Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Indiana County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 32392 Precincts: 64 Average votes per precinct: 506 Votes in median precinct: 472Registered Republicans: 53.7% Registered Democrats: 45.7%  
Voting Machine: ES&S AutoMARK+Model 100 Ballot Marking Device+Optical Scan
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = -10.6%deltaMxV = -3,422
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 20.3% | 37.5% |
2 | 17.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% |
3 | 12.5% | 25% | 15.6% |
4 | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
5 | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% |
6 | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
7 | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
8 | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% |
9 | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 70.81%, Total votes: 22936 out of 32392
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SMICKSBURG Boro | 24 | 21 | 88% | 21 | 24 | 88% | SHELOCTA Boro | 40 | 35 | 88% | 56 | 64 | 88% | ARMAGH Boro | 51 | 35 | 69% | 91 | 115 | 79% | GLEN CAMPBELL Boro | 99 | 69 | 70% | 160 | 214 | 75% | PLUMVILLE Boro | 127 | 97 | 76% | 257 | 341 | 75% | BUFFINGTON Twp - X-2 | 132 | 111 | 84% | 368 | 473 | 78% | CREEKSIDE Boro | 129 | 85 | 66% | 453 | 602 | 75% | CHERRY TREE Boro | 131 | 109 | 83% | 562 | 733 | 77% | YOUNG Twp - X-2 | 144 | 108 | 75% | 670 | 877 | 76% | ERNEST Boro | 171 | 104 | 61% | 774 | 1048 | 74% | WEST MAHONING Twp | 183 | 165 | 90% | 939 | 1231 | 76% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-1 | 184 | 129 | 70% | 1068 | 1415 | 75% | YOUNG Twp - X-3 | 190 | 135 | 71% | 1203 | 1605 | 75% | MARION CENTER Boro | 188 | 155 | 82% | 1358 | 1793 | 76% | PINE Twp - X-2 | 195 | 132 | 68% | 1490 | 1988 | 75% | PINE Twp - X-3 | 220 | 166 | 75% | 1656 | 2208 | 75% | GREEN Twp - X-3 | 261 | 215 | 82% | 1871 | 2469 | 76% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-3 | 296 | 222 | 75% | 2093 | 2765 | 76% | HOMER CITY Boro - X-2 | 304 | 185 | 61% | 2278 | 3069 | 74% | GRANT Twp | 318 | 272 | 86% | 2550 | 3387 | 75% | BANKS Twp - X-1 | 335 | 294 | 88% | 2844 | 3722 | 76% | SALTSBURG Boro | 343 | 211 | 62% | 3055 | 4065 | 75% | EAST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-2 | 385 | 301 | 78% | 3356 | 4450 | 75% | PINE Twp - X-1 | 391 | 323 | 83% | 3679 | 4841 | 76% | CHERRYHILL Twp - X-2 | 401 | 316 | 79% | 3995 | 5242 | 76% | YOUNG Twp - X-1 | 411 | 308 | 75% | 4303 | 5653 | 76% | ARMSTRONG Twp - X-1 | 418 | 299 | 72% | 4602 | 6071 | 76% | BUFFINGTON Twp - X-1 | 439 | 354 | 81% | 4956 | 6510 | 76% | NORTH MAHONING Twp | 450 | 387 | 86% | 5343 | 6960 | 77% | EAST MAHONING Twp | 458 | 374 | 82% | 5717 | 7418 | 77% | WEST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-1 | 462 | 339 | 73% | 6056 | 7880 | 77% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-1 | 472 | 299 | 63% | 6355 | 8352 | 76% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-2 | 490 | 379 | 77% | 6734 | 8842 | 76% | WEST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-2 | 494 | 382 | 77% | 7116 | 9336 | 76% | HOMER CITY Boro - X-1 | 506 | 298 | 59% | 7414 | 9842 | 75% | CENTER Twp - X-2 | 525 | 353 | 67% | 7767 | 10367 | 75% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-3 | 531 | 317 | 60% | 8084 | 10898 | 74% | CLYMER Boro - X-1 | 546 | 378 | 69% | 8462 | 11444 | 74% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-2 | 532 | 333 | 63% | 8795 | 11976 | 73% | INDIANA Boro - X-2 | 518 | 224 | 43% | 9019 | 12494 | 72% | CANOE Twp | 566 | 464 | 82% | 9483 | 13060 | 73% | BURRELL Twp - X-1 | 603 | 425 | 70% | 9908 | 13663 | 73% | MONTGOMERY Twp | 611 | 491 | 80% | 10399 | 14274 | 73% | CENTER Twp - X-1 | 616 | 473 | 77% | 10872 | 14890 | 73% | GREEN Twp - X-2 | 614 | 502 | 82% | 11374 | 15504 | 73% | SOUTH MAHONING Twp - X-1 | 624 | 522 | 84% | 11896 | 16128 | 74% | INDIANA Boro - X-4 | 594 | 230 | 39% | 12126 | 16722 | 73% | GREEN Twp - X-1 | 628 | 529 | 84% | 12655 | 17350 | 73% | BLACKLICK Twp | 633 | 499 | 79% | 13154 | 17983 | 73% | EAST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-1 | 675 | 523 | 77% | 13677 | 18658 | 73% | WHITE Twp - X-6 | 698 | 457 | 65% | 14134 | 19356 | 73% | BRUSH VALLEY Twp | 767 | 600 | 78% | 14734 | 20123 | 73% | INDIANA Boro - X-1 | 795 | 415 | 52% | 15149 | 20918 | 72% | WASHINGTON Twp | 832 | 703 | 84% | 15852 | 21750 | 73% | CHERRYHILL Twp - X-1 | 833 | 650 | 78% | 16502 | 22583 | 73% | BURRELL Twp - X-2 | 871 | 619 | 71% | 17121 | 23454 | 73% | INDIANA Boro - X-3 | 845 | 264 | 31% | 17385 | 24299 | 72% | WHITE Twp - X-3 | 927 | 570 | 61% | 17955 | 25226 | 71% | CENTER Twp - X-3 | 1020 | 630 | 62% | 18585 | 26246 | 71% | WHITE Twp - X-4 | 1046 | 639 | 61% | 19224 | 27292 | 70% | ARMSTRONG Twp - X-2 | 1062 | 838 | 79% | 20062 | 28354 | 71% | WHITE Twp - X-1 | 1073 | 740 | 69% | 20802 | 29427 | 71% | RAYNE Twp | 1407 | 1108 | 79% | 21910 | 30834 | 71% | WHITE Twp - X-2 | 1558 | 1026 | 66% | 22936 | 32392 | 71% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 29.19%, Total votes: 9456 out of 32392
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SMICKSBURG Boro | 24 | 3 | 13% | 3 | 24 | 13% | SHELOCTA Boro | 40 | 5 | 13% | 8 | 64 | 13% | ARMAGH Boro | 51 | 16 | 31% | 24 | 115 | 21% | GLEN CAMPBELL Boro | 99 | 30 | 30% | 54 | 214 | 25% | PLUMVILLE Boro | 127 | 30 | 24% | 84 | 341 | 25% | BUFFINGTON Twp - X-2 | 132 | 21 | 16% | 105 | 473 | 22% | CREEKSIDE Boro | 129 | 44 | 34% | 149 | 602 | 25% | CHERRY TREE Boro | 131 | 22 | 17% | 171 | 733 | 23% | YOUNG Twp - X-2 | 144 | 36 | 25% | 207 | 877 | 24% | ERNEST Boro | 171 | 67 | 39% | 274 | 1048 | 26% | WEST MAHONING Twp | 183 | 18 | 10% | 292 | 1231 | 24% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-1 | 184 | 55 | 30% | 347 | 1415 | 25% | YOUNG Twp - X-3 | 190 | 55 | 29% | 402 | 1605 | 25% | MARION CENTER Boro | 188 | 33 | 18% | 435 | 1793 | 24% | PINE Twp - X-2 | 195 | 63 | 32% | 498 | 1988 | 25% | PINE Twp - X-3 | 220 | 54 | 25% | 552 | 2208 | 25% | GREEN Twp - X-3 | 261 | 46 | 18% | 598 | 2469 | 24% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-3 | 296 | 74 | 25% | 672 | 2765 | 24% | HOMER CITY Boro - X-2 | 304 | 119 | 39% | 791 | 3069 | 26% | GRANT Twp | 318 | 46 | 14% | 837 | 3387 | 25% | BANKS Twp - X-1 | 335 | 41 | 12% | 878 | 3722 | 24% | SALTSBURG Boro | 343 | 132 | 38% | 1010 | 4065 | 25% | EAST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-2 | 385 | 84 | 22% | 1094 | 4450 | 25% | PINE Twp - X-1 | 391 | 68 | 17% | 1162 | 4841 | 24% | CHERRYHILL Twp - X-2 | 401 | 85 | 21% | 1247 | 5242 | 24% | YOUNG Twp - X-1 | 411 | 103 | 25% | 1350 | 5653 | 24% | ARMSTRONG Twp - X-1 | 418 | 119 | 28% | 1469 | 6071 | 24% | BUFFINGTON Twp - X-1 | 439 | 85 | 19% | 1554 | 6510 | 24% | NORTH MAHONING Twp | 450 | 63 | 14% | 1617 | 6960 | 23% | EAST MAHONING Twp | 458 | 84 | 18% | 1701 | 7418 | 23% | WEST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-1 | 462 | 123 | 27% | 1824 | 7880 | 23% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-1 | 472 | 173 | 37% | 1997 | 8352 | 24% | WEST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-2 | 490 | 111 | 23% | 2108 | 8842 | 24% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-2 | 494 | 112 | 23% | 2220 | 9336 | 24% | HOMER CITY Boro - X-1 | 506 | 208 | 41% | 2428 | 9842 | 25% | CENTER Twp - X-2 | 525 | 172 | 33% | 2600 | 10367 | 25% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-3 | 531 | 214 | 40% | 2814 | 10898 | 26% | CLYMER Boro - X-1 | 546 | 168 | 31% | 2982 | 11444 | 26% | BLAIRSVILLE Boro - X-2 | 532 | 199 | 37% | 3181 | 11976 | 27% | INDIANA Boro - X-2 | 518 | 294 | 57% | 3475 | 12494 | 28% | CANOE Twp | 566 | 102 | 18% | 3577 | 13060 | 27% | BURRELL Twp - X-1 | 603 | 178 | 30% | 3755 | 13663 | 27% | MONTGOMERY Twp | 611 | 120 | 20% | 3875 | 14274 | 27% | CENTER Twp - X-1 | 616 | 143 | 23% | 4018 | 14890 | 27% | GREEN Twp - X-2 | 614 | 112 | 18% | 4130 | 15504 | 27% | SOUTH MAHONING Twp - X-1 | 624 | 102 | 16% | 4232 | 16128 | 26% | INDIANA Boro - X-4 | 594 | 364 | 61% | 4596 | 16722 | 27% | GREEN Twp - X-1 | 628 | 99 | 16% | 4695 | 17350 | 27% | BLACKLICK Twp | 633 | 134 | 21% | 4829 | 17983 | 27% | EAST WHEATFIELD Twp - X-1 | 675 | 152 | 23% | 4981 | 18658 | 27% | WHITE Twp - X-6 | 698 | 241 | 35% | 5222 | 19356 | 27% | BRUSH VALLEY Twp | 767 | 167 | 22% | 5389 | 20123 | 27% | INDIANA Boro - X-1 | 795 | 380 | 48% | 5769 | 20918 | 28% | WASHINGTON Twp | 832 | 129 | 16% | 5898 | 21750 | 27% | CHERRYHILL Twp - X-1 | 833 | 183 | 22% | 6081 | 22583 | 27% | BURRELL Twp - X-2 | 871 | 252 | 29% | 6333 | 23454 | 27% | INDIANA Boro - X-3 | 845 | 581 | 69% | 6914 | 24299 | 28% | WHITE Twp - X-3 | 927 | 357 | 39% | 7271 | 25226 | 29% | CENTER Twp - X-3 | 1020 | 390 | 38% | 7661 | 26246 | 29% | WHITE Twp - X-4 | 1046 | 407 | 39% | 8068 | 27292 | 30% | ARMSTRONG Twp - X-2 | 1062 | 224 | 21% | 8292 | 28354 | 29% | WHITE Twp - X-1 | 1073 | 333 | 31% | 8625 | 29427 | 29% | RAYNE Twp | 1407 | 299 | 21% | 8924 | 30834 | 29% | WHITE Twp - X-2 | 1558 | 532 | 34% | 9456 | 32392 | 29% |
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