2016, November 8 – President of the United States

Pennsylvania

ALL votes from all counties.
Precincts added in order of number of votes.

Voters: 5,850,237 Precincts (polling places): 9,092 Average voters per precinct: 643 Votes in median precinct: 145
Voting Machine:

Data from: GitHub OpenElections Project

Statewide aggregated Republican margin percentage increase (deltaM): 9%
Statewide aggregated Republican margin vote increase (deltaMxV): 525,254

deltaM by County (for counties with more than 50 polling places)

County	deltaM	deltaMxV	Precincts	Voting Machine
ALLEGHENY	17.1%	106,778	1,322	ES&S
ARMSTRONG	5.6%	1,723	68	Premier/Diebold
BEAVER	19.8%	15,996	129	ES&S
BERKS	19.2%	33,593	203	Danaher
BLAIR	12.4%	6,576	93	Hart Intercivic
BRADFORD	2.9%	710	61	Premier/Diebold
BUCKS	1.9%	6,343	304	Danaher
BUTLER	5.2%	4,813	89	ES&S
CAMBRIA	7.6%	4,643	133	ES&S
CARBON	3.2%	893	52	Premier/Diebold
CENTRE	7.4%	5,384	91	ES&S
CHESTER	6.9%	17,906	228	ES&S
CLEARFIELD	-6.2%	-2,055	69	ES&S
CRAWFORD	-0.4%	-119	62	ES&S
CUMBERLAND	2.5%	2,879	117	ES&S
DAUPHIN	15.7%	19,707	164	Danaher
DELAWARE	13.1%	37,719	429	Danaher
ERIE	19.1%	22,629	149	ES&S
FAYETTE	8.4%	4,439	80	Hart Intercivic
FRANKLIN	-2.9%	-1,793	67	ES&S
HUNTINGDON	-6.9%	-1,316	59	ES&S
INDIANA	-10.6%	-3,422	64	ES&S
LACKAWANNA	1.5%	1,459	164	ES&S
LANCASTER	22.6%	52,061	242	Hart Intercivic
LAWRENCE	13%	4,388	64	ES&S
LEBANON	9.2%	5,227	50	ES&S
LEHIGH	21.2%	32,801	158	Premier/Diebold
LUZERNE	1.1%	1,416	180	ES&S
LYCOMING	-1.3%	-622	85	Premier/Diebold
MERCER	19.4%	9,742	100	ES&S
MONROE	6.2%	4,167	50	Danaher
MONTGOMERY	11.9%	49,684	429	Sequoia
NORTHAMPTON	12.6%	17,445	151	Sequoia
NORTHUMBERLAND	1%	351	75	Premier/Diebold
PHILADELPHIA	1.9%	13,396	1,686	Danaher
SCHUYLKILL	5.9%	3,490	121	Premier/Diebold
SOMERSET	-1%	-337	68	Premier/Diebold
WASHINGTON	8.4%	8,228	177	Premier/Diebold
WESTMORELAND	5.2%	9,108	306	ES&S
YORK	16%	29,222	143	Sequoia

Voter Stats by County

Click column header to sort.

County	Total Votes	Turnout	Voting Machine	Rep Votes	VFR*	Dem Votes	VFD*	Reg Reps	Reg Dems	Reg Reps/Dems
ADAMS	45,642	80%	ES&S	69%	1.1	31%	0.9	64%	36%	1.8
ALLEGHENY	625,938	78%	ES&S	41%	1.3	59%	0.9	32%	67%	0.5
ARMSTRONG	30,662	80%	Premier/Diebold	77%	1.3	23%	0.6	58%	41%	1.4
BEAVER	80,698	80%	ES&S	60%	1.5	40%	0.7	41%	59%	0.7
BEDFORD	23,197	74%	Hart Intercivic	84%	1.2	16%	0.5	69%	30%	2.3
BERKS	175,063	78%	Danaher	55%	1.2	45%	0.8	45%	54%	0.8
BLAIR	53,093	77%	Hart Intercivic	74%	1.1	26%	0.8	64%	35%	1.8
BRADFORD	24,510	74%	Premier/Diebold	74%	1.1	26%	0.8	68%	32%	2.1
BUCKS	331,421	85%	Danaher	50%	1	50%	1	48%	51%	1
BUTLER	93,012	82%	ES&S	69%	1.1	31%	0.8	62%	38%	1.6
CAMBRIA	61,125	78%	ES&S	69%	1.7	31%	0.5	42%	58%	0.7
CAMERON	2,120	74%	ES&S	75%	1.3	25%	0.6	57%	42%	1.4
CARBON	27,817	77%	Premier/Diebold	67%	1.4	33%	0.6	49%	51%	1
CENTRE	72,362	73%	ES&S	49%	1	51%	1	48%	51%	0.9
CHESTER	257,796	87%	ES&S	45%	0.9	55%	1.2	53%	47%	1.1
CLARION	16,849	78%	Premier/Diebold	75%	1.2	25%	0.7	61%	39%	1.6
CLEARFIELD	33,109	70%	ES&S	75%	1.4	25%	0.6	56%	44%	1.3
CLINTON	14,766	76%	ES&S	68%	1.3	32%	0.7	52%	47%	1.1
COLUMBIA	25,710	74%	ES&S	68%	1.3	32%	0.7	53%	46%	1.1
CRAWFORD	32,227	68%	ES&S	71%	1.2	29%	0.7	58%	41%	1.4
CUMBERLAND	116,161	82%	ES&S	60%	1	41%	1	60%	39%	1.5
DAUPHIN	125,569	76%	Danaher	49%	1	52%	1	47%	53%	0.9
DELAWARE	288,069	79%	Danaher	38%	0.8	62%	1.2	47%	52%	0.9
ELK	13,878	77%	ES&S	72%	1.5	28%	0.5	47%	53%	0.9
ERIE	118,181	71%	ES&S	51%	1.3	49%	0.8	41%	59%	0.7
FAYETTE	52,536	68%	Hart Intercivic	66%	1.8	34%	0.5	36%	63%	0.6
FOREST	2,309	76%	ES&S	73%	1.3	27%	0.6	58%	42%	1.4
FRANKLIN	61,561	77%	ES&S	75%	1.1	25%	0.8	68%	31%	2.2
GREENE	15,331	74%	ES&S	71%	1.8	29%	0.5	39%	61%	0.6
HUNTINGDON	19,033	71%	ES&S	76%	1.2	24%	0.7	65%	34%	1.9
INDIANA	32,392	72%	ES&S	71%	1.3	29%	0.6	54%	46%	1.2
JEFFERSON	18,842	71%	ES&S	81%	1.3	19%	0.5	64%	36%	1.8
JUNIATA	10,094	81%	ES&S	82%	1.2	18%	0.6	68%	32%	2.1
LACKAWANNA	100,367	75%	ES&S	48%	1.5	52%	0.8	32%	68%	0.5
LANCASTER	230,181	81%	Hart Intercivic	60%	1	40%	1	61%	38%	1.6
LAWRENCE	33,744	66%	ES&S	66%	1.4	34%	0.6	46%	54%	0.8
LEBANON	56,908	76%	ES&S	69%	1.1	31%	0.9	63%	36%	1.7
LEHIGH	155,014	78%	Premier/Diebold	48%	1.2	53%	0.9	41%	59%	0.7
LUZERNE	131,139	71%	ES&S	60%	1.5	40%	0.7	40%	59%	0.7
LYCOMING	48,140	79%	Premier/Diebold	73%	1.2	27%	0.7	63%	37%	1.7
MERCER	50,277	74%	ES&S	63%	1.3	37%	0.7	49%	51%	1
MIFFLIN	17,971	77%	ES&S	78%	1.2	22%	0.7	67%	33%	2
MONROE	67,304	76%	Danaher	50%	1.2	50%	0.9	41%	58%	0.7
MONTGOMERY	418,813	85%	Sequoia	39%	0.9	61%	1.1	44%	55%	0.8
MONTOUR	8,145	73%	ES&S	65%	1.1	35%	0.8	57%	43%	1.3
MCKEAN	14,955	26%	ES&S	75%	1.2	25%	0.7	64%	36%	1.8
NORTHAMPTON	138,008	79%	Sequoia	52%	1.2	48%	0.8	42%	57%	0.7
NORTHUMBERLAND	35,215	71%	Premier/Diebold	72%	1.3	28%	0.6	56%	44%	1.3
PERRY	20,248	77%	ES&S	77%	1.1	23%	0.8	71%	29%	2.5
PHILADELPHIA	692,245	70%	Danaher	16%	1.2	84%	1	13%	87%	0.1
PIKE	25,312	79%	Premier/Diebold	63%	1.1	37%	0.8	56%	44%	1.3
POTTER	7,553	76%	Premier/Diebold	83%	1.2	17%	0.6	71%	29%	2.5
SCHUYLKILL	59,001	75%	Premier/Diebold	73%	1.3	27%	0.6	56%	43%	1.3
SNYDER	15,727	80%	ES&S	75%	1.1	25%	0.9	71%	29%	2.5
SOMERSET	34,755	77%	Premier/Diebold	79%	1.3	21%	0.5	61%	39%	1.6
SULLIVAN	3,041	76%	Premier/Diebold	75%	1.2	25%	0.6	61%	38%	1.6
SUSQUEHANNA	18,014	78%	ES&S	72%	1.1	28%	0.8	65%	35%	1.9
TIOGA	17,515	75%	Premier/Diebold	78%	1.1	22%	0.7	68%	31%	2.2
UNION	16,802	81%	Premier/Diebold	63%	1	37%	1	63%	37%	1.7
VENANGO	22,330	77%	ES&S	72%	1.2	28%	0.7	61%	38%	1.6
WARREN	17,622	68%	Premier/Diebold	71%	1.2	29%	0.7	59%	41%	1.4
WASHINGTON	97,708	79%	Premier/Diebold	63%	1.4	37%	0.7	45%	55%	0.8
WAYNE	23,252	82%	ES&S	70%	1.1	30%	0.8	64%	36%	1.8
WESTMORELAND	176,191	80%	ES&S	66%	1.4	34%	0.7	48%	52%	0.9
WYOMING	12,648	84%	ES&S	70%	1.1	30%	0.8	64%	36%	1.8
YORK	183,019	72%	Sequoia	66%	1.1	34%	0.8	58%	41%	1.4

* VFR and VFD are Republican and Democratic Voting Factors. This is the ratio of percent of Republican votes to the percent of registered Republicans, and the percent of Democratic votes to the percent of registered Democrats

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Options:

County:	Vote type: All
Count votes:	Graph type:

Note: X/Y graph display only works for all votes, sorted by precinct size (number of votes)

These graphs show each candidate's CUMULATIVE percent of the vote for all points to the left of and including each precinct. As you move to the right, the results from more and more precincts are included. If you choose "ALL" votes, the points at the far right of the graph represent the outcome of the election.

In order to get a sense of what might be expected if there is no strong correlation between precinct size and political leaning, select "Count votes: In random order". Each time you redraw the graph you will see cumulative totals for randomly sorted precincts.

Benford's Law Analysis

Download graph data

Leftmost Digit	Expected Distribution	TRUMP	CLINTON
1	30.1%	24%	21%
2	17.6%	18.8%	22.4%
3	12.5%	13.9%	20%
4	9.7%	12.1%	14%
5	7.9%	9.2%	7.9%
6	6.7%	7.9%	5.7%
7	5.8%	5.7%	3.8%
8	5.1%	4.9%	3.1%
9	4.6%	3.5%	2.2%