Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Fayette County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 52536 Precincts: 80 Average votes per precinct: 657 Votes in median precinct: 669Registered Republicans: 36.3% Registered Democrats: 63.2%  
Voting Machine: Hart Intercivic eSlate+eScan DRE-Dial+Optical Scan
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 9.4%deltaMxV = 4,951
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 23.8% | 36.3% |
2 | 17.6% | 15% | 27.5% |
3 | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
4 | 9.7% | 16.3% | 6.3% |
5 | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5% |
6 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
7 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
8 | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0% |
9 | 4.6% | 5% | 7.5% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 65.84%, Total votes: 34590 out of 52536
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | OHIOPYLE Boro | 27 | 18 | 67% | 18 | 27 | 67% | MARKLEYSBURG Boro | 87 | 70 | 80% | 88 | 114 | 77% | DAWSON Boro | 129 | 92 | 71% | 180 | 243 | 74% | GERMAN Twp - D-4 | 164 | 99 | 60% | 279 | 407 | 69% | LUZERNE Twp - D-4 | 180 | 115 | 64% | 394 | 587 | 67% | VANDERBILT Boro | 186 | 125 | 67% | 519 | 773 | 67% | FAYETTE CITY Boro | 216 | 138 | 64% | 657 | 989 | 66% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-1 | 222 | 74 | 33% | 731 | 1211 | 60% | NEWELL Boro | 228 | 122 | 54% | 853 | 1439 | 59% | REDSTONE Twp - D-3 | 232 | 157 | 68% | 1010 | 1671 | 60% | REDSTONE Twp - D-4 | 235 | 114 | 49% | 1124 | 1906 | 59% | LUZERNE Twp - D-3 | 256 | 121 | 47% | 1245 | 2162 | 58% | EVERSON Boro | 251 | 157 | 63% | 1402 | 2413 | 58% | BROWNSVILLE Twp | 265 | 132 | 50% | 1534 | 2678 | 57% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-2 | 270 | 135 | 50% | 1669 | 2948 | 57% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-5 | 285 | 194 | 68% | 1863 | 3233 | 58% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-3 | 309 | 122 | 39% | 1985 | 3542 | 56% | STEWART Twp | 319 | 262 | 82% | 2247 | 3861 | 58% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-3 | 378 | 264 | 70% | 2511 | 4239 | 59% | SMITHFIELD Boro | 381 | 291 | 76% | 2802 | 4620 | 61% | POINT MARION Boro | 381 | 244 | 64% | 3046 | 5001 | 61% | DUNBAR Boro | 392 | 280 | 71% | 3326 | 5393 | 62% | UNIONTOWN City - W-6 | 392 | 210 | 54% | 3536 | 5785 | 61% | MENALLEN Twp - D-3 | 405 | 234 | 58% | 3770 | 6190 | 61% | UNIONTOWN City - W-4 | 411 | 96 | 23% | 3866 | 6601 | 59% | GERMAN Twp - D-2 | 421 | 221 | 52% | 4087 | 7022 | 58% | BELLE VERNON Boro | 418 | 262 | 63% | 4349 | 7440 | 58% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-2 | 431 | 308 | 71% | 4657 | 7871 | 59% | UNIONTOWN City - W-2 | 440 | 174 | 40% | 4831 | 8311 | 58% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - D-2 | 452 | 360 | 80% | 5191 | 8763 | 59% | GERMAN Twp - D-3 | 461 | 289 | 63% | 5480 | 9224 | 59% | SPRINGHILL Twp - D-1 | 500 | 396 | 79% | 5876 | 9724 | 60% | UNIONTOWN City - W-3 | 504 | 202 | 40% | 6078 | 10228 | 59% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-3 | 531 | 372 | 70% | 6450 | 10759 | 60% | LOWER TYRONE Twp - D-1 | 531 | 401 | 76% | 6851 | 11290 | 61% | MENALLEN Twp - D-1 | 535 | 346 | 65% | 7197 | 11825 | 61% | MASONTOWN Boro - P-2 | 536 | 301 | 56% | 7498 | 12361 | 61% | UNIONTOWN City - W-5 | 552 | 266 | 48% | 7764 | 12913 | 60% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - D-1 | 562 | 457 | 81% | 8221 | 13475 | 61% | SPRINGHILL Twp - D-2 | 669 | 425 | 64% | 8646 | 14144 | 61% | UNIONTOWN City - W-7 | 442 | 310 | 70% | 8956 | 14586 | 61% | LUZERNE Twp - D-1 | 575 | 345 | 60% | 9301 | 15161 | 61% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-4 | 576 | 330 | 57% | 9631 | 15737 | 61% | GEORGES Twp - D-1 | 587 | 432 | 74% | 10063 | 16324 | 62% | WASHINGTON Twp - D-2 | 624 | 421 | 67% | 10484 | 16948 | 62% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-1 | 645 | 462 | 72% | 10946 | 17593 | 62% | UNIONTOWN City - W-1 | 636 | 368 | 58% | 11314 | 18229 | 62% | LUZERNE Twp - D-2 | 694 | 396 | 57% | 11710 | 18923 | 62% | UPPER TYRONE Twp | 690 | 533 | 77% | 12243 | 19613 | 62% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-2 | 701 | 562 | 80% | 12805 | 20314 | 63% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-3 | 696 | 492 | 71% | 13297 | 21010 | 63% | SOUTH CONNELLSVILLE Boro | 715 | 527 | 74% | 13824 | 21725 | 64% | HENRY CLAY Twp | 718 | 584 | 81% | 14408 | 22443 | 64% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-2 | 720 | 460 | 64% | 14868 | 23163 | 64% | REDSTONE Twp - D-1 | 726 | 428 | 59% | 15296 | 23889 | 64% | NICHOLSON Twp | 729 | 554 | 76% | 15850 | 24618 | 64% | MASONTOWN Boro - P-1 | 742 | 436 | 59% | 16286 | 25360 | 64% | FAIRCHANCE Boro | 737 | 487 | 66% | 16773 | 26097 | 64% | REDSTONE Twp - D-2 | 800 | 440 | 55% | 17213 | 26897 | 64% | MENALLEN Twp - D-2 | 816 | 547 | 67% | 17760 | 27713 | 64% | PERRYOPOLIS Boro | 837 | 476 | 57% | 18236 | 28550 | 64% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-1 | 857 | 542 | 63% | 18778 | 29407 | 64% | GERMAN Twp - D-1 | 892 | 626 | 70% | 19404 | 30299 | 64% | CONNELLSVILLE Twp | 910 | 673 | 74% | 20077 | 31209 | 64% | GEORGES Twp - D-2 | 920 | 651 | 71% | 20728 | 32129 | 65% | JEFFERSON Twp | 916 | 648 | 71% | 21376 | 33045 | 65% | GEORGES Twp - D-3 | 944 | 652 | 69% | 22028 | 33989 | 65% | DUNBAR Twp - D-1 | 1058 | 804 | 76% | 22832 | 35047 | 65% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-1 | 1107 | 659 | 60% | 23491 | 36154 | 65% | PERRY Twp | 1103 | 713 | 65% | 24204 | 37257 | 65% | WASHINGTON Twp - D-1 | 1188 | 772 | 65% | 24976 | 38445 | 65% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-4 | 1216 | 760 | 63% | 25736 | 39661 | 65% | SALTLICK Twp | 1255 | 974 | 78% | 26710 | 40916 | 65% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-2 | 1308 | 859 | 66% | 27569 | 42224 | 65% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-3 | 1392 | 890 | 64% | 28459 | 43616 | 65% | WHARTON Twp | 1465 | 1087 | 74% | 29546 | 45081 | 66% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-2 | 1553 | 1036 | 67% | 30582 | 46634 | 66% | DUNBAR Twp - D-2 | 1665 | 1117 | 67% | 31699 | 48299 | 66% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-1 | 1869 | 1468 | 79% | 33167 | 50168 | 66% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-1 | 2368 | 1423 | 60% | 34590 | 52536 | 66% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 34.16%, Total votes: 17946 out of 52536
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | OHIOPYLE Boro | 27 | 9 | 33% | 9 | 27 | 33% | MARKLEYSBURG Boro | 87 | 17 | 20% | 26 | 114 | 23% | DAWSON Boro | 129 | 37 | 29% | 63 | 243 | 26% | GERMAN Twp - D-4 | 164 | 65 | 40% | 128 | 407 | 31% | LUZERNE Twp - D-4 | 180 | 65 | 36% | 193 | 587 | 33% | VANDERBILT Boro | 186 | 61 | 33% | 254 | 773 | 33% | FAYETTE CITY Boro | 216 | 78 | 36% | 332 | 989 | 34% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-1 | 222 | 148 | 67% | 480 | 1211 | 40% | NEWELL Boro | 228 | 106 | 46% | 586 | 1439 | 41% | REDSTONE Twp - D-3 | 232 | 75 | 32% | 661 | 1671 | 40% | REDSTONE Twp - D-4 | 235 | 121 | 51% | 782 | 1906 | 41% | LUZERNE Twp - D-3 | 256 | 135 | 53% | 917 | 2162 | 42% | EVERSON Boro | 251 | 94 | 37% | 1011 | 2413 | 42% | BROWNSVILLE Twp | 265 | 133 | 50% | 1144 | 2678 | 43% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-2 | 270 | 135 | 50% | 1279 | 2948 | 43% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-5 | 285 | 91 | 32% | 1370 | 3233 | 42% | BROWNSVILLE Boro - W-3 | 309 | 187 | 61% | 1557 | 3542 | 44% | STEWART Twp | 319 | 57 | 18% | 1614 | 3861 | 42% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-3 | 378 | 114 | 30% | 1728 | 4239 | 41% | SMITHFIELD Boro | 381 | 90 | 24% | 1818 | 4620 | 39% | POINT MARION Boro | 381 | 137 | 36% | 1955 | 5001 | 39% | DUNBAR Boro | 392 | 112 | 29% | 2067 | 5393 | 38% | UNIONTOWN City - W-6 | 392 | 182 | 46% | 2249 | 5785 | 39% | MENALLEN Twp - D-3 | 405 | 171 | 42% | 2420 | 6190 | 39% | UNIONTOWN City - W-4 | 411 | 315 | 77% | 2735 | 6601 | 41% | GERMAN Twp - D-2 | 421 | 200 | 48% | 2935 | 7022 | 42% | BELLE VERNON Boro | 418 | 156 | 37% | 3091 | 7440 | 42% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-2 | 431 | 123 | 29% | 3214 | 7871 | 41% | UNIONTOWN City - W-2 | 440 | 266 | 60% | 3480 | 8311 | 42% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - D-2 | 452 | 92 | 20% | 3572 | 8763 | 41% | GERMAN Twp - D-3 | 461 | 172 | 37% | 3744 | 9224 | 41% | SPRINGHILL Twp - D-1 | 500 | 104 | 21% | 3848 | 9724 | 40% | UNIONTOWN City - W-3 | 504 | 302 | 60% | 4150 | 10228 | 41% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-3 | 531 | 159 | 30% | 4309 | 10759 | 40% | LOWER TYRONE Twp - D-1 | 531 | 130 | 24% | 4439 | 11290 | 39% | MENALLEN Twp - D-1 | 535 | 189 | 35% | 4628 | 11825 | 39% | MASONTOWN Boro - P-2 | 536 | 235 | 44% | 4863 | 12361 | 39% | UNIONTOWN City - W-5 | 552 | 286 | 52% | 5149 | 12913 | 40% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - D-1 | 562 | 105 | 19% | 5254 | 13475 | 39% | UNIONTOWN City - W-7 | 669 | 244 | 36% | 5498 | 14144 | 39% | SPRINGHILL Twp - D-2 | 442 | 132 | 30% | 5630 | 14586 | 39% | LUZERNE Twp - D-1 | 575 | 230 | 40% | 5860 | 15161 | 39% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-4 | 576 | 246 | 43% | 6106 | 15737 | 39% | GEORGES Twp - D-1 | 587 | 155 | 26% | 6261 | 16324 | 38% | WASHINGTON Twp - D-2 | 624 | 203 | 33% | 6464 | 16948 | 38% | FRANKLIN Twp - D-1 | 645 | 183 | 28% | 6647 | 17593 | 38% | UNIONTOWN City - W-1 | 636 | 268 | 42% | 6915 | 18229 | 38% | LUZERNE Twp - D-2 | 694 | 298 | 43% | 7213 | 18923 | 38% | UPPER TYRONE Twp | 690 | 157 | 23% | 7370 | 19613 | 38% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-2 | 701 | 139 | 20% | 7509 | 20314 | 37% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-3 | 696 | 204 | 29% | 7713 | 21010 | 37% | SOUTH CONNELLSVILLE Boro | 715 | 188 | 26% | 7901 | 21725 | 36% | HENRY CLAY Twp | 718 | 134 | 19% | 8035 | 22443 | 36% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-2 | 720 | 260 | 36% | 8295 | 23163 | 36% | REDSTONE Twp - D-1 | 726 | 298 | 41% | 8593 | 23889 | 36% | NICHOLSON Twp | 729 | 175 | 24% | 8768 | 24618 | 36% | MASONTOWN Boro - P-1 | 742 | 306 | 41% | 9074 | 25360 | 36% | FAIRCHANCE Boro | 737 | 250 | 34% | 9324 | 26097 | 36% | REDSTONE Twp - D-2 | 800 | 360 | 45% | 9684 | 26897 | 36% | MENALLEN Twp - D-2 | 816 | 269 | 33% | 9953 | 27713 | 36% | PERRYOPOLIS Boro | 837 | 361 | 43% | 10314 | 28550 | 36% | CONNELLSVILLE City - W-1 | 857 | 315 | 37% | 10629 | 29407 | 36% | GERMAN Twp - D-1 | 892 | 266 | 30% | 10895 | 30299 | 36% | CONNELLSVILLE Twp | 910 | 237 | 26% | 11132 | 31209 | 36% | GEORGES Twp - D-2 | 920 | 269 | 29% | 11401 | 32129 | 35% | JEFFERSON Twp | 916 | 268 | 29% | 11669 | 33045 | 35% | GEORGES Twp - D-3 | 944 | 292 | 31% | 11961 | 33989 | 35% | DUNBAR Twp - D-1 | 1058 | 254 | 24% | 12215 | 35047 | 35% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-1 | 1107 | 448 | 40% | 12663 | 36154 | 35% | PERRY Twp | 1103 | 390 | 35% | 13053 | 37257 | 35% | WASHINGTON Twp - D-1 | 1188 | 416 | 35% | 13469 | 38445 | 35% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-4 | 1216 | 456 | 38% | 13925 | 39661 | 35% | SALTLICK Twp | 1255 | 281 | 22% | 14206 | 40916 | 35% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-2 | 1308 | 449 | 34% | 14655 | 42224 | 35% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-3 | 1392 | 502 | 36% | 15157 | 43616 | 35% | WHARTON Twp | 1465 | 378 | 26% | 15535 | 45081 | 34% | NORTH UNION Twp - D-2 | 1553 | 517 | 33% | 16052 | 46634 | 34% | DUNBAR Twp - D-2 | 1665 | 548 | 33% | 16600 | 48299 | 34% | BULLSKIN Twp - D-1 | 1869 | 401 | 21% | 17001 | 50168 | 34% | SOUTH UNION Twp - D-1 | 2368 | 945 | 40% | 17946 | 52536 | 34% |
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