Pennsylvania
ALL votes from Somerset County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 34755 Precincts: 68 Average votes per precinct: 511 Votes in median precinct: 415Registered Republicans: 60.5% Registered Democrats: 39%  
Voting Machine: Premier/Diebold AccuVote TSX DRE-Touchscreen
Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project
deltaM = -1%deltaMxV = -337
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for TRUMP
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for CLINTON
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | TRUMP | CLINTON |
1 | 30.1% | 13.2% | 44.1% |
2 | 17.6% | 22.1% | 17.6% |
3 | 12.5% | 17.6% | 5.9% |
4 | 9.7% | 2.9% | 8.8% |
5 | 7.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
6 | 6.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
7 | 5.8% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
8 | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
9 | 4.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataTRUMP (R): Percent of votes: 78.78%, Total votes: 27379 out of 34755
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SEVEN SPRINGS Boro | 11 | 7 | 64% | 7 | 11 | 64% | CALLIMONT Boro | 22 | 16 | 73% | 23 | 33 | 70% | CASSELMAN Boro | 37 | 31 | 84% | 54 | 70 | 77% | FAIRHOPE Twp | 67 | 55 | 82% | 109 | 137 | 80% | URSINA Boro | 73 | 60 | 82% | 169 | 210 | 80% | ADDISON Boro | 84 | 66 | 79% | 235 | 294 | 80% | NEW BALTIMORE Boro | 93 | 64 | 69% | 299 | 387 | 77% | BENSON Boro | 92 | 63 | 68% | 362 | 479 | 76% | WELLERSBURG Boro | 100 | 86 | 86% | 448 | 579 | 77% | SHANKSVILLE Boro | 103 | 91 | 88% | 539 | 682 | 79% | NEW CENTERVILLE Boro | 116 | 96 | 83% | 635 | 798 | 80% | GARRETT Boro | 173 | 126 | 73% | 761 | 971 | 78% | STOYSTOWN Boro | 177 | 142 | 80% | 903 | 1148 | 79% | NORTHAMPTON Twp | 205 | 171 | 83% | 1074 | 1353 | 79% | LOWER TURKEYFOOT Twp | 217 | 171 | 79% | 1245 | 1570 | 79% | PAINT Twp - X-3 | 248 | 204 | 82% | 1449 | 1818 | 80% | OGLE Twp | 260 | 206 | 79% | 1655 | 2078 | 80% | GREENVILLE Twp | 269 | 221 | 82% | 1876 | 2347 | 80% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-5 | 287 | 229 | 80% | 2105 | 2634 | 80% | CONFLUENCE Boro | 284 | 197 | 69% | 2302 | 2918 | 79% | INDIAN LAKE Boro | 295 | 213 | 72% | 2515 | 3213 | 78% | LARIMER Twp | 303 | 269 | 89% | 2784 | 3516 | 79% | HOOVERSVILLE Boro | 301 | 219 | 73% | 3003 | 3817 | 79% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp | 313 | 289 | 92% | 3292 | 4130 | 80% | WINDBER Boro - X-3 | 329 | 203 | 62% | 3495 | 4459 | 78% | SHADE Twp - X-1 | 346 | 288 | 83% | 3783 | 4805 | 79% | SALISBURY Boro | 342 | 264 | 77% | 4047 | 5147 | 79% | ALLEGHENY Twp | 363 | 300 | 83% | 4347 | 5510 | 79% | JENNERSTOWN Boro | 452 | 310 | 69% | 4657 | 5962 | 78% | WINDBER Boro - X-4 | 291 | 226 | 78% | 4883 | 6253 | 78% | ROCKWOOD Boro | 366 | 306 | 84% | 5189 | 6619 | 78% | JENNER Twp - X-3 | 396 | 348 | 88% | 5537 | 7015 | 79% | ADDISON Twp | 406 | 314 | 77% | 5851 | 7421 | 79% | BLACK Twp | 415 | 360 | 87% | 6211 | 7836 | 79% | PAINT Boro | 419 | 276 | 66% | 6487 | 8255 | 79% | SHADE Twp - X-2 | 427 | 280 | 66% | 6767 | 8682 | 78% | CENTRAL CITY Boro | 427 | 309 | 72% | 7076 | 9109 | 78% | WINDBER Boro - X-1 | 438 | 280 | 64% | 7356 | 9547 | 77% | MIDDLECREEK Twp | 497 | 397 | 80% | 7753 | 10044 | 77% | SHADE Twp - X-3 | 509 | 360 | 71% | 8113 | 10553 | 77% | SOMERSET Boro - X-EAST | 532 | 394 | 74% | 8507 | 11085 | 77% | JENNER Twp - X-2 | 532 | 449 | 84% | 8956 | 11617 | 77% | BOSWELL Boro | 537 | 368 | 69% | 9324 | 12154 | 77% | UPPER TURKEYFOOT Twp | 607 | 538 | 89% | 9862 | 12761 | 77% | WINDBER Boro - X-2 | 642 | 416 | 65% | 10278 | 13403 | 77% | PAINT Twp - X-2 | 688 | 500 | 73% | 10778 | 14091 | 76% | ELK LICK Twp | 692 | 575 | 83% | 11353 | 14783 | 77% | SOMERSET Boro - X-NORTH WEST | 695 | 526 | 76% | 11879 | 15478 | 77% | PAINT Twp - X-1 | 716 | 552 | 77% | 12431 | 16194 | 77% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-3 | 743 | 555 | 75% | 12986 | 16937 | 77% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-4 | 797 | 599 | 75% | 13585 | 17734 | 77% | JEFFERSON Twp | 816 | 607 | 74% | 14192 | 18550 | 77% | SOMERSET Twp - X-4 | 827 | 664 | 80% | 14856 | 19377 | 77% | MILFORD Twp | 832 | 702 | 84% | 15558 | 20209 | 77% | LINCOLN Twp | 843 | 716 | 85% | 16274 | 21052 | 77% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-2 | 853 | 641 | 75% | 16915 | 21905 | 77% | MEYERSDALE Boro | 899 | 692 | 77% | 17607 | 22804 | 77% | QUEMAHONING Twp | 899 | 747 | 83% | 18354 | 23703 | 77% | SOMERSET Twp - X-1 | 899 | 753 | 84% | 19107 | 24602 | 78% | JENNER Twp - X-1 | 958 | 755 | 79% | 19862 | 25560 | 78% | SUMMIT Twp | 976 | 825 | 85% | 20687 | 26536 | 78% | BERLIN Boro | 980 | 844 | 86% | 21531 | 27516 | 78% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-1 | 1085 | 825 | 76% | 22356 | 28601 | 78% | STONYCREEK Twp | 1140 | 1008 | 88% | 23364 | 29741 | 79% | SOMERSET Twp - X-3 | 1164 | 917 | 79% | 24281 | 30905 | 79% | BROTHERS VALLEY Twp | 1215 | 1074 | 88% | 25355 | 32120 | 79% | SOMERSET Twp - X-2 | 1241 | 1029 | 83% | 26384 | 33361 | 79% | SOMERSET Boro - X-SOUTH WEST | 1394 | 995 | 71% | 27379 | 34755 | 79% |
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CLINTON (D): Percent of votes: 21.22%, Total votes: 7376 out of 34755
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | SEVEN SPRINGS Boro | 11 | 4 | 36% | 4 | 11 | 36% | CALLIMONT Boro | 22 | 6 | 27% | 10 | 33 | 30% | CASSELMAN Boro | 37 | 6 | 16% | 16 | 70 | 23% | FAIRHOPE Twp | 67 | 12 | 18% | 28 | 137 | 20% | URSINA Boro | 73 | 13 | 18% | 41 | 210 | 20% | ADDISON Boro | 84 | 18 | 21% | 59 | 294 | 20% | BENSON Boro | 93 | 29 | 31% | 88 | 387 | 23% | NEW BALTIMORE Boro | 92 | 29 | 32% | 117 | 479 | 24% | WELLERSBURG Boro | 100 | 14 | 14% | 131 | 579 | 23% | SHANKSVILLE Boro | 103 | 12 | 12% | 143 | 682 | 21% | NEW CENTERVILLE Boro | 116 | 20 | 17% | 163 | 798 | 20% | GARRETT Boro | 173 | 47 | 27% | 210 | 971 | 22% | STOYSTOWN Boro | 177 | 35 | 20% | 245 | 1148 | 21% | NORTHAMPTON Twp | 205 | 34 | 17% | 279 | 1353 | 21% | LOWER TURKEYFOOT Twp | 217 | 46 | 21% | 325 | 1570 | 21% | PAINT Twp - X-3 | 248 | 44 | 18% | 369 | 1818 | 20% | OGLE Twp | 260 | 54 | 21% | 423 | 2078 | 20% | GREENVILLE Twp | 269 | 48 | 18% | 471 | 2347 | 20% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-5 | 287 | 58 | 20% | 529 | 2634 | 20% | CONFLUENCE Boro | 284 | 87 | 31% | 616 | 2918 | 21% | INDIAN LAKE Boro | 295 | 82 | 28% | 698 | 3213 | 22% | LARIMER Twp | 303 | 34 | 11% | 732 | 3516 | 21% | HOOVERSVILLE Boro | 301 | 82 | 27% | 814 | 3817 | 21% | SOUTHAMPTON Twp | 313 | 24 | 8% | 838 | 4130 | 20% | WINDBER Boro - X-3 | 329 | 126 | 38% | 964 | 4459 | 22% | SHADE Twp - X-1 | 346 | 58 | 17% | 1022 | 4805 | 21% | SALISBURY Boro | 342 | 78 | 23% | 1100 | 5147 | 21% | ALLEGHENY Twp | 363 | 63 | 17% | 1163 | 5510 | 21% | WINDBER Boro - X-4 | 452 | 142 | 31% | 1305 | 5962 | 22% | JENNERSTOWN Boro | 291 | 65 | 22% | 1370 | 6253 | 22% | ROCKWOOD Boro | 366 | 60 | 16% | 1430 | 6619 | 22% | JENNER Twp - X-3 | 396 | 48 | 12% | 1478 | 7015 | 21% | ADDISON Twp | 406 | 92 | 23% | 1570 | 7421 | 21% | BLACK Twp | 415 | 55 | 13% | 1625 | 7836 | 21% | PAINT Boro | 419 | 143 | 34% | 1768 | 8255 | 21% | SHADE Twp - X-2 | 427 | 147 | 34% | 1915 | 8682 | 22% | CENTRAL CITY Boro | 427 | 118 | 28% | 2033 | 9109 | 22% | WINDBER Boro - X-1 | 438 | 158 | 36% | 2191 | 9547 | 23% | MIDDLECREEK Twp | 497 | 100 | 20% | 2291 | 10044 | 23% | SHADE Twp - X-3 | 509 | 149 | 29% | 2440 | 10553 | 23% | SOMERSET Boro - X-EAST | 532 | 138 | 26% | 2578 | 11085 | 23% | JENNER Twp - X-2 | 532 | 83 | 16% | 2661 | 11617 | 23% | BOSWELL Boro | 537 | 169 | 31% | 2830 | 12154 | 23% | UPPER TURKEYFOOT Twp | 607 | 69 | 11% | 2899 | 12761 | 23% | WINDBER Boro - X-2 | 642 | 226 | 35% | 3125 | 13403 | 23% | PAINT Twp - X-2 | 688 | 188 | 27% | 3313 | 14091 | 24% | ELK LICK Twp | 692 | 117 | 17% | 3430 | 14783 | 23% | SOMERSET Boro - X-NORTH WEST | 695 | 169 | 24% | 3599 | 15478 | 23% | PAINT Twp - X-1 | 716 | 164 | 23% | 3763 | 16194 | 23% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-3 | 743 | 188 | 25% | 3951 | 16937 | 23% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-4 | 797 | 198 | 25% | 4149 | 17734 | 23% | JEFFERSON Twp | 816 | 209 | 26% | 4358 | 18550 | 23% | SOMERSET Twp - X-4 | 827 | 163 | 20% | 4521 | 19377 | 23% | MILFORD Twp | 832 | 130 | 16% | 4651 | 20209 | 23% | LINCOLN Twp | 843 | 127 | 15% | 4778 | 21052 | 23% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-2 | 853 | 212 | 25% | 4990 | 21905 | 23% | MEYERSDALE Boro | 899 | 207 | 23% | 5197 | 22804 | 23% | QUEMAHONING Twp | 899 | 152 | 17% | 5349 | 23703 | 23% | SOMERSET Twp - X-1 | 899 | 146 | 16% | 5495 | 24602 | 22% | JENNER Twp - X-1 | 958 | 203 | 21% | 5698 | 25560 | 22% | SUMMIT Twp | 976 | 151 | 15% | 5849 | 26536 | 22% | BERLIN Boro | 980 | 136 | 14% | 5985 | 27516 | 22% | CONEMAUGH Twp - X-1 | 1085 | 260 | 24% | 6245 | 28601 | 22% | STONYCREEK Twp | 1140 | 132 | 12% | 6377 | 29741 | 21% | SOMERSET Twp - X-3 | 1164 | 247 | 21% | 6624 | 30905 | 21% | BROTHERS VALLEY Twp | 1215 | 141 | 12% | 6765 | 32120 | 21% | SOMERSET Twp - X-2 | 1241 | 212 | 17% | 6977 | 33361 | 21% | SOMERSET Boro - X-SOUTH WEST | 1394 | 399 | 29% | 7376 | 34755 | 21% |
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