE - AEM | 436 | 299 | 69% | 66% | 8304 | 12563 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-A - AAA | 426 | 260 | 61% | 63% | 8564 | 12989 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-C - AAO | 447 | 241 | 54% | 65% | 8805 | 13436 | 66% | PRECINCT SANDY TWP WEST - AEA | 469 | 326 | 70% | 71% | 9131 | 13905 | 66% | PRECINCT OXFORD TOWNSHIP - ADM | 467 | 390 | 84% | 69% | 9521 | 14372 | 66% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE #1/ZOAR - ACZ | 465 | 315 | 68% | 65% | 9836 | 14837 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #4/PARRAL - ACG | 466 | 307 | 66% | 71% | 10143 | 15303 | 66% | PRECINCT BOLIVAR VILLAGE - ADE | 446 | 300 | 67% | 69% | 10443 | 15749 | 66% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-C - AAS | 465 | 264 | 57% | 61% | 10707 | 16214 | 66% | PRECINCT SANDY TWP EAST - ADZ | 470 | 308 | 66% | 63% | 11015 | 16684 | 66% | PRECINCT STONECREEK/JEFF TWP - ACX | 477 | 382 | 80% | 74% | 11397 | 17161 | 66% | PRECINCT GOSHEN #3/BARNHILL - ACT | 487 | 347 | 71% | 59% | 11744 | 17648 | 67% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-A - AAX | 486 | 274 | 56% | 66% | 12018 | 18134 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-C - AAK | 488 | 274 | 56% | 74% | 12292 | 18622 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-B - AAB | 494 | 312 | 63% | 72% | 12604 | 19116 | 66% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP #4 - ACU | 504 | 375 | 74% | 71% | 12979 | 19620 | 66% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-A - ABK | 515 | 315 | 61% | 78% | 13294 | 20135 | 66% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP #2 - ACS | 521 | 344 | 66% | 73% | 13638 | 20656 | 66% | PRECINCT GOSHEN 1/ROSWELL - ACR | 516 | 361 | 70% | 66% | 13999 | 21172 | 66% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-B - AAY | 533 | 343 | 64% | 77% | 14342 | 21705 | 66% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #1 - ADN | 529 | 380 | 72% | 63% | 14722 | 22234 | 66% | PRECINCT SALEM TWP - ADV | 528 | 406 | 77% | 72% | 15128 | 22762 | 66% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-A - AAE | 531 | 322 | 61% | 76% | 15450 | 23293 | 66% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK TOWNSHIP - AEC | 551 | 472 | 86% | 69% | 15922 | 23844 | 67% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #2 - ACE | 556 | 401 | 72% | 75% | 16323 | 24400 | 67% | PRECINCT WARREN TOWNSHIP - AEI | 575 | 437 | 76% | 72% | 16760 | 24975 | 67% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-B - ABL | 576 | 370 | 64% | 71% | 17130 | 25551 | 67% | PRECINCT UNION TOWNSHIP - AEG | 588 | 428 | 73% | 69% | 17558 | 26139 | 67% | PRECINCT GNADENHUTTEN - ACA | 577 | 408 | 71% | 69% | 17966 | 26716 | 67% | PRECINCT STRASBURG VILL #2 - ACN | 603 | 415 | 69% | 73% | 18381 | 27319 | 67% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #1 - ACD | 605 | 415 | 69% | 74% | 18796 | 27924 | 67% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-C - AAZ | 642 | 431 | 67% | 69% | 19227 | 28566 | 67% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK VLG 1 - AED | 658 | 548 | 83% | 67% | 19775 | 29224 | 68% | PRECINCT YORK TOWNSHIP - AEP | 666 | 482 | 72% | 73% | 20257 | 29890 | 68% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #4 - ADC | 675 | 501 | 74% | 78% | 20758 | 30565 | 68% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-C - AAC | 681 | 443 | 65% | 77% | 21201 | 31246 | 68% | PRECINCT WAYNE TOWNSHIP - AEO | 692 | 591 | 85% | 67% | 21792 | 31938 | 68% | PRECINCT STRASBURG VILL #1 - ACM | 709 | 510 | 72% | 69% | 22302 | 32647 | 68% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-B - AAF | 734 | 482 | 66% | 74% | 22784 | 33381 | 68% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #3 - ACF | 732 | 552 | 75% | 75% | 23336 | 34113 | 68% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-C - AAG | 747 | 459 | 61% | 78% | 23795 | 34860 | 68% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-C - ABM | 761 | 462 | 61% | 74% | 24257 | 35621 | 68% | PRECINCT FAIRFIELD TWP - ACI | 761 | 598 | 79% | 72% | 24855 | 36382 | 68% | PRECINCT MILL TOWNSHIP - ADG | 771 | 545 | 71% | 63% | 25400 | 37153 | 68% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #2 - ADA | 979 | 749 | 77% | 78% | 26149 | 38132 | 69% | PRECINCT FRANKLIN TWP - ACK | 974 | 769 | 79% | 71% | 26918 | 39106 | 69% |
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Hillary Clinton (D): Percent of votes: 31.17%, Total votes: 12188 out of 39106
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PRECINCT PERRY TOWNSHIP - ADS | 189 | 66 | 35% | 71% | 66 | 189 | 35% | PRECINCT PORT WASHINGTON VLG - ADW | 195 | 37 | 19% | 63% | 103 | 384 | 27% | PRECINCT MINERAL CITY - ADY | 218 | 67 | 31% | 52% | 170 | 602 | 28% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-C - ABG | 219 | 98 | 45% | 48% | 268 | 821 | 33% | PRECINCT MIDVALE VILLAGE - ACP | 241 | 70 | 29% | 60% | 338 | 1062 | 32% | PRECINCT BALTIC VILLAGE - ABX | 264 | 49 | 19% | 69% | 387 | 1326 | 29% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-A - AAM | 280 | 114 | 41% | 53% | 501 | 1606 | 31% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #2 - ABQ | 298 | 116 | 39% | 44% | 617 | 1904 | 32% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-B - ABF | 312 | 129 | 41% | 53% | 746 | 2216 | 34% | PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP - AEN | 321 | 64 | 20% | 71% | 810 | 2537 | 32% | PRECINCT CLAY TWP - ABZ | 327 | 102 | 31% | 70% | 912 | 2864 | 32% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-D - AAT | 342 | 145 | 42% | 64% | 1057 | 3206 | 33% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-A - ABE | 327 | 157 | 48% | 45% | 1214 | 3533 | 34% | PRECINCT RUSH TOWNSHIP - ADT | 343 | 75 | 22% | 69% | 1289 | 3876 | 33% | PRECINCT WARWICK TWP EAST - AEJ | 347 | 108 | 31% | 67% | 1397 | 4223 | 33% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-B - AAN | 344 | 139 | 40% | 62% | 1536 | 4567 | 34% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #3 - ADP | 352 | 117 | 33% | 58% | 1653 | 4919 | 34% | PRECINCT AUBURN TWP - ABW | 366 | 73 | 20% | 69% | 1726 | 5285 | 33% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #3 - ABS | 355 | 152 | 43% | 47% | 1878 | 5640 | 33% | PRECINCT BUCKS TWP - ABY | 377 | 67 | 18% | 73% | 1945 | 6017 | 32% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK VLG 2 - AEE | 381 | 65 | 17% | 68% | 2010 | 6398 | 31% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-A - AAQ | 378 | 154 | 41% | 51% | 2164 | 6776 | 32% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-D - ABA | 393 | 141 | 36% | 62% | 2305 | 7169 | 32% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #1 - ABO | 402 | 153 | 38% | 64% | 2458 | 7571 | 32% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #2 - ADO | 399 | 114 | 29% | 56% | 2572 | 7970 | 32% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-B - AAR | 385 | 154 | 40% | 64% | 2726 | 8355 | 33% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #3 - ADB | 402 | 131 | 33% | 73% | 2857 | 8757 | 33% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 3-D - ABH | 399 | 162 | 41% | 58% | 3019 | 9156 | 33% | PRECINCT WARWICK TWP WEST - AEK | 409 | 125 | 31% | 72% | 3144 | 9565 | 33% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-A - AAI | 416 | 143 | 34% | 68% | 3287 | 9981 | 33% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-B - AAJ | 414 | 171 | 41% | 60% | 3458 | 10395 | 33% | PRECINCT DENNISON VILLAGE 2 - ADJ | 416 | 171 | 41% | 52% | 3629 | 10811 | 34% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-D - AEU | 439 | 153 | 35% | 75% | 3782 | 11250 | 34% | PRECINCT UHRICHSVILLE #4 - ABU | 431 | 184 | 43% | 55% | 3966 | 11681 | 34% | PRECINCT DENNISON VILLAGE 1 - ADI | 446 | 156 | 35% | 60% | 4122 | 12127 | 34% | PRECINCT TUSCARAWAS VILLAGE - AEM | 436 | 137 | 31% | 66% | 4259 | 12563 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-A - AAA | 426 | 166 | 39% | 63% | 4425 | 12989 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER 4-C - AAO | 447 | 206 | 46% | 65% | 4631 | 13436 | 34% | PRECINCT SANDY TWP WEST - AEA | 469 | 143 | 30% | 71% | 4774 | 13905 | 34% | PRECINCT OXFORD TOWNSHIP - ADM | 467 | 77 | 16% | 69% | 4851 | 14372 | 34% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE #1/ZOAR - ACZ | 465 | 150 | 32% | 65% | 5001 | 14837 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #4/PARRAL - ACG | 466 | 159 | 34% | 71% | 5160 | 15303 | 34% | PRECINCT BOLIVAR VILLAGE - ADE | 446 | 146 | 33% | 69% | 5306 | 15749 | 34% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 1-C - AAS | 465 | 201 | 43% | 61% | 5507 | 16214 | 34% | PRECINCT SANDY TWP EAST - ADZ | 470 | 162 | 34% | 63% | 5669 | 16684 | 34% | PRECINCT STONECREEK/JEFF TWP - ACX | 477 | 95 | 20% | 74% | 5764 | 17161 | 34% | PRECINCT GOSHEN #3/BARNHILL - ACT | 487 | 140 | 29% | 59% | 5904 | 17648 | 33% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-A - AAX | 486 | 212 | 44% | 66% | 6116 | 18134 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER 3-C - AAK | 488 | 214 | 44% | 74% | 6330 | 18622 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-B - AAB | 494 | 182 | 37% | 72% | 6512 | 19116 | 34% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP #4 - ACU | 504 | 129 | 26% | 71% | 6641 | 19620 | 34% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-A - ABK | 515 | 200 | 39% | 78% | 6841 | 20135 | 34% | PRECINCT GOSHEN TWP #2 - ACS | 521 | 177 | 34% | 73% | 7018 | 20656 | 34% | PRECINCT GOSHEN 1/ROSWELL - ACR | 516 | 155 | 30% | 66% | 7173 | 21172 | 34% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-B - AAY | 533 | 190 | 36% | 77% | 7363 | 21705 | 34% | PRECINCT NEWCOMERSTOWN #1 - ADN | 529 | 149 | 28% | 63% | 7512 | 22234 | 34% | PRECINCT SALEM TWP - ADV | 528 | 122 | 23% | 72% | 7634 | 22762 | 34% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-A - AAE | 531 | 209 | 39% | 76% | 7843 | 23293 | 34% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK TOWNSHIP - AEC | 551 | 79 | 14% | 69% | 7922 | 23844 | 33% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #2 - ACE | 556 | 155 | 28% | 75% | 8077 | 24400 | 33% | PRECINCT WARREN TOWNSHIP - AEI | 575 | 138 | 24% | 72% | 8215 | 24975 | 33% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-B - ABL | 576 | 206 | 36% | 71% | 8421 | 25551 | 33% | PRECINCT UNION TOWNSHIP - AEG | 588 | 160 | 27% | 69% | 8581 | 26139 | 33% | PRECINCT GNADENHUTTEN - ACA | 577 | 169 | 29% | 69% | 8750 | 26716 | 33% | PRECINCT STRASBURG VILL #2 - ACN | 603 | 188 | 31% | 73% | 8938 | 27319 | 33% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #1 - ACD | 605 | 190 | 31% | 74% | 9128 | 27924 | 33% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 2-C - AAZ | 642 | 211 | 33% | 69% | 9339 | 28566 | 33% | PRECINCT SUGARCREEK VLG 1 - AED | 658 | 110 | 17% | 67% | 9449 | 29224 | 32% | PRECINCT YORK TOWNSHIP - AEP | 666 | 184 | 28% | 73% | 9633 | 29890 | 32% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #4 - ADC | 675 | 174 | 26% | 78% | 9807 | 30565 | 32% | PRECINCT DOVER 1-C - AAC | 681 | 238 | 35% | 77% | 10045 | 31246 | 32% | PRECINCT WAYNE TOWNSHIP - AEO | 692 | 101 | 15% | 67% | 10146 | 31938 | 32% | PRECINCT STRASBURG VILL #1 - ACM | 709 | 199 | 28% | 69% | 10345 | 32647 | 32% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-B - AAF | 734 | 252 | 34% | 74% | 10597 | 33381 | 32% | PRECINCT DOVER TWP #3 - ACF | 732 | 180 | 25% | 75% | 10777 | 34113 | 32% | PRECINCT DOVER 2-C - AAG | 747 | 288 | 39% | 78% | 11065 | 34860 | 32% | PRECINCT NEW PHILA 4-C - ABM | 761 | 299 | 39% | 74% | 11364 | 35621 | 32% | PRECINCT FAIRFIELD TWP - ACI | 761 | 163 | 21% | 72% | 11527 | 36382 | 32% | PRECINCT MILL TOWNSHIP - ADG | 771 | 226 | 29% | 63% | 11753 | 37153 | 32% | PRECINCT LAWRENCE TWP #2 - ADA | 979 | 230 | 23% | 78% | 11983 | 38132 | 31% | PRECINCT FRANKLIN TWP - ACK | 974 | 205 | 21% | 71% | 12188 | 39106 | 31% |
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