Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Centre County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 72362 Precincts: 91 Average votes per precinct: 795 Votes in median precinct: 520Registered Republicans: 47.8% Registered Democrats: 51.4%  
Voting Machine: ES&S Model 100+Model 650+iVotronic Optical Scan+DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 7.4%deltaMxV = 5,384
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | CLINTON | TRUMP |
1 | 30.1% | 27.5% | 18.7% |
2 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 22% |
3 | 12.5% | 13.2% | 22% |
4 | 9.7% | 12.1% | 5.5% |
5 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 16.5% |
6 | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% |
7 | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
8 | 5.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
9 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 0% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataCLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 51.25%, Total votes: 37088 out of 72362
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH-1 | 901 | 587 | 65% | 587 | 901 | 65% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH-1 | 989 | 739 | 75% | 1326 | 1890 | 70% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH-1 | 1119 | 904 | 81% | 2230 | 3009 | 74% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-3 | 1582 | 1195 | 76% | 3425 | 4591 | 75% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH-2 | 838 | 642 | 77% | 4067 | 5429 | 75% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH CENTRAL-1 | 1316 | 490 | 37% | 4557 | 6745 | 68% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH-2 | 1347 | 1015 | 75% | 5572 | 8092 | 69% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL-1 | 1241 | 641 | 52% | 6213 | 9333 | 67% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTHEAST-1 | 876 | 520 | 59% | 6733 | 10209 | 66% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST-1 | 715 | 435 | 61% | 7168 | 10924 | 66% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-1 | 1355 | 977 | 72% | 8145 | 12279 | 66% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL-2 | 905 | 325 | 36% | 8470 | 13184 | 64% | PATTON Twp - X-NORTH-1 | 1165 | 873 | 75% | 9343 | 14349 | 65% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST CENTRAL-1 | 861 | 704 | 82% | 10047 | 15210 | 66% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-2 | 1673 | 1188 | 71% | 11235 | 16883 | 67% | CURTIN Twp - X-NORTH | 39 | 18 | 46% | 11253 | 16922 | 66% | RUSH Twp - X-EAST | 90 | 32 | 36% | 11285 | 17012 | 66% | UNIONVILLE Boro | 144 | 27 | 19% | 11312 | 17156 | 66% | MILES Twp - X-WEST | 146 | 38 | 26% | 11350 | 17302 | 66% | RUSH Twp - X-NORTH CENTRAL | 194 | 57 | 29% | 11407 | 17496 | 65% | RUSH Twp - X-SOUTH | 170 | 47 | 28% | 11454 | 17666 | 65% | BURNSIDE Twp | 202 | 45 | 22% | 11499 | 17868 | 64% | CURTIN Twp - X-SOUTH | 203 | 42 | 21% | 11541 | 18071 | 64% | PORT MATILDA Boro | 265 | 70 | 26% | 11611 | 18336 | 63% | SNOW SHOE Twp - X-WEST | 273 | 66 | 24% | 11677 | 18609 | 63% | SNOW SHOE Boro | 319 | 83 | 26% | 11760 | 18928 | 62% | MILES Twp - X-EAST | 338 | 97 | 29% | 11857 | 19266 | 62% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-3 | 336 | 124 | 37% | 11981 | 19602 | 61% | RUSH Twp - X-WEST | 364 | 89 | 24% | 12070 | 19966 | 60% | HOWARD Boro | 350 | 122 | 35% | 12192 | 20316 | 60% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-2 | 374 | 143 | 38% | 12335 | 20690 | 60% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-NORTH | 362 | 188 | 52% | 12523 | 21052 | 59% | WORTH Twp | 401 | 97 | 24% | 12620 | 21453 | 59% | MILLHEIM Boro | 402 | 169 | 42% | 12789 | 21855 | 59% | TAYLOR Twp | 423 | 76 | 18% | 12865 | 22278 | 58% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-1 | 424 | 159 | 38% | 13024 | 22702 | 57% | SPRING Twp - X-WEST | 416 | 130 | 31% | 13154 | 23118 | 57% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-SOUTH | 423 | 230 | 54% | 13384 | 23541 | 57% | HOWARD Twp | 467 | 117 | 25% | 13501 | 24008 | 56% | PENN Twp | 465 | 130 | 28% | 13631 | 24473 | 56% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH CENTRAL | 669 | 322 | 48% | 13953 | 25142 | 55% | MARION Twp | 250 | 128 | 51% | 14081 | 25392 | 55% | MILESBURG Boro | 495 | 143 | 29% | 14224 | 25887 | 55% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTHEAST | 504 | 399 | 79% | 14623 | 26391 | 55% | HAINES Twp | 520 | 171 | 33% | 14794 | 26911 | 55% | BOGGS Twp - X-EAST | 535 | 108 | 20% | 14902 | 27446 | 54% | SNOW SHOE Twp - X-EAST | 543 | 146 | 27% | 15048 | 27989 | 54% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST | 559 | 447 | 80% | 15495 | 28548 | 54% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTH | 597 | 495 | 83% | 15990 | 29145 | 55% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-NORTHEAST | 644 | 259 | 40% | 16249 | 29789 | 55% | HALFMOON Twp - P-Proper | 661 | 273 | 41% | 16522 | 30450 | 54% | CENTRE HALL Boro | 511 | 230 | 45% | 16752 | 30961 | 54% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH CENTRAL | 839 | 396 | 47% | 17148 | 31800 | 54% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-SOUTHEAST | 658 | 283 | 43% | 17431 | 32458 | 54% | HUSTON Twp | 680 | 171 | 25% | 17602 | 33138 | 53% | SPRING Twp - X-SOUTH | 669 | 229 | 34% | 17831 | 33807 | 53% | UNION Twp | 713 | 126 | 18% | 17957 | 34520 | 52% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST CENTRAL | 688 | 460 | 67% | 18417 | 35208 | 52% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH | 738 | 511 | 69% | 18928 | 35946 | 53% | LIBERTY Twp | 741 | 184 | 25% | 19112 | 36687 | 52% | POTTER Twp - X-NORTH | 744 | 228 | 31% | 19340 | 37431 | 52% | BOGGS Twp - X-WEST | 762 | 157 | 21% | 19497 | 38193 | 51% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTHEAST | 799 | 611 | 76% | 20108 | 38992 | 52% | WALKER Twp - X-EAST | 816 | 224 | 27% | 20332 | 39808 | 51% | COLLEGE Twp - X-WEST | 821 | 518 | 63% | 20850 | 40629 | 51% | SPRING Twp - X-EAST | 846 | 250 | 30% | 21100 | 41475 | 51% | SPRING Twp - X-SOUTHWEST | 852 | 343 | 40% | 21443 | 42327 | 51% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-WEST | 841 | 443 | 53% | 21886 | 43168 | 51% | SPRING Twp - X-NORTH | 888 | 349 | 39% | 22235 | 44056 | 50% | RUSH Twp - X-NORTH | 927 | 242 | 26% | 22477 | 44983 | 50% | HALFMOON Twp - P-East Central | 930 | 394 | 42% | 22871 | 45913 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-WEST | 948 | 389 | 41% | 23260 | 46861 | 50% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL | 967 | 706 | 73% | 23966 | 47828 | 50% | BENNER Twp - X-NORTH | 997 | 318 | 32% | 24284 | 48825 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-WEST CENTRAL | 1019 | 628 | 62% | 24912 | 49844 | 50% | GREGG Twp | 1049 | 313 | 30% | 25225 | 50893 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-EAST | 1087 | 578 | 53% | 25803 | 51980 | 50% | POTTER Twp - X-SOUTH | 1133 | 406 | 36% | 26209 | 53113 | 49% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH | 1172 | 888 | 76% | 27097 | 54285 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH | 1222 | 670 | 55% | 27767 | 55507 | 50% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTHWEST | 1264 | 928 | 73% | 28695 | 56771 | 51% | BENNER Twp - X-SOUTH | 1303 | 482 | 37% | 29177 | 58074 | 50% | COLLEGE Twp - X-EAST | 1345 | 839 | 62% | 30016 | 59419 | 51% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTHEAST | 1421 | 1009 | 71% | 31025 | 60840 | 51% | HARRIS Twp - X-WEST | 1489 | 825 | 55% | 31850 | 62329 | 51% | COLLEGE Twp - X-SOUTH | 1538 | 802 | 52% | 32652 | 63867 | 51% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST | 1537 | 867 | 56% | 33519 | 65404 | 51% | WALKER Twp - X-WEST | 1597 | 514 | 32% | 34033 | 67001 | 51% | PATTON Twp - X-NORTH | 1715 | 1102 | 64% | 35135 | 68716 | 51% | HARRIS Twp - X-EAST | 1719 | 897 | 52% | 36032 | 70435 | 51% | COLLEGE Twp - X-NORTH | 1927 | 1056 | 55% | 37088 | 72362 | 51% |
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TRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 48.75%, Total votes: 35274 out of 72362
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL-1 | 901 | 314 | 35% | 314 | 901 | 35% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTHEAST-1 | 989 | 250 | 25% | 564 | 1890 | 30% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST-1 | 1119 | 215 | 19% | 779 | 3009 | 26% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-1 | 1582 | 387 | 24% | 1166 | 4591 | 25% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL-2 | 838 | 196 | 23% | 1362 | 5429 | 25% | PATTON Twp - X-NORTH-1 | 1316 | 826 | 63% | 2188 | 6745 | 32% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST CENTRAL-1 | 1347 | 332 | 25% | 2520 | 8092 | 31% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-2 | 1241 | 600 | 48% | 3120 | 9333 | 33% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH-1 | 876 | 356 | 41% | 3476 | 10209 | 34% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH-1 | 715 | 280 | 39% | 3756 | 10924 | 34% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH-1 | 1355 | 378 | 28% | 4134 | 12279 | 34% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST-3 | 905 | 580 | 64% | 4714 | 13184 | 36% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH-2 | 1165 | 292 | 25% | 5006 | 14349 | 35% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH CENTRAL-1 | 861 | 157 | 18% | 5163 | 15210 | 34% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH-2 | 1673 | 485 | 29% | 5648 | 16883 | 33% | CURTIN Twp - X-NORTH | 39 | 21 | 54% | 5669 | 16922 | 34% | RUSH Twp - X-EAST | 90 | 58 | 64% | 5727 | 17012 | 34% | UNIONVILLE Boro | 144 | 117 | 81% | 5844 | 17156 | 34% | MILES Twp - X-WEST | 146 | 108 | 74% | 5952 | 17302 | 34% | RUSH Twp - X-SOUTH | 194 | 137 | 71% | 6089 | 17496 | 35% | RUSH Twp - X-NORTH CENTRAL | 170 | 123 | 72% | 6212 | 17666 | 35% | BURNSIDE Twp | 202 | 157 | 78% | 6369 | 17868 | 36% | CURTIN Twp - X-SOUTH | 203 | 161 | 79% | 6530 | 18071 | 36% | PORT MATILDA Boro | 265 | 195 | 74% | 6725 | 18336 | 37% | SNOW SHOE Twp - X-WEST | 273 | 207 | 76% | 6932 | 18609 | 37% | SNOW SHOE Boro | 319 | 236 | 74% | 7168 | 18928 | 38% | MILES Twp - X-EAST | 338 | 241 | 71% | 7409 | 19266 | 38% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-3 | 336 | 212 | 63% | 7621 | 19602 | 39% | RUSH Twp - X-WEST | 364 | 275 | 76% | 7896 | 19966 | 40% | HOWARD Boro | 350 | 228 | 65% | 8124 | 20316 | 40% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-2 | 374 | 231 | 62% | 8355 | 20690 | 40% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-NORTH | 362 | 174 | 48% | 8529 | 21052 | 41% | WORTH Twp | 401 | 304 | 76% | 8833 | 21453 | 41% | MILLHEIM Boro | 402 | 233 | 58% | 9066 | 21855 | 41% | TAYLOR Twp | 423 | 347 | 82% | 9413 | 22278 | 42% | PHILIPSBURG Boro - X-1 | 424 | 265 | 63% | 9678 | 22702 | 43% | SPRING Twp - X-WEST | 416 | 286 | 69% | 9964 | 23118 | 43% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-SOUTH | 423 | 193 | 46% | 10157 | 23541 | 43% | HOWARD Twp | 467 | 350 | 75% | 10507 | 24008 | 44% | PENN Twp | 465 | 335 | 72% | 10842 | 24473 | 44% | MARION Twp | 669 | 347 | 52% | 11189 | 25142 | 45% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH CENTRAL | 250 | 122 | 49% | 11311 | 25392 | 45% | MILESBURG Boro | 495 | 352 | 71% | 11663 | 25887 | 45% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTHEAST | 504 | 105 | 21% | 11768 | 26391 | 45% | HAINES Twp | 520 | 349 | 67% | 12117 | 26911 | 45% | BOGGS Twp - X-EAST | 535 | 427 | 80% | 12544 | 27446 | 46% | SNOW SHOE Twp - X-EAST | 543 | 397 | 73% | 12941 | 27989 | 46% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST | 559 | 112 | 20% | 13053 | 28548 | 46% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTH | 597 | 102 | 17% | 13155 | 29145 | 45% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-NORTHEAST | 644 | 385 | 60% | 13540 | 29789 | 45% | HALFMOON Twp - P-Proper | 661 | 388 | 59% | 13928 | 30450 | 46% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH CENTRAL | 511 | 281 | 55% | 14209 | 30961 | 46% | CENTRE HALL Boro | 839 | 443 | 53% | 14652 | 31800 | 46% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-SOUTHEAST | 658 | 375 | 57% | 15027 | 32458 | 46% | HUSTON Twp | 680 | 509 | 75% | 15536 | 33138 | 47% | SPRING Twp - X-SOUTH | 669 | 440 | 66% | 15976 | 33807 | 47% | UNION Twp | 713 | 587 | 82% | 16563 | 34520 | 48% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-WEST CENTRAL | 688 | 228 | 33% | 16791 | 35208 | 48% | PATTON Twp - X-SOUTH | 738 | 227 | 31% | 17018 | 35946 | 47% | LIBERTY Twp | 741 | 557 | 75% | 17575 | 36687 | 48% | POTTER Twp - X-NORTH | 744 | 516 | 69% | 18091 | 37431 | 48% | BOGGS Twp - X-WEST | 762 | 605 | 79% | 18696 | 38193 | 49% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTHEAST | 799 | 188 | 24% | 18884 | 38992 | 48% | WALKER Twp - X-EAST | 816 | 592 | 73% | 19476 | 39808 | 49% | COLLEGE Twp - X-WEST | 821 | 303 | 37% | 19779 | 40629 | 49% | SPRING Twp - X-EAST | 846 | 596 | 70% | 20375 | 41475 | 49% | SPRING Twp - X-SOUTHWEST | 852 | 509 | 60% | 20884 | 42327 | 49% | BELLEFONTE Boro - X-WEST | 841 | 398 | 47% | 21282 | 43168 | 49% | SPRING Twp - X-NORTH | 888 | 539 | 61% | 21821 | 44056 | 50% | RUSH Twp - X-NORTH | 927 | 685 | 74% | 22506 | 44983 | 50% | HALFMOON Twp - P-East Central | 930 | 536 | 58% | 23042 | 45913 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-WEST | 948 | 559 | 59% | 23601 | 46861 | 50% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST CENTRAL | 967 | 261 | 27% | 23862 | 47828 | 50% | BENNER Twp - X-NORTH | 997 | 679 | 68% | 24541 | 48825 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-WEST CENTRAL | 1019 | 391 | 38% | 24932 | 49844 | 50% | GREGG Twp | 1049 | 736 | 70% | 25668 | 50893 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-EAST | 1087 | 509 | 47% | 26177 | 51980 | 50% | POTTER Twp - X-SOUTH | 1133 | 727 | 64% | 26904 | 53113 | 51% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-SOUTH | 1172 | 284 | 24% | 27188 | 54285 | 50% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTH | 1222 | 552 | 45% | 27740 | 55507 | 50% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-NORTHWEST | 1264 | 336 | 27% | 28076 | 56771 | 49% | BENNER Twp - X-SOUTH | 1303 | 821 | 63% | 28897 | 58074 | 50% | COLLEGE Twp - X-EAST | 1345 | 506 | 38% | 29403 | 59419 | 49% | FERGUSON Twp - X-NORTHEAST | 1421 | 412 | 29% | 29815 | 60840 | 49% | HARRIS Twp - X-WEST | 1489 | 664 | 45% | 30479 | 62329 | 49% | COLLEGE Twp - X-SOUTH | 1538 | 736 | 48% | 31215 | 63867 | 49% | STATE COLLEGE Boro - X-EAST | 1537 | 670 | 44% | 31885 | 65404 | 49% | WALKER Twp - X-WEST | 1597 | 1083 | 68% | 32968 | 67001 | 49% | PATTON Twp - X-NORTH | 1715 | 613 | 36% | 33581 | 68716 | 49% | HARRIS Twp - X-EAST | 1719 | 822 | 48% | 34403 | 70435 | 49% | COLLEGE Twp - X-NORTH | 1927 | 871 | 45% | 35274 | 72362 | 49% |
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