Utah
ALL votes from all counties.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 1,141,704 Precincts (polling places): 2,203 Average voters per precinct: 518 Votes in median precinct: 416
Voting Machine:
Statewide aggregated Republican margin percentage increase (deltaM): 0.9%
Statewide aggregated Republican margin vote increase (deltaMxV): 10,796deltaM by County (for counties with more than 50 polling places)
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for
Donald J Trump
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for
Hillary Clinton
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for
Evan McMullin
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for
Other
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
| Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J Trump | Hillary Clinton | Evan McMullin | Other |
| 1 | 30.1% | 27.3% | 40.9% | 37.5% | 15.2% |
| 2 | 17.6% | 25.5% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 17% |
| 3 | 12.5% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 19.1% |
| 4 | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 19.4% |
| 5 | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5% | 5.9% | 13.8% |
| 6 | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| 8 | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| 9 | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |