Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Lycoming County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 48140 Precincts: 85 Average votes per precinct: 566 Votes in median precinct: 486Registered Republicans: 62.6% Registered Democrats: 36.8%  
Voting Machine: Premier/Diebold AccuVote TSX DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = -1.3%deltaMxV = -622
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Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 17.6% | 27.1% |
2 | 17.6% | 22.4% | 25.9% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
4 | 9.7% | 17.6% | 3.5% |
5 | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
6 | 6.7% | 2.4% | 8.2% |
7 | 5.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
8 | 5.1% | 1.2% | 4.7% |
9 | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 73.29%, Total votes: 35280 out of 48140
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | MC NETT Twp | 49 | 40 | 82% | 40 | 49 | 82% | BROWN Twp | 67 | 63 | 94% | 103 | 116 | 89% | MC HENRY Twp | 72 | 55 | 76% | 158 | 188 | 84% | SALLADASBURG Boro | 88 | 70 | 80% | 228 | 276 | 83% | PINE Twp | 149 | 136 | 91% | 364 | 425 | 86% | CUMMINGS Twp | 164 | 115 | 70% | 479 | 589 | 81% | SHREWSBURY Twp | 173 | 148 | 86% | 627 | 762 | 82% | MC INTYRE Twp | 175 | 147 | 84% | 774 | 937 | 83% | JACKSON Twp | 191 | 161 | 84% | 935 | 1128 | 83% | BRADY Twp | 233 | 196 | 84% | 1131 | 1361 | 83% | CASCADE Twp | 238 | 203 | 85% | 1334 | 1599 | 83% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-3 | 246 | 202 | 82% | 1536 | 1845 | 83% | WATSON Twp | 274 | 220 | 80% | 1756 | 2119 | 83% | NIPPENOSE Twp | 290 | 254 | 88% | 2010 | 2409 | 83% | BASTRESS Twp | 292 | 260 | 89% | 2270 | 2701 | 84% | PICTURE ROCKS Boro | 300 | 236 | 79% | 2506 | 3001 | 84% | MILL CREEK Twp | 309 | 256 | 83% | 2762 | 3310 | 83% | CLINTON Twp - P-2 | 304 | 244 | 80% | 3006 | 3614 | 83% | ARMSTRONG Twp | 325 | 274 | 84% | 3280 | 3939 | 83% | PLUNKETTS CREEK Twp | 340 | 278 | 82% | 3558 | 4279 | 83% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-5 | 327 | 158 | 48% | 3716 | 4606 | 81% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-2 | 343 | 257 | 75% | 3973 | 4949 | 80% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-12 | 349 | 71 | 20% | 4044 | 5298 | 76% | JORDAN Twp | 350 | 289 | 83% | 4333 | 5648 | 77% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-1 | 352 | 273 | 78% | 4606 | 6000 | 77% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-3 | 361 | 278 | 77% | 4884 | 6361 | 77% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-4 | 391 | 316 | 81% | 5200 | 6752 | 77% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-2 | 398 | 281 | 71% | 5481 | 7150 | 77% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-3 | 401 | 159 | 40% | 5640 | 7551 | 75% | FRANKLIN Twp | 421 | 357 | 85% | 5997 | 7972 | 75% | GAMBLE Twp | 426 | 367 | 86% | 6364 | 8398 | 76% | LEWIS Twp | 433 | 357 | 82% | 6721 | 8831 | 76% | PENN Twp | 437 | 351 | 80% | 7072 | 9268 | 76% | HUGHESVILLE Boro - W-1 | 436 | 321 | 74% | 7393 | 9704 | 76% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-4 | 440 | 144 | 33% | 7537 | 10144 | 74% | ANTHONY Twp | 460 | 409 | 89% | 7946 | 10604 | 75% | COGAN HOUSE Twp | 464 | 397 | 86% | 8343 | 11068 | 75% | PIATT Twp | 473 | 407 | 86% | 8750 | 11541 | 76% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-13 | 462 | 178 | 39% | 8928 | 12003 | 74% | MUNCY Boro - P-2 | 469 | 350 | 75% | 9278 | 12472 | 74% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-1 | 476 | 297 | 62% | 9575 | 12948 | 74% | HUGHESVILLE Boro - W-2 | 486 | 357 | 73% | 9932 | 13434 | 74% | MONTGOMERY Boro | 479 | 332 | 69% | 10264 | 13913 | 74% | SUSQUEHANNA Twp | 495 | 417 | 84% | 10681 | 14408 | 74% | MORELAND Twp | 499 | 420 | 84% | 11101 | 14907 | 74% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-8 | 492 | 283 | 58% | 11384 | 15399 | 74% | MUNCY Twp | 504 | 418 | 83% | 11802 | 15903 | 74% | MIFFLIN Twp | 511 | 453 | 89% | 12255 | 16414 | 75% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-7 | 519 | 319 | 61% | 12574 | 16933 | 74% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-6 | 522 | 354 | 68% | 12928 | 17455 | 74% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-11 | 551 | 223 | 40% | 13151 | 18006 | 73% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-17 | 576 | 318 | 55% | 13469 | 18582 | 72% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-2 | 580 | 449 | 77% | 13918 | 19162 | 73% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-2 | 568 | 268 | 47% | 14186 | 19730 | 72% | CLINTON Twp - P-1 | 606 | 491 | 81% | 14677 | 20336 | 72% | DUBOISTOWN Boro | 604 | 474 | 78% | 15151 | 20940 | 72% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-14 | 605 | 349 | 58% | 15500 | 21545 | 72% | MUNCY Boro - P-1 | 637 | 458 | 72% | 15958 | 22182 | 72% | WASHINGTON Twp | 673 | 566 | 84% | 16524 | 22855 | 72% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-2 | 671 | 459 | 68% | 16983 | 23526 | 72% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-10 | 665 | 336 | 51% | 17319 | 24191 | 72% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-1 | 686 | 504 | 73% | 17823 | 24877 | 72% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-15 | 692 | 433 | 63% | 18256 | 25569 | 71% | LYCOMING Twp | 720 | 579 | 80% | 18835 | 26289 | 72% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-9 | 706 | 426 | 60% | 19261 | 26995 | 71% | PORTER Twp | 737 | 602 | 82% | 19863 | 27732 | 72% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-1 | 735 | 526 | 72% | 20389 | 28467 | 72% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-16 | 769 | 432 | 56% | 20821 | 29236 | 71% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-4 | 806 | 541 | 67% | 21362 | 30042 | 71% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-1 | 824 | 574 | 70% | 21936 | 30866 | 71% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-5 | 849 | 551 | 65% | 22487 | 31715 | 71% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-3 | 920 | 719 | 78% | 23206 | 32635 | 71% | LIMESTONE Twp | 941 | 796 | 85% | 24002 | 33576 | 71% | UPPER FAIRFIELD Twp | 934 | 769 | 82% | 24771 | 34510 | 72% | WOODWARD Twp | 947 | 772 | 82% | 25543 | 35457 | 72% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-6 | 1039 | 772 | 74% | 26315 | 36496 | 72% | OLD LYCOMING Twp - P-2 | 1060 | 818 | 77% | 27133 | 37556 | 72% | ELDRED Twp | 1104 | 907 | 82% | 28040 | 38660 | 73% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-3 | 1087 | 758 | 70% | 28798 | 39747 | 72% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-7 | 1320 | 996 | 75% | 29794 | 41067 | 73% | HEPBURN Twp | 1328 | 1048 | 79% | 30842 | 42395 | 73% | WOLF Twp | 1347 | 1054 | 78% | 31896 | 43742 | 73% | FAIRFIELD Twp | 1378 | 1059 | 77% | 32955 | 45120 | 73% | OLD LYCOMING Twp - P-1 | 1488 | 1122 | 75% | 34077 | 46608 | 73% | MUNCY CREEK Twp | 1532 | 1203 | 79% | 35280 | 48140 | 73% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 26.71%, Total votes: 12860 out of 48140
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | MC NETT Twp | 49 | 9 | 18% | 9 | 49 | 18% | BROWN Twp | 67 | 4 | 6% | 13 | 116 | 11% | MC HENRY Twp | 72 | 17 | 24% | 30 | 188 | 16% | SALLADASBURG Boro | 88 | 18 | 20% | 48 | 276 | 17% | PINE Twp | 149 | 13 | 9% | 61 | 425 | 14% | CUMMINGS Twp | 164 | 49 | 30% | 110 | 589 | 19% | SHREWSBURY Twp | 173 | 25 | 14% | 135 | 762 | 18% | MC INTYRE Twp | 175 | 28 | 16% | 163 | 937 | 17% | JACKSON Twp | 191 | 30 | 16% | 193 | 1128 | 17% | BRADY Twp | 233 | 37 | 16% | 230 | 1361 | 17% | CASCADE Twp | 238 | 35 | 15% | 265 | 1599 | 17% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-3 | 246 | 44 | 18% | 309 | 1845 | 17% | WATSON Twp | 274 | 54 | 20% | 363 | 2119 | 17% | NIPPENOSE Twp | 290 | 36 | 12% | 399 | 2409 | 17% | BASTRESS Twp | 292 | 32 | 11% | 431 | 2701 | 16% | PICTURE ROCKS Boro | 300 | 64 | 21% | 495 | 3001 | 16% | MILL CREEK Twp | 309 | 53 | 17% | 548 | 3310 | 17% | CLINTON Twp - P-2 | 304 | 60 | 20% | 608 | 3614 | 17% | ARMSTRONG Twp | 325 | 51 | 16% | 659 | 3939 | 17% | PLUNKETTS CREEK Twp | 340 | 62 | 18% | 721 | 4279 | 17% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-5 | 327 | 169 | 52% | 890 | 4606 | 19% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-2 | 343 | 86 | 25% | 976 | 4949 | 20% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-12 | 349 | 278 | 80% | 1254 | 5298 | 24% | JORDAN Twp | 350 | 61 | 17% | 1315 | 5648 | 23% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-1 | 352 | 79 | 22% | 1394 | 6000 | 23% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-3 | 361 | 83 | 23% | 1477 | 6361 | 23% | JERSEY SHORE Boro - W-4 | 391 | 75 | 19% | 1552 | 6752 | 23% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-2 | 398 | 117 | 29% | 1669 | 7150 | 23% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-3 | 401 | 242 | 60% | 1911 | 7551 | 25% | FRANKLIN Twp | 421 | 64 | 15% | 1975 | 7972 | 25% | GAMBLE Twp | 426 | 59 | 14% | 2034 | 8398 | 24% | LEWIS Twp | 433 | 76 | 18% | 2110 | 8831 | 24% | PENN Twp | 437 | 86 | 20% | 2196 | 9268 | 24% | HUGHESVILLE Boro - W-1 | 436 | 115 | 26% | 2311 | 9704 | 24% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-4 | 440 | 296 | 67% | 2607 | 10144 | 26% | ANTHONY Twp | 460 | 51 | 11% | 2658 | 10604 | 25% | COGAN HOUSE Twp | 464 | 67 | 14% | 2725 | 11068 | 25% | PIATT Twp | 473 | 66 | 14% | 2791 | 11541 | 24% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-13 | 462 | 284 | 61% | 3075 | 12003 | 26% | MUNCY Boro - P-2 | 469 | 119 | 25% | 3194 | 12472 | 26% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-1 | 476 | 179 | 38% | 3373 | 12948 | 26% | HUGHESVILLE Boro - W-2 | 486 | 129 | 27% | 3502 | 13434 | 26% | MONTGOMERY Boro | 479 | 147 | 31% | 3649 | 13913 | 26% | SUSQUEHANNA Twp | 495 | 78 | 16% | 3727 | 14408 | 26% | MORELAND Twp | 499 | 79 | 16% | 3806 | 14907 | 26% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-8 | 492 | 209 | 42% | 4015 | 15399 | 26% | MUNCY Twp | 504 | 86 | 17% | 4101 | 15903 | 26% | MIFFLIN Twp | 511 | 58 | 11% | 4159 | 16414 | 25% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-7 | 519 | 200 | 39% | 4359 | 16933 | 26% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-6 | 522 | 168 | 32% | 4527 | 17455 | 26% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-11 | 551 | 328 | 60% | 4855 | 18006 | 27% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-17 | 576 | 258 | 45% | 5113 | 18582 | 28% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-2 | 580 | 131 | 23% | 5244 | 19162 | 27% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-2 | 568 | 300 | 53% | 5544 | 19730 | 28% | CLINTON Twp - P-1 | 606 | 115 | 19% | 5659 | 20336 | 28% | DUBOISTOWN Boro | 604 | 130 | 22% | 5789 | 20940 | 28% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-14 | 605 | 256 | 42% | 6045 | 21545 | 28% | MUNCY Boro - P-1 | 637 | 179 | 28% | 6224 | 22182 | 28% | WASHINGTON Twp | 673 | 107 | 16% | 6331 | 22855 | 28% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-2 | 671 | 212 | 32% | 6543 | 23526 | 28% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-10 | 665 | 329 | 49% | 6872 | 24191 | 28% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-1 | 686 | 182 | 27% | 7054 | 24877 | 28% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-15 | 692 | 259 | 37% | 7313 | 25569 | 29% | LYCOMING Twp | 720 | 141 | 20% | 7454 | 26289 | 28% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-9 | 706 | 280 | 40% | 7734 | 26995 | 29% | PORTER Twp | 737 | 135 | 18% | 7869 | 27732 | 28% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-1 | 735 | 209 | 28% | 8078 | 28467 | 28% | WILLIAMSPORT City - W-16 | 769 | 337 | 44% | 8415 | 29236 | 29% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-4 | 806 | 265 | 33% | 8680 | 30042 | 29% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-1 | 824 | 250 | 30% | 8930 | 30866 | 29% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-5 | 849 | 298 | 35% | 9228 | 31715 | 29% | MONTOURSVILLE Boro - W-3 | 920 | 201 | 22% | 9429 | 32635 | 29% | LIMESTONE Twp | 941 | 145 | 15% | 9574 | 33576 | 29% | UPPER FAIRFIELD Twp | 934 | 165 | 18% | 9739 | 34510 | 28% | WOODWARD Twp | 947 | 175 | 18% | 9914 | 35457 | 28% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-6 | 1039 | 267 | 26% | 10181 | 36496 | 28% | OLD LYCOMING Twp - P-2 | 1060 | 242 | 23% | 10423 | 37556 | 28% | ELDRED Twp | 1104 | 197 | 18% | 10620 | 38660 | 27% | SOUTH WILLIAMSPORT Boro - W-3 | 1087 | 329 | 30% | 10949 | 39747 | 28% | LOYALSOCK Twp - P-7 | 1320 | 324 | 25% | 11273 | 41067 | 27% | HEPBURN Twp | 1328 | 280 | 21% | 11553 | 42395 | 27% | WOLF Twp | 1347 | 293 | 22% | 11846 | 43742 | 27% | FAIRFIELD Twp | 1378 | 319 | 23% | 12165 | 45120 | 27% | OLD LYCOMING Twp - P-1 | 1488 | 366 | 25% | 12531 | 46608 | 27% | MUNCY CREEK Twp | 1532 | 329 | 21% | 12860 | 48140 | 27% |
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