Utah
ALL votes from Box Elder County.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.
Voters: 19,878 Precincts (polling places): 53 Average voters per precinct: 375 Votes in median precinct: 407Voting Machine:
deltaM = -2.6%deltaMxV = -526
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Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)
These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.
In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.
Benford's Law Analysis
This analysis compares the expected statistical distribution of the left-most digit of the vote count of each precinct to what would be expected for randomly distributed vote counts. It is a method used by forensic accountants to detect possible fraud. There is controversy about whether this law can be applied to elections, but we thought we would have a look at it anyway. Read more here.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
NOTE: We show this analysis when there are 50 or more precincts in the set. Some argue that this analysis is best used with sets containing approximately 500 data points or more. Additionally, it is likely to fail if there are a great many precincts of approximately the same size.
Expected Benford's Law Distribution
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurrence
Benford's Law Distribution for Donald J Trump
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Evan McMullin
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Benford's Law Distribution for Hillary Clinton
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Leftmost Digit of Vote Count - Frequency of Occurance
Show Data
Leftmost Digit | Expected Distribution | Donald J Trump | Evan McMullin | Hillary Clinton |
1 | 30.1% | 30.2% | 43.4% | 17.3% |
2 | 17.6% | 30.2% | 3.8% | 17.3% |
3 | 12.5% | 20.8% | 5.7% | 11.5% |
4 | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% |
5 | 7.9% | 0% | 5.7% | 19.2% |
6 | 6.7% | 3.8% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
7 | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% |
8 | 5.1% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% |
9 | 4.6% | 0% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
Detailed Data
Download graph dataDonald J Trump (R): Percent of votes: 61.53%, Total votes: 12230 out of 19878
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | Clear Creek | 17 | 13 | 76% | 94% | 13 | 17 | 76% | Promontory | 20 | 10 | 50% | 91% | 23 | 37 | 62% | Yost | 22 | 14 | 64% | 85% | 37 | 59 | 63% | Grouse Creek | 33 | 25 | 76% | 80% | 62 | 92 | 67% | Park Valley | 83 | 68 | 82% | 78% | 130 | 175 | 74% | Snowville | 86 | 66 | 77% | 83% | 196 | 261 | 75% | Corinne 2 | 103 | 77 | 75% | 83% | 273 | 364 | 75% | Howell | 119 | 89 | 75% | 83% | 362 | 483 | 75% | Portage | 125 | 78 | 62% | 78% | 440 | 608 | 72% | Plymouth | 186 | 140 | 75% | 80% | 580 | 794 | 73% | Beaver Dam/Collinston | 195 | 118 | 61% | 85% | 698 | 989 | 71% | Fielding 01 | 196 | 138 | 70% | 81% | 836 | 1185 | 71% | Brigham City North | 206 | 118 | 57% | 85% | 954 | 1391 | 69% | Fielding 02 | 215 | 155 | 72% | 77% | 1109 | 1606 | 69% | Bear River East | 226 | 145 | 64% | 79% | 1254 | 1832 | 68% | Riverside | 257 | 173 | 67% | 85% | 1427 | 2089 | 68% | Garland East | 259 | 162 | 63% | 81% | 1589 | 2348 | 68% | Tremonton South | 262 | 170 | 65% | 73% | 1759 | 2610 | 67% | Brigham City 08 | 269 | 133 | 49% | 65% | 1892 | 2879 | 66% | Brigham City 09 | 276 | 166 | 60% | 73% | 2058 | 3155 | 65% | Deweyville | 280 | 172 | 61% | 82% | 2230 | 3435 | 65% | Brigham City 11 | 358 | 206 | 58% | 72% | 2436 | 3793 | 64% | Brigham City 05 | 372 | 190 | 51% | 71% | 2626 | 4165 | 63% | Tremonton 05 | 384 | 268 | 70% | 74% | 2894 | 4549 | 64% | Brigham City 13 | 390 | 218 | 56% | 70% | 3112 | 4939 | 63% | Perry 02 | 407 | 267 | 66% | 76% | 3379 | 5346 | 63% | Brigham City 02 | 408 | 211 | 52% | 65% | 3590 | 5754 | 62% | Corinne 1 | 414 | 267 | 64% | 71% | 3857 | 6168 | 63% | Brigham City 04 | 412 | 214 | 52% | 67% | 4071 | 6580 | 62% | Garland 02 | 426 | 274 | 64% | 72% | 4345 | 7006 | 62% | Mantua | 427 | 259 | 61% | 85% | 4604 | 7433 | 62% | Garland 01 | 429 | 317 | 74% | 63% | 4921 | 7862 | 63% | Bear River | 452 | 299 | 66% | 83% | 5220 | 8314 | 63% | Tremonton 03 | 452 | 285 | 63% | 67% | 5505 | 8766 | 63% | Brigham City 03 | 476 | 237 | 50% | 70% | 5742 | 9242 | 62% | Brigham City 10 | 483 | 281 | 58% | 77% | 6023 | 9725 | 62% | Brigham City 07 | 491 | 250 | 51% | 70% | 6273 | 10216 | 61% | Brigham City 14 | 494 | 268 | 54% | 68% | 6541 | 10710 | 61% | Tremonton 04 | 538 | 339 | 63% | 65% | 6880 | 11248 | 61% | Brigham City 15 | 543 | 309 | 57% | 73% | 7189 | 11791 | 61% | Perry 01 | 544 | 351 | 65% | 74% | 7540 | 12335 | 61% | Brigham City 06 | 558 | 335 | 60% | 74% | 7875 | 12893 | 61% | Elwood | 594 | 423 | 71% | 77% | 8298 | 13487 | 62% | Tremonton 01 | 602 | 410 | 68% | 77% | 8708 | 14089 | 62% | Tremonton 02 | 607 | 397 | 65% | 70% | 9105 | 14696 | 62% | Tremonton West | 609 | 395 | 65% | 74% | 9500 | 15305 | 62% | Perry 04 | 610 | 354 | 58% | 75% | 9854 | 15915 | 62% | Brigham City 12 | 616 | 322 | 52% | 71% | 10176 | 16531 | 62% | Perry 03 | 621 | 372 | 60% | 76% | 10548 | 17152 | 61% | Honeyville | 626 | 430 | 69% | 74% | 10978 | 17778 | 62% | South Willard | 634 | 404 | 64% | 72% | 11382 | 18412 | 62% | Brigham City 01 | 690 | 363 | 53% | 76% | 11745 | 19102 | 61% | Willard | 776 | 485 | 63% | 74% | 12230 | 19878 | 62% |
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Evan McMullin (I): Percent of votes: 21.42%, Total votes: 4257 out of 19878
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | Clear Creek | 17 | 3 | 18% | 94% | 3 | 17 | 18% | Promontory | 20 | 6 | 30% | 91% | 9 | 37 | 24% | Yost | 22 | 6 | 27% | 85% | 15 | 59 | 25% | Grouse Creek | 33 | 8 | 24% | 80% | 23 | 92 | 25% | Park Valley | 83 | 13 | 16% | 78% | 36 | 175 | 21% | Snowville | 86 | 9 | 10% | 83% | 45 | 261 | 17% | Corinne 2 | 103 | 16 | 16% | 83% | 61 | 364 | 17% | Howell | 119 | 14 | 12% | 83% | 75 | 483 | 16% | Portage | 125 | 26 | 21% | 78% | 101 | 608 | 17% | Plymouth | 186 | 25 | 13% | 80% | 126 | 794 | 16% | Beaver Dam/Collinston | 195 | 45 | 23% | 85% | 171 | 989 | 17% | Fielding 01 | 196 | 34 | 17% | 81% | 205 | 1185 | 17% | Brigham City North | 206 | 50 | 24% | 85% | 255 | 1391 | 18% | Fielding 02 | 215 | 32 | 15% | 77% | 287 | 1606 | 18% | Bear River East | 226 | 45 | 20% | 79% | 332 | 1832 | 18% | Riverside | 257 | 56 | 22% | 85% | 388 | 2089 | 19% | Garland East | 259 | 62 | 24% | 81% | 450 | 2348 | 19% | Tremonton South | 262 | 50 | 19% | 73% | 500 | 2610 | 19% | Brigham City 08 | 269 | 66 | 25% | 65% | 566 | 2879 | 20% | Brigham City 09 | 276 | 61 | 22% | 73% | 627 | 3155 | 20% | Deweyville | 280 | 68 | 24% | 82% | 695 | 3435 | 20% | Brigham City 11 | 358 | 76 | 21% | 72% | 771 | 3793 | 20% | Brigham City 05 | 372 | 83 | 22% | 71% | 854 | 4165 | 21% | Tremonton 05 | 384 | 74 | 19% | 74% | 928 | 4549 | 20% | Brigham City 13 | 390 | 90 | 23% | 70% | 1018 | 4939 | 21% | Perry 02 | 407 | 101 | 25% | 76% | 1119 | 5346 | 21% | Brigham City 02 | 408 | 114 | 28% | 65% | 1233 | 5754 | 21% | Corinne 1 | 414 | 70 | 17% | 71% | 1303 | 6168 | 21% | Garland 02 | 412 | 95 | 23% | 69% | 1398 | 6580 | 21% | Brigham City 04 | 426 | 102 | 24% | 70% | 1500 | 7006 | 21% | Mantua | 427 | 111 | 26% | 85% | 1611 | 7433 | 22% | Garland 01 | 429 | 62 | 14% | 63% | 1673 | 7862 | 21% | Bear River | 452 | 94 | 21% | 83% | 1767 | 8314 | 21% | Tremonton 03 | 452 | 103 | 23% | 67% | 1870 | 8766 | 21% | Brigham City 03 | 476 | 109 | 23% | 70% | 1979 | 9242 | 21% | Brigham City 10 | 483 | 108 | 22% | 77% | 2087 | 9725 | 21% | Brigham City 07 | 491 | 121 | 25% | 70% | 2208 | 10216 | 22% | Brigham City 14 | 494 | 93 | 19% | 68% | 2301 | 10710 | 21% | Tremonton 04 | 538 | 86 | 16% | 65% | 2387 | 11248 | 21% | Brigham City 15 | 543 | 108 | 20% | 73% | 2495 | 11791 | 21% | Perry 01 | 544 | 118 | 22% | 74% | 2613 | 12335 | 21% | Brigham City 06 | 558 | 148 | 27% | 74% | 2761 | 12893 | 21% | Elwood | 594 | 132 | 22% | 77% | 2893 | 13487 | 21% | Tremonton 01 | 602 | 123 | 20% | 77% | 3016 | 14089 | 21% | Tremonton 02 | 607 | 95 | 16% | 70% | 3111 | 14696 | 21% | Tremonton West | 609 | 129 | 21% | 74% | 3240 | 15305 | 21% | Perry 04 | 610 | 154 | 25% | 75% | 3394 | 15915 | 21% | Brigham City 12 | 616 | 157 | 25% | 71% | 3551 | 16531 | 21% | Perry 03 | 621 | 145 | 23% | 76% | 3696 | 17152 | 22% | Honeyville | 626 | 99 | 16% | 74% | 3795 | 17778 | 21% | South Willard | 634 | 139 | 22% | 72% | 3934 | 18412 | 21% | Brigham City 01 | 690 | 170 | 25% | 76% | 4104 | 19102 | 21% | Willard | 776 | 153 | 20% | 74% | 4257 | 19878 | 21% |
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Hillary Clinton (D): Percent of votes: 11.48%, Total votes: 2282 out of 19878
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | Clear Creek | 17 | 1 | 6% | 94% | 1 | 17 | 6% | Promontory | 20 | 1 | 5% | 91% | 2 | 37 | 5% | Yost | 22 | 2 | 9% | 85% | 4 | 59 | 7% | Grouse Creek | 33 | 0 | 0% | 80% | 4 | 92 | 4% | Park Valley | 83 | 2 | 2% | 78% | 6 | 175 | 3% | Snowville | 86 | 3 | 3% | 83% | 9 | 261 | 3% | Corinne 2 | 103 | 8 | 8% | 83% | 17 | 364 | 5% | Howell | 119 | 5 | 4% | 83% | 22 | 483 | 5% | Portage | 125 | 14 | 11% | 78% | 36 | 608 | 6% | Plymouth | 186 | 13 | 7% | 80% | 49 | 794 | 6% | Beaver Dam/Collinston | 195 | 13 | 7% | 85% | 62 | 989 | 6% | Fielding 01 | 196 | 14 | 7% | 81% | 76 | 1185 | 6% | Brigham City North | 206 | 23 | 11% | 85% | 99 | 1391 | 7% | Fielding 02 | 215 | 20 | 9% | 77% | 119 | 1606 | 7% | Bear River East | 226 | 25 | 11% | 79% | 144 | 1832 | 8% | Riverside | 257 | 16 | 6% | 85% | 160 | 2089 | 8% | Garland East | 259 | 16 | 6% | 81% | 176 | 2348 | 7% | Tremonton South | 262 | 27 | 10% | 73% | 203 | 2610 | 8% | Brigham City 08 | 269 | 55 | 20% | 65% | 258 | 2879 | 9% | Brigham City 09 | 276 | 35 | 13% | 73% | 293 | 3155 | 9% | Deweyville | 280 | 32 | 11% | 82% | 325 | 3435 | 9% | Brigham City 11 | 358 | 54 | 15% | 72% | 379 | 3793 | 10% | Brigham City 05 | 372 | 75 | 20% | 71% | 454 | 4165 | 11% | Tremonton 05 | 384 | 29 | 8% | 74% | 483 | 4549 | 11% | Brigham City 13 | 390 | 52 | 13% | 70% | 535 | 4939 | 11% | Perry 02 | 407 | 27 | 7% | 76% | 562 | 5346 | 11% | Brigham City 02 | 408 | 54 | 13% | 65% | 616 | 5754 | 11% | Corinne 1 | 414 | 58 | 14% | 71% | 674 | 6168 | 11% | Brigham City 04 | 412 | 68 | 17% | 67% | 742 | 6580 | 11% | Garland 02 | 426 | 34 | 8% | 72% | 776 | 7006 | 11% | Mantua | 427 | 40 | 9% | 85% | 816 | 7433 | 11% | Garland 01 | 429 | 31 | 7% | 63% | 847 | 7862 | 11% | Bear River | 452 | 34 | 8% | 83% | 881 | 8314 | 11% | Tremonton 03 | 452 | 43 | 10% | 67% | 924 | 8766 | 11% | Brigham City 03 | 476 | 91 | 19% | 70% | 1015 | 9242 | 11% | Brigham City 10 | 483 | 62 | 13% | 77% | 1077 | 9725 | 11% | Brigham City 07 | 491 | 76 | 15% | 70% | 1153 | 10216 | 11% | Brigham City 14 | 494 | 91 | 18% | 68% | 1244 | 10710 | 12% | Tremonton 04 | 538 | 74 | 14% | 65% | 1318 | 11248 | 12% | Brigham City 15 | 543 | 89 | 16% | 73% | 1407 | 11791 | 12% | Perry 01 | 544 | 55 | 10% | 74% | 1462 | 12335 | 12% | Brigham City 06 | 558 | 50 | 9% | 74% | 1512 | 12893 | 12% | Elwood | 594 | 28 | 5% | 77% | 1540 | 13487 | 11% | Tremonton 01 | 602 | 46 | 8% | 77% | 1586 | 14089 | 11% | Tremonton 02 | 607 | 88 | 14% | 70% | 1674 | 14696 | 11% | Tremonton West | 609 | 51 | 8% | 74% | 1725 | 15305 | 11% | Perry 04 | 610 | 73 | 12% | 75% | 1798 | 15915 | 11% | Brigham City 12 | 616 | 80 | 13% | 71% | 1878 | 16531 | 11% | Perry 03 | 621 | 74 | 12% | 76% | 1952 | 17152 | 11% | Honeyville | 626 | 51 | 8% | 74% | 2003 | 17778 | 11% | South Willard | 634 | 68 | 11% | 72% | 2071 | 18412 | 11% | Brigham City 01 | 690 | 115 | 17% | 76% | 2186 | 19102 | 11% | Willard | 776 | 96 | 12% | 74% | 2282 | 19878 | 11% |
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Other (I): Percent of votes: 5.58%, Total votes: 1109 out of 19878
Data
Precinct | Total Votes |
Votes | Percent | Turnout | Cumulative | Cumulative Total | Cumulative Pct | Clear Creek | 17 | 0 | 0% | 94% | 0 | 17 | 0% | Promontory | 20 | 3 | 15% | 91% | 3 | 37 | 8% | Yost | 22 | 0 | 0% | 85% | 3 | 59 | 5% | Grouse Creek | 33 | 0 | 0% | 80% | 3 | 92 | 3% | Park Valley | 83 | 0 | 0% | 78% | 3 | 175 | 2% | Snowville | 86 | 8 | 9% | 83% | 11 | 261 | 4% | Corinne 2 | 103 | 2 | 2% | 83% | 13 | 364 | 4% | Howell | 119 | 11 | 9% | 83% | 24 | 483 | 5% | Portage | 125 | 7 | 6% | 78% | 31 | 608 | 5% | Plymouth | 186 | 8 | 4% | 80% | 39 | 794 | 5% | Beaver Dam/Collinston | 195 | 19 | 10% | 85% | 58 | 989 | 6% | Fielding 01 | 196 | 10 | 5% | 81% | 68 | 1185 | 6% | Brigham City North | 206 | 15 | 7% | 85% | 83 | 1391 | 6% | Fielding 02 | 215 | 8 | 4% | 77% | 91 | 1606 | 6% | Bear River East | 226 | 11 | 5% | 79% | 102 | 1832 | 6% | Riverside | 257 | 12 | 5% | 85% | 114 | 2089 | 5% | Garland East | 259 | 19 | 7% | 81% | 133 | 2348 | 6% | Tremonton South | 262 | 15 | 6% | 73% | 148 | 2610 | 6% | Brigham City 08 | 269 | 15 | 6% | 65% | 163 | 2879 | 6% | Brigham City 09 | 276 | 14 | 5% | 73% | 177 | 3155 | 6% | Deweyville | 280 | 8 | 3% | 82% | 185 | 3435 | 5% | Brigham City 11 | 358 | 22 | 6% | 72% | 207 | 3793 | 5% | Brigham City 05 | 372 | 24 | 6% | 71% | 231 | 4165 | 6% | Tremonton 05 | 384 | 13 | 3% | 74% | 244 | 4549 | 5% | Brigham City 13 | 390 | 30 | 8% | 70% | 274 | 4939 | 6% | Perry 02 | 407 | 12 | 3% | 76% | 286 | 5346 | 5% | Brigham City 02 | 408 | 29 | 7% | 65% | 315 | 5754 | 5% | Corinne 1 | 414 | 19 | 5% | 71% | 334 | 6168 | 5% | Brigham City 04 | 412 | 35 | 8% | 67% | 369 | 6580 | 6% | Garland 02 | 426 | 16 | 4% | 72% | 385 | 7006 | 5% | Mantua | 427 | 17 | 4% | 85% | 402 | 7433 | 5% | Garland 01 | 429 | 19 | 4% | 63% | 421 | 7862 | 5% | Bear River | 452 | 25 | 6% | 83% | 446 | 8314 | 5% | Tremonton 03 | 452 | 21 | 5% | 67% | 467 | 8766 | 5% | Brigham City 03 | 476 | 39 | 8% | 70% | 506 | 9242 | 5% | Brigham City 10 | 483 | 32 | 7% | 77% | 538 | 9725 | 6% | Brigham City 07 | 491 | 44 | 9% | 70% | 582 | 10216 | 6% | Brigham City 14 | 494 | 42 | 9% | 68% | 624 | 10710 | 6% | Tremonton 04 | 538 | 39 | 7% | 65% | 663 | 11248 | 6% | Brigham City 15 | 543 | 37 | 7% | 73% | 700 | 11791 | 6% | Perry 01 | 544 | 20 | 4% | 74% | 720 | 12335 | 6% | Brigham City 06 | 558 | 25 | 4% | 74% | 745 | 12893 | 6% | Elwood | 594 | 11 | 2% | 77% | 756 | 13487 | 6% | Tremonton 01 | 602 | 23 | 4% | 77% | 779 | 14089 | 6% | Tremonton 02 | 607 | 27 | 4% | 70% | 806 | 14696 | 5% | Tremonton West | 609 | 34 | 6% | 74% | 840 | 15305 | 5% | Perry 04 | 610 | 29 | 5% | 75% | 869 | 15915 | 5% | Brigham City 12 | 616 | 57 | 9% | 71% | 926 | 16531 | 6% | Perry 03 | 621 | 30 | 5% | 76% | 956 | 17152 | 6% | Honeyville | 626 | 46 | 7% | 74% | 1002 | 17778 | 6% | South Willard | 634 | 23 | 4% | 72% | 1025 | 18412 | 6% | Brigham City 01 | 690 | 42 | 6% | 76% | 1067 | 19102 | 6% | Willard | 776 | 42 | 5% | 74% | 1109 | 19878 | 6% |
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