Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Franklin County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 61561 Precincts: 67 Average votes per precinct: 919 Votes in median precinct: 799Registered Republicans: 68% Registered Democrats: 31.3%  
Voting Machine: ES&S AutoMARK+Model 100 Ballot Marking Device+Optical Scan
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = -2.9%deltaMxV = -1,793
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 23.9% | 20.9% |
2 | 17.6% | 14.9% | 31.3% |
3 | 12.5% | 6% | 11.9% |
4 | 9.7% | 7.5% | 13.4% |
5 | 7.9% | 9% | 6% |
6 | 6.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
7 | 5.8% | 9% | 4.5% |
8 | 5.1% | 10.4% | 1.5% |
9 | 4.6% | 9% | 3% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 74.92%, Total votes: 46123 out of 61561
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | ORRSTOWN Boro | 83 | 63 | 76% | 63 | 83 | 76% | GUILFORD Twp - X-5 | 180 | 158 | 88% | 221 | 263 | 84% | METAL Twp - X-3 | 185 | 155 | 84% | 376 | 448 | 84% | WARREN Twp | 185 | 153 | 83% | 529 | 633 | 84% | FANNETT Twp - X-CONCORD | 225 | 197 | 88% | 726 | 858 | 85% | FANNETT Twp - X-SULPHUR SPRINGS | 223 | 185 | 83% | 911 | 1081 | 84% | QUINCY Twp - X-4 | 270 | 204 | 76% | 1115 | 1351 | 83% | QUINCY Twp - X-2 | 288 | 239 | 83% | 1354 | 1639 | 83% | METAL Twp - X-1 | 286 | 266 | 93% | 1620 | 1925 | 84% | LETTERKENNY Twp - D-2 | 297 | 218 | 73% | 1838 | 2222 | 83% | METAL Twp - X-2 | 319 | 278 | 87% | 2116 | 2541 | 83% | PETERS Twp - X-4 | 326 | 276 | 85% | 2392 | 2867 | 83% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-4 | 346 | 286 | 83% | 2678 | 3213 | 83% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-2 | 396 | 237 | 60% | 2915 | 3609 | 81% | FANNETT Twp - X-DRY RUN | 458 | 397 | 87% | 3312 | 4067 | 81% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-4 | 447 | 216 | 48% | 3528 | 4514 | 78% | PETERS Twp - X-3 | 479 | 430 | 90% | 3958 | 4993 | 79% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-3 | 497 | 436 | 88% | 4394 | 5490 | 80% | QUINCY Twp - X-3 | 521 | 445 | 85% | 4839 | 6011 | 81% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-2 | 547 | 292 | 53% | 5131 | 6558 | 78% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-3 | 568 | 376 | 66% | 5507 | 7126 | 77% | SHIPPENSBURG Boro | 584 | 309 | 53% | 5816 | 7710 | 75% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-1 | 596 | 405 | 68% | 6221 | 8306 | 75% | PETERS Twp - X-2 | 622 | 493 | 79% | 6714 | 8928 | 75% | PETERS Twp - X-1 | 628 | 521 | 83% | 7235 | 9556 | 76% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-1 | 660 | 534 | 81% | 7769 | 10216 | 76% | GUILFORD Twp - X-4 | 673 | 582 | 86% | 8351 | 10889 | 77% | MERCERSBURG Boro | 665 | 393 | 59% | 8744 | 11554 | 76% | MONT ALTO Boro | 693 | 531 | 77% | 9275 | 12247 | 76% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-3 | 723 | 626 | 87% | 9901 | 12970 | 76% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-1 | 801 | 638 | 80% | 10539 | 13771 | 77% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-5 | 793 | 517 | 65% | 11056 | 14564 | 76% | LURGAN Twp | 799 | 678 | 85% | 11734 | 15363 | 76% | GUILFORD Twp - X-3 | 824 | 694 | 84% | 12428 | 16187 | 77% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-1 | 823 | 586 | 71% | 13014 | 17010 | 77% | LETTERKENNY Twp - D-1 | 855 | 725 | 85% | 13739 | 17865 | 77% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-WEST | 907 | 699 | 77% | 14438 | 18772 | 77% | ANTRIM Twp - X-2 | 982 | 835 | 85% | 15273 | 19754 | 77% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-4 | 987 | 778 | 79% | 16051 | 20741 | 77% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-3 | 999 | 728 | 73% | 16779 | 21740 | 77% | GREENCASTLE Boro - X-1 | 999 | 744 | 74% | 17523 | 22739 | 77% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-2 | 1037 | 883 | 85% | 18406 | 23776 | 77% | GREENCASTLE Boro - X-2 | 1008 | 741 | 74% | 19147 | 24784 | 77% | ANTRIM Twp - X-3 | 1051 | 897 | 85% | 20044 | 25835 | 78% | GUILFORD Twp - X-6 | 1061 | 755 | 71% | 20799 | 26896 | 77% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-2 | 1103 | 894 | 81% | 21693 | 27999 | 77% | QUINCY Twp - X-1 | 1143 | 889 | 78% | 22582 | 29142 | 77% | HAMILTON Twp - D-3 | 1141 | 904 | 79% | 23486 | 30283 | 78% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-1 | 1118 | 663 | 59% | 24149 | 31401 | 77% | GREENE Twp - X-3 | 1170 | 893 | 76% | 25042 | 32571 | 77% | GREENE Twp - X-6 | 1199 | 903 | 75% | 25945 | 33770 | 77% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-EAST | 1279 | 932 | 73% | 26877 | 35049 | 77% | GREENE Twp - X-1 | 1304 | 974 | 75% | 27851 | 36353 | 77% | ANTRIM Twp - X-1 | 1325 | 1088 | 82% | 28939 | 37678 | 77% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-MT. ROCK | 1363 | 970 | 71% | 29909 | 39041 | 77% | GREENE Twp - X-2 | 1357 | 906 | 67% | 30815 | 40398 | 76% | ANTRIM Twp - X-4 | 1537 | 1215 | 79% | 32030 | 41935 | 76% | GREENE Twp - X-4 | 1566 | 1164 | 74% | 33194 | 43501 | 76% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-2 | 1611 | 1181 | 73% | 34375 | 45112 | 76% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-3 | 1642 | 854 | 52% | 35229 | 46754 | 75% | HAMILTON Twp - D-1 | 1707 | 1291 | 76% | 36520 | 48461 | 75% | GREENE Twp - X-5 | 1886 | 1350 | 72% | 37870 | 50347 | 75% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-5 | 2096 | 1503 | 72% | 39373 | 52443 | 75% | HAMILTON Twp - D-2 | 2158 | 1655 | 77% | 41028 | 54601 | 75% | GUILFORD Twp - X-1 | 2187 | 1543 | 71% | 42571 | 56788 | 75% | ANTRIM Twp - X-5 | 2301 | 1884 | 82% | 44455 | 59089 | 75% | GUILFORD Twp - X-2 | 2472 | 1668 | 67% | 46123 | 61561 | 75% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 25.08%, Total votes: 15438 out of 61561
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | ORRSTOWN Boro | 83 | 20 | 24% | 20 | 83 | 24% | GUILFORD Twp - X-5 | 180 | 22 | 12% | 42 | 263 | 16% | METAL Twp - X-3 | 185 | 30 | 16% | 72 | 448 | 16% | WARREN Twp | 185 | 32 | 17% | 104 | 633 | 16% | FANNETT Twp - X-CONCORD | 225 | 28 | 12% | 132 | 858 | 15% | FANNETT Twp - X-SULPHUR SPRINGS | 223 | 38 | 17% | 170 | 1081 | 16% | QUINCY Twp - X-4 | 270 | 66 | 24% | 236 | 1351 | 17% | QUINCY Twp - X-2 | 288 | 49 | 17% | 285 | 1639 | 17% | METAL Twp - X-1 | 286 | 20 | 7% | 305 | 1925 | 16% | LETTERKENNY Twp - D-2 | 297 | 79 | 27% | 384 | 2222 | 17% | METAL Twp - X-2 | 319 | 41 | 13% | 425 | 2541 | 17% | PETERS Twp - X-4 | 326 | 50 | 15% | 475 | 2867 | 17% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-4 | 346 | 60 | 17% | 535 | 3213 | 17% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-2 | 396 | 159 | 40% | 694 | 3609 | 19% | FANNETT Twp - X-DRY RUN | 458 | 61 | 13% | 755 | 4067 | 19% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-4 | 447 | 231 | 52% | 986 | 4514 | 22% | PETERS Twp - X-3 | 479 | 49 | 10% | 1035 | 4993 | 21% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-3 | 497 | 61 | 12% | 1096 | 5490 | 20% | QUINCY Twp - X-3 | 521 | 76 | 15% | 1172 | 6011 | 19% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-2 | 547 | 255 | 47% | 1427 | 6558 | 22% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-3 | 568 | 192 | 34% | 1619 | 7126 | 23% | SHIPPENSBURG Boro | 584 | 275 | 47% | 1894 | 7710 | 25% | WAYNESBORO Boro - X-1 | 596 | 191 | 32% | 2085 | 8306 | 25% | PETERS Twp - X-2 | 622 | 129 | 21% | 2214 | 8928 | 25% | PETERS Twp - X-1 | 628 | 107 | 17% | 2321 | 9556 | 24% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-1 | 660 | 126 | 19% | 2447 | 10216 | 24% | GUILFORD Twp - X-4 | 673 | 91 | 14% | 2538 | 10889 | 23% | MERCERSBURG Boro | 665 | 272 | 41% | 2810 | 11554 | 24% | MONT ALTO Boro | 693 | 162 | 23% | 2972 | 12247 | 24% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-3 | 723 | 97 | 13% | 3069 | 12970 | 24% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-1 | 801 | 163 | 20% | 3232 | 13771 | 23% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-5 | 793 | 276 | 35% | 3508 | 14564 | 24% | LURGAN Twp | 799 | 121 | 15% | 3629 | 15363 | 24% | GUILFORD Twp - X-3 | 824 | 130 | 16% | 3759 | 16187 | 23% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-1 | 823 | 237 | 29% | 3996 | 17010 | 23% | LETTERKENNY Twp - D-1 | 855 | 130 | 15% | 4126 | 17865 | 23% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-WEST | 907 | 208 | 23% | 4334 | 18772 | 23% | ANTRIM Twp - X-2 | 982 | 147 | 15% | 4481 | 19754 | 23% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-4 | 987 | 209 | 21% | 4690 | 20741 | 23% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-3 | 999 | 271 | 27% | 4961 | 21740 | 23% | GREENCASTLE Boro - X-1 | 999 | 255 | 26% | 5216 | 22739 | 23% | MONTGOMERY Twp - X-2 | 1037 | 154 | 15% | 5370 | 23776 | 23% | GREENCASTLE Boro - X-2 | 1008 | 267 | 26% | 5637 | 24784 | 23% | ANTRIM Twp - X-3 | 1051 | 154 | 15% | 5791 | 25835 | 22% | GUILFORD Twp - X-6 | 1061 | 306 | 29% | 6097 | 26896 | 23% | ST. THOMAS Twp - X-2 | 1103 | 209 | 19% | 6306 | 27999 | 23% | QUINCY Twp - X-1 | 1143 | 254 | 22% | 6560 | 29142 | 23% | HAMILTON Twp - D-3 | 1141 | 237 | 21% | 6797 | 30283 | 22% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-1 | 1118 | 455 | 41% | 7252 | 31401 | 23% | GREENE Twp - X-3 | 1170 | 277 | 24% | 7529 | 32571 | 23% | GREENE Twp - X-6 | 1199 | 296 | 25% | 7825 | 33770 | 23% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-EAST | 1279 | 347 | 27% | 8172 | 35049 | 23% | GREENE Twp - X-1 | 1304 | 330 | 25% | 8502 | 36353 | 23% | ANTRIM Twp - X-1 | 1325 | 237 | 18% | 8739 | 37678 | 23% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp - X-MT. ROCK | 1363 | 393 | 29% | 9132 | 39041 | 23% | GREENE Twp - X-2 | 1357 | 451 | 33% | 9583 | 40398 | 24% | ANTRIM Twp - X-4 | 1537 | 322 | 21% | 9905 | 41935 | 24% | GREENE Twp - X-4 | 1566 | 402 | 26% | 10307 | 43501 | 24% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-2 | 1611 | 430 | 27% | 10737 | 45112 | 24% | CHAMBERSBURG Boro - X-3 | 1642 | 788 | 48% | 11525 | 46754 | 25% | HAMILTON Twp - D-1 | 1707 | 416 | 24% | 11941 | 48461 | 25% | GREENE Twp - X-5 | 1886 | 536 | 28% | 12477 | 50347 | 25% | WASHINGTON Twp - X-5 | 2096 | 593 | 28% | 13070 | 52443 | 25% | HAMILTON Twp - D-2 | 2158 | 503 | 23% | 13573 | 54601 | 25% | GUILFORD Twp - X-1 | 2187 | 644 | 29% | 14217 | 56788 | 25% | ANTRIM Twp - X-5 | 2301 | 417 | 18% | 14634 | 59089 | 25% | GUILFORD Twp - X-2 | 2472 | 804 | 33% | 15438 | 61561 | 25% |
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