Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Armstrong County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 30662 Precincts: 68 Average votes per precinct: 451 Votes in median precinct: 412Registered Republicans: 57.9% Registered Democrats: 41.3%  
Voting Machine: Premier/Diebold AccuVote TSX DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 5.6%deltaMxV = 1,723
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 23.5% | 47.1% |
2 | 17.6% | 19.1% | 10.3% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.6% | 7.4% |
4 | 9.7% | 17.6% | 8.8% |
5 | 7.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
6 | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
7 | 5.8% | 0% | 4.4% |
8 | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 5.9% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 76.59%, Total votes: 23484 out of 30662
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | FORD CITY Boro - X-NORTHERN-1 | 295 | 174 | 59% | 174 | 295 | 59% | FORD CITY Boro - X-SOUTHERN-1 | 338 | 247 | 73% | 421 | 633 | 67% | HOVEY Twp | 32 | 25 | 78% | 446 | 665 | 67% | ATWOOD Boro | 56 | 47 | 84% | 493 | 721 | 68% | PARKER CITY Boro - W-1 | 129 | 101 | 78% | 594 | 850 | 70% | CADOGAN Twp | 141 | 107 | 76% | 701 | 991 | 71% | APPLEWOLD Boro | 146 | 103 | 71% | 804 | 1137 | 71% | ELDERTON Boro | 150 | 124 | 83% | 928 | 1287 | 72% | PARKER CITY Boro - W-2 | 147 | 114 | 78% | 1042 | 1434 | 73% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-SAGAMORE | 155 | 120 | 77% | 1162 | 1589 | 73% | PERRY Twp | 168 | 128 | 76% | 1290 | 1757 | 73% | PARKS Twp - X-NORTH VANDERGRIFT | 179 | 113 | 63% | 1403 | 1936 | 72% | PINE Twp | 183 | 163 | 89% | 1566 | 2119 | 74% | FORD CLIFF Boro | 184 | 141 | 77% | 1707 | 2303 | 74% | MANORVILLE Boro | 196 | 144 | 73% | 1851 | 2499 | 74% | SOUTH BETHLEHEM Boro | 207 | 168 | 81% | 2019 | 2706 | 75% | KITTANNING Boro - W-1 | 233 | 146 | 63% | 2165 | 2939 | 74% | DAYTON Boro | 241 | 209 | 87% | 2374 | 3180 | 75% | FORD CITY Boro - X-NORTHERN | 268 | 157 | 59% | 2531 | 3448 | 73% | GILPIN Twp - X-2 | 280 | 193 | 69% | 2724 | 3728 | 73% | WORTHINGTON Boro | 300 | 237 | 79% | 2961 | 4028 | 74% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-ORCH.HILLS-NORTH | 315 | 227 | 72% | 3188 | 4343 | 73% | FORD CITY Boro - X-SOUTHERN | 319 | 213 | 67% | 3401 | 4662 | 73% | KITTANNING Boro - W-2 | 335 | 228 | 68% | 3629 | 4997 | 73% | KITTANNING Boro - W-4 | 346 | 265 | 77% | 3894 | 5343 | 73% | VALLEY Twp | 359 | 313 | 87% | 4207 | 5702 | 74% | BURRELL Twp | 355 | 302 | 85% | 4509 | 6057 | 74% | FREEPORT Boro - D-1 | 346 | 223 | 64% | 4732 | 6403 | 74% | BRADYS BEND Twp | 370 | 271 | 73% | 5003 | 6773 | 74% | RURAL VALLEY Boro | 372 | 270 | 73% | 5273 | 7145 | 74% | LEECHBURG Boro - X-2 | 390 | 246 | 63% | 5519 | 7535 | 73% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-HORRELL | 400 | 328 | 82% | 5847 | 7935 | 74% | MADISON Twp | 410 | 363 | 89% | 6210 | 8345 | 74% | FREEPORT Boro - D-2 | 412 | 251 | 61% | 6461 | 8757 | 74% | REDBANK Twp | 453 | 407 | 90% | 6868 | 9210 | 75% | PARKS Twp - X-KEPPLE HILL | 454 | 313 | 69% | 7181 | 9664 | 74% | BOGGS Twp | 464 | 414 | 89% | 7595 | 10128 | 75% | MANOR Twp - X-SOUTHERN 1 | 480 | 364 | 76% | 7959 | 10608 | 75% | WASHINGTON Twp | 488 | 395 | 81% | 8354 | 11096 | 75% | KITTANNING Boro - W-3 | 483 | 349 | 72% | 8703 | 11579 | 75% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-EASTERN | 495 | 416 | 84% | 9119 | 12074 | 76% | SOUTH BEND Twp | 503 | 415 | 83% | 9534 | 12577 | 76% | LEECHBURG Boro - X-1 | 493 | 310 | 63% | 9844 | 13070 | 75% | PARKS Twp - X-WESTERN | 506 | 393 | 78% | 10237 | 13576 | 75% | NORTH APOLLO Boro | 522 | 360 | 69% | 10597 | 14098 | 75% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-WESTERN | 531 | 418 | 79% | 11015 | 14629 | 75% | WAYNE Twp | 545 | 492 | 90% | 11507 | 15174 | 76% | APOLLO Boro | 550 | 352 | 64% | 11859 | 15724 | 75% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-NORTHERN | 565 | 464 | 82% | 12323 | 16289 | 76% | BETHEL Twp | 596 | 452 | 76% | 12775 | 16885 | 76% | WEST KITTANNING Boro | 612 | 458 | 75% | 13233 | 17497 | 76% | SUGARCREEK Twp | 620 | 498 | 80% | 13731 | 18117 | 76% | RAYBURN Twp | 642 | 508 | 79% | 14239 | 18759 | 76% | NORTH BUFFALO Twp - X-WESTERN | 668 | 553 | 83% | 14792 | 19427 | 76% | MAHONING City | 677 | 554 | 82% | 15346 | 20104 | 76% | MANOR Twp - X-SOUTHERN 2 | 683 | 480 | 70% | 15826 | 20787 | 76% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-WESTERN | 675 | 517 | 77% | 16343 | 21462 | 76% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-ORCH.HILLS-SOUTH | 697 | 517 | 74% | 16860 | 22159 | 76% | SOUTH BUFFALO Twp - X-EASTERN | 717 | 552 | 77% | 17412 | 22876 | 76% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-EASTERN | 681 | 528 | 78% | 17940 | 23557 | 76% | NORTH BUFFALO Twp - X-EASTERN | 812 | 593 | 73% | 18533 | 24369 | 76% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-SPRING CHURCH | 764 | 578 | 76% | 19111 | 25133 | 76% | SOUTH BUFFALO Twp - X-WESTERN | 831 | 650 | 78% | 19761 | 25964 | 76% | GILPIN Twp - X-1 | 869 | 600 | 69% | 20361 | 26833 | 76% | MANOR Twp - X-NORTHERN | 878 | 659 | 75% | 21020 | 27711 | 76% | PLUMCREEK Twp | 980 | 838 | 86% | 21858 | 28691 | 76% | WEST FRANKLIN Twp | 975 | 819 | 84% | 22677 | 29666 | 76% | KITTANNING Twp | 996 | 807 | 81% | 23484 | 30662 | 77% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 23.41%, Total votes: 7178 out of 30662
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | FORD CITY Boro - X-SOUTHERN-1 | 295 | 121 | 41% | 121 | 295 | 41% | FORD CITY Boro - X-NORTHERN-1 | 338 | 91 | 27% | 212 | 633 | 33% | HOVEY Twp | 32 | 7 | 22% | 219 | 665 | 33% | ATWOOD Boro | 56 | 9 | 16% | 228 | 721 | 32% | PARKER CITY Boro - W-1 | 129 | 28 | 22% | 256 | 850 | 30% | CADOGAN Twp | 141 | 34 | 24% | 290 | 991 | 29% | APPLEWOLD Boro | 146 | 43 | 29% | 333 | 1137 | 29% | ELDERTON Boro | 150 | 26 | 17% | 359 | 1287 | 28% | PARKER CITY Boro - W-2 | 147 | 33 | 22% | 392 | 1434 | 27% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-SAGAMORE | 155 | 35 | 23% | 427 | 1589 | 27% | PERRY Twp | 168 | 40 | 24% | 467 | 1757 | 27% | PARKS Twp - X-NORTH VANDERGRIFT | 179 | 66 | 37% | 533 | 1936 | 28% | PINE Twp | 183 | 20 | 11% | 553 | 2119 | 26% | FORD CLIFF Boro | 184 | 43 | 23% | 596 | 2303 | 26% | MANORVILLE Boro | 196 | 52 | 27% | 648 | 2499 | 26% | SOUTH BETHLEHEM Boro | 207 | 39 | 19% | 687 | 2706 | 25% | KITTANNING Boro - W-1 | 233 | 87 | 37% | 774 | 2939 | 26% | DAYTON Boro | 241 | 32 | 13% | 806 | 3180 | 25% | FORD CITY Boro - X-NORTHERN | 268 | 111 | 41% | 917 | 3448 | 27% | GILPIN Twp - X-2 | 280 | 87 | 31% | 1004 | 3728 | 27% | WORTHINGTON Boro | 300 | 63 | 21% | 1067 | 4028 | 26% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-ORCH.HILLS-NORTH | 315 | 88 | 28% | 1155 | 4343 | 27% | FORD CITY Boro - X-SOUTHERN | 319 | 106 | 33% | 1261 | 4662 | 27% | KITTANNING Boro - W-2 | 335 | 107 | 32% | 1368 | 4997 | 27% | KITTANNING Boro - W-4 | 346 | 81 | 23% | 1449 | 5343 | 27% | VALLEY Twp | 359 | 46 | 13% | 1495 | 5702 | 26% | BURRELL Twp | 355 | 53 | 15% | 1548 | 6057 | 26% | FREEPORT Boro - D-1 | 346 | 123 | 36% | 1671 | 6403 | 26% | BRADYS BEND Twp | 370 | 99 | 27% | 1770 | 6773 | 26% | RURAL VALLEY Boro | 372 | 102 | 27% | 1872 | 7145 | 26% | LEECHBURG Boro - X-2 | 390 | 144 | 37% | 2016 | 7535 | 27% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-HORRELL | 400 | 72 | 18% | 2088 | 7935 | 26% | MADISON Twp | 410 | 47 | 11% | 2135 | 8345 | 26% | FREEPORT Boro - D-2 | 412 | 161 | 39% | 2296 | 8757 | 26% | REDBANK Twp | 453 | 46 | 10% | 2342 | 9210 | 25% | PARKS Twp - X-KEPPLE HILL | 454 | 141 | 31% | 2483 | 9664 | 26% | BOGGS Twp | 464 | 50 | 11% | 2533 | 10128 | 25% | MANOR Twp - X-SOUTHERN 1 | 480 | 116 | 24% | 2649 | 10608 | 25% | WASHINGTON Twp | 488 | 93 | 19% | 2742 | 11096 | 25% | KITTANNING Boro - W-3 | 483 | 134 | 28% | 2876 | 11579 | 25% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-EASTERN | 495 | 79 | 16% | 2955 | 12074 | 24% | SOUTH BEND Twp | 503 | 88 | 17% | 3043 | 12577 | 24% | LEECHBURG Boro - X-1 | 493 | 183 | 37% | 3226 | 13070 | 25% | PARKS Twp - X-WESTERN | 506 | 113 | 22% | 3339 | 13576 | 25% | NORTH APOLLO Boro | 522 | 162 | 31% | 3501 | 14098 | 25% | COWANSHANNOCK Twp - X-WESTERN | 531 | 113 | 21% | 3614 | 14629 | 25% | WAYNE Twp | 545 | 53 | 10% | 3667 | 15174 | 24% | APOLLO Boro | 550 | 198 | 36% | 3865 | 15724 | 25% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-NORTHERN | 565 | 101 | 18% | 3966 | 16289 | 24% | BETHEL Twp | 596 | 144 | 24% | 4110 | 16885 | 24% | WEST KITTANNING Boro | 612 | 154 | 25% | 4264 | 17497 | 24% | SUGARCREEK Twp | 620 | 122 | 20% | 4386 | 18117 | 24% | RAYBURN Twp | 642 | 134 | 21% | 4520 | 18759 | 24% | NORTH BUFFALO Twp - X-WESTERN | 668 | 115 | 17% | 4635 | 19427 | 24% | MAHONING City | 677 | 123 | 18% | 4758 | 20104 | 24% | MANOR Twp - X-SOUTHERN 2 | 683 | 203 | 30% | 4961 | 20787 | 24% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-WESTERN | 675 | 158 | 23% | 5119 | 21462 | 24% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-ORCH.HILLS-SOUTH | 697 | 180 | 26% | 5299 | 22159 | 24% | SOUTH BUFFALO Twp - X-EASTERN | 717 | 165 | 23% | 5464 | 22876 | 24% | NORTH BUFFALO Twp - X-EASTERN | 681 | 153 | 22% | 5617 | 23557 | 24% | EAST FRANKLIN Twp - X-EASTERN | 812 | 219 | 27% | 5836 | 24369 | 24% | KISKIMINETAS Twp - X-SPRING CHURCH | 764 | 186 | 24% | 6022 | 25133 | 24% | SOUTH BUFFALO Twp - X-WESTERN | 831 | 181 | 22% | 6203 | 25964 | 24% | GILPIN Twp - X-1 | 869 | 269 | 31% | 6472 | 26833 | 24% | MANOR Twp - X-NORTHERN | 878 | 219 | 25% | 6691 | 27711 | 24% | PLUMCREEK Twp | 980 | 142 | 14% | 6833 | 28691 | 24% | WEST FRANKLIN Twp | 975 | 156 | 16% | 6989 | 29666 | 24% | KITTANNING Twp | 996 | 189 | 19% | 7178 | 30662 | 23% |
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