Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Carbon County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 27817 Precincts: 52 Average votes per precinct: 535 Votes in median precinct: 496Registered Republicans: 48.7% Registered Democrats: 50.6%
Voting Machine: Premier/Diebold AccuVote TSX DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 3.2%deltaMxV = 893
Click legend entry to show or hide a line.
Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
| 1 | 30.1% | 9.8% | 38.5% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 23.5% | 30.8% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 17.6% | 13.5% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 17.6% | 3.8% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 15.7% | 0% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 7.8% | 0% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 2% | 5.8% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 2% | 5.8% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 67.38%, Total votes: 18743 out of 27817
Data
| Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-3-1 | 322 | 184 | 57% | 184 | 322 | 57% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-SOUTH-1 | 557 | 480 | 86% | 664 | 879 | 76% | BANKS Twp – D-4 | 216 | 0 | 0% | 664 | 1095 | 61% | LAUSANNE Twp | 115 | 91 | 79% | 755 | 1210 | 62% | EAST SIDE Boro | 112 | 84 | 75% | 839 | 1322 | 63% | WEISSPORT Boro | 115 | 77 | 67% | 916 | 1437 | 64% | PARRYVILLE Boro | 190 | 145 | 76% | 1061 | 1627 | 65% | LEHIGH Twp | 241 | 200 | 83% | 1261 | 1868 | 68% | KIDDER Twp - D-NORTH | 239 | 158 | 66% | 1419 | 2107 | 67% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-4 | 275 | 121 | 44% | 1540 | 2382 | 65% | MAHONING Twp - D-PACKER-JAMESTOWN | 303 | 211 | 70% | 1751 | 2685 | 65% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-1 | 338 | 188 | 56% | 1939 | 3023 | 64% | LANSFORD Boro - D-WEST | 350 | 224 | 64% | 2163 | 3373 | 64% | WEATHERLY Boro - D-WEST | 344 | 264 | 77% | 2427 | 3717 | 65% | PALMERTON Boro - D-WESTERN | 351 | 243 | 69% | 2670 | 4068 | 66% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-2 | 352 | 208 | 59% | 2878 | 4420 | 65% | LANSFORD Boro - D-MIDDLE | 364 | 221 | 61% | 3099 | 4784 | 65% | BOWMANSTOWN Boro | 364 | 260 | 71% | 3359 | 5148 | 65% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-2 | 361 | 212 | 59% | 3571 | 5509 | 65% | BEAVER MEADOWS Boro | 369 | 273 | 74% | 3844 | 5878 | 65% | MAHONING Twp - D-NEW MAHONING | 398 | 302 | 76% | 4146 | 6276 | 66% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-3 | 397 | 250 | 63% | 4396 | 6673 | 66% | BANKS Twp - D-4 | 474 | 336 | 71% | 4732 | 7147 | 66% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-FRANKLIN IND. | 481 | 361 | 75% | 5093 | 7628 | 67% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-1 | 463 | 253 | 55% | 5346 | 8091 | 66% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-5 | 496 | 302 | 61% | 5648 | 8587 | 66% | PACKER Twp | 561 | 480 | 86% | 6128 | 9148 | 67% | LOWER TOWAMENSING Twp - X-SOUTH | 566 | 414 | 73% | 6542 | 9714 | 67% | LANSFORD Boro - D-FIRST | 570 | 347 | 61% | 6889 | 10284 | 67% | EAST PENN Twp - X-SOUTH | 597 | 431 | 72% | 7320 | 10881 | 67% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-3 | 601 | 364 | 61% | 7684 | 11482 | 67% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-MIDDLE | 615 | 388 | 63% | 8072 | 12097 | 67% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-2 | 603 | 373 | 62% | 8445 | 12700 | 66% | KIDDER Twp - D-SOUTH | 636 | 456 | 72% | 8901 | 13336 | 67% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-3 | 636 | 412 | 65% | 9313 | 13972 | 67% | NESQUEHONING Boro - D-EAST | 629 | 389 | 62% | 9702 | 14601 | 66% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-1 | 682 | 416 | 61% | 10118 | 15283 | 66% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-NORTH | 693 | 486 | 70% | 10604 | 15976 | 66% | WEATHERLY Boro - D-EAST | 701 | 506 | 72% | 11110 | 16677 | 67% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-LONG RUN | 689 | 528 | 77% | 11638 | 17366 | 67% | NESQUEHONING Boro - D-WEST | 739 | 504 | 68% | 12142 | 18105 | 67% | EAST PENN Twp - X-NORTH | 733 | 536 | 73% | 12678 | 18838 | 67% | PALMERTON Boro - D-EASTERN | 729 | 497 | 68% | 13175 | 19567 | 67% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-SOUTH | 742 | 560 | 75% | 13735 | 20309 | 68% | LOWER TOWAMENSING Twp - X-NORTH | 772 | 549 | 71% | 14284 | 21081 | 68% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-HARRITY | 879 | 650 | 74% | 14934 | 21960 | 68% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-SOUTH/WEST | 888 | 586 | 66% | 15520 | 22848 | 68% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-EAST | 897 | 550 | 61% | 16070 | 23745 | 68% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-NORTH/WEST | 955 | 636 | 67% | 16706 | 24700 | 68% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-NORTH EAST | 966 | 602 | 62% | 17308 | 25666 | 67% | PALMERTON Boro - D-MIDDLE | 1046 | 647 | 62% | 17955 | 26712 | 67% | MAHONING Twp - D-MAHONING | 1105 | 788 | 71% | 18743 | 27817 | 67% |
|---|
CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 32.62%, Total votes: 9074 out of 27817
Data
| Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | BANKS Twp – D-4 | 322 | 138 | 43% | 138 | 322 | 43% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-3-1 | 557 | 77 | 14% | 215 | 879 | 24% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-SOUTH-1 | 216 | 216 | 100% | 431 | 1095 | 39% | LAUSANNE Twp | 115 | 24 | 21% | 455 | 1210 | 38% | EAST SIDE Boro | 112 | 28 | 25% | 483 | 1322 | 37% | WEISSPORT Boro | 115 | 38 | 33% | 521 | 1437 | 36% | PARRYVILLE Boro | 190 | 45 | 24% | 566 | 1627 | 35% | LEHIGH Twp | 241 | 41 | 17% | 607 | 1868 | 32% | KIDDER Twp - D-NORTH | 239 | 81 | 34% | 688 | 2107 | 33% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-4 | 275 | 154 | 56% | 842 | 2382 | 35% | MAHONING Twp - D-PACKER-JAMESTOWN | 303 | 92 | 30% | 934 | 2685 | 35% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-1 | 338 | 150 | 44% | 1084 | 3023 | 36% | LANSFORD Boro - D-WEST | 350 | 126 | 36% | 1210 | 3373 | 36% | WEATHERLY Boro - D-WEST | 344 | 80 | 23% | 1290 | 3717 | 35% | PALMERTON Boro - D-WESTERN | 351 | 108 | 31% | 1398 | 4068 | 34% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-2 | 352 | 144 | 41% | 1542 | 4420 | 35% | LANSFORD Boro - D-MIDDLE | 364 | 143 | 39% | 1685 | 4784 | 35% | BOWMANSTOWN Boro | 364 | 104 | 29% | 1789 | 5148 | 35% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-2 | 361 | 149 | 41% | 1938 | 5509 | 35% | BEAVER MEADOWS Boro | 369 | 96 | 26% | 2034 | 5878 | 35% | MAHONING Twp - D-NEW MAHONING | 398 | 96 | 24% | 2130 | 6276 | 34% | SUMMIT HILL Boro - D-3 | 397 | 147 | 37% | 2277 | 6673 | 34% | BANKS Twp - D-4 | 474 | 138 | 29% | 2415 | 7147 | 34% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-FRANKLIN IND. | 481 | 120 | 25% | 2535 | 7628 | 33% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-1 | 463 | 210 | 45% | 2745 | 8091 | 34% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-5 | 496 | 194 | 39% | 2939 | 8587 | 34% | PACKER Twp | 561 | 81 | 14% | 3020 | 9148 | 33% | LOWER TOWAMENSING Twp - X-SOUTH | 566 | 152 | 27% | 3172 | 9714 | 33% | LANSFORD Boro - D-FIRST | 570 | 223 | 39% | 3395 | 10284 | 33% | EAST PENN Twp - X-SOUTH | 597 | 166 | 28% | 3561 | 10881 | 33% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-3 | 601 | 237 | 39% | 3798 | 11482 | 33% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-MIDDLE | 615 | 227 | 37% | 4025 | 12097 | 33% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-2 | 603 | 230 | 38% | 4255 | 12700 | 34% | KIDDER Twp - D-SOUTH | 636 | 180 | 28% | 4435 | 13336 | 33% | JIM THORPE Boro - D-3 | 636 | 224 | 35% | 4659 | 13972 | 33% | NESQUEHONING Boro - D-EAST | 629 | 240 | 38% | 4899 | 14601 | 34% | LEHIGHTON Boro - D-1 | 682 | 266 | 39% | 5165 | 15283 | 34% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-NORTH | 693 | 207 | 30% | 5372 | 15976 | 34% | WEATHERLY Boro - D-EAST | 701 | 195 | 28% | 5567 | 16677 | 33% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-LONG RUN | 689 | 161 | 23% | 5728 | 17366 | 33% | NESQUEHONING Boro - D-WEST | 739 | 235 | 32% | 5963 | 18105 | 33% | EAST PENN Twp - X-NORTH | 733 | 197 | 27% | 6160 | 18838 | 33% | PALMERTON Boro - D-EASTERN | 729 | 232 | 32% | 6392 | 19567 | 33% | TOWAMENSING Twp - D-SOUTH | 742 | 182 | 25% | 6574 | 20309 | 32% | LOWER TOWAMENSING Twp - X-NORTH | 772 | 223 | 29% | 6797 | 21081 | 32% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-HARRITY | 879 | 229 | 26% | 7026 | 21960 | 32% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-SOUTH/WEST | 888 | 302 | 34% | 7328 | 22848 | 32% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-EAST | 897 | 347 | 39% | 7675 | 23745 | 32% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-NORTH/WEST | 955 | 319 | 33% | 7994 | 24700 | 32% | PENN FOREST Twp - X-NORTH EAST | 966 | 364 | 38% | 8358 | 25666 | 33% | PALMERTON Boro - D-MIDDLE | 1046 | 399 | 38% | 8757 | 26712 | 33% | MAHONING Twp - D-MAHONING | 1105 | 317 | 29% | 9074 | 27817 | 33% |
|---|