Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Butler County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 93012 Precincts: 89 Average votes per precinct: 1045 Votes in median precinct: 732Registered Republicans: 61.7% Registered Democrats: 37.5%  
Voting Machine: ES&S iVotronic DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 5.2%deltaMxV = 4,813
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 37.1% | 19.1% |
2 | 17.6% | 9% | 21.3% |
3 | 12.5% | 9% | 20.2% |
4 | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9% |
5 | 7.9% | 5.6% | 10.1% |
6 | 6.7% | 5.6% | 11.2% |
7 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
8 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
9 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 69.27%, Total votes: 64428 out of 93012
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-3 | 1834 | 1008 | 55% | 1008 | 1834 | 55% | BUTLER City - W-4-1 | 839 | 336 | 40% | 1344 | 2673 | 50% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST-2 | 1690 | 1018 | 60% | 2362 | 4363 | 54% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-4 | 1165 | 909 | 78% | 3271 | 5528 | 59% | BUTLER Twp - X-1-1 | 1430 | 783 | 55% | 4054 | 6958 | 58% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-1 | 1478 | 877 | 59% | 4931 | 8436 | 58% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-5 | 1369 | 1018 | 74% | 5949 | 9805 | 61% | BUTLER Twp - X-6-1 | 1457 | 812 | 56% | 6761 | 11262 | 60% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-2 | 2044 | 1354 | 66% | 8115 | 13306 | 61% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST-1 | 1462 | 1103 | 75% | 9218 | 14768 | 62% | CHERRY VALLEY Boro | 25 | 19 | 76% | 9237 | 14793 | 62% | FAIRVIEW Boro | 61 | 43 | 70% | 9280 | 14854 | 62% | PETROLIA Boro | 61 | 42 | 69% | 9322 | 14915 | 63% | WEST SUNBURY Boro | 78 | 56 | 72% | 9378 | 14993 | 63% | KARNS CITY Boro | 85 | 70 | 82% | 9448 | 15078 | 63% | EAU CLAIRE Boro | 91 | 70 | 77% | 9518 | 15169 | 63% | PORTERSVILLE Boro | 126 | 96 | 76% | 9614 | 15295 | 63% | BRUIN Boro | 174 | 149 | 86% | 9763 | 15469 | 63% | WEST LIBERTY Boro | 181 | 139 | 77% | 9902 | 15650 | 63% | CALLERY Boro | 191 | 150 | 79% | 10052 | 15841 | 63% | ALLEGHENY Twp | 245 | 205 | 84% | 10257 | 16086 | 64% | PARKER Twp | 282 | 245 | 87% | 10502 | 16368 | 64% | EAST BUTLER Boro | 323 | 240 | 74% | 10742 | 16691 | 64% | VALENCIA Boro | 337 | 217 | 64% | 10959 | 17028 | 64% | CONNOQUENESSING Boro | 329 | 239 | 73% | 11198 | 17357 | 65% | VENANGO Twp | 360 | 302 | 84% | 11500 | 17717 | 65% | HARRISVILLE Boro | 354 | 273 | 77% | 11773 | 18071 | 65% | CHICORA Boro | 409 | 328 | 80% | 12101 | 18480 | 65% | MERCER Twp | 482 | 400 | 83% | 12501 | 18962 | 66% | BUTLER City - W-2 | 488 | 294 | 60% | 12795 | 19450 | 66% | BRADY Twp | 518 | 380 | 73% | 13175 | 19968 | 66% | BUTLER Twp - X-2 | 509 | 306 | 60% | 13481 | 20477 | 66% | HARMONY Boro | 512 | 331 | 65% | 13812 | 20989 | 66% | BUTLER City - W-4 | 517 | 284 | 55% | 14096 | 21506 | 66% | CHERRY Twp | 533 | 392 | 74% | 14488 | 22039 | 66% | MARION Twp | 559 | 419 | 75% | 14907 | 22598 | 66% | PROSPECT Boro | 544 | 408 | 75% | 15315 | 23142 | 66% | WASHINGTON Twp | 585 | 473 | 81% | 15788 | 23727 | 67% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-1 | 639 | 419 | 66% | 16207 | 24366 | 67% | BUTLER Twp - X-3 | 647 | 429 | 66% | 16636 | 25013 | 67% | CONCORD Twp | 661 | 544 | 82% | 17180 | 25674 | 67% | BUTLER City - W-3 | 663 | 398 | 60% | 17578 | 26337 | 67% | MARS Boro | 696 | 493 | 71% | 18071 | 27033 | 67% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-2 | 732 | 443 | 61% | 18514 | 27765 | 67% | SAXONBURG Boro | 748 | 506 | 68% | 19020 | 28513 | 67% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-3 | 763 | 483 | 63% | 19503 | 29276 | 67% | WORTH Twp | 790 | 602 | 76% | 20105 | 30066 | 67% | SUMMIT Twp - X-NORTH | 818 | 612 | 75% | 20717 | 30884 | 67% | DONEGAL Twp | 864 | 672 | 78% | 21389 | 31748 | 67% | EVANS CITY Boro | 853 | 589 | 69% | 21978 | 32601 | 67% | BUTLER Twp - X-6 | 964 | 633 | 66% | 22611 | 33565 | 67% | FAIRVIEW Twp | 989 | 795 | 80% | 23406 | 34554 | 68% | CLEARFIELD Twp | 1070 | 826 | 77% | 24232 | 35624 | 68% | MUDDYCREEK Twp | 1070 | 874 | 82% | 25106 | 36694 | 68% | CLAY Twp | 1117 | 867 | 78% | 25973 | 37811 | 69% | BUTLER Twp - X-5 | 1127 | 715 | 63% | 26688 | 38938 | 69% | SLIPPERY ROCK Boro | 1118 | 563 | 50% | 27251 | 40056 | 68% | BUFFALO Twp - P-3 | 1163 | 819 | 70% | 28070 | 41219 | 68% | BUTLER City - W-1 | 1156 | 683 | 59% | 28753 | 42375 | 68% | SUMMIT Twp - X-SOUTH | 1234 | 955 | 77% | 29708 | 43609 | 68% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-II | 1257 | 959 | 76% | 30667 | 44866 | 68% | BUTLER City - W-5 | 1225 | 711 | 58% | 31378 | 46091 | 68% | BUFFALO Twp - P-2 | 1356 | 988 | 73% | 32366 | 47447 | 68% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-I | 1357 | 1056 | 78% | 33422 | 48804 | 68% | BUFFALO Twp - P-1 | 1384 | 985 | 71% | 34407 | 50188 | 69% | OAKLAND Twp | 1382 | 1074 | 78% | 35481 | 51570 | 69% | FORWARD Twp | 1382 | 1020 | 74% | 36501 | 52952 | 69% | PENN Twp - X-WEST | 1407 | 1046 | 74% | 37547 | 54359 | 69% | CENTER Twp - X-3 | 1417 | 1038 | 73% | 38585 | 55776 | 69% | LANCASTER Twp | 1421 | 1046 | 74% | 39631 | 57197 | 69% | FRANKLIN Twp | 1458 | 1115 | 76% | 40746 | 58655 | 69% | PENN Twp - X-EAST | 1474 | 1128 | 77% | 41874 | 60129 | 70% | MIDDLESEX Twp - X-NORTH | 1475 | 1083 | 73% | 42957 | 61604 | 70% | CENTER Twp - X-1 | 1518 | 1049 | 69% | 44006 | 63122 | 70% | CLINTON Twp | 1537 | 1158 | 75% | 45164 | 64659 | 70% | SEVEN FIELDS Boro | 1540 | 953 | 62% | 46117 | 66199 | 70% | CENTER Twp - X-2 | 1564 | 1090 | 70% | 47207 | 67763 | 70% | BUTLER Twp - X-1 | 1609 | 1060 | 66% | 48267 | 69372 | 70% | BUTLER Twp - X-4 | 1662 | 1158 | 70% | 49425 | 71034 | 70% | MIDDLESEX Twp - X-SOUTH | 1708 | 1205 | 71% | 50630 | 72742 | 70% | WINFIELD Twp | 1820 | 1403 | 77% | 52033 | 74562 | 70% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST | 1914 | 1229 | 64% | 53262 | 76476 | 70% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST | 1961 | 1298 | 66% | 54560 | 78437 | 70% | JACKSON Twp | 2182 | 1531 | 70% | 56091 | 80619 | 70% | ADAMS Twp - P-2 | 2240 | 1572 | 70% | 57663 | 82859 | 70% | CONNOQUENESSING Twp | 2299 | 1711 | 74% | 59374 | 85158 | 70% | ADAMS Twp - P-3 | 2459 | 1708 | 69% | 61082 | 87617 | 70% | SLIPPERY ROCK Twp | 2546 | 1453 | 57% | 62535 | 90163 | 69% | ADAMS Twp - P-1 | 2849 | 1893 | 66% | 64428 | 93012 | 69% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 30.73%, Total votes: 28584 out of 93012
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-2 | 1834 | 826 | 45% | 826 | 1834 | 45% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST-1 | 839 | 503 | 60% | 1329 | 2673 | 50% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-3 | 1690 | 672 | 40% | 2001 | 4363 | 46% | BUTLER City - W-4-1 | 1165 | 256 | 22% | 2257 | 5528 | 41% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST-2 | 1430 | 647 | 45% | 2904 | 6958 | 42% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-4 | 1478 | 601 | 41% | 3505 | 8436 | 42% | BUTLER Twp - X-1-1 | 1369 | 351 | 26% | 3856 | 9805 | 39% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-1 | 1457 | 645 | 44% | 4501 | 11262 | 40% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST-5 | 2044 | 690 | 34% | 5191 | 13306 | 39% | BUTLER Twp - X-6-1 | 1462 | 359 | 25% | 5550 | 14768 | 38% | CHERRY VALLEY Boro | 25 | 6 | 24% | 5556 | 14793 | 38% | FAIRVIEW Boro | 61 | 18 | 30% | 5574 | 14854 | 38% | PETROLIA Boro | 61 | 19 | 31% | 5593 | 14915 | 37% | WEST SUNBURY Boro | 78 | 22 | 28% | 5615 | 14993 | 37% | KARNS CITY Boro | 85 | 15 | 18% | 5630 | 15078 | 37% | EAU CLAIRE Boro | 91 | 21 | 23% | 5651 | 15169 | 37% | PORTERSVILLE Boro | 126 | 30 | 24% | 5681 | 15295 | 37% | BRUIN Boro | 174 | 25 | 14% | 5706 | 15469 | 37% | WEST LIBERTY Boro | 181 | 42 | 23% | 5748 | 15650 | 37% | CALLERY Boro | 191 | 41 | 21% | 5789 | 15841 | 37% | ALLEGHENY Twp | 245 | 40 | 16% | 5829 | 16086 | 36% | PARKER Twp | 282 | 37 | 13% | 5866 | 16368 | 36% | EAST BUTLER Boro | 323 | 83 | 26% | 5949 | 16691 | 36% | VALENCIA Boro | 337 | 120 | 36% | 6069 | 17028 | 36% | CONNOQUENESSING Boro | 329 | 90 | 27% | 6159 | 17357 | 35% | VENANGO Twp | 360 | 58 | 16% | 6217 | 17717 | 35% | HARRISVILLE Boro | 354 | 81 | 23% | 6298 | 18071 | 35% | CHICORA Boro | 409 | 81 | 20% | 6379 | 18480 | 35% | MERCER Twp | 482 | 82 | 17% | 6461 | 18962 | 34% | BUTLER City - W-2 | 488 | 194 | 40% | 6655 | 19450 | 34% | BRADY Twp | 518 | 138 | 27% | 6793 | 19968 | 34% | BUTLER Twp - X-2 | 509 | 203 | 40% | 6996 | 20477 | 34% | HARMONY Boro | 512 | 181 | 35% | 7177 | 20989 | 34% | BUTLER City - W-4 | 517 | 233 | 45% | 7410 | 21506 | 34% | CHERRY Twp | 533 | 141 | 26% | 7551 | 22039 | 34% | MARION Twp | 559 | 140 | 25% | 7691 | 22598 | 34% | PROSPECT Boro | 544 | 136 | 25% | 7827 | 23142 | 34% | WASHINGTON Twp | 585 | 112 | 19% | 7939 | 23727 | 33% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-1 | 639 | 220 | 34% | 8159 | 24366 | 33% | BUTLER Twp - X-3 | 647 | 218 | 34% | 8377 | 25013 | 33% | CONCORD Twp | 661 | 117 | 18% | 8494 | 25674 | 33% | BUTLER City - W-3 | 663 | 265 | 40% | 8759 | 26337 | 33% | MARS Boro | 696 | 203 | 29% | 8962 | 27033 | 33% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-2 | 732 | 289 | 39% | 9251 | 27765 | 33% | SAXONBURG Boro | 748 | 242 | 32% | 9493 | 28513 | 33% | ZELIENOPLE Boro - X-3 | 763 | 280 | 37% | 9773 | 29276 | 33% | WORTH Twp | 790 | 188 | 24% | 9961 | 30066 | 33% | SUMMIT Twp - X-NORTH | 818 | 206 | 25% | 10167 | 30884 | 33% | DONEGAL Twp | 864 | 192 | 22% | 10359 | 31748 | 33% | EVANS CITY Boro | 853 | 264 | 31% | 10623 | 32601 | 33% | BUTLER Twp - X-6 | 964 | 331 | 34% | 10954 | 33565 | 33% | FAIRVIEW Twp | 989 | 194 | 20% | 11148 | 34554 | 32% | CLEARFIELD Twp | 1070 | 244 | 23% | 11392 | 35624 | 32% | MUDDYCREEK Twp | 1070 | 196 | 18% | 11588 | 36694 | 32% | CLAY Twp | 1117 | 250 | 22% | 11838 | 37811 | 31% | BUTLER Twp - X-5 | 1127 | 412 | 37% | 12250 | 38938 | 31% | SLIPPERY ROCK Boro | 1118 | 555 | 50% | 12805 | 40056 | 32% | BUFFALO Twp - P-3 | 1163 | 344 | 30% | 13149 | 41219 | 32% | BUTLER City - W-1 | 1156 | 473 | 41% | 13622 | 42375 | 32% | SUMMIT Twp - X-SOUTH | 1234 | 279 | 23% | 13901 | 43609 | 32% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-II | 1257 | 298 | 24% | 14199 | 44866 | 32% | BUTLER City - W-5 | 1225 | 514 | 42% | 14713 | 46091 | 32% | BUFFALO Twp - P-2 | 1356 | 368 | 27% | 15081 | 47447 | 32% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-I | 1357 | 301 | 22% | 15382 | 48804 | 32% | BUFFALO Twp - P-1 | 1384 | 399 | 29% | 15781 | 50188 | 31% | OAKLAND Twp | 1382 | 308 | 22% | 16089 | 51570 | 31% | FORWARD Twp | 1382 | 362 | 26% | 16451 | 52952 | 31% | PENN Twp - X-WEST | 1407 | 361 | 26% | 16812 | 54359 | 31% | CENTER Twp - X-3 | 1417 | 379 | 27% | 17191 | 55776 | 31% | LANCASTER Twp | 1421 | 375 | 26% | 17566 | 57197 | 31% | FRANKLIN Twp | 1458 | 343 | 24% | 17909 | 58655 | 31% | PENN Twp - X-EAST | 1474 | 346 | 23% | 18255 | 60129 | 30% | MIDDLESEX Twp - X-NORTH | 1475 | 392 | 27% | 18647 | 61604 | 30% | CENTER Twp - X-1 | 1518 | 469 | 31% | 19116 | 63122 | 30% | CLINTON Twp | 1537 | 379 | 25% | 19495 | 64659 | 30% | SEVEN FIELDS Boro | 1540 | 587 | 38% | 20082 | 66199 | 30% | CENTER Twp - X-2 | 1564 | 474 | 30% | 20556 | 67763 | 30% | BUTLER Twp - X-1 | 1609 | 549 | 34% | 21105 | 69372 | 30% | BUTLER Twp - X-4 | 1662 | 504 | 30% | 21609 | 71034 | 30% | MIDDLESEX Twp - X-SOUTH | 1708 | 503 | 29% | 22112 | 72742 | 30% | WINFIELD Twp | 1820 | 417 | 23% | 22529 | 74562 | 30% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-WEST | 1914 | 685 | 36% | 23214 | 76476 | 30% | CRANBERRY Twp - X-EAST | 1961 | 663 | 34% | 23877 | 78437 | 30% | JACKSON Twp | 2182 | 651 | 30% | 24528 | 80619 | 30% | ADAMS Twp - P-2 | 2240 | 668 | 30% | 25196 | 82859 | 30% | CONNOQUENESSING Twp | 2299 | 588 | 26% | 25784 | 85158 | 30% | ADAMS Twp - P-3 | 2459 | 751 | 31% | 26535 | 87617 | 30% | SLIPPERY ROCK Twp | 2546 | 1093 | 43% | 27628 | 90163 | 31% | ADAMS Twp - P-1 | 2849 | 956 | 34% | 28584 | 93012 | 31% |
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