Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Mercer County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 50277 Precincts: 100 Average votes per precinct: 503 Votes in median precinct: 369Registered Republicans: 48.9% Registered Democrats: 50.5%  
Voting Machine: ES&S iVotronic DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = 19.4%deltaMxV = 9,742
Click legend entry to show or hide a line.
Options:
Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 16% | 39% |
2 | 17.6% | 29% | 34% |
3 | 12.5% | 18% | 11% |
4 | 9.7% | 13% | 0% |
5 | 7.9% | 13% | 3% |
6 | 6.7% | 5% | 5% |
7 | 5.8% | 3% | 4% |
8 | 5.1% | 2% | 2% |
9 | 4.6% | 1% | 2% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 62.74%, Total votes: 31544 out of 50277
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SHARON City - X-2-4 | 373 | 142 | 38% | 142 | 373 | 38% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-2 | 825 | 456 | 55% | 598 | 1198 | 50% | FARRELL City - X-2-2 | 387 | 98 | 25% | 696 | 1585 | 44% | SHARON City - X-4-3 | 322 | 66 | 20% | 762 | 1907 | 40% | SHARON City - X-2-1 | 482 | 240 | 50% | 1002 | 2389 | 42% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-2 | 565 | 272 | 48% | 1274 | 2954 | 43% | FARRELL City - X-1-1 | 190 | 11 | 6% | 1285 | 3144 | 41% | SHARON City - X-3-1 | 410 | 118 | 29% | 1403 | 3554 | 39% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-3 | 832 | 479 | 58% | 1882 | 4386 | 43% | FARRELL City - X-2-3 | 389 | 153 | 39% | 2035 | 4775 | 43% | SHARON City - X-4-4 | 378 | 110 | 29% | 2145 | 5153 | 42% | SHARON City - X-2-2 | 531 | 256 | 48% | 2401 | 5684 | 42% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-3 | 681 | 511 | 75% | 2912 | 6365 | 46% | FARRELL City - X-1-2 | 228 | 57 | 25% | 2969 | 6593 | 45% | SHARON City - X-4-1 | 394 | 138 | 35% | 3107 | 6987 | 44% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW-1 | 603 | 277 | 46% | 3384 | 7590 | 45% | HERMITAGE City - X-NE-1 | 631 | 438 | 69% | 3822 | 8221 | 46% | SHARON City - X-4-5 | 419 | 169 | 40% | 3991 | 8640 | 46% | SHARON City - X-2-3 | 651 | 279 | 43% | 4270 | 9291 | 46% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-1 | 866 | 595 | 69% | 4865 | 10157 | 48% | FARRELL City - X-2-1 | 299 | 41 | 14% | 4906 | 10456 | 47% | SHARON City - X-4-2 | 497 | 233 | 47% | 5139 | 10953 | 47% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW-2 | 556 | 296 | 53% | 5435 | 11509 | 47% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-1 | 566 | 336 | 59% | 5771 | 12075 | 48% | SHEAKLEYVILLE Boro | 65 | 56 | 86% | 5827 | 12140 | 48% | NEW LEBANON Boro | 74 | 55 | 74% | 5882 | 12214 | 48% | JACKSON CENTER Boro | 92 | 58 | 63% | 5940 | 12306 | 48% | FARRELL City - X-2 | 144 | 11 | 8% | 5951 | 12450 | 48% | FARRELL City - X-1 | 157 | 19 | 12% | 5970 | 12607 | 47% | SHARON City - X-2 | 199 | 67 | 34% | 6037 | 12806 | 47% | FREDONIA Boro | 211 | 144 | 68% | 6181 | 13017 | 47% | SHARON City - X-3 | 220 | 53 | 24% | 6234 | 13237 | 47% | SHARON City - X-4 | 228 | 46 | 20% | 6280 | 13465 | 47% | DEER CREEK Twp | 222 | 171 | 77% | 6451 | 13687 | 47% | OTTER CREEK Twp | 265 | 203 | 77% | 6654 | 13952 | 48% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-1 | 265 | 189 | 71% | 6843 | 14217 | 48% | NEW VERNON Twp | 268 | 212 | 79% | 7055 | 14485 | 49% | WHEATLAND Boro | 274 | 117 | 43% | 7172 | 14759 | 49% | SANDY LAKE BORO Boro | 281 | 216 | 77% | 7388 | 15040 | 49% | LAKE Twp | 298 | 232 | 78% | 7620 | 15338 | 50% | JAMESTOWN Boro | 302 | 197 | 65% | 7817 | 15640 | 50% | SHARON City - X-1 | 324 | 149 | 46% | 7966 | 15964 | 50% | FRENCH CREEK Twp | 327 | 234 | 72% | 8200 | 16291 | 50% | CLARK Boro | 326 | 214 | 66% | 8414 | 16617 | 51% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-4 | 323 | 160 | 50% | 8574 | 16940 | 51% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-3 | 342 | 205 | 60% | 8779 | 17282 | 51% | SALEM Twp | 348 | 280 | 80% | 9059 | 17630 | 51% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - X-EAST | 347 | 260 | 75% | 9319 | 17977 | 52% | SANDY CREEK Twp | 364 | 294 | 81% | 9613 | 18341 | 52% | MILL CREEK Twp | 369 | 313 | 85% | 9926 | 18710 | 53% | FAIRVIEW Twp | 387 | 313 | 81% | 10239 | 19097 | 54% | WOLF CREEK Twp | 400 | 313 | 78% | 10552 | 19497 | 54% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-EAST | 412 | 302 | 73% | 10854 | 19909 | 55% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-1 | 411 | 276 | 67% | 11130 | 20320 | 55% | WEST MIDDLESEX Boro | 421 | 260 | 62% | 11390 | 20741 | 55% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-1 | 418 | 299 | 72% | 11689 | 21159 | 55% | WORTH Twp | 430 | 352 | 82% | 12041 | 21589 | 56% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-3 | 429 | 205 | 48% | 12246 | 22018 | 56% | MERCER Boro - X-SOUTH | 439 | 296 | 67% | 12542 | 22457 | 56% | MERCER Boro - X-NORTH | 483 | 288 | 60% | 12830 | 22940 | 56% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW | 401 | 250 | 62% | 13080 | 23341 | 56% | STONEBORO Boro | 447 | 323 | 72% | 13403 | 23788 | 56% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-3 | 434 | 275 | 63% | 13678 | 24222 | 56% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-2 | 477 | 253 | 53% | 13931 | 24699 | 56% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE | 484 | 268 | 55% | 14199 | 25183 | 56% | GREENE Twp | 482 | 352 | 73% | 14551 | 25665 | 57% | SUGAR GROVE Twp | 507 | 378 | 75% | 14929 | 26172 | 57% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-2 | 497 | 327 | 66% | 15256 | 26669 | 57% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-1 | 491 | 337 | 69% | 15593 | 27160 | 57% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-WEST | 528 | 382 | 72% | 15975 | 27688 | 58% | WEST SALEM Twp - X-EAST | 534 | 347 | 65% | 16322 | 28222 | 58% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-2 | 549 | 281 | 51% | 16603 | 28771 | 58% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-4 | 549 | 356 | 65% | 16959 | 29320 | 58% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - X-WEST | 564 | 437 | 77% | 17396 | 29884 | 58% | WILMINGTON Twp | 596 | 467 | 78% | 17863 | 30480 | 59% | PYMATUNING Twp - X-1 | 597 | 384 | 64% | 18247 | 31077 | 59% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW | 623 | 290 | 47% | 18537 | 31700 | 58% | SANDY LAKE TWP Twp | 631 | 506 | 80% | 19043 | 32331 | 59% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-4 | 607 | 399 | 66% | 19442 | 32938 | 59% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-3 | 616 | 378 | 61% | 19820 | 33554 | 59% | JACKSON Twp | 640 | 506 | 79% | 20326 | 34194 | 59% | PYMATUNING Twp - X-2 | 647 | 427 | 66% | 20753 | 34841 | 60% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-2 | 651 | 438 | 67% | 21191 | 35492 | 60% | FINDLEY Twp | 654 | 491 | 75% | 21682 | 36146 | 60% | PERRY Twp | 667 | 522 | 78% | 22204 | 36813 | 60% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-1 | 671 | 352 | 52% | 22556 | 37484 | 60% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-5 | 654 | 425 | 65% | 22981 | 38138 | 60% | HERMITAGE City - X-NE | 738 | 453 | 61% | 23434 | 38876 | 60% | LIBERTY Twp | 740 | 567 | 77% | 24001 | 39616 | 61% | EAST LACKAWANNOCK Twp | 759 | 557 | 73% | 24558 | 40375 | 61% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-2 | 809 | 484 | 60% | 25042 | 41184 | 61% | SHENANGO Twp - X-EAST | 885 | 583 | 66% | 25625 | 42069 | 61% | WEST SALEM Twp - X-WEST | 887 | 601 | 68% | 26226 | 42956 | 61% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-3 | 925 | 686 | 74% | 26912 | 43881 | 61% | SHENANGO Twp - X-WEST | 973 | 631 | 65% | 27543 | 44854 | 61% | LACKAWANNOCK Twp | 1010 | 716 | 71% | 28259 | 45864 | 62% | COOLSPRING Twp | 1058 | 793 | 75% | 29052 | 46922 | 62% | DELAWARE Twp | 1052 | 737 | 70% | 29789 | 47974 | 62% | PINE Twp - X-1 | 1129 | 864 | 77% | 30653 | 49103 | 62% | PINE Twp - X-2 | 1174 | 891 | 76% | 31544 | 50277 | 63% |
---|
CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 37.26%, Total votes: 18733 out of 50277
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SHARON City - X-2-3 | 373 | 231 | 62% | 231 | 373 | 62% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-1 | 825 | 369 | 45% | 600 | 1198 | 50% | FARRELL City - X-2-1 | 387 | 289 | 75% | 889 | 1585 | 56% | SHARON City - X-4-2 | 322 | 256 | 80% | 1145 | 1907 | 60% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW-2 | 482 | 242 | 50% | 1387 | 2389 | 58% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-1 | 565 | 293 | 52% | 1680 | 2954 | 57% | SHARON City - X-2-4 | 190 | 179 | 94% | 1859 | 3144 | 59% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-2 | 410 | 292 | 71% | 2151 | 3554 | 61% | FARRELL City - X-2-2 | 832 | 353 | 42% | 2504 | 4386 | 57% | SHARON City - X-4-3 | 389 | 236 | 61% | 2740 | 4775 | 57% | SHARON City - X-2-1 | 378 | 268 | 71% | 3008 | 5153 | 58% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-2 | 531 | 275 | 52% | 3283 | 5684 | 58% | FARRELL City - X-1-1 | 681 | 170 | 25% | 3453 | 6365 | 54% | SHARON City - X-3-1 | 228 | 171 | 75% | 3624 | 6593 | 55% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE-3 | 394 | 256 | 65% | 3880 | 6987 | 56% | FARRELL City - X-2-3 | 603 | 326 | 54% | 4206 | 7590 | 55% | SHARON City - X-4-4 | 631 | 193 | 31% | 4399 | 8221 | 54% | SHARON City - X-2-2 | 419 | 250 | 60% | 4649 | 8640 | 54% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW-3 | 651 | 372 | 57% | 5021 | 9291 | 54% | FARRELL City - X-1-2 | 866 | 271 | 31% | 5292 | 10157 | 52% | SHARON City - X-4-1 | 299 | 258 | 86% | 5550 | 10456 | 53% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW-1 | 497 | 264 | 53% | 5814 | 10953 | 53% | HERMITAGE City - X-NE-1 | 556 | 260 | 47% | 6074 | 11509 | 53% | SHARON City - X-4-5 | 566 | 230 | 41% | 6304 | 12075 | 52% | SHEAKLEYVILLE Boro | 65 | 9 | 14% | 6313 | 12140 | 52% | NEW LEBANON Boro | 74 | 19 | 26% | 6332 | 12214 | 52% | JACKSON CENTER Boro | 92 | 34 | 37% | 6366 | 12306 | 52% | FARRELL City - X-2 | 144 | 133 | 92% | 6499 | 12450 | 52% | FARRELL City - X-1 | 157 | 138 | 88% | 6637 | 12607 | 53% | SHARON City - X-2 | 199 | 132 | 66% | 6769 | 12806 | 53% | FREDONIA Boro | 211 | 67 | 32% | 6836 | 13017 | 53% | SHARON City - X-3 | 220 | 167 | 76% | 7003 | 13237 | 53% | SHARON City - X-4 | 228 | 182 | 80% | 7185 | 13465 | 53% | DEER CREEK Twp | 222 | 51 | 23% | 7236 | 13687 | 53% | OTTER CREEK Twp | 265 | 62 | 23% | 7298 | 13952 | 52% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-1 | 265 | 76 | 29% | 7374 | 14217 | 52% | NEW VERNON Twp | 268 | 56 | 21% | 7430 | 14485 | 51% | WHEATLAND Boro | 274 | 157 | 57% | 7587 | 14759 | 51% | SANDY LAKE BORO Boro | 281 | 65 | 23% | 7652 | 15040 | 51% | LAKE Twp | 298 | 66 | 22% | 7718 | 15338 | 50% | JAMESTOWN Boro | 302 | 105 | 35% | 7823 | 15640 | 50% | SHARON City - X-1 | 324 | 175 | 54% | 7998 | 15964 | 50% | FRENCH CREEK Twp | 327 | 93 | 28% | 8091 | 16291 | 50% | CLARK Boro | 326 | 112 | 34% | 8203 | 16617 | 49% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-4 | 323 | 163 | 50% | 8366 | 16940 | 49% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-3 | 342 | 137 | 40% | 8503 | 17282 | 49% | SALEM Twp | 348 | 68 | 20% | 8571 | 17630 | 49% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - X-EAST | 347 | 87 | 25% | 8658 | 17977 | 48% | SANDY CREEK Twp | 364 | 70 | 19% | 8728 | 18341 | 48% | MILL CREEK Twp | 369 | 56 | 15% | 8784 | 18710 | 47% | FAIRVIEW Twp | 387 | 74 | 19% | 8858 | 19097 | 46% | WOLF CREEK Twp | 400 | 87 | 22% | 8945 | 19497 | 46% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-EAST | 412 | 110 | 27% | 9055 | 19909 | 45% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-1 | 411 | 135 | 33% | 9190 | 20320 | 45% | WEST MIDDLESEX Boro | 421 | 161 | 38% | 9351 | 20741 | 45% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-1 | 418 | 119 | 28% | 9470 | 21159 | 45% | WORTH Twp | 430 | 78 | 18% | 9548 | 21589 | 44% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-3 | 429 | 224 | 52% | 9772 | 22018 | 44% | MERCER Boro - X-SOUTH | 439 | 143 | 33% | 9915 | 22457 | 44% | HERMITAGE City - X-NW | 483 | 195 | 40% | 10110 | 22940 | 44% | MERCER Boro - X-NORTH | 401 | 151 | 38% | 10261 | 23341 | 44% | STONEBORO Boro | 447 | 124 | 28% | 10385 | 23788 | 44% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-3 | 434 | 159 | 37% | 10544 | 24222 | 44% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-2 | 477 | 224 | 47% | 10768 | 24699 | 44% | HERMITAGE City - X-SE | 484 | 216 | 45% | 10984 | 25183 | 44% | GREENE Twp | 482 | 130 | 27% | 11114 | 25665 | 43% | SUGAR GROVE Twp | 507 | 129 | 25% | 11243 | 26172 | 43% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-2 | 497 | 170 | 34% | 11413 | 26669 | 43% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-1 | 491 | 154 | 31% | 11567 | 27160 | 43% | JEFFERSON Twp - X-WEST | 528 | 146 | 28% | 11713 | 27688 | 42% | WEST SALEM Twp - X-EAST | 534 | 187 | 35% | 11900 | 28222 | 42% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-2 | 549 | 268 | 49% | 12168 | 28771 | 42% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-4 | 549 | 193 | 35% | 12361 | 29320 | 42% | SPRINGFIELD Twp - X-WEST | 564 | 127 | 23% | 12488 | 29884 | 42% | WILMINGTON Twp | 596 | 129 | 22% | 12617 | 30480 | 41% | PYMATUNING Twp - X-1 | 597 | 213 | 36% | 12830 | 31077 | 41% | HERMITAGE City - X-SW | 623 | 333 | 53% | 13163 | 31700 | 42% | SANDY LAKE TWP Twp | 631 | 125 | 20% | 13288 | 32331 | 41% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-4 | 607 | 208 | 34% | 13496 | 32938 | 41% | GREENVILLE Boro - X-3 | 616 | 238 | 39% | 13734 | 33554 | 41% | JACKSON Twp | 640 | 134 | 21% | 13868 | 34194 | 41% | PYMATUNING Twp - X-2 | 647 | 220 | 34% | 14088 | 34841 | 40% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-2 | 651 | 213 | 33% | 14301 | 35492 | 40% | FINDLEY Twp | 654 | 163 | 25% | 14464 | 36146 | 40% | PERRY Twp | 667 | 145 | 22% | 14609 | 36813 | 40% | SHARPSVILLE Boro - X-1 | 671 | 319 | 48% | 14928 | 37484 | 40% | GROVE CITY Boro - X-5 | 654 | 229 | 35% | 15157 | 38138 | 40% | HERMITAGE City - X-NE | 738 | 285 | 39% | 15442 | 38876 | 40% | LIBERTY Twp | 740 | 173 | 23% | 15615 | 39616 | 39% | EAST LACKAWANNOCK Twp | 759 | 202 | 27% | 15817 | 40375 | 39% | SOUTH PYMATUNING Twp - X-2 | 809 | 325 | 40% | 16142 | 41184 | 39% | SHENANGO Twp - X-EAST | 885 | 302 | 34% | 16444 | 42069 | 39% | WEST SALEM Twp - X-WEST | 887 | 286 | 32% | 16730 | 42956 | 39% | HEMPFIELD Twp - X-3 | 925 | 239 | 26% | 16969 | 43881 | 39% | SHENANGO Twp - X-WEST | 973 | 342 | 35% | 17311 | 44854 | 39% | LACKAWANNOCK Twp | 1010 | 294 | 29% | 17605 | 45864 | 38% | COOLSPRING Twp | 1058 | 265 | 25% | 17870 | 46922 | 38% | DELAWARE Twp | 1052 | 315 | 30% | 18185 | 47974 | 38% | PINE Twp - X-1 | 1129 | 265 | 23% | 18450 | 49103 | 38% | PINE Twp - X-2 | 1174 | 283 | 24% | 18733 | 50277 | 37% |
---|