Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Blair County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 53093 Precincts: 93 Average votes per precinct: 571 Votes in median precinct: 402Registered Republicans: 64.4% Registered Democrats: 35%
Voting Machine: Hart Intercivic eSlate DRE-Dial
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 12.4%deltaMxV = 6,576
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
| 1 | 30.1% | 11.8% | 46.2% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 20.4% | 26.9% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 18.3% | 2.2% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 15.1% | 3.2% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 5.4% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 73.71%, Total votes: 39135 out of 53093
Data
| Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | ALTOONA City - W-4-1 | 499 | 351 | 70% | 351 | 499 | 70% | ALTOONA City - W-12-3 | 485 | 327 | 67% | 678 | 984 | 69% | ALTOONA City - W-6-2 | 592 | 363 | 61% | 1041 | 1576 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-14-1 | 806 | 534 | 66% | 1575 | 2382 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-11-1 | 753 | 472 | 63% | 2047 | 3135 | 65% | ALTOONA City - W-5-1 | 401 | 250 | 62% | 2297 | 3536 | 65% | ALTOONA City - W-13-1 | 513 | 357 | 70% | 2654 | 4049 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-6-3 | 640 | 456 | 71% | 3110 | 4689 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-2-1 | 464 | 310 | 67% | 3420 | 5153 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-14-2 | 751 | 479 | 64% | 3899 | 5904 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-12-1 | 319 | 220 | 69% | 4119 | 6223 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-5-2 | 350 | 239 | 68% | 4358 | 6573 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-13-2 | 475 | 310 | 65% | 4668 | 7048 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-8-1 | 376 | 247 | 66% | 4915 | 7424 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-3-1 | 521 | 338 | 65% | 5253 | 7945 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-12-2 | 315 | 210 | 67% | 5463 | 8260 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-6-1 | 585 | 364 | 62% | 5827 | 8845 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-13-3 | 434 | 214 | 49% | 6041 | 9279 | 65% | ALTOONA City - W-10-1 | 747 | 514 | 69% | 6555 | 10026 | 65% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-2 | 81 | 70 | 86% | 6625 | 10107 | 66% | NEWRY Boro | 85 | 63 | 74% | 6688 | 10192 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-5 | 83 | 42 | 51% | 6730 | 10275 | 65% | TYRONE Boro - W-4 | 172 | 134 | 78% | 6864 | 10447 | 66% | ALTOONA City - W-2 | 195 | 106 | 54% | 6970 | 10642 | 65% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-3 | 213 | 144 | 68% | 7114 | 10855 | 66% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-3 | 213 | 127 | 60% | 7241 | 11068 | 65% | TYRONE Boro - W-5 | 222 | 174 | 78% | 7415 | 11290 | 66% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-1 | 235 | 195 | 83% | 7610 | 11525 | 66% | TYRONE Boro - W-3 | 246 | 167 | 68% | 7777 | 11771 | 66% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-1 | 247 | 172 | 70% | 7949 | 12018 | 66% | TYRONE Boro - W-2 | 266 | 208 | 78% | 8157 | 12284 | 66% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-7 | 341 | 234 | 69% | 8391 | 12625 | 66% | CATHARINE Twp | 345 | 294 | 85% | 8685 | 12970 | 67% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-3 | 339 | 264 | 78% | 8949 | 13309 | 67% | TYRONE Boro - W-7 | 346 | 272 | 79% | 9221 | 13655 | 68% | ALTOONA City - W-3 | 345 | 194 | 56% | 9415 | 14000 | 67% | ALTOONA City - W-8 | 346 | 213 | 62% | 9628 | 14346 | 67% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-5 | 355 | 238 | 67% | 9866 | 14701 | 67% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-2 | 366 | 198 | 54% | 10064 | 15067 | 67% | LOGAN Twp - D-7 | 384 | 287 | 75% | 10351 | 15451 | 67% | ALTOONA City - W-4 | 385 | 233 | 61% | 10584 | 15836 | 67% | MARTINSBURG Boro - D-1 | 393 | 328 | 83% | 10912 | 16229 | 67% | TYRONE Twp - D-1 | 401 | 340 | 85% | 11252 | 16630 | 68% | ALTOONA City - W-1 | 396 | 228 | 58% | 11480 | 17026 | 67% | TYRONE Boro - W-1 | 400 | 304 | 76% | 11784 | 17426 | 68% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-4 | 402 | 253 | 63% | 12037 | 17828 | 68% | ALTOONA City - W-7 | 432 | 289 | 67% | 12326 | 18260 | 68% | TYRONE Twp - D-2 | 450 | 340 | 76% | 12666 | 18710 | 68% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-2 | 442 | 354 | 80% | 13020 | 19152 | 68% | ALTOONA City - W-9 | 449 | 300 | 67% | 13320 | 19601 | 68% | ALTOONA City - W-12 | 457 | 299 | 65% | 13619 | 20058 | 68% | TYRONE Boro - W-6 | 465 | 352 | 76% | 13971 | 20523 | 68% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-4 | 513 | 396 | 77% | 14367 | 21036 | 68% | MARTINSBURG Boro - D-2 | 514 | 415 | 81% | 14782 | 21550 | 69% | JUNIATA Twp | 516 | 451 | 87% | 15233 | 22066 | 69% | WILLIAMSBURG Boro | 521 | 413 | 79% | 15646 | 22587 | 69% | FREEDOM Twp - D-1 | 541 | 460 | 85% | 16106 | 23128 | 70% | ALTOONA City - W-6 | 544 | 346 | 64% | 16452 | 23672 | 69% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-6 | 579 | 403 | 70% | 16855 | 24251 | 70% | LOGAN Twp - D-3 | 591 | 447 | 76% | 17302 | 24842 | 70% | SNYDER Twp - D-1 | 599 | 483 | 81% | 17785 | 25441 | 70% | HUSTON Twp | 599 | 531 | 89% | 18316 | 26040 | 70% | DUNCANSVILLE Boro | 596 | 430 | 72% | 18746 | 26636 | 70% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-1 | 606 | 492 | 81% | 19238 | 27242 | 71% | WOODBURY Twp | 654 | 562 | 86% | 19800 | 27896 | 71% | BLAIR Twp - D-3 | 688 | 560 | 81% | 20360 | 28584 | 71% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-4 | 686 | 463 | 67% | 20823 | 29270 | 71% | ALTOONA City - W-13 | 696 | 510 | 73% | 21333 | 29966 | 71% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-3 | 743 | 602 | 81% | 21935 | 30709 | 71% | ALTOONA City - W-10 | 742 | 503 | 68% | 22438 | 31451 | 71% | BELLWOOD Boro | 749 | 606 | 81% | 23044 | 32200 | 72% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-2 | 783 | 545 | 70% | 23589 | 32983 | 72% | LOGAN Twp - D-4 | 800 | 599 | 75% | 24188 | 33783 | 72% | ALTOONA City - W-14 | 795 | 547 | 69% | 24735 | 34578 | 72% | ALTOONA City - W-11 | 787 | 522 | 66% | 25257 | 35365 | 71% | ANTIS Twp - D-2 | 845 | 641 | 76% | 25898 | 36210 | 72% | LOGAN Twp - D-5 | 843 | 631 | 75% | 26529 | 37053 | 72% | BLAIR Twp - D-1 | 854 | 613 | 72% | 27142 | 37907 | 72% | SNYDER Twp - D-2 | 862 | 729 | 85% | 27871 | 38769 | 72% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-1 | 866 | 702 | 81% | 28573 | 39635 | 72% | BLAIR Twp - D-2 | 868 | 625 | 72% | 29198 | 40503 | 72% | FREEDOM Twp - D-2 | 891 | 767 | 86% | 29965 | 41394 | 72% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-3 | 904 | 690 | 76% | 30655 | 42298 | 72% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-5 | 965 | 746 | 77% | 31401 | 43263 | 73% | LOGAN Twp - D-1 | 955 | 676 | 71% | 32077 | 44218 | 73% | ANTIS Twp - D-3 | 994 | 800 | 80% | 32877 | 45212 | 73% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-2 | 1035 | 813 | 79% | 33690 | 46247 | 73% | LOGAN Twp - D-6 | 1086 | 804 | 74% | 34494 | 47333 | 73% | NORTH WOODBURY Twp | 1105 | 952 | 86% | 35446 | 48438 | 73% | LOGAN Twp - D-2 | 1096 | 793 | 72% | 36239 | 49534 | 73% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-1 | 1106 | 854 | 77% | 37093 | 50640 | 73% | TAYLOR Twp | 1157 | 984 | 85% | 38077 | 51797 | 74% | ANTIS Twp - D-1 | 1296 | 1058 | 82% | 39135 | 53093 | 74% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 26.29%, Total votes: 13958 out of 53093
Data
| Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | ALTOONA City - W-4-1 | 499 | 148 | 30% | 148 | 499 | 30% | ALTOONA City - W-12-3 | 485 | 158 | 33% | 306 | 984 | 31% | ALTOONA City - W-6-2 | 592 | 229 | 39% | 535 | 1576 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-14-1 | 806 | 272 | 34% | 807 | 2382 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-11-1 | 753 | 281 | 37% | 1088 | 3135 | 35% | ALTOONA City - W-5-1 | 401 | 151 | 38% | 1239 | 3536 | 35% | ALTOONA City - W-13-1 | 513 | 156 | 30% | 1395 | 4049 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-6-3 | 640 | 184 | 29% | 1579 | 4689 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-2-1 | 464 | 154 | 33% | 1733 | 5153 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-14-2 | 751 | 272 | 36% | 2005 | 5904 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-12-1 | 319 | 99 | 31% | 2104 | 6223 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-5-2 | 350 | 111 | 32% | 2215 | 6573 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-13-2 | 475 | 165 | 35% | 2380 | 7048 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-8-1 | 376 | 129 | 34% | 2509 | 7424 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-3-1 | 521 | 183 | 35% | 2692 | 7945 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-12-2 | 315 | 105 | 33% | 2797 | 8260 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-6-1 | 585 | 221 | 38% | 3018 | 8845 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-13-3 | 434 | 220 | 51% | 3238 | 9279 | 35% | ALTOONA City - W-10-1 | 747 | 233 | 31% | 3471 | 10026 | 35% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-2 | 81 | 11 | 14% | 3482 | 10107 | 34% | NEWRY Boro | 85 | 22 | 26% | 3504 | 10192 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-5 | 83 | 41 | 49% | 3545 | 10275 | 35% | TYRONE Boro - W-4 | 172 | 38 | 22% | 3583 | 10447 | 34% | ALTOONA City - W-2 | 195 | 89 | 46% | 3672 | 10642 | 35% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-3 | 213 | 69 | 32% | 3741 | 10855 | 34% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-3 | 213 | 86 | 40% | 3827 | 11068 | 35% | TYRONE Boro - W-5 | 222 | 48 | 22% | 3875 | 11290 | 34% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-1 | 235 | 40 | 17% | 3915 | 11525 | 34% | TYRONE Boro - W-3 | 246 | 79 | 32% | 3994 | 11771 | 34% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-1 | 247 | 75 | 30% | 4069 | 12018 | 34% | TYRONE Boro - W-2 | 266 | 58 | 22% | 4127 | 12284 | 34% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-7 | 341 | 107 | 31% | 4234 | 12625 | 34% | CATHARINE Twp | 345 | 51 | 15% | 4285 | 12970 | 33% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-3 | 339 | 75 | 22% | 4360 | 13309 | 33% | TYRONE Boro - W-7 | 346 | 74 | 21% | 4434 | 13655 | 32% | ALTOONA City - W-3 | 345 | 151 | 44% | 4585 | 14000 | 33% | ALTOONA City - W-8 | 346 | 133 | 38% | 4718 | 14346 | 33% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-5 | 355 | 117 | 33% | 4835 | 14701 | 33% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-2 | 366 | 168 | 46% | 5003 | 15067 | 33% | LOGAN Twp - D-7 | 384 | 97 | 25% | 5100 | 15451 | 33% | ALTOONA City - W-4 | 385 | 152 | 39% | 5252 | 15836 | 33% | MARTINSBURG Boro - D-1 | 393 | 65 | 17% | 5317 | 16229 | 33% | TYRONE Twp - D-1 | 401 | 61 | 15% | 5378 | 16630 | 32% | ALTOONA City - W-1 | 396 | 168 | 42% | 5546 | 17026 | 33% | TYRONE Boro - W-1 | 400 | 96 | 24% | 5642 | 17426 | 32% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-4 | 402 | 149 | 37% | 5791 | 17828 | 32% | ALTOONA City - W-7 | 432 | 143 | 33% | 5934 | 18260 | 32% | TYRONE Twp - D-2 | 450 | 110 | 24% | 6044 | 18710 | 32% | ROARING SPRING Boro - P-2 | 442 | 88 | 20% | 6132 | 19152 | 32% | ALTOONA City - W-9 | 449 | 149 | 33% | 6281 | 19601 | 32% | ALTOONA City - W-12 | 457 | 158 | 35% | 6439 | 20058 | 32% | TYRONE Boro - W-6 | 465 | 113 | 24% | 6552 | 20523 | 32% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-4 | 513 | 117 | 23% | 6669 | 21036 | 32% | MARTINSBURG Boro - D-2 | 514 | 99 | 19% | 6768 | 21550 | 31% | JUNIATA Twp | 516 | 65 | 13% | 6833 | 22066 | 31% | WILLIAMSBURG Boro | 521 | 108 | 21% | 6941 | 22587 | 31% | FREEDOM Twp - D-1 | 541 | 81 | 15% | 7022 | 23128 | 30% | ALTOONA City - W-6 | 544 | 198 | 36% | 7220 | 23672 | 31% | HOLLIDAYSBURG Boro - W-6 | 579 | 176 | 30% | 7396 | 24251 | 30% | LOGAN Twp - D-3 | 591 | 144 | 24% | 7540 | 24842 | 30% | SNYDER Twp - D-1 | 599 | 116 | 19% | 7656 | 25441 | 30% | HUSTON Twp | 599 | 68 | 11% | 7724 | 26040 | 30% | DUNCANSVILLE Boro | 596 | 166 | 28% | 7890 | 26636 | 30% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-1 | 606 | 114 | 19% | 8004 | 27242 | 29% | WOODBURY Twp | 654 | 92 | 14% | 8096 | 27896 | 29% | BLAIR Twp - D-3 | 688 | 128 | 19% | 8224 | 28584 | 29% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-4 | 686 | 223 | 33% | 8447 | 29270 | 29% | ALTOONA City - W-13 | 696 | 186 | 27% | 8633 | 29966 | 29% | GREENFIELD Twp - D-3 | 743 | 141 | 19% | 8774 | 30709 | 29% | ALTOONA City - W-10 | 742 | 239 | 32% | 9013 | 31451 | 29% | BELLWOOD Boro | 749 | 143 | 19% | 9156 | 32200 | 28% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-2 | 783 | 238 | 30% | 9394 | 32983 | 28% | LOGAN Twp - D-4 | 800 | 201 | 25% | 9595 | 33783 | 28% | ALTOONA City - W-14 | 795 | 248 | 31% | 9843 | 34578 | 28% | ALTOONA City - W-11 | 787 | 265 | 34% | 10108 | 35365 | 29% | ANTIS Twp - D-2 | 845 | 204 | 24% | 10312 | 36210 | 28% | LOGAN Twp - D-5 | 843 | 212 | 25% | 10524 | 37053 | 28% | BLAIR Twp - D-1 | 854 | 241 | 28% | 10765 | 37907 | 28% | SNYDER Twp - D-2 | 862 | 133 | 15% | 10898 | 38769 | 28% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-1 | 866 | 164 | 19% | 11062 | 39635 | 28% | BLAIR Twp - D-2 | 868 | 243 | 28% | 11305 | 40503 | 28% | FREEDOM Twp - D-2 | 891 | 124 | 14% | 11429 | 41394 | 28% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-3 | 904 | 214 | 24% | 11643 | 42298 | 28% | FRANKSTOWN Twp - D-5 | 965 | 219 | 23% | 11862 | 43263 | 27% | LOGAN Twp - D-1 | 955 | 279 | 29% | 12141 | 44218 | 27% | ANTIS Twp - D-3 | 994 | 194 | 20% | 12335 | 45212 | 27% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-2 | 1035 | 222 | 21% | 12557 | 46247 | 27% | LOGAN Twp - D-6 | 1086 | 282 | 26% | 12839 | 47333 | 27% | NORTH WOODBURY Twp | 1105 | 153 | 14% | 12992 | 48438 | 27% | LOGAN Twp - D-2 | 1096 | 303 | 28% | 13295 | 49534 | 27% | ALLEGHENY Twp - D-1 | 1106 | 252 | 23% | 13547 | 50640 | 27% | TAYLOR Twp | 1157 | 173 | 15% | 13720 | 51797 | 26% | ANTIS Twp - D-1 | 1296 | 238 | 18% | 13958 | 53093 | 26% |
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