Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Clearfield County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 33109 Precincts: 69 Average votes per precinct: 480 Votes in median precinct: 412Registered Republicans: 55.6% Registered Democrats: 43.8%  
Voting Machine: ES&S iVotronic DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = -6.2%deltaMxV = -2,055
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Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 26.1% | 40.6% |
2 | 17.6% | 13% | 17.4% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.4% | 15.9% |
4 | 9.7% | 15.9% | 10.1% |
5 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
6 | 6.7% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
7 | 5.8% | 0% | 4.3% |
8 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 0% |
9 | 4.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 75.25%, Total votes: 24914 out of 33109
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PINE Twp | 32 | 19 | 59% | 19 | 32 | 59% | NEW WASHINGTON Boro | 41 | 35 | 85% | 54 | 73 | 74% | NEWBURG Boro | 34 | 31 | 91% | 85 | 107 | 79% | GLEN HOPE Boro | 67 | 57 | 85% | 142 | 174 | 82% | BURNSIDE Boro | 82 | 64 | 78% | 206 | 256 | 80% | TROUTVILLE Boro | 86 | 67 | 78% | 273 | 342 | 80% | WESTOVER Boro | 130 | 110 | 85% | 383 | 472 | 81% | WALLACETON Boro | 134 | 96 | 72% | 479 | 606 | 79% | WOODWARD Twp - P-2 | 144 | 106 | 74% | 585 | 750 | 78% | MAHAFFEY Boro | 153 | 114 | 75% | 699 | 903 | 77% | GRAMPIAN Boro | 134 | 103 | 77% | 802 | 1037 | 77% | GREENWOOD Twp | 168 | 141 | 84% | 943 | 1205 | 78% | BRISBIN Boro | 179 | 144 | 80% | 1087 | 1384 | 79% | GOSHEN Twp | 184 | 165 | 90% | 1252 | 1568 | 80% | COALPORT Boro | 190 | 150 | 79% | 1402 | 1758 | 80% | JORDAN Twp | 201 | 180 | 90% | 1582 | 1959 | 81% | BLOOM Twp | 211 | 177 | 84% | 1759 | 2170 | 81% | KARTHAUS Twp | 213 | 175 | 82% | 1934 | 2383 | 81% | RAMEY Boro | 221 | 175 | 79% | 2109 | 2604 | 81% | CHEST Twp | 232 | 190 | 82% | 2299 | 2836 | 81% | GIRARD Twp | 227 | 185 | 81% | 2484 | 3063 | 81% | FERGUSON Twp | 230 | 185 | 80% | 2669 | 3293 | 81% | IRVONA Boro | 245 | 195 | 80% | 2864 | 3538 | 81% | KNOX Twp | 261 | 217 | 83% | 3081 | 3799 | 81% | COVINGTON Twp | 258 | 220 | 85% | 3301 | 4057 | 81% | BECCARIA Twp - P-2 | 269 | 226 | 84% | 3527 | 4326 | 82% | CHESTER HILL Boro | 317 | 215 | 68% | 3742 | 4643 | 81% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-GLEN RICHEY | 366 | 269 | 73% | 4011 | 5009 | 80% | BELL Twp | 369 | 317 | 86% | 4328 | 5378 | 80% | HOUTZDALE Boro | 372 | 257 | 69% | 4585 | 5750 | 80% | MORRIS Twp - P-2 | 405 | 277 | 68% | 4862 | 6155 | 79% | DUBOIS City - W-4 | 391 | 296 | 76% | 5158 | 6546 | 79% | COOPER Twp - P-2 | 405 | 335 | 83% | 5493 | 6951 | 79% | OSCEOLA Boro | 412 | 276 | 67% | 5769 | 7363 | 78% | BRADFORD Twp - P-1 | 419 | 350 | 84% | 6119 | 7782 | 79% | DUBOIS City - W-1 | 440 | 303 | 69% | 6422 | 8222 | 78% | SANDY Twp - P-SABULA | 456 | 398 | 87% | 6820 | 8678 | 79% | BURNSIDE Twp | 465 | 392 | 84% | 7212 | 9143 | 79% | UNION Twp | 473 | 401 | 85% | 7613 | 9616 | 79% | SANDY Twp - P-FALLS CREEK | 490 | 349 | 71% | 7962 | 10106 | 79% | BIGLER Twp | 539 | 427 | 79% | 8389 | 10645 | 79% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-4 | 536 | 361 | 67% | 8750 | 11181 | 78% | BECCARIA Twp - P-1 | 544 | 442 | 81% | 9192 | 11725 | 78% | DUBOIS City - W-5 | 541 | 364 | 67% | 9556 | 12266 | 78% | HUSTON Twp | 560 | 440 | 79% | 9996 | 12826 | 78% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-3 | 574 | 361 | 63% | 10357 | 13400 | 77% | WOODWARD Twp - P-1 | 578 | 416 | 72% | 10773 | 13978 | 77% | GULICH Twp | 598 | 420 | 70% | 11193 | 14576 | 77% | DECATUR Twp - P-1 | 622 | 507 | 82% | 11700 | 15198 | 77% | PENN Twp | 630 | 512 | 81% | 12212 | 15828 | 77% | GRAHAM Twp | 630 | 491 | 78% | 12703 | 16458 | 77% | DECATUR Twp - P-2 | 644 | 445 | 69% | 13148 | 17102 | 77% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-1 | 637 | 417 | 65% | 13565 | 17739 | 76% | COOPER Twp - P-1 | 658 | 461 | 70% | 14026 | 18397 | 76% | SANDY Twp - P-OKLAHOMA | 702 | 554 | 79% | 14580 | 19099 | 76% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-GOLDEN ROD | 701 | 488 | 70% | 15068 | 19800 | 76% | DUBOIS City - W-2 | 747 | 535 | 72% | 15603 | 20547 | 76% | BOGGS Twp | 761 | 596 | 78% | 16199 | 21308 | 76% | BRADY Twp | 789 | 644 | 82% | 16843 | 22097 | 76% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-2 | 790 | 533 | 67% | 17376 | 22887 | 76% | MORRIS Twp - P-1 | 800 | 605 | 76% | 17981 | 23687 | 76% | BRADFORD Twp - P-2 | 864 | 697 | 81% | 18678 | 24551 | 76% | CURWENSVILLE Boro | 925 | 625 | 68% | 19303 | 25476 | 76% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-PLYMPTON | 920 | 698 | 76% | 20001 | 26396 | 76% | DUBOIS City - W-3 | 942 | 643 | 68% | 20644 | 27338 | 76% | PIKE Twp | 1080 | 865 | 80% | 21509 | 28418 | 76% | SANDY Twp - P-WEST SANDY | 1160 | 861 | 74% | 22370 | 29578 | 76% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-HYDE | 1171 | 824 | 70% | 23194 | 30749 | 75% | SANDY Twp - P-TREASURE LAKE | 2360 | 1720 | 73% | 24914 | 33109 | 75% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 24.75%, Total votes: 8195 out of 33109
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | PINE Twp | 32 | 13 | 41% | 13 | 32 | 41% | NEWBURG Boro | 41 | 6 | 15% | 19 | 73 | 26% | NEW WASHINGTON Boro | 34 | 3 | 9% | 22 | 107 | 21% | GLEN HOPE Boro | 67 | 10 | 15% | 32 | 174 | 18% | BURNSIDE Boro | 82 | 18 | 22% | 50 | 256 | 20% | TROUTVILLE Boro | 86 | 19 | 22% | 69 | 342 | 20% | WESTOVER Boro | 130 | 20 | 15% | 89 | 472 | 19% | WALLACETON Boro | 134 | 38 | 28% | 127 | 606 | 21% | WOODWARD Twp - P-2 | 144 | 38 | 26% | 165 | 750 | 22% | GRAMPIAN Boro | 153 | 39 | 25% | 204 | 903 | 23% | MAHAFFEY Boro | 134 | 31 | 23% | 235 | 1037 | 23% | GREENWOOD Twp | 168 | 27 | 16% | 262 | 1205 | 22% | BRISBIN Boro | 179 | 35 | 20% | 297 | 1384 | 21% | GOSHEN Twp | 184 | 19 | 10% | 316 | 1568 | 20% | COALPORT Boro | 190 | 40 | 21% | 356 | 1758 | 20% | JORDAN Twp | 201 | 21 | 10% | 377 | 1959 | 19% | BLOOM Twp | 211 | 34 | 16% | 411 | 2170 | 19% | KARTHAUS Twp | 213 | 38 | 18% | 449 | 2383 | 19% | RAMEY Boro | 221 | 46 | 21% | 495 | 2604 | 19% | CHEST Twp | 232 | 42 | 18% | 537 | 2836 | 19% | GIRARD Twp | 227 | 42 | 19% | 579 | 3063 | 19% | FERGUSON Twp | 230 | 45 | 20% | 624 | 3293 | 19% | IRVONA Boro | 245 | 50 | 20% | 674 | 3538 | 19% | KNOX Twp | 261 | 44 | 17% | 718 | 3799 | 19% | COVINGTON Twp | 258 | 38 | 15% | 756 | 4057 | 19% | BECCARIA Twp - P-2 | 269 | 43 | 16% | 799 | 4326 | 18% | CHESTER HILL Boro | 317 | 102 | 32% | 901 | 4643 | 19% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-GLEN RICHEY | 366 | 97 | 27% | 998 | 5009 | 20% | BELL Twp | 369 | 52 | 14% | 1050 | 5378 | 20% | HOUTZDALE Boro | 372 | 115 | 31% | 1165 | 5750 | 20% | MORRIS Twp - P-2 | 405 | 128 | 32% | 1293 | 6155 | 21% | DUBOIS City - W-4 | 391 | 95 | 24% | 1388 | 6546 | 21% | COOPER Twp - P-2 | 405 | 70 | 17% | 1458 | 6951 | 21% | OSCEOLA Boro | 412 | 136 | 33% | 1594 | 7363 | 22% | BRADFORD Twp - P-1 | 419 | 69 | 16% | 1663 | 7782 | 21% | DUBOIS City - W-1 | 440 | 137 | 31% | 1800 | 8222 | 22% | SANDY Twp - P-SABULA | 456 | 58 | 13% | 1858 | 8678 | 21% | BURNSIDE Twp | 465 | 73 | 16% | 1931 | 9143 | 21% | UNION Twp | 473 | 72 | 15% | 2003 | 9616 | 21% | SANDY Twp - P-FALLS CREEK | 490 | 141 | 29% | 2144 | 10106 | 21% | BIGLER Twp | 539 | 112 | 21% | 2256 | 10645 | 21% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-4 | 536 | 175 | 33% | 2431 | 11181 | 22% | BECCARIA Twp - P-1 | 544 | 102 | 19% | 2533 | 11725 | 22% | DUBOIS City - W-5 | 541 | 177 | 33% | 2710 | 12266 | 22% | HUSTON Twp | 560 | 120 | 21% | 2830 | 12826 | 22% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-3 | 574 | 213 | 37% | 3043 | 13400 | 23% | WOODWARD Twp - P-1 | 578 | 162 | 28% | 3205 | 13978 | 23% | GULICH Twp | 598 | 178 | 30% | 3383 | 14576 | 23% | DECATUR Twp - P-1 | 622 | 115 | 18% | 3498 | 15198 | 23% | PENN Twp | 630 | 118 | 19% | 3616 | 15828 | 23% | GRAHAM Twp | 630 | 139 | 22% | 3755 | 16458 | 23% | DECATUR Twp - P-2 | 644 | 199 | 31% | 3954 | 17102 | 23% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-1 | 637 | 220 | 35% | 4174 | 17739 | 24% | COOPER Twp - P-1 | 658 | 197 | 30% | 4371 | 18397 | 24% | SANDY Twp - P-OKLAHOMA | 702 | 148 | 21% | 4519 | 19099 | 24% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-GOLDEN ROD | 701 | 213 | 30% | 4732 | 19800 | 24% | DUBOIS City - W-2 | 747 | 212 | 28% | 4944 | 20547 | 24% | BOGGS Twp | 761 | 165 | 22% | 5109 | 21308 | 24% | BRADY Twp | 789 | 145 | 18% | 5254 | 22097 | 24% | CLEARFIELD Boro - W-2 | 790 | 257 | 33% | 5511 | 22887 | 24% | MORRIS Twp - P-1 | 800 | 195 | 24% | 5706 | 23687 | 24% | BRADFORD Twp - P-2 | 864 | 167 | 19% | 5873 | 24551 | 24% | CURWENSVILLE Boro | 925 | 300 | 32% | 6173 | 25476 | 24% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-PLYMPTON | 920 | 222 | 24% | 6395 | 26396 | 24% | DUBOIS City - W-3 | 942 | 299 | 32% | 6694 | 27338 | 24% | PIKE Twp | 1080 | 215 | 20% | 6909 | 28418 | 24% | SANDY Twp - P-WEST SANDY | 1160 | 299 | 26% | 7208 | 29578 | 24% | LAWRENCE Twp - P-HYDE | 1171 | 347 | 30% | 7555 | 30749 | 25% | SANDY Twp - P-TREASURE LAKE | 2360 | 640 | 27% | 8195 | 33109 | 25% |
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